Foreign Policy Transparency: is it driven by media coverage? A study on Canada, France, Germany,...
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Transcript of Foreign Policy Transparency: is it driven by media coverage? A study on Canada, France, Germany,...
Foreign Policy Transparency: is it driven by media
coverage?A study on Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Switzerland, The United Kingdom, and the United States
Jackie Morgan Brune
Study Question:
What are some determinants of foreign policy and foreign aid in particular?
Dep. Variable: Media Coverage
Ind. Variable: ODA allocations
There is an endogenous relationship between both variables.
Background & Analysis Case Study:
FRANCE
Significant aid determinants:
- GNP Per Capita
- Media Coverage (Le Monde)
- Francophonie
- ‘bureaucracy factor’
In Van Belle and Rioux’s study they found that each article in Le Monde is worth $77, 000 USD in aid.
Data Case Study: The UK
Method
Method- 1st regression
Control Variables: (1985-1998)
Aid commitments Population
Net Coverage Democracy
GNP Per Capita Trade
Language Variable Unrest
Colonial Variable Negative
Need
Results- 1st Regression
For each country its aid commitments and net media coverage (radio, tv, press) are positively and significantly correlated.
Net Coverage in other countries needs to be controlled for as if it is correlated there could be a spurious relationship.
Method- 2nd Regression
Added control Variables:
(controls for media coverage in other cities)
SWINET
GERNET
FRANNET
USNET
CANNET
JAPNET
Results 2nd Regression
Results 2nd Regression
Swiss coverage is the only one positively correlated with British aid commitments.
This could be due to a lack of data.
The hypothesis cannot be verified as Swiss coverage is correlated, for all the other countries studied the hypothesis is verified.
Each country’s aid commitments studied in this project was correlated with another country’s coverage.
Take-Aways - Media is an important foreign policy influence and
does contribute to its transparency.
- Other factors that influence aid commitments: Trade, GNP Per Capita, Current Events, and Political Interest.
While no general conclusion was reached it is clear that aid allocations and media coverage are significantly correlated.