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Transcript of For personal use only - Home - Australian Securities ... · PDF fileASX | AMN Investor...
ASX | AMN
Investor PresentationOctober 2015
Specialty fertilizer for modern agricultureF
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Company Highlights
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Strategic focus on sulphate of potash (SOP) in Western Australia
SOP is premium potash fertilizer used for high-value crops
Supply shortage is supportive of new production
Current prices are ~US$700 per tonne (~A$960 per tonne)
Key focus is the Mackay SOP Project (100% Agrimin)
Extensive 2,457km2 ground holding offers world-class scale
Potential multi-generational asset located in a safe and stable country
Drilling confirms upside to the current SOP Mineral Resource of 22 million tonnes
Updated Mineral Resource due Q4 2015
Scoping Study due Q1 2016
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Corporate Snapshot
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Directors and management
Stephen Everett – Non-Executive Chairman
Chemical engineer with over 35 years of management and board experience in the international resources industry. Held senior executive and chairman positions of various private and ASX listed companies.
Mark Savich – Chief Executive Office
Chartered financial analyst with over 10 years of technical and financial experience in the resources industry. Significant experience in the due diligence, acquisition and financing of resource projects.
Alec Pismiris – Non-Executive Director & Company Secretary
Director of Capital Investment Partners which provides corporate advisory services. Over 25 years experience in the securities, finance and mining industries as a director and company secretary of various ASX listed companies.
Tom Lyons – General Manager
Geologist with broad experience in a range of commodities including industrial minerals, precious and base metals and bulks. Significant experience working throughout a number of jurisdictions, including remote regions of Western Australia.
Capital StructureShare price
Ordinary shares
Options + performance rights
Fully diluted market cap
Cash at bank
Debt
Share Price Performance
Substantial ShareholdersTim Lyons
Eye Investment Fund
Mark Savich
Walloon Securities
Terra Capital
Paragon Funds Management
$0.23
90.1m
16.7m
$24.6m
$1.4m
$0.0m
11.4%
7.5%
7.3%
6.6%
3.9%
3.7%
$0.00
$0.05
$0.10
$0.15
$0.20
$0.25
Oct 14 Jan 15 Apr 15 Jul 15 Oct 15
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SOP Uses
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Orange without SOP Orange with SOP
Source: IC PotashSource: Bunnings Warehouse
A specialty fertilizer for high-value crops
Sulphate of potash (SOP) is used on crops such as fruits, vegetables and tree nuts
It improves the nutritional value, taste, appearance and shelf life of crops
Its use is essential for chloride-sensitive crops and has advantages in saline and arid soils
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Potash Consumption
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SOP market turnover is circa US$4 billion per annum
In 2013, global potash consumption was 56Mt – including 51Mt of MOP (KCl) and 5Mt of SOP (K2SO4)
SOP contains almost no chloride, compared to MOP which contains 46% chloride
More than half of the world’s installed SOP capacity is the high-cost Mannheim Process
MOP
SOP
NOPSOPM
Total Potash Consumption(~56Mt per annum)
Primary SOP
Mannheim
Reacted Salts
SOP Installed Production Capacity(~7Mt per annum)
Source: Yara International
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SOP Production
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Industry Cash Cost Curve Top 10 SOP Producers
Brine-hosted SOP operations lie at the bottom of the industry operating cost curve
Installed Production Capacity
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SOP Prices
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Source: Euroz Securities, Reward Minerals
SOP prices have more than doubled since 2007
Prices for standard SOP products are currently trading between ~A$700/t – A$1,100/t 1
Key supply and demand fundamentals:
Price inelasticity: SOP demand is driven by high-value crops, where the cost of fertilizer has less of an impact on crop profitability
Excess Capacity: SOP supply is reliant on the high-cost Mannheim Process, most of which exists within China and is currently idle due to high production costs, inability to dispose of the hydrochloric acid by-product and high export tariffs
1 US$722/st FOB US Gulf, €455/t FOB NW Europe and ¥3,600/t landed in China (Source: Compass Minerals, Argus FMB Potash)
Global SOP and MOP Potash Prices
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Mackay SOP ProjectWestern Australia, 100% Owned
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Project Summary
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100% owned by Agrimin
Extensive 2,457km2 ground holding spanning Lake Mackay
Brine-hosted SOP deposit starts near surface and remains open at depth
SOP grades are highly homogenous across the project area
Constant rate pump tests identified areas of promising flow rates
Process simulation shows brine chemistry is suitable to produce SOP
Excellent evaporation rate of approx. 3,500mm per annum
Transport infrastructure in place and fit for bulk haulage
Mineral Resource estimation is underway
Scoping Study is underway
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Key Features of Lake Mackay
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75km
Shallow brine and high flows for extraction:
Suitable lakebed surface for evaporation ponds:
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2015 Field Program
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Extensive field program completed in September 2015, including:
27 aircore holes drilled to an average depth of 24.7m for resource definition
14 piezometers installed for water monitoring purposes
2 cased wells installed with 24 hour pump tests performed on each
39 auger holes drilled to an average depth of 1.5m
3 direct push holes drilled to collect samples for physical properties
1 large trench (MT1) excavated with a 19 day pump test performed
1 small trench (MP1) dug with a 24 hour pump test performed
100kg of geotechnical samples collected for trench and pond designs
5,000L bulk brine sample collected for flowsheet development
Weather station installed for data collection
Two hydrogeologists were on-site during entire program to supervise and monitor all pump testing activities
Drill Collar and Trench Locations
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Drilling and Auger Program
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Brine saturated sediments start from an average of 40cm below surface and remain open below the 30m depth of drilling in the east
Near surface sand-dominated zone gradually varying in thickness from 30cm to 2m, west to east, respectively
Significant brine flows occur from the sandy zones
Variable thicknesses of red-brown sandy clays and clays interspersed with layers of gypsum
Significant brine flows occur from the gypsum layers
Basal consolidated sandstone/siltstone unit encountered at the bottom of some holes
Promising brine flows occur at the lake sediment contact in some holes
MA18 0-7m Core Sample MA11 0-30m Drill Sample
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Trenching Program
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Trench at MT1:
MT1 was approximately 110m long and 2.5m deep
Located near the western edge of the lake
Constant rate pump test was performed for 19 consecutive days
Trench at MP1:
MP1 was approximately 23m long and 0.5m deep
Located in the eastern area of the lake
Constant rate pump test was performed over 24 hours
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Scoping Study Underway
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Key activities in progress:
Resource estimation – brine reanalyses are being incorporated into a resource model and physical properties testwork is being undertaken on core samples
Hydrogeological evaluation – pump test data from cased wells and trenches is being incorporated into a hydrogeological model
Geotechnical testwork – push tube samples are undergoing laboratory tests
Evaporation trials – bulk brine sample is undergoing detailed mass balance modelling and process simulation
Key activities to follow:
Process testwork and flowsheet development
Brine extraction system design
Solar evaporation pond design
Plant design
Services (power and raw water) studies
Source: Compass Minerals
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2014 2015 2016
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Acquisition of Project
Data Verification
Mineral Resource
Land Access Agreement
Transport Study
Planning & Permitting
Drilling & Trenching
Pump Testing & Bulk Sample
Mineral Resource Update
Scoping Study
Planning & Permitting
Pre-Feasibility Study
Drilling & Trenching
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Indicative TimelineF
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High Quality Infrastructure In Place
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Transport Study was completed in March 2015
Road – Project is connected to Alice Springs via well-maintained sealed and unsealed roads which are used to transport fuel and supplies to communities
Rail – Alice Springs is connected to shipping terminals at Darwin via the Adelaide-to-Darwin railway. Bulk trains currently run between various mines and the Port of Darwin
Port – East Arm Wharf at the Port of Darwin caters for bulk carriers and comprises a bulk loading berth. Approximately 3.4 million tonnes was shipped in 2014-15, mostly bulk mineral exports
Map of Export Routes
Gary Junction Road at WA-NT Border Adelaide-to-Darwin Railway Port of Darwin
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Social Licence to Operate
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Growing genuine community relationships
Agrimin has a strong working relationship with the local community and has a Land Access Agreement in place
The Mackay Project has an exciting potential to greatly improve community and employment opportunities for local people
Agrimin is committed to working with the Kiwirrkurra people to protect and preserve their country and culture alongside a sustainable SOP operation
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Benchmarking to Existing SOP Operations
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Key attributes of existing brine SOP operations:
Large and impermeable lakebed surface is necessary to support the use of un-lined evaporation ponds
Substantial shallow resource is necessary to support the use low cost trenches to recover brine
The Xinjiang Luobupo SOP operation was a key project under China’s 11th Five-year Plan. In 2006, the National Development and Reform Commission officially approved the operation. The total investment was CN¥4.8 billion, approximately US$400 million at that time. In 2008, the operation commenced production with annual capacity of 1.2Mt of SOP.
The Great Salt Lake SOP operation in Utah is owned by Compass Minerals (NYSE: CMP). This operation has been ongoing for over 40 years. In 2014, the operation produced 396kt of SOP generating a segment EBITDA of US$102 million for Compass Minerals. This is second largest primary SOP operation behind the Luobupo operation.
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Benchmarking to Existing SOP Operations
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Overview of key parameters for SOP production:
The initial concentration of potassium in the brine is important and will define the concentration factor and the recovery
The SO4:K ratio is important and will determine whether it is a SOP or MOP deposit. The higher the ratio the more suitable the brine is to produce SOP
Project Country Company StatusResource(tonnes)
Depth(m)
K(mg/L)
SO4
(mg/L)Mg
(mg/L)
Great Salt Lake USA Compass Minerals Operational Unknown Unknown 4,600 17,400 8,000
Lop Nur China SDIC Xinjiang Luobupo Operational Unknown Unknown 10,413 16,584 16,444
Mackay Australia Agrimin Development 22,160,000 3 3,063 22,011 3,326
Mackay – Average Aircore Drill Results In Progress 25 3,603 23,051 3,036
LD Australia Reward Minerals Development 24,400,000 4 5,460 25,950 5,920
Karinga Lakes Australia Rum Jungle Minerals Development 8,400,000 17 4,730 40,000 6,500
Lake Sevier USA Crystal Peak Minerals Development 38,430,000 30 2,957 22,738 3,715
Brine Composition of Large-Scale SOP Projects
Source: Company websites
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Example: Lake MacLeod Salt Mine, WA
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Source: Rio Tinto (these are not Agrimin’s operations)
Trenches and evaporation ponds are currently used in WA
Collection trenches have been dug into Lake MacLeod and brine is pumped out at an average rate of 55m3 per minute into an 8.5km transport channel
A total of 1,650 hectares of evaporation ponds have been constructed on Lake MacLeod
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Important Information
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Important InformationThis presentation has been prepared as a summary only, and does not contain all information about Agrimin Limited’s (“Agrimin” or “the Company”) assets and liabilities, financial position and performance,profits and losses, prospects, and the rights and liabilities attaching to Agrmin’s securities. The securities issued by Agrimin are considered speculative and there is no guarantee that they will make a return on thecapital invested, that dividends will be paid on the shares or that there will be an increase in the value of the shares in the future. Agrimin does not purport to give financial or investment advice. No account hasbeen taken of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any recipient of this report. Recipients of this report should carefully consider whether the securities issued by Agrimin are an appropriate investmentfor them in light of their personal circumstances, including their financial and taxation position.
Forward Looking StatementsSome of the statements contained in this report are forward looking statements. Forward looking statements include but are not limited to, statements concerning estimates of potash tonnages, expected costs,statements relating to the continued advancement of Agrimin’s projects and other statements which are not historical facts. When used in this report, and on other published information of Agrimin, the wordssuch as “aim”, “could”, “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “may”, “potential”, “should” and similar expressions are forward-looking statements. Although Agrimin believes that its expectations reflected in theforward-looking statements are reasonable, such statements involve risk and uncertainties and no assurance can be given that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. Variousfactors could cause actual results to differ from these forward looking statements include the potential that Agrimin’s projects may experience technical, geological, metallurgical and mechanical problems,changes in product prices and other risks not anticipated by Agrimin.
Competent Person’s StatementThe information in this statement that relates to Exploration Results for the Mackay Project is based on information compiled or reviewed by Mr Murray Brooker who is a full-time employee of HydrominexGeoscience Pty Ltd. Mr Brooker is a geologist and hydrogeologist and is an independent consultant to Agrimin. Mr Brooker is a Member of the Australian Institute of Geoscientists and has sufficient experience,which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration, and to the activity he is undertaking, to qualify as a Competent Person in terms of the ‘Australasian Code for Reporting ofExploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves’ (JORC Code 2012 Edition). Mr Brooker consents to the inclusion of such information in this statement in the form and context in which it appears.
The information in this statement that relates to the Mineral Resource Estimate of November 2014 for the Mackay Project is based on information compiled or reviewed by Mr Simon Coxhell who is a full-timeemployee of CoxsRocks Pty Ltd and an independent geological consultant to Agrimin. Mr Coxhell takes overall responsibility for the Statement. Mr Coxhell is a Member of the Australian Institute of Mining andMetallurgy and has sufficient experience, which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration, and to the activity he is undertaking, to qualify as a Competent Person in terms ofthe ‘Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves’ (JORC Code 2012 Edition). Mr Coxhell consents to the inclusion of such information in this statement in the formand context in which it appears. Refer to the ASX Release of 10 November 2014 titled “Mineral Resource Estimate for Mackay Project”.
Exploration TargetThe Exploration Target in this presentation is based on a number of assumptions and limitations and is conceptual in nature. It is not an indication of a Mineral Resource Estimate in accordance with the JORCCode and it is uncertain if future exploration will result in the determination of a Mineral Resource.
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Registered Office Further Information
Level 7, BGC Centre, 28 The Esplanade Mark Savich
Perth, Western Australia 6000 Chief Executive Officer
Australia M: +61 402 746 757
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Appendix 1: Mineral Resource Estimate
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Resource Category
Brine Volume(m3)
SOP Grade(kg/m3)
Contained SOP(Mt)
Inferred 3,299,260,425 6.72 22.16
Inferred Mineral Resource containing 22.2Mt of SOP
Calculated to a shallow average depth of only 2.7m
Incorporates 24 vibracore drill holes drilled in 2009
Based on lake margins and tenement boundaries
Does not include two tenements recently applied for and which cover 295km2
Mineral Resource Estimate is compliant with the JORC Code (2012 Edition) and prepared by an independent geological consultancy
Mineral Resource Estimate – November 2014
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Appendix 2: Global Exploration Target
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Target RangeBrine Volume
(m3)SOP Grade
(kg/m3)Contained SOP
(Mt)*
Lower 4,600,000,000 6.69 30.00
Upper 12,400,000,000 8.91 110.00
* Note: Lower and Upper Exploration Targets are inclusive of the Inferred Mineral Resource of 22.16Mt
Exploration Target containing between 30.0 and 110.0Mt of SOP
Target was based on a depth range of 8m to 16m and a potassium concentration range of 3,000mg/L to 4,000mg/L
Exploration Target – November 2014
Note: The above Exploration Target is based on a number of assumptions and limitations and is conceptual in nature. It is not an indication of a Mineral Resource Estimate in accordance with the JORC Code and it is uncertain if future exploration will result in the determination of a Mineral Resource. Agrimin’s current drilling program will test the depth and lateral extensions included within the Exploration Target.
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