FORCE STRUCTURE ANALYSIS Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Elissa M. Bryan.
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Transcript of FORCE STRUCTURE ANALYSIS Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Elissa M. Bryan.
FORCE STRUCTURE ANALYSISLockheed Martin Aeronautics
Elissa M. Bryan
AGENDA
Overview Analysis of Problem Description of Model Analysis and Interpretation Applications
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OVERVIEW
FORCE STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
“Which Aircraft, Which Target,
with What Weapons?”
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WHY IT MATTERS
$12k - $15k / Sortie (4th Generation Fighter)
Hostile Combat Zones
Decreased Risk of Aircraft Loss
Decreased Risk of Human Loss
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ANALYSIS OF PROBLEM
DATA SETS
Aircraft Type Tough, Good, Better, Best
Weapon Load-Out Rocket, Small, Medium, Large
Target Type Soft, Medium, Hard, Very Hard
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THE CHALLENGE
Comprehensive Model Can Multiple Objectives Be Integrated? Are the Results Realistic? How Does This Affect Run-Time?
Balanced Resource Allocation: Are Resources Being Ignored? Are Resources Used to the Best of Their Ability?
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DESCRIPTION OF MODEL
MODEL DESCRIPTION
Mixed Integer Program 514 Variables 114 Constraints Multiple Objective Functions
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CONSTRAINTS
Available Sorties Expected Kills Per Sortie (EKS) Available Weapons
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OPTIMIZATION
Minimizing Days in Combat Campaign Minimizing Deviation from Target Requirements
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ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
BINARY CUT
10 Days: Success 5 Days: Failure 8 Days: Success 7 Days Failure
Minimum: 8 Days
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SUCCESS RATE OVER TIME
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1040.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00%
Success Rate Over Time
Days in Campaign
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EFFICIENCY FRONTIER
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1040.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00%
Efficiency Frontier
Days in Campaign
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APPLICATION
Acquisition Combat Analysis / Planning Force Structure / Size
Do Different Decision Makers Value Different Variables?
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WRAPPING UP
SUMMARY
Force Structure Analysis Analysis of Problem Description of Model Analysis and Interpretation Applications
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QUESTIONS?Thank you for your time!