Follow us on Twitter Overcoming Barriers to Scale to Reach ... · Sister company Vodacom Tanzania...
Transcript of Follow us on Twitter Overcoming Barriers to Scale to Reach ... · Sister company Vodacom Tanzania...
Like us on Facebookfacebook.com/microlinks
Participate during the seminar:
Follow us on Twittertwitter.com/microlinks
#MLEvents
Overcoming Barriers to Scale to
Reach the Poor
Kurt Dassel, Monitor Deloitte
Harvey Koh, Monitor Deloitte India
Kurt DasselMonitor Deloitte
Kurt Dassel is a Director in Monitor Deloitte’s
Emerging Markets practice area and the co-lead for
the Regional Economic Competitiveness (REC)
practice. In this role, he has led hundreds of
projects in over 30 countries. Dassel works closely
with Professor Michael Porter of Harvard through
the Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness
(ISC). He has led major quantitative research and
tools development efforts focused on economic
development, competitiveness, policy and
entrepreneurship. As a recognized expert in the
field of economic development, Dassel has taught
courses on economics and political economy of
emerging markets as a Professor at Wellesley
College and a Lecturer at Harvard University.
BIO: Kurt Dassel
Harvey KohMonitor Deloitte India
Harvey Koh is a Director with Monitor Deloitte India
in Mumbai, where he co-leads the Monitor Inclusive
Markets (MIM) unit dedicated to harnessing
business models to serve the poor. In India, he has
directed projects facilitating market development
around specific business models in the low-income
housing and safe drinking water sectors. Prior to
joining Monitor Deloitte India, Koh was the founding
head of programs at Private Equity Foundation, a
venture philanthropy fund established by leading
U.S. and European private equity firms to tackle the
problem of the youth bulge. Previously, Koh worked
with The One Foundation, a major foundation
operating in Ireland and Vietnam, and with the
London-based advisors New Philanthropy Capital.
BIO: Harvey Koh
FOR DISCUSSION ONLY
Overcoming Barriers to Scale to Reach the Poor
USAID Seminar
January 2014
5 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
IntroductionThe challenge: not just creating models but getting them to scale
What business models are truly effective in
serving the poor?
Many business models fundamentally unsound from the outset
Iterative refinement often needed as models are validated and prepared for scale
How do we scale these models to make a significant impact
on the need?
Typically multiple, tough barriers to scaling – both enterprise and market ecosystem -and these can evolve as models scale
Few scaling efforts address both enterprise and ecosystem barriers
6 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
IntroductionThe promise of inclusive business has yet to be delivered
Source: 1Kubzansky, M., Cooper, A. and Barbary V., (2011) Promise and Progress, Market Based Solutions to Poverty in Africa, Monitor Group, 2Saltuk, Y., Bouri, A. and Leung, G. (2011) Insight into the Impact Investment Market, J.P. Morgan and GIIN
140
439
59
0
100
200
300
400
500
Rank Challenges to industry growth
1 Lack of track record of successful investments
2 Shortage of quality investment opportunities
3 Inadequate impact measurement practice
4 Lack of innovative deal/fund structures to accommodate portfolio companies’ needs
…and impact investors are frustrated.
J.P. Morgan Survey of Impact Investors (2011) 2Number of Inclusive Businesses Studied by Monitor in Africa1
Few inclusive businesses are viable and scaling…
Typical net margins: 10–15%
Promising Commercially
Viable
At Scale
7 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
IntroductionPart 1: The Pioneer Gap
Impact Investor InterestThe Pioneer Gap in Funding & Support
Four Stages of Pioneer Firm Development
With impact investor interest predominantly in the growth/later stage, pioneering inclusive businesses face a critical ‘Pioneer Gap’ in funding and support
8 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Government
IntroductionPart 2: Beyond the Pioneer – Ecosystem Barriers to Scaling
Not exhaustive
Potential Barriers to Scale for a Market-Based Solution
Public GoodsValue ChainEnterprise
Source: Monitor Deloitte analysis
9 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
PHOTO: Mobile phone
10 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Mobile Money in TanzaniaIntroduction
Initial Situation Local Context
M-PESA in Kenya, launched by Safaricom, widely hailed as a beneficial and easy-to-use product that quickly scaled across Kenya
Sister company Vodacom Tanzania launched M-PESA in April 2008
– Same technology platform
– Same business model
– Same ‘Send Money Home’ marketing campaign
But M-PESA did not take off in the same way in Tanzania
– 0.28M registered users in Tanzania after 14 months compared to 2.7M for M-PESA in Kenya after the same period of time
Two different countries
– More scattered population
– Less knowledge of financial services
– Lower mobile phone penetration
– Lower density of bank branches
– Weaker remittance culture
Two different mobile telco sectors
– Highly competitive mobile telco industry
– Highly concentrated ‘super agent’ channel structure
11 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Public GoodsValue ChainEnterprise Government
Mobile Money in TanzaniaIdentifying Barriers to Scale
Weak distribution channels to rural markets and BoP consumers
Lack of financing for agents in the value chain for carrying e-float
Lack of customer awareness of the benefits of a mobile money as new product
Source: Primary interviews; Monitor Deloitte analysis
Potentially inhibitory legal and regulatory framework
12 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Mobile Money in TanzaniaMarket-Based Solution – Initial Model
Mobile money is an agent-assisted, mobile phone-based, secure, money transfer and payment system
In the ‘operator centric’ model1, the mobile operator acts as the business owner, partnering with one or more banks which provide e-float services
Primarily used for person-to-person transfer and for making payments to businesses
Note: 1Followed by M-PESA in Tanzania; 2Mobile money agents channel can be separate or be part of the existing talk-time network; 3M-PESA agents do both Enrollment as well as Cash In-Cash Out, but functions are often separated in case of other deploymentsSource: Monitor Deloitte analysis; Primary interviews
Agents2,3Mobile Network
Operator‘Super Agents’
Merchants (bill payment, insurance, etc.)
Core firm
Customers
In 2008, Vodacom launched mobile money through its six national airtime distributors – super agents
13 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Mobile Money in TanzaniaMarket-Based Solution – Adapted Model
The Aggregator model was introduced to accelerate the growth of the mobile money distribution channel
Aggregators are responsible for the acquisition, training, monitoring, and location tracking of M-PESA agents
Existing super agents did not drive mobile money growth especially in rural markets
Agents3,4Mobile Network
Operator
Banking Partner
‘Super Agents’
Merchants (bill payment, insurance, etc.)
Customers
Aggregators
Note: 1Followed by M-PESA in Tanzania; 2E-Float is measured in the same units as money but held in users’ account operated and managed by the MNO; 3Mobile money agents channel can be separate or be part of the existing talk-time network; 4M-PESA agents do both Enrollment as well as Cash In-Cash Out, but functions are often separated in case of other deploymentsSource: Monitor Deloitte analysis; Primary interviews
Core firm
14 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
2002 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Mobile Money in TanzaniaIndustry Timeline
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Letter of no
objection to
Vodacom
Vodacom begins
building MM
agent network Vodacom
merges
M-PESA and
airtime
channel
Agent aggregator
model to speed
acquisition of agents
New use cases, on-the-
ground campaigns
(focus on rural areas)
Training program for agents and
performance, quality monitoring
BoT introduces
KYC guidelines
for MNOs
Liquidity & e-
float for agents’
working capital
2007
BoT
guidelines
for
electronic-
based
schemes
BoT comes
up with draft
regulations
Adapted Model
implemented
Grants from BMGF and GSMA to
Vodacom
BoT/AFI visit
to the
Philippines
Finscope
Survey
Finscope
Survey
FSDT FI
conference
in Dar
BMGF
engagement with
BoT
AFI working
group on FI
Source: Primary interviews; Monitor Deloitte analysis
15 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Mobile Money in TanzaniaResults – a competitive, large-scale industry
Value of Mobile Money Transactions (2008 – 2013)
2025
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2013*
4,345
2012
3,743
2011
1,524
2010
1,226
20092008
Player A
Player B
Player C
Player D9.56
6.35
2.31
0.700.170.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2013*20122011201020092008
* As of August 2013
Number of Active Mobile Money Accounts (2008 – 2013)
35% of households have at least one mobile money user and awareness is at 99%
Competition has resulted in much lower tariffs for the end-user: a $25 transfer is 65% cheaper in Tanzania compared with Kenya
$ M
illio
n
Acc
ou
nts
(M
illio
n)
Source: Primary data from the Bank of Tanzania; Intermedia tracker study in Tanzania, ‘Mobile Money: User barriers and opportunities‘; World Bank blogs, “The mobile money revolution in Tanzania”; Monitor Deloitte analysis
16 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Mobile Money in TanzaniaKey Findings
It takes leadership.
Get the model right.
It takes money.
Facilitation helps.
FOR DISCUSSION ONLY
PHOTO: Tea field
18 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
1011141415
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Kenya BurundiMalawi Uganda TanzaniaRwanda
USD
(C
ents
/kg)
Green leaf tea price paid to smallholders(2010-11)
Smallholder Tea in Kenya Smallholders in Kenya get paid more for their tea leaf – why?
Source: FAO, Monitor Deloitte analysis
19 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
KTDA
Smallholders Tea Factory Processed Leaf
Smallholders Tea Factory Processed Leaf
Green Leaf
Sales & Marketing Unit
Green Leaf
Mombasa Auction / Direct
Buyer
Inputs on credit
Government’s Swynnerton Plan in the 1950s encouraged native African smallholder agriculture
In 1964, Kenya Tea Development Authority (KTDA) established as a parastatal tasked with developing the smallholder tea industry – it was both enterprise and facilitator
The emphasis was then, as still is today, on producing high-quality premium tea for export
In 2000, KTDA was privatized – it is now owned by the 560,000 smallholders who supply it
Management Services until 1974
Commercial Tea Companies
Smallholder Tea in KenyaMarket-Based Solution – Smallholder Contract Farming
20 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Public GoodsValue ChainEnterprise Government
Poor access to credit limiting smallholder ability to purchase inputs
No existing channel for sourcing and aggregating green leaf from smallholders
Lack of smallholder knowhow on cultivation of quality tea
Lack of improved tea varieties bred for Kenya
Poor feeder road network for factories
Source: Primary interviews; Monitor Deloitte analysis
Lack of capital to set up factories
Lack of managerial and technical skills needed to run factories and marketing operations
Smallholder Tea in KenyaBarriers to Scale (1960s and 1970s)
21 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Smallholder Tea in KenyaA strong enterprise grew on the back of wide-ranging facilitation
Kenyan Government Agencies & Parastatals
(including KTDA)
Conducting research to improve tea cultivation practice in Kenya
Developing improved tea varieties adapted to local conditions in Kenya
Providing extension services to smallholders to ensure cultivation and harvesting to high quality standards
Building and upgrading feeder road networks around tea factories
Standing guarantor for loans made by international investors to build new tea factories
KTDA Enterprise
Aggregating green leaf from smallholders through a network of collection centers, buying to strict quality standards
Establishing and operating factories to process tea grown by smallholders
Providing inputs on credit for smallholders –collective purchasing to lower costs
Marketing and selling tea to international buyers primarily at the Mombasa auction
“Two Leaves & a Bud”Quality Green Leaf
Source: Monitor Deloitte analysis; Primary interviews
22 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Smallholder Tea in KenyaResults – better earnings for over 200,000 smallholders by 1990
Note: Interpolation used for some years for number of smallholders, smallholder production and annual smallholder paymentsSource: KTDA Annual Reports; A Success Story of Organizing Small Scale Farmers in Kenya, Mogens Buch-Hansen; Tea Board of Kenya; Report on Smallholder Tea Sector in Kenya, Christian Partners Development Agency; Monitor Deloitte analysis
Number of smallholders engaged (1960 – 1990)
Annual smallholder payments(1960 – 1990)
Smal
lho
lder
s(‘0
00
s)
Yiel
d (
kg/h
a)
0
300
600
900
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 19900
50
100
150
200
250
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990
Pro
du
ctio
n T
on
s (M
illio
ns)
An
nu
al P
ayo
uts
($
)
0
50
100
150
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990
Smallholder production(1960 – 1990)
Smallholder productivity(1960 – 1990)
56% of national
production
23 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Smallholder Tea in KenyaDramatic contrast with Tanzania s/h tea and Kenya s/h coffee
Source: Tea Board of Kenya; An International Tea Trade Policy for East Africa: An Exercise in Oligopolistic Reasoning; Tea Board of Kenya 2007; Coffee in Kenya: Some challenges for decent work, ILO; World Bank reports for lending to KTDA; Tanzania’s Tea Sector: Constraints and Challenges; Monitor Deloitte analysis
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
150
120
90
60
30
0
Smallholder Production
(1965-2000)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Kenya coffee
Tanzania tea
Kenya tea
Smallholder Productivity
(1965-2000)
Tanzania tea
Kenya tea
Kenya coffee
Ton
s/ H
ecta
re
Ton
s (‘
00
0s)
24 CA
S-C
OD
-Pre
z-D
ate
-CT
L
DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLYDO NOT REPRODUCE OR CIRCULATE
Smallholder Tea in KenyaKey findings
It takes leadership.
Get the model right.
It takes money.
Facilitation helps.
Thank you for joining us!
Microlinks and the MPEP Seminar Series are managed by the Feed the Future Knowledge-Driven Agricultural
Development (KDAD) Project, implemented by Insight Systems Corporation.
Upcoming EventsShare Feedback Stay In Touch
Leave a comment or
ask a question:
http://bit.ly/1jAJzD8
Presenter Name:
Kurt Dassel
Harvey Koh
Contact Us:[email protected]
Subscribe today:microlinks.kdid.org/subscribe
Stayed tuned for the
next event coming
this February!
Find upcoming events
& past presentations:
microlinks.org/MPEPseries
Thank you