Foreign Agricultural Service World Markets and Trade FG 01 ...€¦ · Reduced grain supplies in...

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Higher Corn Prices Supported By Confluence of Market Events

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 01-11Jan 2011

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

A combination of factors has been fueling corn prices in recent months. Reduced grain supplies in Russiawill necessitate corn imports, adding more pressure to available global corn supplies. In the United States,prospects for a record crop diminished as yields fell well below expectations. Lower production, combinedwith both strong foreign and domestic demand, is expected to push ending stocks to their lowest level since1995/96. The EU continues to aggressively pursue corn imports to offset smaller crops as indicated by itsstrong pace of import licenses. After China’s unexpected imports last year, the potential for further importsadds another element of market uncertainty. Imported corn prices have lost some competitiveness vis-à-visdomestic feed ingredients in China.

Against this backdrop of shrinking supplies, hopes of a bumper Argentine corn crop have now diminished,reducing exportable supplies. However, countries such as Ukraine, Serbia, and South Africa have greaterexportable supplies that could help moderate global corn prices. Additionally, poor quality wheat crops inAustralia and Canada will mean more feed-quality wheat available to partially replace corn in somecountries such as South Korea and Israel.

Global markets will be focused on USDA’s upcoming 2011 Prospective Plantings report to be released onMarch 31 as an indication of U.S. farmer responsiveness to the relative price signals for grains and oilseeds.

Sharply Lower Corn Ending Stocks In Major Exporting CountriesArgentine Corn Exports Down Year-to-Year

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Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2011

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 9 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 13 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 33 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 52 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

January 2011

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/�

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2010/112009/102008/092010/112009/102008/092010/112009/102008/09

Production

United States (Jun-May) 68.0 60.4 60.1 6.4 6.9 7.4 307.1 332.5 316.2

Other 615.7 622.2 585.7 441.8 434.0 444.9 491.1 479.6 499.8

World Total 683.7 682.6 645.8 448.2 440.9 452.4 798.3 812.1 816.0

Domestic Consumption


Other 600.7 618.8 630.6 431.4 431.5 447.1 520.5 527.2 542.4

World Total 635.0 649.7 662.6 435.4 435.3 451.1 779.7 808.6 834.0

Ending Stocks


Other 148.7 170.9 155.7 90.7 93.6 92.8 105.3 103.7 108.1

World Total 166.6 197.4 178.0 91.7 94.8 94.4 147.8 147.1 127.0

TY Imports


Other 136.9 128.4 119.7 26.2 28.6 28.0 82.1 89.8 88.6

World Total 140.3 131.6 122.6 26.9 29.2 28.6 82.5 90.0 89.1

TY Exports


Other 116.1 110.1 89.6 26.3 26.9 26.8 36.2 43.2 40.9

World Total 143.2 134.3 125.6 29.3 30.4 30.3 84.0 93.0 90.9

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

January 2011

Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2011 4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

175

225

275

325

375

425

475

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRS SRW SWW HRW

PRICES: Domestic prices: Prices of Hard Red Spring (HRS) and white wheat climbed in December on concerns over tightening global supplies of higher quality milling wheat. HRS surged $27/ton to $467/ton and Soft White Wheat (SWW) jumped $16/ton to $316/ton, while Hard Red Winter (HRW) rose $7/ton to $331/ton. On the other hand, Soft Red Winter (SRW) was down $7/ton to $316/ton. TRADE CHANGES IN 2010/11 Selected Exporters

• Argentina is lowered 1.0 million tons to 7.0 million on the slow export pace and limited availability of export licenses despite a higher crop.

• Australia is reduced 500,000 tons to 14.0 million on a lower crop, crop quality concerns,

and the rain-delayed harvest.

• Brazil is raised 500,000 tons to 1.1 million on a larger crop and recent government auctions of wheat via the Subsidy Auction Program (PEP).

January 2011

Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2011 5

• Kazakhstan is down 1.0 million tons to 5.0 million on lower production.

• Pakistan is up 500,000 tons to 800,000 due to the government announcement allowing

wheat exports and the subsequent reported sales.

• United States is raised 2.0 million tons to 36.0 million, the highest in 18 years, on the strong pace of sales and expected late-season surge in shipments.

Selected Importers

• EU-27 is lowered 500,000 tons to 4.5 million due to the slow pace of imports and import licenses.

• Thailand and Vietnam are both raised 200,000 tons to 1.3 million and 1.7 million, respectively, on the expected imports of feed-quality wheat from Australia.

• South Korea is up 400,000 tons to 4.0 million on the expected replacement of corn with

feed-quality wheat.

January 2011

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

TY Exports

7,0008,0005,1728,62110,22812,231 Argentina

14,00014,50013,74413,4507,44911,241 Australia

1,1006001,19536976740 Brazil

17,00017,00018,97418,67416,56119,278 Canada

1,0001,0008927232,8352,783 China

22,00022,00022,11725,31912,27213,813 EU-27

5,0006,0007,8715,7018,1818,089 Kazakhstan

4,0004,00018,55618,39312,22010,790 Russia

3,0003,0004,2742,3421,7632,200 Turkey

6,0006,0009,33713,0371,2363,366 Ukraine

9,4578,9577,9779,4718,6316,930 Others

89,55791,057110,109116,10082,14390,761 Subtotal

36,00034,00024,17527,10134,28224,873 United States

125,557125,057134,284143,201116,425115,634 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,3002,3002,5003,8002,3001,400 Afghanistan

5,3005,3005,1676,3505,9044,874 Algeria

2,5002,5003,3312,8821,5001,731 Bangladesh

6,2006,2006,6676,7627,0767,743 Brazil

9,8009,80010,3009,9007,7007,300 Egypt

4,5005,0005,4807,7376,9335,233 EU-27

5,3005,3005,3645,4195,2275,601 Indonesia

3,6003,6003,9073,8793,4292,892 Iraq

1,5001,5001,8622,0641,1871,494 Israel

5,2005,2005,5025,1565,7015,747 Japan

4,0003,6004,4703,3713,0923,439 Korea, South

1,8001,8002,0911,6891,574994 Libya

3,3003,3003,1963,3423,1363,607 Mexico

3,6003,6002,3043,7594,1921,802 Morocco

4,0004,0004,0793,5502,6333,265 Nigeria

1,6001,6001,7031,3851,4441,367 Peru

2,8002,8003,1853,2012,2662,754 Philippines

2,0002,000164203440928 Russia

2,0002,0001,9101,40075100 Saudi Arabia

1,6001,6001,3581,4721,333885 South Africa

1,6001,6001,9021,7121,0601,323 Sudan

1,8001,8001,5341,7682,3721,430 Tunisia

2,5002,5003,1923,5782,1921,778 Turkey

1,7001,5001,9259251,1441,228 Vietnam

2,3002,3002,6022,9192,0002,440 Yemen

36,86036,66042,70048,66034,91238,484 Others

119,660119,360128,395136,883110,822109,839 Subtotal

2,9472,7472,7092,9192,6512,438 Unaccounted

2,9502,9503,1803,3992,9523,357 United States

125,557125,057134,284143,201116,425115,634 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

January 2011

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

Production

14,00013,50011,00010,50018,60016,300 Argentina

25,00025,50021,92321,42013,56910,822 Australia

5,9005,5005,0265,8803,8252,234 Brazil

23,16723,16726,84828,61120,05425,265 Canada

114,500114,500115,120112,464109,298108,466 China

8,5008,6008,5237,9778,2758,274 Egypt

136,528136,228138,051151,122120,133124,870 EU-27

80,71080,71080,68078,57075,81069,350 India

14,40014,40012,00010,00015,00014,500 Iran

9,70011,00017,00012,55016,45013,450 Kazakhstan

23,90023,90024,03320,95923,29521,277 Pakistan

41,50041,50061,70063,70049,40044,900 Russia

17,00017,00018,45016,80015,50017,500 Turkey

17,20017,20020,90025,90013,90014,000 Ukraine

6,5006,5006,2006,0006,2005,850 Uzbekistan

47,21547,20554,78243,19846,05549,830 Others

585,720586,410622,236615,651555,364546,888 Subtotal

60,10360,10360,36668,01655,82149,217 United States

645,823646,513682,602683,667611,185596,105 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,7508,7508,5508,3008,0507,850 Algeria

8,4757,9756,7256,8506,5007,600 Australia

10,80010,80011,00010,70010,30010,300 Brazil

8,7508,7506,9558,0366,7878,986 Canada

108,800108,800107,000105,500106,000102,000 China

18,40018,40017,90017,20015,80015,300 Egypt

122,000123,500124,500127,000116,536125,500 EU-27

82,43582,43578,20170,92476,42373,477 India

16,20016,20016,10015,80015,50015,300 Iran

8,3008,3008,0007,4507,2257,200 Morocco

24,00024,20023,20022,80022,40021,700 Pakistan

47,50047,50042,00038,90037,65036,400 Russia

17,20017,20017,10016,90016,80016,650 Turkey

11,60011,60012,30011,90012,30011,700 Ukraine

7,4507,4507,3507,0506,8006,500 Uzbekistan

129,908129,408131,886125,424119,595120,889 Others

633,251634,190620,829607,461588,143585,169 Subtotal

32,00632,27830,93234,29328,61430,940 United States

665,257666,468651,761641,754616,757616,109 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7,2316,7314,1063,5883,6513,953 Australia

5,6375,6377,8206,5474,4066,865 Canada

60,01460,01454,31445,69238,97038,458 China

5,6225,7225,7324,8184,2554,142 Egypt

12,91111,61115,88318,96912,42914,171 EU-27

14,47514,47516,10013,4305,8004,500 India

4,0494,0493,8492,7133,5744,033 Syria

45,79045,13363,07052,96143,26441,708 Others

155,729153,372170,874148,718116,349117,830 Subtotal

22,26323,35226,55217,8678,32312,414 United States

177,992176,724197,426166,585124,672130,244 World Total

January 2011

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2010/11

Jan

2010/11

TY Imports none

7,279 North America 6,475 7,128 6,779 6,650 6,650

1,582 Central America 1,460 1,489 1,464 1,525 1,525

13,855 South America 13,109 13,161 13,118 12,790 12,790

5,233 European Union 6,933 7,737 5,480 5,000 4,500

1,485 Other Europe 1,932 1,670 1,698 1,750 1,750

5,986 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,105 6,502 5,415 7,325 7,325

12,089 Middle East 11,997 28,465 22,489 17,125 17,125

16,400 North Africa 21,742 23,466 21,396 22,300 22,300

11,431 Sub-Saharan Africa 10,269 13,724 15,761 14,260 14,260

11,894 East Asia 11,277 11,322 13,744 12,050 12,450

10,949 South Asia 8,215 10,747 7,586 6,310 6,310

12,377 Southeast Asia 11,483 12,233 13,890 12,525 12,925

2,636 Others 2,777 2,638 2,755 2,700 2,700

113,196 Total 113,774 140,282 131,575 122,310 122,610

Production none

77,722 North America 79,468 100,627 91,514 87,170 87,170

21,222 South America 25,435 20,016 21,034 22,647 23,547

124,870 European Union 120,133 151,122 138,051 136,228 136,528

4,313 Other Europe 4,405 4,712 4,609 3,800 3,850


41,965 Middle East 40,153 32,340 37,280 38,145 38,105

18,576 North Africa 13,948 14,352 20,231 17,550 17,450


109,669 East Asia 110,590 113,776 116,281 115,825 115,825

95,881 South Asia 105,070 103,298 111,233 110,730 110,730

11,099 Oceania 13,846 21,697 22,200 25,777 25,277

160 Others 143 171 175 176 176

596,105 Total 611,185 683,667 682,602 646,513 645,823

Domestic Consumption none

46,126 North America 40,901 48,329 44,087 47,278 47,006

24,193 South America 24,372 24,528 24,973 25,010 25,010

125,500 European Union 116,536 127,000 124,500 123,500 122,000

5,220 Other Europe 5,475 5,545 5,434 5,355 5,355


51,330 Middle East 50,947 52,489 53,567 54,025 54,025

34,105 North Africa 35,674 37,464 39,100 40,175 40,175


113,938 East Asia 117,556 117,438 119,582 121,100 121,500

105,066 South Asia 109,488 104,554 114,132 118,190 117,990

11,719 Southeast Asia 11,009 12,004 13,037 12,460 12,860

8,535 Oceania 7,388 7,720 7,630 8,855 9,355

3,267 Others 3,400 3,303 3,333 3,450 3,450

618,292 Total 613,280 635,027 649,699 663,546 662,574

Ending Stocks none

19,690 North America 13,108 24,729 35,144 29,711 28,622

3,652 South America 4,569 3,540 4,885 3,988 4,642

14,171 European Union 12,429 18,969 15,883 11,611 12,911

1,772 Other Europe 1,876 2,208 2,246 1,626 1,676


12,130 Middle East 10,557 12,903 15,220 12,110 12,063

9,764 North Africa 9,482 9,497 11,833 11,323 11,223


40,846 East Asia 41,788 48,276 57,337 62,622 62,622

8,357 South Asia 9,727 16,951 21,085 19,235 19,235

2,844 Southeast Asia 2,837 2,738 3,190 2,905 2,905

4,224 Oceania 3,912 3,800 4,297 6,874 7,374

292 Others 256 275 298 279 279

130,244 Total 124,672 166,585 197,426 176,724 177,992

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

January 2011


9

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

PRICES International: Five months ago, U.S. #2/4 rice was cheaper than comparable Thai and Vietnamese varieties for the first time ever. After a few weeks as the lowest-priced option, U.S #2/4 lost its advantage due in part to low milling yields. Since October, U.S. rice is again the most expensive option in the market. U.S. quotes have remained at $610 per ton, FOB, for the past month. On the other hand, quotes for Thai 100 B have come down by $10 in the last month to $544 per ton, FOB. During the same time, quotes for 5% brokens from Vietnam slid by $32 to $509 per ton, FOB. The current price differential has hurt U.S. competitiveness in Africa and the Middle East. Domestic: California medium grain #1/4 quotes remained steady in the last 5 weeks at $875 per ton FOB. TRADE CHANGES

• Egypt’s 2011 exports are slashed 265,000 tons to a mere 35,000 as the government cut production and is preventing exports. Imports are also cut 135,000 tons to 15,000 as Egyptian traders purchase rice for their traditional markets elsewhere and have it shipped directly instead of going through Egypt.

• Thailand’s exports are raised 300,000 tons for 2010 and 2011 to 8.8 million and 10.0 million, respectively, as the release of government stocks continues to boost trade.

• Vietnam’s exports are up 234,000 tons to a record 6.7 million on final 2010 trade data.

• Indonesia’s imports are hiked 350,000 tons to 1.2 million for 2010 and 300,000 tons to

950,000 for 2011 on recent purchases that will continue to ship through early 2011.

• Nigeria’s imports are raised 300,000 tons to 2.0 million in 2010 on recent large shipments from Thailand.

U.S. #2/4 Loses Its Brief Competitive Edge to Thailand and Vietnam

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

8/24/10

9/21/10

10/19/10

11/16/10

12/14/101/11/1

1

$/MT

Thai 100B US #2 /4 Viet 5%

January 2011

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

TY Exports

600600500594408436 Argentina

325325401748190 Australia

575575400591511201 Brazil

5005004001,05254131 Burma

850850850800500450 Cambodia

9009006007839691,340 China

180180230150157139 EU-27

250250275244185254 Guyana

2,5002,5002,2002,1233,3836,301 India

200200200200200200 Japan

2,6502,6503,8003,1873,0502,696 Pakistan

120120120902112 Russia

10,0009,7008,8008,57010,0119,557 Thailand

800800700926742734 Uruguay

5,8005,8006,7345,9504,6494,522 Vietnam

5507801,0721,0031,1301,829 Others

26,80026,73026,92126,28026,50528,892 Subtotal

3,5253,5503,5002,9833,2193,003 United States

30,32530,28030,42129,26329,72431,895 World Total

none

TY Imports

4004007501501,6581,570 Bangladesh

600600800650417684 Brazil

330330330322365341 Canada

330330300337295472 China

900900860800800980 Cote d'Ivoire

525525500457558574 Cuba

1,3501,3501,2001,3831,5201,342 EU-27

410410400395399348 Hong Kong

9506501,1502503502,000 Indonesia

1,2001,2001,1501,4701,5501,500 Iran

1,1501,1501,1001,089975613 Iraq

700700700750546642 Japan

1,0201,0201,0201,0701,039799 Malaysia

650650600610578607 Mexico

400400320385300410 Mozambique

1,9001,9002,0002,0001,8001,550 Nigeria

2,0002,0002,6002,0002,5001,900 Philippines

1,3001,3001,1001,0951,166961 Saudi Arabia

700700700715860700 Senegal

850850800745650960 South Africa

350350350300230235 Syria

400300520282195193 Turkey

400400400380350285 United Arab Emirates

500500400500300450 Vietnam

335335325325315338 Yemen

8,3158,3858,1877,7148,1768,295 Others

27,96527,63528,56226,17427,89228,749 Subtotal

1,7351,9801,2492,4071,1812,451 Unaccounted

625665610682651695 United States

30,32530,28030,42129,26329,72431,895 World Total


Note about dates: 2010/11 is calendar year 2011, 2009/10 is calendar year 2010, and so on.

January 2011

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

Milled Production

32,30032,30031,00031,00028,80029,000 Bangladesh

8,4508,4007,6578,5708,1997,695 Brazil

10,50010,50010,59710,15010,73010,600 Burma

4,8004,8004,7804,5204,2383,946 Cambodia

139,300139,300136,570134,330130,224127,200 China

3,1003,5884,3004,4024,3854,383 Egypt

95,00095,00089,13099,18096,69093,350 India

38,00038,00036,37038,31037,00035,300 Indonesia

7,8507,8507,7118,0297,9307,786 Japan

4,3004,3004,9164,8434,4084,680 Korea, South

3,6003,6003,4003,2003,0002,900 Nigeria

5,0005,0006,8006,9005,7005,450 Pakistan

10,50010,5009,77210,75510,4799,775 Philippines

20,35020,35020,26019,85019,80018,250 Thailand

24,98324,82024,97924,39324,37522,922 Vietnam

36,89036,70935,78333,32531,53830,972 Others

444,923445,017434,025441,757427,496414,209 Subtotal

7,4437,3976,9176,4006,1496,088 United States

452,366452,414440,942448,157433,645420,297 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

32,70032,70031,60031,00030,74729,764 Bangladesh

8,5508,5508,5508,5308,2547,925 Brazil

10,10010,1009,9009,64810,24910,670 Burma

3,9703,9703,9603,7703,7883,646 Cambodia

136,500136,500134,320133,000127,450127,200 China

3,4003,6003,6704,0003,3403,276 Egypt

95,00095,00085,43091,09090,46686,700 India

38,55038,55038,00037,10036,35035,900 Indonesia

3,3503,3503,3503,3253,2973,294 Iran

8,1258,1258,2008,3268,1778,250 Japan

4,8004,8004,7604,7884,6704,887 Korea, South

5,5005,5005,2505,1504,5004,400 Nigeria

13,50013,50013,30013,10013,49912,000 Philippines

10,20010,20010,0009,5009,6009,780 Thailand

19,50019,50019,15019,00019,40018,775 Vietnam

53,36353,26552,03450,07348,52647,739 Others

448,767448,968434,004433,121424,103417,321 Subtotal

4,0014,0023,8613,9643,9193,959 United States

452,768452,970437,865437,085428,022421,280 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

43,07943,07940,84938,89938,01535,915 China

18,00018,00020,50019,00013,00011,430 India

6,9777,2576,5777,0575,6074,607 Indonesia

2,9182,9512,6932,7152,5562,406 Japan

2,3452,3453,3454,6734,4184,868 Philippines

6,9977,4476,5474,7872,7072,510 Thailand

1,6391,4201,4561,9612,0181,392 Vietnam

10,82710,73611,64911,64111,38210,636 Others

92,78293,23593,61690,73379,70373,764 Subtotal

1,5861,5251,1549609181,234 United States

94,36894,76094,77091,69380,62174,998 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

January 2011

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2010/11

Jan

2010/11

TY Imports none

1,643 North America 1,594 1,614 1,540 1,645 1,605

1,015 Caribbean 1,028 906 970 940 985

1,086 South America 1,105 1,113 1,400 1,250 1,320

137 Other Europe 98 126 120 120 120

368 Former Soviet Union - 12 361 412 422 340 340

4,778 Middle East 5,646 5,528 5,520 5,660 5,760

355 North Africa 275 155 320 455 320


2,318 East Asia 1,612 1,874 1,880 1,940 1,940

1,946 South Asia 2,197 517 1,140 690 690

5,749 Southeast Asia 4,640 4,528 5,860 4,895 5,145

2,205 Others 2,428 2,175 2,075 2,110 2,110

29,444 Total 28,543 26,856 29,172 28,300 28,590

Production none

6,266 North America 6,327 6,556 7,095 7,557 7,603

798 Caribbean 796 882 984 1,010 1,010

14,220 South America 15,461 16,214 15,084 15,974 15,921

1,676 European Union 1,757 1,620 1,995 2,020 2,020

1,000 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,005 915 1,095 1,200 1,220

2,282 Middle East 2,410 2,085 2,473 2,580 2,580

4,413 North Africa 4,406 4,423 4,335 3,628 3,140


142,661 East Asia 145,044 150,087 152,218 154,268 154,268

133,111 South Asia 136,570 142,432 132,731 138,069 138,275

103,778 Southeast Asia 109,723 111,270 110,170 112,471 112,634

695 Others 566 685 803 1,205 1,263

420,297 Total 433,645 448,157 440,942 452,414 452,366


5,088 North America 5,007 5,054 4,999 5,162 5,161

1,118 Central America 1,104 1,125 1,129 1,156 1,146

1,879 Caribbean 1,944 1,831 1,914 1,958 2,003

13,488 South America 14,103 14,666 14,854 14,903 14,781

2,911 European Union 3,185 2,925 3,000 3,050 3,050


7,308 Middle East 7,548 7,832 7,998 8,025 7,975

3,546 North Africa 3,636 4,133 4,035 3,945 3,745


144,289 East Asia 143,315 149,571 150,722 152,840 152,840

124,366 South Asia 129,767 131,416 126,108 136,840 137,055

94,993 Southeast Asia 97,134 96,650 99,007 100,715 100,715

714 Others 664 521 594 615 615

418,165 Total 426,232 435,364 435,335 451,212 451,109

Ending Stocks none

1,377 North America 1,111 1,126 1,325 1,681 1,742

272 Central America 265 200 229 203 239

178 Caribbean 134 109 129 146 146

2,165 South America 2,081 2,441 1,873 1,666 1,651

1,138 European Union 1,126 1,020 1,029 1,169 1,169

1,719 Middle East 2,044 1,771 1,717 1,812 1,807

370 North Africa 685 557 499 130 179

1,021 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,341 975 965 989 989

39,317 East Asia 41,537 42,832 45,330 47,635 47,602

12,636 South Asia 14,306 21,393 22,483 19,677 19,683

14,426 Southeast Asia 15,780 19,119 19,003 19,427 18,916

230 Oceania 52 26 44 86 86

149 Others 159 124 144 139 159

74,998 Total 80,621 91,693 94,770 94,760 94,368



January 2011


13

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global corn trade is forecast down over 1 million tons with lower imports by Brazil, South Korea, and Turkey more than offsetting increases for Indonesia. Argentine and Turkish exports are lowered on smaller crops. World barley trade is up 700,000 tons on larger exports from the EU, Argentina, and Australia, combined with greater imports by Syria. PRICES: Domestic: Through December, U.S. corn export prices are up $20/ton to $267/ton, due to strong domestic use for feed and fuel and concerns over increasing dryness in Argentina. TRADE CHANGES IN 2010/11 Selected Exporters

• Argentine corn is lowered 1.0 million tons to 14.0 million on a cut in production.

• Canadian corn is up 200,000 tons

to 700,000 based on tightening world supplies.

• Turkish corn is reduced 250,000 tons to 50,000 based on lower production and continuing uncertainty caused by biotechnology restrictions. Imports are slashed 400,000 tons to 300,000.

• Argentine barley is up 200,000 tons to 1.1 million on higher production.

• Australian barley is raised 200,000 tons to 4.5 million and EU barley is raised 300,000 tons to 4.9 million on expectations of stronger import demand by Syria.

• U.S. sorghum is cut 200,000 tons to 3.8 million due to stronger domestic use.

Selected Importers

• Brazilian corn is lowered 200,000 tons to 800,000 based on slower-than-expected imports ahead of new-crop supplies.

• Indonesian corn is raised 300,000 tons to 1.1 million based on a smaller crop.

TMT TMT

150

175

200

225

250

275

$/M

T

Corn Weekly Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Argentina Up River Brazil Paranagua

TMT TMT

January 2011


14

• Philippine corn is cut 200,000 to 100,000 based on ample domestic supplies and the

tightening global corn situation.

• South Korean corn is down 500,000 tons to 8.5 million on slower-than-expected sales and shipments to date and expected substitution by feed-quality wheat. Despite uncertainties caused by animal disease outbreaks, total feed consumption is essentially unchanged.

• Syrian barley is up 500,000 tons to 800,000 on expectations that current dry conditions

are likely to cause greater import demand.

• Mexican sorghum is cut 200,000 tons to 2.4 million based on tight U.S. supplies. TRADE CHANGES IN 2009/10 Selected Exporters

Large Late-Season Adjustments Reflect Reported Shipments:

• Argentine corn raised 200,000 tons to 17.0 million

• Indian corn up 200,000 tons to 1.7 million

January 2011

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

TY Exports

16,40517,20519,03210,24117,78617,191 Argentina

5,4605,2604,4384,8733,8951,995 Australia

8,0058,0308,6277,1878,0328,188 Brazil

3,1252,9253,0683,8526,3793,787 Canada

6,3056,0054,2654,3384,6795,463 EU-27

2,6502,6501,9252,6425,539721 India

1,3051,3051,3931,8641,4731,981 Paraguay

1,7151,7151,3581,478132863 Serbia

2,5402,5401,6262,1591,145462 South Africa

9,6059,60510,92211,3805,9093,942 Ukraine

5,0805,3708,2939,0865,59210,968 Others

62,19562,61064,94759,10060,56155,561 Subtotal

54,05054,25054,16451,55868,28959,157 United States

116,245116,860119,111110,658128,850114,718 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,4002,4002,6062,0672,4332,588 Algeria

1,3051,4051,0651,4971,2581,472 Brazil

1,6651,6652,0111,9003,1872,285 Canada

1,3501,3501,3441,2571,9691,766 Chile

3,1753,0753,7771,6511,1571,156 China

4,0604,0604,0983,4833,6033,714 Colombia

1,0501,0501,0009731,0741,212 Dominican Republic

5,4305,4305,8875,0934,1824,845 Egypt

5,0655,0653,0302,98819,8928,854 EU-27

1,1008001,3003172941,069 Indonesia

3,6003,6005,0005,0003,9003,600 Iran

1,7851,7351,5921,2951,7761,684 Israel

19,17519,17519,19819,61119,21019,668 Japan

8,5609,0358,5097,2489,3588,797 Korea, South

2,8002,8002,8002,4473,1812,363 Malaysia

10,65010,85010,91410,46511,01111,040 Mexico

2,0302,0302,1051,8382,1852,150 Morocco

1,7451,7451,5931,3981,5921,646 Peru

1,9001,9006390524353 Russia

8,8058,8059,4559,2869,9687,578 Saudi Arabia

2,8002,3002,2502,8342,5612,079 Syria

4,8504,8504,7504,6584,6844,403 Taiwan

1,1501,1501,0368751,1831,519 Tunisia

1,4001,4002,2001,3401,103534 Venezuela

1,3001,3001,6001,250700650 Vietnam

12,55613,05114,12514,73014,80513,825 Others

111,706112,026113,308105,591126,790110,850 Subtotal

2,3142,7593,5242,260-1,5501,262 Unaccounted

2,2252,0752,2792,8073,6102,606 United States

116,245116,860119,111110,658128,850114,718 World Total


January 2011

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

Production

30,00931,07928,03119,63427,11827,094 Argentina

13,90713,90711,09612,27212,8956,583 Australia

53,34153,72958,41253,48660,52053,216 Brazil

22,06522,06522,47727,18427,84123,145 Canada

174,020174,020164,060172,410158,863159,119 China

8,0608,0607,8827,7057,2347,209 Egypt

8,9258,9258,0469,0348,3027,928 Ethiopia

139,143139,043154,151161,521136,123137,421 EU-27

41,60041,60034,16039,55040,63033,810 India

32,52932,52927,27232,25230,57729,181 Mexico

28,10028,10027,95926,67024,00026,000 Nigeria

16,38017,00031,81540,70029,32530,200 Russia

12,99312,99313,88113,08413,6907,760 South Africa

10,09510,49511,09510,4159,48010,896 Turkey

21,81521,81524,12026,22014,58519,175 Ukraine

140,255140,825134,228131,762127,876128,586 Others

753,237756,185758,685783,899729,059707,323 Subtotal

330,230332,390348,755325,867349,861279,998 United States

1,083,4671,088,5751,107,4401,109,7661,078,920987,321 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

11,10911,03410,2248,7689,5679,694 Argentina

51,14851,30449,73948,19144,60543,312 Brazil

22,64222,64222,24022,86824,02324,502 Canada

170,300170,300167,350160,100156,783153,496 China

13,68013,68013,60012,16211,47711,800 Egypt

151,155151,155149,680151,455154,155147,977 EU-27

38,75038,75032,25036,50035,50032,520 India

19,37519,37519,39519,96519,46019,823 Japan

41,59541,69540,88542,06040,23539,920 Mexico

28,15028,15027,75026,55024,00025,750 Nigeria

19,53020,10030,69032,90028,77528,450 Russia

9,6259,6259,5259,3509,4558,660 Saudi Arabia

11,27311,27310,93310,46810,1439,153 South Africa

10,60510,90510,80010,60510,60011,610 Turkey

12,96512,76512,81513,69511,93513,150 Ukraine

203,684204,224195,581195,067190,410185,120 Others

818,408820,892808,169803,441781,399769,549 Subtotal

304,437304,039295,160275,978274,533242,798 United States

1,122,8451,124,9311,103,3291,079,4191,055,9321,012,347 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,8243,1242,7443,2912,6741,213 Australia

9,7659,88913,07212,45012,7033,760 Brazil

3,6133,8135,6506,3504,0103,501 Canada

61,05160,94454,42654,14440,40438,020 China

12,33512,16625,28720,76412,82715,193 EU-27

3,2253,3211,9415,2394,7403,526 Mexico

4,6544,6455,3444,3273,2661,776 South Africa

38,79239,26741,57640,43738,03237,564 Others

136,259137,169150,040147,002118,656104,553 Subtotal

22,53624,70748,13347,06045,05936,174 United States

158,795161,876198,173194,062163,715140,727 World Total

January 2011

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2010/11

Jan

2010/11

TY Imports none

15,931 North America 17,808 15,172 15,204 14,590 14,540

2,906 Central America 2,681 2,491 2,750 2,775 2,775

2,227 Caribbean 2,239 2,011 2,100 2,200 2,200

10,181 South America 10,672 9,991 11,326 10,730 10,705

8,854 European Union 19,892 2,988 3,030 5,065 5,065

952 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,037 599 425 2,235 2,265

18,703 Middle East 21,876 21,347 21,388 19,525 19,675

11,671 North Africa 10,763 10,597 12,766 11,835 11,835


34,135 East Asia 34,662 33,349 36,364 36,315 35,940

4,394 Southeast Asia 4,746 5,405 6,373 5,935 6,035

1,000 Others 1,220 753 788 746 746

113,456 Total 130,400 108,398 115,587 114,101 113,931

Production none

332,324 North America 408,279 385,303 398,504 386,984 384,824

92,229 South America 99,917 84,977 98,002 96,973 95,465

137,421 European Union 136,123 161,521 154,151 139,043 139,143

11,568 Other Europe 9,370 12,357 11,800 12,310 12,190


19,586 Middle East 17,658 15,950 18,057 19,677 19,277

11,211 North Africa 9,894 10,219 15,423 12,932 12,932


161,420 East Asia 161,053 174,579 165,930 176,145 176,145

40,139 South Asia 47,035 45,688 40,568 47,883 47,883

24,271 Southeast Asia 26,882 27,715 25,808 28,445 28,045

7,230 Oceania 13,542 12,919 11,743 14,554 14,554

3,979 Others 4,455 4,291 4,152 4,302 4,302

987,321 Total 1,078,920 1,109,766 1,107,440 1,088,575 1,083,467


307,220 North America 338,791 340,906 358,285 368,376 368,674

71,054 South America 74,022 75,965 79,596 82,483 82,387

147,977 European Union 154,155 151,455 149,680 151,155 151,155

11,532 Other Europe 10,423 10,895 10,731 10,331 10,311


37,684 Middle East 38,289 37,952 37,852 39,048 38,788

22,013 North Africa 21,147 21,192 24,912 25,795 25,795


188,986 East Asia 191,632 194,849 201,776 205,769 205,269

38,847 South Asia 42,108 42,672 38,738 45,113 45,113

27,142 Southeast Asia 29,476 30,281 30,945 32,495 32,395

6,885 Oceania 7,666 7,897 7,527 8,807 8,807

9,051 Others 9,314 8,953 8,963 9,213 9,213

1,007,735 Total 1,055,656 1,076,682 1,098,617 1,121,016 1,120,023

Ending Stocks none

43,201 North America 53,809 58,649 55,724 31,841 29,374

9,544 South America 19,466 16,548 17,049 14,124 14,057

15,193 European Union 12,827 20,764 25,287 12,166 12,335

1,523 Other Europe 1,340 1,520 1,680 2,378 2,370


8,541 Middle East 7,689 7,536 8,460 7,902 7,659

3,187 North Africa 2,443 2,743 5,556 4,525 4,513


41,820 East Asia 44,975 57,883 58,196 64,622 64,742

1,569 South Asia 1,749 2,016 1,806 1,991 1,991

2,778 Southeast Asia 3,475 4,447 3,458 3,463 3,258

1,301 Oceania 2,737 3,342 2,797 3,179 2,879

985 Others 1,062 836 860 909 909

140,727 Total 163,715 194,062 198,173 161,876 158,795



January 2011

World Corn Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

TY Exports

14,00015,00016,9718,45815,67615,693 Argentina

8,0008,0008,6237,1787,8838,071 Brazil

700500184366944322 Canada

1,0001,0001,5191,743591664 EU-27

2,5002,5001,7002,5515,077582 India

1,3001,3001,3881,8621,4611,981 Paraguay

1,7001,7001,3431,467128854 Serbia

2,5002,5001,5862,1111,124431 South Africa

7007001,000786646442 Thailand

5,5005,5005,0725,4972,0741,027 Ukraine

3,0103,3003,7704,1762,0097,197 Others

40,91042,00043,15636,19537,61337,264 Subtotal

50,00050,00049,88747,75860,66354,214 United States

90,91092,00093,04383,95398,27691,478 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,4002,4002,6001,9032,1662,463 Algeria

8001,0006971,0929611,204 Brazil

1,6001,6001,9611,8443,1172,226 Canada

7507507507791,6281,508 Chile

1,0001,0001,296474116 China

3,6003,6003,6513,0683,2673,386 Colombia

800800750708811646 Cuba

1,0501,0501,0009731,0741,212 Dominican Republic

5,4005,4005,8325,0314,1514,826 Egypt

4,5004,5002,9312,75414,0167,172 EU-27

1,1008001,3003172941,069 Indonesia

3,2003,2004,2003,6002,9003,300 Iran

1,3501,3501,0538461,3741,311 Israel

16,10016,10015,97916,53316,61416,713 Japan

8,5009,0008,4617,1889,3118,731 Korea, South

2,8002,8002,8002,4473,1812,363 Malaysia

8,1008,1008,2987,7649,5568,944 Mexico

1,8001,8001,7001,5661,8581,683 Morocco

1,6001,6001,5001,3071,4691,528 Peru

1,0001,0005051341108 Russia

1,8001,8001,7501,4821,9611,577 Saudi Arabia

2,0002,0002,0001,7841,6611,729 Syria

4,7004,7004,6004,5324,5274,283 Taiwan

1,4001,4002,2001,3361,103534 Venezuela

1,3001,3001,6001,250700650 Vietnam

9,97010,49510,84611,93011,51311,108 Others

88,62089,54589,80582,13299,59590,290 Subtotal

1,7902,1053,0011,484-1,820869 Unaccounted

500350237337501319 United States

90,91092,00093,04383,95398,27691,478 World Total


The large, negative Unaccounted in 2007/08 arises largely from timing differences between declared exports and Japan's and Korea's

declared imports.

January 2011

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

Production

23,50025,00022,80015,50022,01722,500 Argentina

51,00051,00056,10051,00058,60051,000 Brazil

11,71411,7149,56110,59211,6498,990 Canada

168,000168,000158,000165,900152,300151,600 China

7,0007,0006,8226,6456,1746,149 Egypt

55,19355,19357,14762,32147,55553,829 EU-27

21,00021,00016,68019,73018,96015,100 India

8,0008,4006,9008,7008,5007,850 Indonesia

24,50024,50020,37424,22623,60022,350 Mexico

8,7008,7008,7597,9706,5007,800 Nigeria

6,8006,8006,2316,8537,2776,231 Philippines

6,8006,8006,4006,1304,0546,415 Serbia

12,50012,50013,42012,56713,1647,300 South Africa

12,00012,00010,50011,4007,4006,400 Ukraine

5,5005,5005,2804,4324,6004,251 Vietnam

77,63478,08474,61877,16170,08868,183 Others

499,841502,191479,592491,127462,438445,948 Subtotal

316,165318,522332,549307,142331,177267,503 United States

816,006820,713812,141798,269793,615713,451 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,3007,3006,9006,4007,0006,700 Argentina

48,30048,30047,00045,50042,50041,000 Brazil

12,80012,80011,63011,66313,76911,442 Canada

162,000162,000159,000152,000149,000145,000 China

12,60012,60012,50011,10010,40010,700 Egypt

58,50058,50060,00061,60064,00062,400 EU-27

18,30018,30015,00017,00014,20013,900 India

9,1009,2009,0008,9008,5008,100 Indonesia

16,10016,10016,00016,70016,60016,500 Japan

8,6009,1008,4127,8948,6388,833 Korea, South

31,10031,10030,20032,40032,00030,700 Mexico

8,8008,8008,6007,9006,5507,600 Nigeria

6,9006,9006,5007,3007,1506,550 Philippines

10,70010,70010,4009,9009,6008,600 South Africa

6,6006,6006,3005,4005,2004,900 Vietnam

124,698124,898119,717118,817115,503110,853 Others

544,512546,304531,391522,564510,746497,290 Subtotal

291,606291,606281,423259,272261,632230,674 United States

836,118837,910812,814781,836772,378727,964 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

9,4349,58412,73412,08412,5793,592 Brazil

1,5721,7721,7581,8571,4571,337 Canada

60,11460,11453,31453,16939,39436,602 China

4,9014,8234,7086,1494,4177,437 EU-27

2,5892,5811,3893,5594,1313,084 Mexico

1,7211,7211,021664684855 Serbia

4,4834,4835,1584,1133,0901,661 South Africa

23,27223,78023,65123,68724,34622,434 Others

108,086108,858103,733105,28290,09877,002 Subtotal

18,91521,13943,38042,50441,25533,114 United States

127,001129,997147,113147,786131,353110,116 World Total

January 2011

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2010/11

Jan

2010/11

TY Imports none

11,489 North America 13,174 9,945 10,496 10,050 10,200

2,906 Central America 2,678 2,491 2,750 2,775 2,775

9,141 South America 9,459 8,485 9,729 9,065 8,940

7,172 European Union 14,016 2,754 2,931 4,500 4,500

501 Former Soviet Union - 12 651 393 230 1,180 1,180

10,245 Middle East 10,116 9,462 10,880 10,425 10,025

10,136 North Africa 9,594 9,574 11,382 10,825 10,825


29,854 East Asia 30,746 28,481 30,466 30,980 30,480

4,385 Southeast Asia 4,715 5,391 6,363 5,930 6,030

2,227 Caribbean 2,239 2,011 2,100 2,200 2,200

632 Others 739 537 478 485 485

90,609 Total 100,096 82,469 90,042 89,895 89,120

Production none

298,843 North America 366,426 341,960 362,484 354,736 352,379

83,335 South America 90,887 76,109 88,464 85,950 84,400

53,829 European Union 47,555 62,321 57,147 55,193 55,193

9,350 Other Europe 7,239 9,965 9,685 10,235 10,135


5,663 Middle East 5,220 6,248 6,229 6,404 6,004

6,351 North Africa 6,376 6,847 7,024 7,202 7,202


153,453 East Asia 154,009 167,566 159,405 169,659 169,659

20,234 South Asia 24,090 24,780 21,800 26,070 26,070

2,890 Central America 3,285 3,222 3,041 3,188 3,188

24,055 Southeast Asia 26,659 27,485 25,573 28,205 27,805

1,050 Others 1,205 1,183 1,179 1,179 1,179

713,451 Total 793,615 798,269 812,141 820,713 816,006


272,816 North America 307,401 303,335 323,253 335,506 335,506

63,147 South America 66,412 67,504 70,255 72,355 72,355

62,400 European Union 64,000 61,600 60,000 58,500 58,500

8,995 Other Europe 7,766 8,351 8,295 8,060 8,060


14,640 Middle East 15,800 15,635 16,325 17,100 16,800

16,050 North Africa 15,750 16,125 18,050 18,325 18,325


176,719 East Asia 180,503 183,015 189,542 193,705 193,205

19,029 South Asia 19,531 22,050 20,170 23,420 23,420

26,922 Southeast Asia 29,249 30,043 30,725 32,275 32,175

5,850 Central America 5,900 5,800 5,800 5,950 5,950

3,190 Others 3,406 3,235 3,225 3,330 3,330

724,452 Total 772,242 779,746 808,582 834,804 834,004

Ending Stocks none

37,535 North America 46,843 47,920 46,527 25,492 23,076

8,457 South America 18,050 15,228 16,002 12,892 12,667

7,437 European Union 4,417 6,149 4,708 4,823 4,901

1,156 Other Europe 1,026 1,184 1,398 2,081 2,073


3,618 Middle East 3,168 3,085 3,608 2,998 2,777

1,591 North Africa 1,583 2,202 2,363 2,054 2,055


39,745 East Asia 43,373 56,283 56,461 63,195 63,195

1,025 South Asia 1,276 1,437 1,222 1,407 1,407

2,776 Southeast Asia 3,475 4,446 3,457 3,462 3,257

684 Central America 765 613 589 587 587

326 Others 323 260 299 333 333

110,116 Total 131,353 147,786 147,113 129,997 127,001



January 2011

World Barley Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

TY Exports

50500000 Algeria

1,100900549871937537 Argentina

4,5004,3003,8673,2783,3771,927 Australia

1,0001,0001,2031,6182,9471,337 Canada

202013178149 China

555433 Croatia

5557671 Egypt

4,9004,6002,3892,3743,8884,366 EU-27

10010015037371131 India

200200354314806606 Kazakhstan

25252526934 Moldova

2502502,0863,5981,2771,691 Russia

1515151149 Serbia

40040080130345 Turkey

4,0004,0005,7525,8713,8142,911 Ukraine

551111112166 Others

16,57515,87517,22518,04017,69314,113 Subtotal

200200151158901528 United States

16,77516,07517,37618,19818,59414,641 World Total

none

TY Imports

500400364403285267 Brazil

2,1002,0002,3411,5511,0911,127 China

250250237211256243 Colombia

15015066156519167 EU-27

4004008001,4001,000300 Iran

350300490367251224 Israel

1,3501,3501,4111,3461,3611,359 Japan

400400432514528804 Jordan

200200250252254217 Kuwait

35035058229616658 Libya

200200256263313462 Morocco

6006001339179229 Russia

7,0007,0007,7007,8008,0006,000 Saudi Arabia

8003002501,050900350 Syria

400400336229378866 Tunisia

1,2751,2201,3611,4632,0271,433 Others

16,32515,52016,88917,34017,50814,106 Subtotal

250355185286374181 Unaccounted

200200302572712354 United States

16,77516,07517,37618,19818,59414,641 World Total


January 2011

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

Production

1,5001,5002,400560950700 Algeria

2,3001,8701,3562,1101,6001,330 Argentina

9,8009,8007,9097,9977,1604,257 Australia

1,4001,4001,6502,2001,7001,350 Belarus

7,6057,6059,51711,78110,9849,573 Canada

2,4002,4002,5002,8232,7853,115 China

1,4001,4001,5691,4841,3551,352 Ethiopia

53,39853,29861,98065,50957,54556,220 EU-27

1,3001,3001,6901,2001,3301,220 India

3,1003,1002,6002,0003,0002,956 Iran

2,6002,6003,8001,2727632,535 Morocco

8,3008,30017,90023,10015,65018,100 Russia

1,6751,675850260785700 Syria

5,9005,9006,5005,7006,0007,500 Turkey

8,7008,70011,80012,6006,00011,350 Ukraine

9,5589,56910,7149,51410,74810,213 Others

120,936120,417144,735150,110128,355132,471 Subtotal

3,9253,9254,9495,2304,5753,923 United States

124,861124,342149,684155,340132,930136,394 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,4501,4501,3501,1001,100950 Algeria

5,0005,0004,5004,0003,1004,000 Australia

1,5501,5501,7002,2001,7501,600 Belarus

7,8007,8008,5049,0657,91610,190 Canada

4,6004,6004,5004,2003,9004,200 China

59,50059,50056,50057,00054,20055,700 EU-27

3,4003,4003,4003,9003,6003,400 Iran

1,5501,5501,6001,5501,6001,650 Japan

1,4251,4251,9001,6001,7001,350 Kazakhstan

3,2003,2002,8001,7001,8002,500 Morocco

9,8009,80016,80017,10015,05016,400 Russia

7,5257,5257,5257,4257,4306,810 Saudi Arabia

1,4501,4501,1501,8001,0001,150 Syria

5,8005,8005,9005,7006,1007,300 Turkey

5,4005,2005,7005,9005,0006,300 Ukraine

15,25815,03815,57214,36014,73814,694 Others

135,123134,723139,137139,298129,700138,623 Subtotal

4,4644,5734,6045,1274,3244,596 United States

139,587139,296143,741144,425134,024143,219 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,2581,2841,258184333462 Algeria

1,9992,2991,8992,4251,662988 Australia

1,4381,4382,5832,8431,5681,491 Canada

4,8114,71115,36310,9165,7055,824 EU-27

9709641,370114214903 Morocco

2,0532,0532,5782,2032,4282,458 Saudi Arabia

943943418468258323 Syria

6,7996,4538,9899,9456,4627,260 Others

20,27120,14534,45829,09818,63019,709 Subtotal

1,9761,8672,5151,9321,4851,500 United States

22,24722,01236,97331,03020,11521,209 World Total

January 2011

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2010/11

Jan

2010/11

TY Imports none

476 North America 933 737 373 300 300

723 South America 751 809 778 850 950

167 European Union 519 156 66 150 150

220 Other Europe 207 84 148 125 125


8,278 Middle East 11,572 11,781 10,449 9,000 9,550

1,521 North Africa 1,152 973 1,225 975 975

51 Sub-Saharan Africa 154 120 64 85 85

2,595 East Asia 2,550 3,000 3,865 3,450 3,575

0 South Asia 3 48 30 30 30

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

14,460 Total 18,220 17,912 17,191 15,720 16,525

Production none

14,365 North America 16,212 17,822 14,966 12,311 12,311

2,350 South America 2,697 3,156 2,443 2,985 3,424

56,220 European Union 57,545 65,509 61,980 53,298 53,398

1,548 Other Europe 1,412 1,613 1,440 1,400 1,380


12,479 Middle East 10,926 8,443 10,480 11,905 11,905

3,835 North Africa 2,493 2,347 7,314 4,645 4,645


3,549 East Asia 3,240 3,300 2,939 2,840 2,840

1,742 South Asia 1,935 1,607 2,297 1,832 1,832

4,657 Oceania 7,560 8,397 8,309 10,200 10,200

136,394 Total 132,930 155,340 149,684 124,342 124,861


15,661 North America 13,040 15,042 13,858 13,123 13,014

2,332 South America 2,612 2,703 3,028 2,865 3,010

55,700 European Union 54,200 57,000 56,500 59,500 59,500

1,738 Other Europe 1,640 1,705 1,615 1,490 1,470


21,439 Middle East 20,841 20,895 20,115 20,495 20,535

4,925 North Africa 4,352 3,987 5,675 6,305 6,305


6,211 East Asia 5,854 6,109 6,480 6,530 6,530

1,742 South Asia 1,605 1,437 2,087 1,812 1,812

4,400 Oceania 3,500 4,400 4,900 5,400 5,400

142,790 Total 134,308 143,727 144,005 138,861 139,172

Ending Stocks none

3,208 North America 3,281 5,112 5,231 3,523 3,628

559 South America 410 716 496 495 760

5,824 European Union 5,705 10,916 15,363 4,711 4,811

321 Other Europe 279 282 238 253 253


4,858 Middle East 4,404 4,386 4,792 4,829 4,807

1,556 North Africa 818 511 3,153 2,426 2,413


920 East Asia 775 949 1,260 1,005 1,125

57 South Asia 40 78 168 118 118

1,046 Oceania 1,698 2,461 1,935 2,335 2,035

21,209 Total 20,115 31,030 36,973 22,012 22,247



January 2011

World Sorghum Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

TY Exports

1,3001,3001,5079071,172959 Argentina

8008003501,36034025 Australia

50504132223144 China

50507554918 India

505050505050 Nigeria

404040482131 South Africa

25252592416 Thailand

25502536254171 Others

2,3402,3652,1132,4962,1751,404 Subtotal

3,8004,0004,0843,5986,6644,380 United States

6,1406,3656,1976,0948,8395,784 World Total

none

TY Imports

550550550404268189 Chile

2002002002026667 Colombia

100100150140300 Ethiopia

40040025665,2671,474 EU-27

7575397114478 Israel

1,6001,6001,6491,6291,0841,276 Japan

2,4002,6002,5282,4961,1561,954 Mexico

505050505050 Niger

300300400300300300 Sudan

757575728364 Taiwan

240240468257611217 Others

5,9906,1906,1345,6879,0595,669 Subtotal

15017563404-221113 Unaccounted

000312 United States

6,1406,3656,1976,0948,8395,784 World Total


January 2011

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

Production

3,8003,8003,6291,6602,9372,795 Argentina

1,9501,9501,6002,6903,7901,283 Australia

1,7092,0001,8542,0041,4411,605 Brazil

1,6001,6001,5221,8751,5071,516 Burkina

1,7001,7001,6501,8371,9202,183 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

2,6002,6002,0842,6192,6592,316 Ethiopia

617617615517525542 EU-27

7,5007,5006,9807,2507,9307,150 India

925925980930901770 Mali

7,1007,1006,2507,0676,2005,810 Mexico

9009007391,214930800 Niger

11,70011,70011,50011,00010,00010,500 Nigeria

4,2004,2002,6304,1924,5005,200 Sudan

850850710700900850 Tanzania

6,6326,6326,1716,3566,2106,398 Others

54,68354,97449,81452,81153,25050,618 Subtotal

8,7738,5769,72811,99812,6367,032 United States

63,45663,55059,54264,80965,88657,650 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,4002,4002,0001,1001,2001,700 Argentina

1,2051,2051,0051,8052,2051,205 Australia

1,7751,9001,8751,8751,3751,475 Brazil

1,6001,6001,5221,8751,5071,516 Burkina

1,7501,7501,9002,0002,0002,050 China

900900900950900900 Egypt

2,6002,6002,4002,7002,6002,300 Ethiopia

1,0051,0056309056,3051,280 EU-27

7,5007,5006,9007,2007,9007,100 India

1,6001,6001,6501,6001,1001,350 Japan

925925980930901770 Mali

9,5009,6009,7008,6007,2008,100 Mexico

9509508501,2001,000825 Niger

11,65011,65011,45010,9509,95010,450 Nigeria

4,5004,5003,4004,5005,0005,000 Sudan

8,4668,4668,0938,0758,1757,878 Others

58,43658,74055,86656,13759,36954,523 Subtotal

5,0804,5735,8498,3195,0814,012 United States

63,51663,31361,71564,45664,45058,535 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

323323223194746231 Argentina

61661667167679116 Australia

173173248456637928 China

1721727223817990 Ethiopia

4145144141,336373217 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

304304309684697997 Sudan

9591,0669671,1511,0091,043 Others

3,1613,3683,1044,9354,6323,722 Subtotal

9319871,0481,3901,340814 United States

4,0924,3554,1526,3255,9724,536 World Total

January 2011

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2010/11

Jan

2010/11

TY Imports none

1,956 North America 1,157 2,499 2,528 2,600 2,400

284 South America 432 665 789 785 785

1,474 European Union 5,267 66 25 400 400

0 Other Europe 142 0 25 25 25

79 Middle East 156 81 44 80 80

0 North Africa 11 45 154 30 30


1,349 East Asia 1,196 1,719 1,812 1,705 1,705

9 Southeast Asia 31 14 10 5 5

3 Others 5 4 0 0 0

5,671 Total 9,060 5,690 6,134 6,190 5,990

Production none

12,842 North America 18,836 19,065 15,978 15,676 15,873

323 Central America 396 298 326 329 329

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,222 South America 5,102 4,719 6,153 6,732 6,441

542 European Union 525 517 615 617 617

758 Middle East 836 612 665 685 685

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


2,191 East Asia 1,940 1,857 1,670 1,720 1,720

7,305 South Asia 8,081 7,395 7,125 7,645 7,645


1,283 Oceania 3,790 2,690 1,600 1,950 1,950

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

57,650 Total 65,886 64,809 59,542 63,550 63,456


12,112 North America 12,281 16,919 15,549 14,173 14,580

323 Central America 375 315 325 325 325

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,259 South America 3,793 4,766 5,362 5,967 5,842

1,280 European Union 6,305 905 630 1,005 1,005

834 Middle East 945 724 714 750 750

915 North Africa 924 965 1,012 990 990


3,475 East Asia 3,222 3,699 3,650 3,450 3,450

7,258 South Asia 8,053 7,349 7,045 7,645 7,645


1,205 Oceania 2,205 1,805 1,005 1,205 1,205

0 Others 142 0 25 25 25

57,911 Total 64,399 64,584 61,104 63,124 63,406

Ending Stocks none

1,031 North America 1,713 2,726 1,462 1,501 1,345

17 Central America 39 21 22 26 26

415 South America 880 491 456 632 525

14 European Union 71 34 18 25 25

32 Middle East 78 47 42 57 57

39 North Africa 41 29 39 44 44

1,681 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,443 1,541 886 1,023 1,023

1,042 East Asia 733 578 369 294 294

247 South Asia 183 181 186 136 136

16 Oceania 791 676 671 616 616

2 Others 0 1 1 1 1

4,536 Total 5,972 6,325 4,152 4,355 4,092



January 2011

World Oats Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

TY Exports

555512 Argentina

15015021116117441 Australia

554942 Brazil

1,3001,3001,5391,7922,3211,921 Canada

252537311741 Chile

300300216103133119 EU-27

554274 Russia

55563316 Others

1,7951,7952,0212,1092,6902,146 Subtotal


1,8401,8402,0592,1472,7432,179 World Total

none

TY Imports

555211 Argentina

555234 Bosnia and Herzegovina

151521141718 Canada

50505739139 China

10101021418 Colombia

101010141514 Ecuador

552425 EU-27

606056466862 Japan

100100468213161 Mexico

555555 Morocco

10103084759 Norway

252525331813 South Africa

505051525651 Switzerland

55561112 Turkey

5551100 Uruguay

00031218 Others

360360333323413350 Subtotal

8080115378635 Unaccounted

1,4001,4001,6111,7872,2441,794 United States

1,8401,8402,0592,1472,7432,179 World Total


January 2011

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

Production

140140140808080 Algeria

350350182291472400 Argentina

1,7501,7501,1801,1601,502748 Australia

700700800600600550 Belarus

370475253239238406 Brazil

2,2982,2982,9064,2734,6963,852 Canada

360360381344384380 Chile

420420410300350400 China

7,5987,5988,5058,9358,6347,768 EU-27

160160160160160140 Kazakhstan

148148148148124152 Mexico

245245245328276248 Norway

3,2003,5005,4005,8005,4004,900 Russia

210210210200200210 Turkey

500500730950550700 Ukraine

475475475457457483 Others

18,92419,32922,12524,26524,12321,417 Subtotal

1,1781,1781,3511,2941,3131,357 United States

20,10220,50723,47625,55925,43622,774 World Total

none

Total Consumption

140140140808688 Algeria

350350200300450400 Argentina

1,5501,5509751,0351,335710 Australia

700700800600575550 Belarus

360475250225240400 Brazil

1,6751,6751,7531,7661,9352,280 Canada

325325350325350350 Chile

450450450350375425 China

7,7007,7008,1008,5008,6507,647 EU-27

160160155160150135 Kazakhstan

245245235210235245 Mexico

255255285320340303 Norway

3,4003,7005,6005,5005,3004,900 Russia

215215215215210210 Turkey

500500725925550675 Ukraine

643643643613631651 Others

18,77319,18820,91321,14321,73019,887 Subtotal

2,9892,9893,0112,9683,1613,179 United States

21,76222,17723,92424,11124,89123,066 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

191191141147183197 Australia

757575757550 Belarus

5085081,1701,527950556 Canada

10310383667789 China

7537561,150972625795 EU-27

173171378581283186 Russia

727277775878 Ukraine

203203188210208198 Others

2,0782,0793,2623,6552,4592,149 Subtotal

6906901,1661,221969734 United States

2,7682,7694,4284,8763,4282,883 World Total

January 2011

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2010/11

Jan

2010/11

TY Imports none

1,873 North America 2,392 1,883 1,678 1,515 1,515

33 South America 30 32 30 30 30


114 Other Europe 108 62 86 65 65


12 Middle East 11 6 5 5 5

14 North Africa 6 5 5 5 5


71 East Asia 81 85 113 110 110

3 Oceania 2 0 0 0 0

2,144 Total 2,657 2,110 1,944 1,760 1,760

Production none

5,361 North America 6,133 5,715 4,405 3,624 3,624

1,234 South America 1,117 897 857 1,226 1,121

7,768 European Union 8,634 8,935 8,505 7,598 7,598

525 Other Europe 553 605 522 522 522


210 Middle East 200 200 210 210 210

110 North Africa 110 110 170 170 170


402 East Asia 352 302 412 422 422

823 Oceania 1,577 1,235 1,255 1,825 1,825

22,774 Total 25,436 25,559 23,476 20,507 20,102


5,704 North America 5,331 4,944 4,999 4,909 4,909

1,228 South America 1,091 896 866 1,216 1,101

7,647 European Union 8,650 8,500 8,100 7,700 7,700

635 Other Europe 680 647 622 587 587


210 Middle East 210 215 215 215 215

123 North Africa 121 115 175 175 175


490 East Asia 445 400 505 510 510

785 Oceania 1,410 1,110 1,050 1,625 1,625

23,148 Total 24,573 24,092 23,887 22,072 21,657

Ending Stocks none

1,298 North America 1,927 2,755 2,341 1,206 1,206

113 South America 126 113 95 105 105

795 European Union 625 972 1,150 756 753

45 Other Europe 34 53 43 43 43


3 Middle East 6 2 2 2 2

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


93 East Asia 81 68 88 110 110

197 Oceania 183 147 141 191 191

2,883 Total 3,428 4,876 4,428 2,769 2,768



January 2011

World Rye Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

TY Exports

25025050507550 Belarus

12512514276167207 Canada

10010013611459313 EU-27

10010093600 Ukraine

0011148964 Others

575575432260390634 Subtotal


580580436266398636 World Total

none

TY Imports

111222 Croatia

1010688836 EU-27

10101011771 Israel

65651035783258 Japan

555768 Korea, South

101015111122 Norway

30030000016 Russia

555444 Switzerland

55061418 Turkey

002300 Others

411411147109215435 Subtotal

4444160493164 Unaccounted

125125129108152137 United States

580580436266398636 World Total


January 2011

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Dec

2010/11

Jan

none

Production

1,2001,2001,7001,5001,3001,200 Belarus

216216280316252383 Canada

7,7477,7479,3889,2627,6796,541 EU-27

505050505050 Kazakhstan

1,6502,0004,3004,5003,9003,000 Russia

270270270250265271 Turkey

5005009501,050550600 Ukraine

171172182205218172 Others

11,80412,15517,12017,13314,21412,217 Subtotal

189189178203160183 United States

11,99312,34417,29817,33614,37412,400 World Total

none

Total Consumption

454555557755 Argentina

1,1001,1001,6001,4001,2001,200 Belarus

135135140152143243 Canada

8,7508,7508,9508,7507,3007,400 EU-27

6565906590258 Japan

505050524750 Kazakhstan

373742596142 Norway

2,1002,4004,3254,4003,7502,950 Russia

275275270275275285 Turkey

750750750800550800 Ukraine

120121121127122173 Others

13,50513,80816,48916,19313,67013,585 Subtotal

298298273292335337 United States

13,80314,10616,76216,48514,00513,922 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

168168318268218193 Belarus

959513912335117 Canada

6706761,7631,4241,017616 EU-27

18181851320 Japan

110162260297213182 Russia

161616163330 Turkey

80784533096565 Ukraine

111111 Others

1,1581,2142,9682,4431,5951,224 Subtotal


1,1821,2382,9922,4561,6051,236 World Total

January 2011

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2010/11

Jan

2010/11

TY Imports none

137 North America 152 108 129 125 125

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0


28 Other Europe 17 18 21 16 16


89 Middle East 21 17 10 15 15


266 East Asia 89 64 108 70 70

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

572 Total 367 217 276 536 536

Production none

566 North America 412 519 458 405 405

59 South America 84 63 61 51 50

6,541 European Union 7,679 9,262 9,388 7,747 7,747

90 Other Europe 111 119 98 98 98


271 Middle East 265 250 270 270 270


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

12,400 Total 14,374 17,336 17,298 12,344 11,993


580 North America 478 444 413 433 433

59 South America 84 63 61 51 50

7,400 European Union 7,300 8,750 8,950 8,750 8,750

109 Other Europe 140 137 119 114 114


356 Middle East 282 286 280 285 285


266 East Asia 96 72 95 70 70

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

13,793 Total 13,950 16,427 16,666 14,026 13,725

Ending Stocks none

129 North America 45 136 163 119 119

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

616 European Union 1,017 1,424 1,763 676 670

1 Other Europe 1 1 1 1 1

440 Former Soviet Union - 12 496 874 1,031 408 358

30 Middle East 33 16 16 16 16


20 East Asia 13 5 18 18 18

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,236 Total 1,605 2,456 2,992 1,238 1,182



January 2011


33

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 34 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 35 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 36 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 37 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 41 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 43 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 45 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 46

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 47 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 48 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 49 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 50 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 51

DG F/SA &F

January 2011

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

122.4 113.252.820.44.05.024.6 1999/00 16.3

131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.25.124.5 2006/07 14.2

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.4

151.1 127.060.525.37.75.726.7 2008/09 19.0

138.1 124.556.522.15.55.425.7 2009/10 15.9

136.5 122.053.022.04.55.325.9 2010/11 12.9

Coarse Grains

147.9 140.1105.813.42.94.433.6 1999/00 22.9

139.9 139.3105.19.34.14.233.0 2000/01 18.3

150.2 143.6107.86.73.94.533.6 2001/02 22.3

148.3 144.9109.37.64.44.532.7 2002/03 22.5

131.7 145.2109.64.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.0

166.6 152.6116.54.93.05.033.5 2004/05 25.1

146.3 147.5109.44.42.84.532.6 2005/06 22.3

137.4 148.0110.44.78.14.331.8 2006/07 15.2

136.1 154.2118.94.620.34.232.0 2007/08 12.8

161.5 151.5113.65.63.44.833.5 2008/09 20.8

154.2 149.7111.73.03.04.832.4 2009/10 25.3

139.1 151.2112.76.05.14.630.3 2010/11 12.3

Wheat and Coarse Grains

270.4 253.4158.633.86.84.658.2 1999/00 39.2

271.6 257.7161.524.97.64.659.5 2000/01 35.8

273.6 262.0164.319.412.74.659.5 2001/02 40.6

280.9 269.9169.325.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.0

242.3 260.3162.114.015.64.357.0 2003/04 24.5

313.5 275.8175.719.610.15.359.5 2004/05 52.6

278.6 275.1172.420.19.64.858.4 2005/06 45.7

262.3 273.5170.618.513.34.756.3 2006/07 29.4

256.3 270.7171.316.927.24.556.7 2007/08 25.3

312.6 278.5174.130.911.25.260.1 2008/09 39.7

292.2 274.2168.225.18.55.058.2 2009/10 41.2

275.7 273.2165.728.09.64.956.2 2010/11 25.2

January 2011

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.4

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.5

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.0

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.7

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.3

114.5 108.812.01.01.04.724.3 2010/11 60.0

Coarse Grains

137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.4 133.096.38.62.04.527.3 2001/02 85.6

130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.2103.33.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.7

159.1 153.5104.85.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

158.9 156.8105.60.91.25.031.8 2007/08 40.4

172.4 160.1107.60.21.75.332.2 2008/09 54.1

164.1 167.4112.60.23.84.933.5 2009/10 54.4

174.0 170.3113.40.33.25.233.7 2010/11 61.1


251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1

213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.3 241.7105.310.13.14.252.0 2001/02 162.2

220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8

210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.7106.85.23.34.751.6 2005/06 71.1

267.6 255.5108.88.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.5

268.2 262.8113.63.71.24.855.5 2007/08 79.4

284.9 265.6115.60.92.15.155.8 2008/09 99.8

279.2 274.4122.61.15.24.857.7 2009/10 108.7

288.5 279.1125.41.34.25.058.0 2010/11 121.1

January 2011

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.2 5.70.70.11.53.31.3 1999/00 1.3

4.6 5.50.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.4

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.60.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.5

3.9 5.40.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.3

5.4 5.91.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 2.0

4.2 5.80.90.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.8

4.3 5.20.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.8

4.4 5.50.80.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.9

4.7 5.50.90.51.74.21.1 2008/09 2.2

4.6 5.40.80.81.73.81.2 2009/10 2.2

3.9 5.40.70.81.83.61.1 2010/11 1.7

Coarse Grains

12.2 12.511.20.30.64.42.8 1999/00 0.9

8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1

12.8 12.210.80.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.7 12.010.71.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.5

11.6 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.4 10.49.10.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.3

12.4 10.99.61.90.64.62.7 2008/09 1.5

11.8 10.79.31.60.74.82.4 2009/10 1.7

12.2 10.38.81.90.74.72.6 2010/11 2.4


16.4 18.211.90.32.14.14.0 1999/00 2.3

12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3

15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.81.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

13.1 16.210.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.4

18.2 18.111.80.92.14.54.0 2004/05 3.7

16.9 17.811.51.62.14.43.8 2005/06 3.3

15.9 16.810.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 3.3

13.8 15.910.00.93.03.63.8 2007/08 3.2

17.1 16.410.52.42.34.53.8 2008/09 3.7

16.4 16.210.12.52.44.53.7 2009/10 3.9

16.0 15.79.52.72.44.43.6 2010/11 4.0

January 2011

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

85.6 72.421.116.05.01.846.5 2004/05 14.9

91.1 75.123.521.15.61.849.4 2005/06 15.4

84.9 72.621.622.65.91.945.9 2006/07 11.1

92.4 74.923.521.96.11.947.5 2007/08 12.9

115.5 76.324.737.76.52.251.7 2008/09 20.8

113.8 80.327.736.75.42.154.9 2009/10 23.1

81.3 84.132.015.77.31.652.2 2010/11 12.0

Coarse Grains

63.3 55.138.58.11.12.031.2 2004/05 7.5

55.6 50.634.68.61.12.028.4 2005/06 5.0

58.7 51.035.48.51.02.029.8 2006/07 5.2

54.1 50.535.05.31.01.929.2 2007/08 4.5

78.6 58.041.517.10.62.630.7 2008/09 8.6

67.9 55.039.315.00.42.329.3 2009/10 7.0

48.0 42.729.310.32.31.826.7 2010/11 4.3

January 2011

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

16.5 7.52.78.20.01.312.9 2007/08 2.5

12.6 7.52.75.70.10.913.5 2008/09 1.9

17.0 7.62.77.90.11.214.7 2009/10 3.5

9.7 6.62.15.00.10.714.5 2010/11 1.7

Russia

49.4 37.715.012.20.42.024.4 2007/08 4.0

63.7 38.916.218.40.22.426.7 2008/09 10.6

61.7 42.019.018.60.22.128.7 2009/10 11.9

41.5 47.524.54.02.01.626.7 2010/11 3.9

Ukraine

13.9 12.33.01.20.32.36.0 2007/08 2.1

25.9 11.92.913.00.13.77.1 2008/09 3.1

20.9 12.33.39.30.03.16.8 2009/10 2.4

17.2 11.62.86.00.12.76.5 2010/11 2.1

Uzbekistan

6.2 6.81.20.21.14.81.3 2007/08 1.4

6.0 7.11.30.21.44.41.4 2008/09 1.5

6.2 7.41.30.41.74.41.4 2009/10 1.6

6.5 7.51.30.51.34.61.4 2010/11 1.5

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

6.5 10.61.60.14.22.23.0 2007/08 3.0

7.3 10.91.60.44.72.33.1 2008/09 3.7

8.0 11.11.50.63.52.43.3 2009/10 3.6

6.4 10.91.40.23.92.13.1 2010/11 2.9

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

92.4 74.923.521.96.11.947.5 2007/08 12.9

115.5 76.324.737.76.52.251.7 2008/09 20.8

113.8 80.327.736.75.42.154.9 2009/10 23.1

81.3 84.132.015.77.31.652.2 2010/11 12.0

January 2011


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.5 1.71.40.80.01.41.8 2007/08 0.3

1.8 1.61.30.30.10.92.1 2008/09 0.3

2.6 1.91.60.40.01.32.0 2009/10 0.6

1.3 1.41.10.20.00.81.6 2010/11 0.3

Russia

15.7 15.110.51.00.21.69.6 2007/08 1.0

23.1 17.112.33.40.12.49.6 2008/09 3.6

17.9 16.812.32.70.02.09.1 2009/10 2.1

8.3 9.85.90.30.61.27.2 2010/11 0.9

Ukraine

6.0 5.03.41.00.01.54.1 2007/08 0.8

12.6 5.94.36.40.03.04.2 2008/09 1.1

11.8 5.74.26.20.02.45.0 2009/10 1.0

8.7 5.44.03.80.01.94.5 2010/11 0.5

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0


2.8 2.92.00.00.12.21.3 2007/08 0.4

3.6 3.62.80.00.12.81.3 2008/09 0.4

3.0 3.12.30.00.12.51.2 2009/10 0.4

2.6 2.82.00.00.22.21.2 2010/11 0.3


27.2 24.917.52.90.41.616.8 2007/08 2.5

41.3 28.520.910.10.22.417.2 2008/09 5.4

35.6 27.820.69.30.22.117.3 2009/10 4.1

21.2 19.713.24.30.81.514.6 2010/11 2.1

January 2011


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2007/08 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2008/09 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2009/10 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2010/11 0.0

Russia

4.0 4.33.70.00.33.01.3 2007/08 0.2

6.6 5.24.51.30.14.01.7 2008/09 0.3

4.0 3.73.20.40.13.61.1 2009/10 0.2

3.1 4.13.60.01.02.71.2 2010/11 0.1

Ukraine

7.4 5.85.02.10.03.91.9 2007/08 0.7

11.4 5.95.15.50.04.82.4 2008/09 0.7

10.5 5.54.85.10.05.02.1 2009/10 0.7

12.0 6.25.55.50.04.62.6 2010/11 1.0

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0


2.1 2.52.30.00.22.50.8 2007/08 0.3

3.2 3.33.00.10.33.90.8 2008/09 0.5

3.0 3.12.80.10.23.60.8 2009/10 0.4

3.1 3.22.90.10.23.90.8 2010/11 0.4


13.9 13.011.22.10.63.34.2 2007/08 1.1

21.7 14.812.96.90.44.35.0 2008/09 1.6

17.8 12.811.25.60.24.34.1 2009/10 1.3

18.6 13.912.35.61.24.04.7 2010/11 1.6

January 2011

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

12.7 5.30.16.80.02.06.2 2002/03 1.3

15.1 5.40.19.50.02.56.0 2003/04 1.6

16.9 5.40.111.90.02.66.4 2004/05 1.3

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

10.5 5.30.06.80.02.05.3 2008/09 0.8

11.0 5.20.05.20.03.03.7 2009/10 1.4

14.0 5.40.08.50.03.14.5 2010/11 1.4

Australia

10.1 6.13.49.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.2

26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.64.78.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.0

13.6 6.53.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 6.93.814.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.6

21.9 6.73.714.80.11.614.0 2009/10 4.1

25.0 8.55.413.50.11.913.4 2010/11 7.2

Canada

16.2 8.03.79.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7

23.0 7.23.115.80.22.310.2 2003/04 6.0

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.318.80.42.910.0 2008/09 6.5

26.8 7.02.319.00.42.89.6 2009/10 7.8

23.2 8.84.017.00.42.88.3 2010/11 5.6

Total Wheat Competitors

39.0 19.47.225.40.71.526.1 2002/03 10.2

64.3 18.56.443.30.32.229.2 2003/04 13.0

63.6 19.67.141.50.32.229.2 2004/05 15.9

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4

January 2011


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


52.4 21.99.338.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.4

52.2 18.95.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.4

60.5 20.27.140.30.52.128.8 2008/09 10.9

59.8 18.96.039.00.52.227.3 2009/10 13.3

62.2 22.79.439.00.52.426.1 2010/11 14.3

India

71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.50.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.40.20.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.90.10.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.20.10.10.32.927.9 2009/10 16.1

80.7 82.40.10.20.32.828.7 2010/11 14.5

Turkey

16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.4

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.43.22.47.8 2009/10 1.7

17.0 17.20.73.02.52.18.0 2010/11 1.0

January 2011


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.8

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.42.3 2003/04 0.4

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.1

15.8 6.24.49.50.16.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 7.05.114.80.16.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0

22.8 6.95.016.50.38.42.7 2009/10 0.6

23.5 7.35.316.00.17.33.2 2010/11 0.9

China

121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 149.0105.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 39.4

165.9 152.0107.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 53.2

158.0 159.0112.00.21.35.131.2 2009/10 53.3

168.0 162.0113.00.21.05.331.5 2010/11 60.1

South Africa

9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.44.72.00.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

12.5 10.75.02.50.04.23.0 2010/11 4.5

Brazil

44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

January 2011


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.09.00.64.312.9 2009/10 12.7

51.0 48.341.37.01.04.012.8 2010/11 9.4

Total Corn Competitors

191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.4

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 56.1

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 45.1

203.8 190.9142.418.32.24.743.7 2005/06 41.9

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.7

246.1 208.1150.425.30.94.850.9 2007/08 57.2

245.0 213.8154.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 70.4

250.3 223.3161.727.72.15.050.1 2009/10 71.8

255.0 228.3164.625.72.15.150.5 2010/11 75.0

January 2011


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

9.8 5.03.74.70.02.44.1 2010/11 2.0

Canada

7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5

12.2 9.78.41.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.17.71.50.03.43.5 2008/09 2.8

9.5 8.57.31.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.6

7.6 7.86.51.00.13.22.4 2010/11 1.4

EU-27

58.2 55.439.35.21.14.214.0 2002/03 8.7

55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.1 2003/04 4.5

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.041.53.60.34.514.5 2008/09 10.9

62.0 56.541.51.10.14.414.0 2009/10 15.4

53.4 59.544.04.60.24.312.5 2010/11 4.8

January 2011


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.5

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.20.6 2004/05 0.4

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 2.01.81.60.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

3.8 2.42.21.30.04.80.8 2010/11 0.3

Australia

1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.6 1.01.00.60.03.10.5 2009/10 0.7

2.0 1.21.20.80.03.00.7 2010/11 0.6

January 2011

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

17,86734,2936,94627,10127,6353,3993,45668,016nr322,541 2008/09

26,55230,9324,07224,17523,9773,1803,22860,366nr320,191 2009/10

22,26332,0064,62736,00035,3802,9502,99460,103nr319,278 2010/11

Corn

42,504259,272131,62547,75846,965337344307,142nr1031,796 2008/09

43,380281,423130,57449,88750,462237212332,549nr1032,169 2009/10

18,915291,606132,08650,00049,532500508316,165nr1032,960 2010/11

Sorghum

1,3908,3195,9073,5983,6323311,998nr42,942 2008/09

1,0485,8493,5634,0844,221009,728nr42,234 2009/10

9315,0802,7943,8003,810008,773nr51,946 2010/11

Barley

1,9325,1271,4511582885726325,230nr31,529 2008/09

2,5154,6041,0401511233023614,949nr41,260 2009/10

1,9764,4649802002182002183,925nr4998 2010/11

Oats

1,2212,9681,88038491,7871,9751,294nr2567 2008/09

1,1663,0111,92838311,6111,6361,351nr2558 2009/10

6902,9891,88745441,4001,3791,178nr2511 2010/11

Rye

132925668108100203nr2109 2008/09

242733742129108178nr2102 2009/10

242986155125114189nr2107 2010/11

Rice, Milled

9603,964nr2,9833,0046826106,4009,24281,204 2008/09

1,1543,861nr3,5003,4666106046,9179,97381,256 2009/10

1,5864,001nr3,5253,5826255727,44311,02781,463 2010/11

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

January 2011

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82

1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.1588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8655.1202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0618.2203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2642.9208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5667.3190.12.6549.0 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9650.1207.52.5546.3 1991/92

1,431.6 398.41,389.9662.3205.22.6548.8 1992/93

1,356.1 365.21,389.2654.0188.22.5539.2 1993/94

1,392.5 361.71,396.0666.9200.12.6537.6 1994/95

1,338.5 319.31,380.9637.4187.52.5533.4 1995/96

1,490.5 367.41,442.4670.4198.42.7552.9 1996/97

1,491.6 414.71,444.3680.8190.32.8539.5 1997/98

1,481.9 447.61,449.0681.0198.72.8534.0 1998/99

1,464.9 443.31,468.6686.0214.32.8514.7 1999/00

1,446.5 419.51,470.3693.8205.12.8514.0 2000/01

1,480.0 403.61,495.9708.5208.52.9516.2 2001/02

1,441.8 340.11,505.2706.0209.62.8506.3 2002/03

1,470.6 276.91,533.9712.1206.22.9516.0 2003/04

1,642.1 332.91,586.1751.2215.23.2517.9 2004/05

1,598.7 316.01,615.6750.6222.73.1520.5 2005/06

1,583.4 271.01,628.5740.7230.43.1518.1 2006/07

1,690.1 288.41,672.7752.3245.33.2535.8 2007/08

1,793.4 360.61,721.2763.4253.93.3538.3 2008/09

1,790.0 395.61,755.1763.9253.43.4533.8 2009/10

1,729.3 336.81,788.1772.6241.83.3530.3 2010/11

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

January 2011

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

495.3 135.3519.5104.0104.32.3217.9 1988/89

533.1 137.1531.3103.7103.92.4226.3 1989/90

588.8 171.6554.3130.1101.32.5231.7 1990/91

543.5 163.2551.8113.8111.42.4223.4 1991/92

562.6 177.0548.5110.9113.22.5222.8 1992/93

558.5 182.5553.0108.0101.72.5221.8 1993/94

523.0 163.4542.199.6101.52.4214.5 1994/95

537.5 155.9545.192.799.22.5219.1 1995/96

581.5 164.5572.897.4104.02.5230.3 1996/97

610.2 198.1576.7101.9104.52.7228.5 1997/98

590.4 209.2579.2105.3102.02.6225.4 1998/99

586.8 210.3585.8100.5111.92.7215.7 1999/00

583.1 207.7585.7105.2102.42.7218.0 2000/01

583.5 204.3586.8107.2108.02.7215.4 2001/02

568.5 168.5604.3111.6106.82.6214.8 2002/03

554.8 134.0589.397.3103.62.6209.9 2003/04

626.7 153.1607.6106.6113.92.9217.6 2004/05

619.2 150.2622.1112.6114.12.8219.7 2005/06

596.1 130.2616.1107.9115.62.8213.3 2006/07

611.2 124.7616.898.1116.42.8217.9 2007/08

683.7 166.6641.8117.9143.23.0225.4 2008/09

682.6 197.4651.8116.6134.33.0226.6 2009/10

645.8 178.0665.3123.7125.62.9222.2 2010/11

Coarse Grains

722.8 204.0782.5514.299.02.2324.6 1988/89

794.3 183.4814.9539.2105.02.5322.5 1989/90

828.8 197.1815.2537.388.92.6317.2 1990/91

812.2 196.3813.1536.296.22.5322.9 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7326.0 1992/93

797.6 182.7836.2546.186.52.5317.4 1993/94

869.4 198.3853.8567.498.62.7323.1 1994/95

800.9 163.4835.8544.788.32.5314.4 1995/96

909.0 202.9869.6573.094.42.8322.6 1996/97

881.4 216.7867.6578.985.82.8311.0 1997/98

891.4 238.3869.8575.796.72.9308.6 1998/99

878.1 233.1882.8585.5102.42.9299.0 1999/00

863.4 211.8884.6588.6102.72.9296.0 2000/01

896.5 199.2909.1601.3100.53.0300.8 2001/02

873.3 171.6900.9594.3102.83.0291.5 2002/03

915.8 142.8944.6614.8102.63.0306.0 2003/04

1,015.4 179.8978.5644.6101.33.4300.3 2004/05

979.5 165.8993.5638.0108.63.3300.8 2005/06

987.3 140.71,012.3632.8114.73.2304.8 2006/07

1,078.9 163.71,055.9654.2128.93.4317.9 2007/08

1,109.8 194.11,079.4645.4110.73.5313.0 2008/09

1,107.4 198.21,103.3647.2119.13.6307.2 2009/10

1,083.5 158.81,122.8648.9116.23.5308.1 2010/11

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

January 2011

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

400.4 145.3452.8306.866.03.2126.1 1988/89

461.7 132.9474.1324.874.53.6127.3 1989/90

482.0 141.4473.4318.558.83.7129.2 1990/91

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.6 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.2 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.2535.6371.571.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.0536.6365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

593.0 165.8560.1387.766.74.2141.7 1996/97

574.5 166.5573.8400.463.14.2136.3 1997/98

606.0 191.0581.5404.368.74.4139.2 1998/99

608.1 193.9605.3422.472.34.4139.1 1999/00

591.5 175.1610.3427.475.94.3137.2 2000/01

601.4 151.3625.1436.372.84.4137.7 2001/02

603.1 127.0627.4432.877.04.4137.3 2002/03

627.3 105.2649.1445.379.14.4141.9 2003/04

715.5 131.7689.0475.076.04.9145.3 2004/05

699.4 124.6706.5477.682.74.8145.5 2005/06

713.5 110.1728.0477.591.54.8149.6 2006/07

793.6 131.4772.4496.898.34.9160.5 2007/08

798.3 147.8781.8478.984.05.0158.2 2008/09

812.1 147.1812.8482.393.05.2156.7 2009/10

816.0 127.0836.1492.390.95.1160.6 2010/11

Barley

164.4 31.7166.3121.919.02.276.3 1988/89

166.2 27.5170.4126.018.52.373.7 1989/90

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.573.0 1990/91

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.276.6 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.373.1 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.8 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.8 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.168.6 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.365.6 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.012.82.464.5 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.260.8 1998/99

127.4 23.8132.594.017.82.354.5 1999/00

133.1 22.5134.494.616.22.553.9 2000/01

143.4 29.2136.895.517.22.556.3 2001/02

134.4 27.3136.295.016.32.455.7 2002/03

142.2 23.2146.3102.714.82.459.6 2003/04

152.3 33.0142.6100.217.02.657.9 2004/05

136.2 28.0141.197.317.52.456.0 2005/06

136.4 21.2143.298.114.62.456.8 2006/07

132.9 20.1134.091.418.62.357.3 2007/08

155.3 31.0144.4100.518.22.855.9 2008/09

149.7 37.0143.7100.517.42.755.5 2009/10

124.9 22.2139.695.516.82.550.9 2010/11

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

January 2011

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82

418.2 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.7 117.6365.420.8364.03.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.3 1995/96

565.4 120.3379.318.9381.53.8150.0 1996/97

575.0 127.7379.827.6387.33.8151.3 1997/98

586.9 134.0388.624.8394.93.8152.7 1998/99

608.9 143.1400.322.8409.33.9155.3 1999/00

594.4 146.6395.824.4399.43.9151.9 2000/01

595.5 132.8413.927.8400.13.9150.9 2001/02

564.2 103.0408.827.5379.03.9146.4 2002/03

586.0 81.0414.727.2392.73.9148.9 2003/04

597.5 73.2409.128.9401.33.9151.3 2004/05

623.9 76.0415.829.0418.64.1153.4 2005/06

627.0 75.0421.331.9420.34.1154.2 2006/07

647.2 80.6428.029.7433.64.2155.1 2007/08

670.5 91.7437.129.3448.24.2157.8 2008/09

660.7 94.8437.930.4440.94.2156.2 2009/10

677.1 94.4452.830.3452.44.3158.8 2010/11

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

January 2011


52

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

January 2011


53

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period following the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2008/09 starts in 2008); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2008/09 starts in 2009). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

January 2011

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx�


54

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 12-10 December 2010. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 1-11 January 2011. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

January 2011

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