Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of...

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Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 (Computer Science) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University 1 PHLM v5.0. January 21 st – 23 rd , 2013

Transcript of Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of...

Page 1: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 (Computer Science)

Dr. Shu-Ching ChenSchool of Computing and Information Sciences

Florida International University

1FPHLM v5.0. January 21st – 23rd, 2013

Page 2: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

1. G-1.B, page 17: Provide documented checklist-based, or other, verification of the followed process documented in Figure 1.

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Page 3: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Documented process to assure continual agreement and correct correspondence of databases, data files, and computer source code to slides, technical papers, and/or modeling organization documents

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Papers in SVN OIR Contract Project Meetings Requirements/

Flowcharts Code Comments Test Report

(see example on next slide)

Page 4: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Example of correspondence between component requirement documentation and computer code

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Page 5: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Example of correspondence between component requirement documentation and computer code (cont’d)

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Page 6: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

41. C-1.B, page 333 351: Relate the primary binder table of contents with the response to Standard G-1, Disclosure 5 (page 98 105) by demonstrating individual table item compliance with Computer Standards C-1 through C-7.

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Page 7: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Changes Listed in G-1, Disclosure 5Major Changes:

Engineering Component

1.Personal Residential component Addition of metal roof and metal shutters Implementation of gradation of strong models

2.Low Rise Commercial Residential component Addition of soffit, metal shutters, and metal roof Modification of the debris impact model and roof to wall failure

connection algorithm

3.Mid/High Rise Commercial Residential component Addition of debris impact zones and option with no sliders Modification of external damage costing scheme

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Page 8: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes:

Meteorology Component

4.Update of HURDAT

5.New 2011 ZIP Codes

6.Updated ZIP Code centroids

7.Modified hurricane marine PBL height in terrain conversion model

8.Updated Probability Distribution Function in the Storm Track Generator

Changes Listed in G-1, Disclosure 5 (cont’d)

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Page 9: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes:

Engineering Component

9.Wind-Borne Debris region boundaries

10.Personal Residential component Increased window capacities for strong models New nomenclature for vulnerability matrices

11.Low Rise Commercial Residential component Modification of window protection, rain adjustment factors, wind

speed variation with height, costing scheme, model components capacities, and coefficients

12.Mid/High Rise Commercial Residential component Differentiation between damaged and breached openings Modification of model components capacities, interior damage

cost coefficient, number of windows in open layout, and nomenclature for vulnerability matrices

Changes Listed in G-1, Disclosure 5 (cont’d)

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Page 10: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Major Changes in the Model - Engineering

1. Personal Residential component

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-2: Updated section 4.3.3 of the Primary Document Binder C-3: Updated section 4.3.4 of the Primary Document Binder C-4: Updated sections 7.5 and 4.3.4.6 of the Primary Document Binder C-5: Updated chapter 5 of the Test ReportC-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 11: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Major Changes in the Model - Engineering(cont’d)

2. Low Rise Commercial Residential component

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-2: Updated section 4.4.3 of the Primary Document Binder C-3: Updated section 4.4.4 of the Primary Document Binder C-4: Updated section 4.4.4.6 of the Primary Document Binder C-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 12: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Major Changes in the Model - Engineering (cont’d)

3. Mid/High Rise Commercial Residential component

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-2: Updated section 4.4.3 of the Primary Document Binder C-3: Updated section 4.4.4 of the Primary Document Binder C-4: Updated sections 7.5 and 4.4.6 of the Primary Document Binder C-5: Updated chapter 5 of the Test ReportC-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 13: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes in the Model - Meteorology

4. Update of HURDAT

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-2: Updated section 6.1 of the Primary Document Binder C-5: Expert carried out inspections, verifications of data values, and comparisons of statistics.C-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 14: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes in the Model - Meteorology(cont’d)

5. New 2011 ZIP Codes

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-5: Expert carried out visual inspection and statistical analyses.C-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 15: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes in the Model - Meteorology(cont’d)

6. Updated ZIP Code centroids

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-5: Expert inspected numerous centroid locations using GIS software and compared with other data to ensure the results were correct. Expert performed calculations with hypothetical data in order to compare the results with calculations done by independent entities.C-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 16: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes in the Model - Meteorology(cont’d)

7. Modified hurricane marine PBL height in terrain conversion model

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-2: Updated section 3.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-4: Updated sections 7.5 and 3.3.4.7 of the Primary Document Binder C-5: Updated chapter 3 of the Test ReportC-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 17: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes in the Model - Meteorology(cont’d)

8. Updated Probability Distribution Function in the Storm Track Generator

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-2: Updated section 3.1.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-5: Expert ran the code with full compiler debug options turned, such as array bounds checking, checking for NaNs and setting all memory to NaN initially to ensure all variables are properly initialized. The output was statistically analyzed and evaluated.C-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 18: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes in the Model - Engineering

9. Wind-Borne Debris region boundaries

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document BinderC-4: Updated section 7.5 of the Primary Document BinderC-5: Expert carried out visual inspection and statistical analysesC-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 19: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes in the Model - Engineering(cont’d)

10. Personal Residential component

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-2: Updated section 4.3.3 of the Primary Document Binder C-3: Updated sections 4.3.4 and 5.1.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-4: Updated section 7.5 of the Primary Document Binder C-5: Updated chapter 5 of the Test ReportC-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 20: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes in the Model - Engineering (cont’d)

11. Low Rise Commercial Residential component

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-2: Updated section 4.4.3 of the Primary Document Binder C-4: Updated section 7.5 of the Primary Document Binder C-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 21: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

Minor Changes in the Model - Engineering(cont’d)

12. Mid/High Rise Commercial Residential component

C-1.D: Updated section 7.3.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-2: Updated section 4.4.3 of the Primary Document Binder C-3: Updated section 5.2.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-4: Updated sections 7.5, 4.4.3, and 5.2.2 of the Primary Document Binder C-5: Updated chapter 5 of the Test ReportC-6: Changed the model’s version number, updated SVN, and updated section 7.3 of the Primary Document Binder

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Page 22: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

42. C-2, page 335 353: Provide requirements documentation that specifically relates to each model change identified in Standard G-1, Disclosure 5 (page 98 105).

The Primary Document Binder for the FPHLM v5.0 will be available for review.

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Page 23: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

43. C-5, page 339 357: Provide complete and thorough verification procedures and output from the model changes identified in Standard G-1, Disclosure 5 (page 98 105).

The Primary Document Binder for the FPHLM v5.0 will be available for review.

The flowchart for manual and automatic testing is provided in next slide.

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Page 24: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

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Flowchart for Manual and Automatic Testing

Page 25: Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model - v5.0 ( Computer Science ) Dr. Shu-Ching Chen School of Computing and Information Sciences Florida International University.

44. C-6.D, page 342 360: Provide the model version history over the past 5 years, leading up to the version identified in the submission.

Document for model version history leading up to the version identified in the submission will be provided.

FPHLM_Version_History.pdf

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