Floods, Farmers, Vulnerability and Policy: What they want, what we give and what really happens?
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Floods, Farmers, Vulnerability and Policy: What they want, what we give and what really happens ? By Dipak Gyawali Pragya, Royal Nepal Academy of Science and Technology Research Director, Institute for Social and Environmental Transition
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Floods, Farmers, Vulnerability and Policy: What they want, what we give and what really happens?. By Dipak Gyawali Pragya, Royal Nepal Academy of Science and Technology Research Director, Institute for Social and Environmental Transition. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Floods, Farmers, Vulnerability and Policy: What they want, what we give and what really happens?
Floods, Farmers, Vulnerability and Policy:
What they want, what we give and what really happens?
ByDipak Gyawali
Pragya, Royal Nepal Academy of Science and Technology
Research Director, Institute for Social and Environmental Transition
Source: Moench, Dixit and Caspari, Rethinking the Mosaic, 1999
Kulekhani Catchment 1993
Source: Ajaya Dixit, Basic Water Science, 2002
Extreme Combination
Kulekhani Sedimented Upper End
1993 Bagmati Barrage
Source: Ajaya Dixit, Basic Water Science, 2002
Source: Ajaya Dixit, Basic Water Science, 2002
Sediment yield Designed 700m3/km2/yearAfter 1993 floods 38095 m3/km2 1994 83333 m3/km2
Average (1981-1994) 12000 m3/km2/year
Us
Vs
Them
EGALITARIAN VULTURES(unstructured but bound enclaves)
+veGroup
(strong affinity, fettered competition)
Risk minimizingprocedural rationality
TABOO
MANAGE
HIERARCHIST WOLVES(ranked and bounded)
COPE
COMMODITIZE
Risk avoidingcritical rationality Nature fragile
Risk takingsubstantive rationality
Nature robust
INDIVIDUALIST HAWK S(unbound, unstructured
networks)
-veGroup
(weak affinity, unfettered competition)
Risk absorbingfatalist rationality
Naturecapricious
FATALIST DONK EYS(atomized, unbound, unstructured)
(asymetrical transactions,inequality, strong ascribed order)
+ve GRID
(symetrical transactions,equality, weak ascribed order)
- ve GRID
Nature robustwithin limits
Limits
Ryots:
“Silt is one among many woes about which we can do nothing”.
Department of Irrigation:
“Silt is a danger to be controlled”.
Zamindars:
“Silt is opportunity”.
Ganga Mukti Andolan:
“Silt is a diversion from other evils in our midst”.
Multiple definitions of what the problem is !
Bureaucracies
Population - too many
people - is the problem :
ProfligacyPricing
Population
Markets Social Auditors
Pricing is the problem: solution is to remove controls and subsidies
Profligacy is the problem: solution is to reign in our greed
Climate Change
solution is to manage it
