Forth Energy SG Supplementary Consultation Response
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Transcript of Forth Energy SG Supplementary Consultation Response
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7/29/2019 Forth Energy SG Supplementary Consultation Response
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Forth Energy’s response to the Scottish Government’s
‘RO Banding Review Supplementary Consultation’
Forth Energy, a joint venture between Forth Ports Limited and SSE plc, plans to develop
three high-efficiency, wood-fuelled Combined Heat and Power (CHP) plants in Scotland. The
plants will be situated at the Ports of Grangemouth, Dundee and Rosyth. Together they will
have the capability to deliver 300 MW of reliable, controllable, renewable electricity to the
national grid and up to 260 MW of renewable heat to neighbouring industrial and commercial
users, and to new district heating networks. The combined output of the plants can deliver
around 30% of the Scottish Government’s 2020 renewable heat target and approximately 6%of the renewable electricity target.
Forth Energy welcomes the opportunity to respond to the Scottish Government’s ‘ RO
Banding Review Supplementary Consultation’ and makes the following key points with
respect to Proposal B (10 MW capacity cap for wood-fuelled dedicated biomass electricity-
only generating plants):
Forth Energy agrees there should be no support for new large-scale dedicated
biomass electricity-only plants, as support for biomass under the ROS should
focus on CHP plants.
A wood-fuelled dedicated biomass CHP plant with an installed electrical
capacity in excess of the ceiling should be eligible for ROCs for its electrical
output, provided the plant has the capability to meet the Good Quality CHP
(GQCHP) criteria at full heat output.
An annual requirement to produce sufficient heat to meet the GQCHP criteria to
be eligible for ROCs would significantly increase the risks associated with
developing and operating a larger-scale biomass CHP plant in Scotland, and
would consequently hinder progress towards meeting Scotland’s 2020 renewable
heat target.
If such a requirement were placed on biomass CHP plants, Forth Energy
proposes that a ‘grace period’ be introduced to allow a newly commissioned
plant to build up a heat customer base to meet the GQCHP criteria, and that
established GQCHP plants should retain ROC support if heat production falls
due to a reduction in customer demand.
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We make the following key points with respect to Proposal C (biomass power value-for-
money and affordability):
A cap on dedicated biomass electricity-only plants under the RO is not necessary
to ensure value for money, or to address feedstock lock-in.
If a cap is to be implemented, an overall cap on the total electricity-only capacity
which can accredit under the RO would improve investor certainty, compared to
the proposed supplier cap.
If a cap is to be implemented, it should exclude CHP plants which meet the
GQCHP criteria in force at the point of accreditation under the RO.
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Proposal B: Introduction of a 10 MW installed capacity ceiling for wood-fuelled
dedicated biomass generating stations
Key points
Forth Energy agrees there should be no support for new large-scale dedicatedbiomass electricity-only plants, as support for biomass under the ROS should
focus on CHP plants.
A wood-fuelled dedicated biomass CHP plant with an installed electrical
capacity in excess of the ceiling should be eligible for ROCs for its electrical
output, provided the plant has the capability to meet the Good Quality CHP
(GQCHP) criteria at full heat output.
An annual requirement to produce sufficient heat to meet the GQCHP criteria to
be eligible for ROCs would significantly increase the risks associated with
developing and operating a larger-scale biomass CHP plant in Scotland, and
would consequently hinder progress towards meeting Scotland’s 2020 renewable
heat target.
If such a requirement were placed on biomass CHP plants, Forth Energy
proposes that a ‘grace period’ be introduced to allow a newly commissioned
plant to build up a heat customer base to meet the GQCHP criteria, and that
established GQCHP plants should retain ROC support if heat production falls
due to a reduction in customer demand.
Support under ROS focused on CHP plants
Both DECC and the Scottish Government recognise the significant benefits that biomass
CHP plants deliver in terms of fuel efficiency, security of supply, economic growth potential
and long-term reduction in carbon emissions relative to fossil fuels for electricity and heating.
The Scottish Government’s latest draft Electricity Generation Policy Statement1
confirms its
preference “… to see biomass used in heat -only or CHP schemes …”. The DECC UK
Bioenergy Strategy2
identifies “low risk bioenergy pathways to 2030” which are supportive
of the use of biomass to generate heat and power through CHP processes and to provide heat
for high temperature industrial processes. The DECC Future of Heating report highlights the
role renewable CHP using biomass could play in reducing carbon emissions in industrial
sectors3
.
Forth Energy believes that there are opportunities for CHP plants of all scales to either meet
the energy demands of existing customers, or to act as a catalyst for inward investment,
attracting new customers with heating (or cooling) requirements and growing the provision of
renewable heat over time. The regulatory framework and financial support mechanisms
1Scottish Government (Mar 2012), Electricity Generation Policy Statement, p17
http://scotland.gov.uk/Resource/0038/00389294.pdf 2
DECC (Apr 2012), UK Bioenergy Strategy, p40
http://scotland.gov.uk/Resource/0038/00389294.pdf 3
DECC (Mar 2012), The Future of Heating, p82-88http://www.decc.gov.uk/assets/decc/11/meeting-energy-demand/heat/4805-future-heating-strategic-
framework.pdf
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should promote the development of a broad range of renewable CHP plants and encourage
the growth of renewable heat uptake from those plants.
As stated in our response4
to the Scottish Government’s original consultation on banding
under the Renewables Obligation (Scotland) (ROS)5, Forth Energy agrees that there should
be no support for new large-scale dedicated biomass electricity-only plants, as support forbiomass under the ROS should focus on CHP plants. We agree that a capacity ceiling for
electricity-only plants is a practical way of implementing this.
Forth Energy believes that a dedicated biomass plant should only be recognised as a CHP
plant under the ROS (and hence be eligible for ROCs for its electrical output) if it is
designed, constructed and maintained with the capability of producing sufficient heat at
maximum output to meet the Good Quality CHP (GQCHP, as defined by article 2(1) of the
ROS Order 20096
and CHPQA Guidance Note 447) criteria that are in force at the time of
preliminary ROS accreditation. To meet this requirement, CHP developers will need to
commit to significant upfront investment, installing the equipment which can allow the
production of substantial volumes of heat. It should be noted that the heat is not necessarily aby-product of the generation process but may be an identified output from the plant, with a
specific capital cost8. To ensure a return on its investment in heat producing equipment, a
developer is strongly incentivised to locate the plant in an area where renewable heat demand
is high, or is expected to grow, and will aim to produce and sell the maximum volume of heat
possible throughout the plant’s operational lifetime.
We believe that requiring dedicated biomass plants to have the capability to meet the GQCHP
criteria throughout their operational lifetime to be eligible for ROCs would address the
Scottish Government’s desire to not support electricity-only biomass plants, without
imposing risks on CHP developers that they are not in a position to control. We strongly
suggest the Scottish Government adopts this approach for determining ROC eligibility for
biomass CHP plants.
The potential risks to CHP developments arising from the Scottish Government’s proposals
Forth Energy supports the principle that dedicated biomass plants should only be recognised
as CHP plants under the ROS if they have the capability to meet the GQCHP criteria
throughout their operational lifetime. However we understand that the Scottish Government
is considering introducing an annual requirement for CHP plants to produce sufficient heat to
meet the GQCHP criteria, in order to be eligible for ROCs for their electricity output. As
explained below, such a requirement would introduce significant risks to the developmentand operation of renewable CHP plants within Scotland.
4 Forth Energy (Jan 2012), Forth Energy’s response to the Scottish Government’s ‘Consultation on Review of
ROC Bands’
http://www.forthenergy.co.uk/assets/fe-ros-response-form-web.pdf 5
Scottish Government (Oct 2011), Consultation on Review of ROC Bands
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/361576/0122199.pdf 6
Scottish Government (Mar 2009), The Renewables Obligation (Scotland) Order 2009
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ssi/2009/140/contents/made 7
DECC (Nov 2008), CHPQA Guidance Note 44https://www.chpqa.com/guidance_notes/GUIDANCE_NOTE_44.pdf 8
For our Grangemouth CHP plant, the capital cost of the heat infrastructure is over 25% of the overall cost.
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Heat produced by a CHP plant can only be sold to, and utilised by, customers that are directly
connected to the plant via a dedicated local heat network. This means that the heat produced
by a CHP plant is constrained by its connected customers’ heat requirements, which are not
directly within the control of the CHP operator. Thus any eligibility criteria for receiving
ROCs which depends on the amount of heat consumed by its customers (and hence the
amount of heat produced by the CHP plant), introduces a risk to the CHP operator over whichit has no direct control.
Under such a regime, a reduction in heat offtake from a customer (for example through
efficiency improvements or a reduction in demand for its products), or the cessation of a heat
customer’s operations (for example through insolvency or relocation), is not within the CHP
operator’s control, but could result in the loss of its revenue stream from ROCs for its
electricity production. This would exacerbate the downturn in revenues arising from the
reduction in heat sales and loss of the Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI) tariff. The risks are
highest for a CHP operator connected to a single customer who cannot compensate for the
reduced demand by providing heat to alternative customers.
The extent to which individual CHP plants would be affected by the introduction of ROC
eligibility criteria based on heat production will depend on the precise manner in which the
GQCHP criteria are used to determine eligibility. In particular, the impact will depend on
how, if at all, the Quality Index (QI) for the plant is used to calculate ROC issuance. It is not
clear from the consultation document whether or not the Scottish Government is considering
scaling-back ROC eligibility for plants achieving a QI below the 100 threshold (as is
currently the case for CHP Uplift), or is considering removal of all ROCs for a plant which
does not meet the QI threshold. If the latter, this significantly increases the financial risks of
operating a CHP plant.
If a biomass CHP plant’s eligibility for ROCs were to depend on heat production rather than
heat capability, developers, investors and finance providers are only likely to consider the
construction of new CHP plants which can provide heat to customers who have: (i) a very
high likelihood of long-term operation at the site; (ii) a stable profile of heat requirement; and
(iii) the ability and willingness to underwrite the liabilities arising from not taking sufficient
heat to ensure the CHP plant meets the GQCHP criteria. Such a requirement is also only
likely to deliver new biomass CHP plants that are sized to match the heat requirements of
customers who are both ready to take heat and can be connected during the approximately 3
year period of plant construction. CHP plants with a thermal capacity sized to allow the heat
production and sales to grow in time, with the additional capital costs underpinned by the
ROCs from electricity production (as is currently the case), are unlikely to be developed dueto the high risk of being unable to meet the GQCHP criteria during the early years of
operation (due to the lower heat efficiency of an oversized boiler until heat demand has
grown sufficiently), and the subsequent loss of ROC revenue during those years.
As set out above, introducing an annual requirement to produce sufficient heat to meet the
GQCHP criteria to be eligible for ROCs would greatly increase the uncontrollable risks
placed on dedicated biomass CHP plants. This would increase the difficulties in gaining
board approval to commit to such projects, raising finance and attracting investors. The
additional risks could significantly constrain future biomass CHP development in Scotland,
and reduce the potential for CHP plants to be built with the aim of growing a customer base
and heat network over time. These factors would hinder progress towards meeting Scotland’s2020 renewable heat target and the growth of low-carbon heat production beyond this date.
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Mitigating the risks to CHP plants
If the Scottish Government does intend to introduce a ROC eligibility criteria based on heat
production rather than capability, Forth Energy suggests two proposals to partly mitigate the
risks that this would impose on biomass CHP plants.
Firstly we suggest that a ‘grace period’ be introduced to allow time for newly commissioned
CHP plant to build up a heat load which would meet the GQCHP criteria. Where a CHP
developer can demonstrate that it has invested in the infrastructure capable of producing
sufficient heat from the plant to meet the GQCHP criteria, it would retain ROC support for its
electrical output whilst building up a heat customer base and delivery network throughout the
grace period. This ensures developers will only build CHP plants in locations where the
growth in renewable heat demand is feasible and highly likely. It also places a considerable
financial incentive on the CHP plant operator to develop its heat sales to a level which
ensures the GQCHP criteria are met within the grace period, or lose the ROC support for
subsequent years.
Secondly we suggest that CHP plants which had previously met the GQCHP criteria, but
where heat production is reduced due to a change in customer demand such that the criteria
are no longer met, should retain ROC support. Where heat demand has reduced, the CHP
operator would remain incentivised to seek additional heat customers and restore revenue
through heat sales and RHI payments, thereby subsequently meeting the GQCHP criteria. If
ROC support was withdrawn immediately this would severely reduce an operator’s income
stream, threatening its survival and hampering its efforts to seek replacement heat customers.
These two proposals ensure that larger-scale CHP developers invest in the infrastructure
capable of providing sufficient heat to meet the GQCHP criteria; allow plants to be built
where the developer is satisfied that an adequate level of heat sales can be delivered within
the ‘grace period’ to meet the GQCHP criteria; and shield operators from the uncontrollable
risk of a reduction in heat demand, whilst ensuring they remain incentivised to increase heat
sales subsequently. We would welcome the opportunity to discuss the implementation of
these proposals in greater detail with the Scottish Government.
Additional uncertainty arising from DECC’s forthcoming CHPQA review
The risks identified with linking ROC eligibility to meeting the GQCHP criteria on an annual
basis are exacerbated by the uncertainty arising from the UK Government’s forthcomingreview of the CHPQA standards. This review introduces the potential for revisions to the
GQCHP criteria and the Quality Index calculations. Forth Energy understands that any
changes to the GQCHP criteria following this review may be applied to plants that are
already accredited under the RO and ROS, potentially undermining the investment case on
which the plant was designed and constructed. To provide future developers and investors
with certainty that the criteria will not subsequently be amended for plant already in
operation, there is a need for the GQCHP criteria to be ‘grandfathered’ following this review.
Any further reviews of the criteria should be undertaken with sufficient lead time so as not to
impact on plant already under construction and for which the technical design has been
agreed.
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We urge the Scottish Government to promote the principle of grandfathering the GQCHP criteria in
its discussions with DECC, to avoid additional risk to the delivery of CHP schemes that will assist in
meeting its challenging 2020 renewable heat target.
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Proposal C: Additional mechanisms for biomass power aimed at ensuring value-for-
money and affordability.
Key points
Forth Energy has responded to DECC’s consultation9
on biomass value for money andaffordability. Our response reflected the different strategy for biomass use within the energy
sector that has been adopted by the UK Government. Although Forth Energy is seeking
consent to develop CHP plants, we do not support DECC’s proposal for a supplier cap on
dedicated biomass electricity-only plants under the RO, and made the following key points in
our consultation response.
A cap on dedicated biomass electricity-only plants under the RO is not necessary
to ensure value for money, or to address feedstock lock-in.
If a cap is to be implemented, an overall cap on the total electricity-only capacity
which can accredit under the RO, would improve investor certainty compared to
the proposed supplier cap.
If a cap is to be implemented, it should exclude CHP plants which meet the
GQCHP criteria in force at the point of accreditation under the RO.
Value for money
According to the DECC consultation proposals, “The intention in setting a cap is to maintainvalue for money for consumer subsidies while also maintaining investor confidence”
(paragraph 12.3). Yet over the period 2013 to 2017 biomass electricity-only plants wouldreceive between 0.4 and 0.5 ROC/MWh less support than the marginal renewable electricity
technology of offshore wind. In addition, the energy biomass electricity-only plants supply is
both reliable and controllable, unlike intermittent renewable technologies, including offshore
wind. Accordingly biomass electricity-only plants represent better value for money to the
consumer than the marginal (and uncapped) technology. It is therefore not logical to cap
biomass electricity-only plants on the basis of value for money to the consumer.
Feedstock lock-in
The UK Government also believes it is desirable to limit support for dedicated biomass
electricity-only plants “… avoiding significant feedstock lock in beyond the late 2020’s.” (paragraph 12.1 of the consultation). However, the UK Government should recognise the
essential role dedicated biomass plants will have in providing controllable low-carbon
electricity once the transitional technologies of conversion and co-firing cease to operate and
prior to the commercial development of Carbon Capture and Storage. If long-term feedstocks
can be sourced that meet the rigorous UK biomass sustainability criteria there should be no
reason to constrain the overall capacity of the plants which utilise them.
9
DECC (Sep 2012), Biomass electricity and CHP plants – ensuring sustainability and affordabilityhttp://www.decc.gov.uk/assets/decc/11/consultation/ro-banding/6339-consultation-on-biomass-electricity--
combined-hea.pdf
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Type of cap
The proposed supplier cap on dedicated biomass electricity-only plants introduces an
unnecessary degree of complexity and uncertainty for investors, contrary to the stated intent
in paragraph 12.3. It could act as a much bigger constraint than the UK Government intends,
as it introduces the risk of a dedicated biomass ROC value collapse10
for all such plants builtbeyond Apr 2013, not just those which may cause the cap to be exceeded. This risk will make
investors nervous, making it difficult for developers to secure financing for any plants
expected to be commissioned beyond Apr 2013.
We suggest that, if a cap is deemed necessary it would be preferable to implement an overall
cap on the amount of dedicated biomass electricity-only plant that can be accredited under the
RO/ROS post Apr 2013. This would remove the risk of a dedicated biomass ROC value
collapse for dedicated biomass and, if a pre-accreditation process was available, would allow
developers and investors to secure funding and proceed to construction with confidence.
Exclusion of CHP plants from any cap
As stated in our response to Proposal B, both DECC and the Scottish Government recognise
the significant benefits that biomass CHP plants deliver in terms of fuel efficiency, security
of supply, economic growth potential and long-term reduction in carbon emissions relative to
fossil fuels for electricity and heating.
Given the importance both Governments place on CHP, Forth Energy agrees that, if a cap is
deemed to be necessary, those plants which meet the GQCHP criteria in force at the time of
accreditation under the RO/ROS, should be outside the cap.
It is important for developer and investor certainty that the GQCHP criteria are grandfathered
at the point of accreditation under the RO/ROS. In addition, any proposed changes to the
GQCHP criteria for plants yet to accredit must have sufficient lead time, so as not to
adversely impact those plants which have secured the necessary consents and funding and are
committed to, or are under, construction.
10A dedicated biomass ROC value collapse could occur if the issuance of such ROCs exceeds the total volume
suppliers can use for compliance under the RO/ROS, and if there is no expectation of the surplus beingabsorbed in future years. A similar issue occurred due to the surplus of EU Allowances (EUAs) issued in Phase 1
of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme which saw the EUA price collapse to 0.01€.