First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2012 Earnings Earnings Results … · 2013-08-29 · Earnings Earnings...
Transcript of First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2012 Earnings Earnings Results … · 2013-08-29 · Earnings Earnings...
First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2012First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2012Earnings Earnings ResultsResults
Conference Call PresentationConference Call Presentation
Financial data prepared under IFRS
This presentation is based on audited financial statements and may include statements that could constitute forward-lookingstatements, including, but not limited to, the Company’s expectations for its future performance, revenues, income, earnings pershare, capital expenditures, dividends, liquidity and capital structure; the impact of the emergency laws enacted by the Argentinegovernment; and the impact of rate changes and competition on the Company’s future financial performance. Forward-lookingstatements may be identified by words such as “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “projects”, “intends”, “should”, “seeks”,“estimates”, “future” or other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could significantlyaffect the Company’s expected results. The risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, uncertainties concerning theimpact of the emergency laws enacted by the Argentine government which have resulted in the repeal of Argentina’s convertibilitylaw, the devaluation of the peso, restrictions on the ability to exchange pesos into foreign currencies, the adoption of a restrictivecurrency transfer policy, the “pesification” of tariffs charged for public services, the elimination of indexes to adjust rates charged forpublic services and the executive branch announcement to renegotiate the terms of the concessions granted to public service
DisclaimerDisclaimer
1
public services and the executive branch announcement to renegotiate the terms of the concessions granted to public serviceproviders, including Telecom. Due to extensive and rapid changes in laws and economic and business conditions in Argentina, it isdifficult to predict the impact of these changes on the Company’s financial condition. Other factors may include, but are not limitedto, the evolution of the economy in Argentina, growing inflationary pressure and reduction in consumer spending and the outcome ofcertain legal proceedings. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only asthe date of this document. The Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to forward-lookingstatements which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation,changes in the Company’s business or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Information included in this presentation isunaudited and may not coincide with that included in the financial statements of the Company, due to rounding, reclassificationmatters, and other reasons. Readers are encouraged to consult the Company’s Annual Report and Form 20-F as well as periodicfilings made on Form 6-K, which are filed with or furnished to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission and theArgentine Comisión Nacional de Valores.
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
AgendaAgenda
2
• Financials
• Q&A Session
0,9%
9,2% 8,9%
4,3%
Market Overview: Consumption maintains its impetusMarket Overview: Consumption maintains its impetus
Billions USD, at current prices – Last 12 months∆ YoY - constant prices
Trade Balance (Billions USD) Last 12 monthsFiscal Balance as % of GDP Last 12 months*
Real GDP* Trade & Fiscal BalanceConsumption
307368
442 450
179 211249 255 16,9
11,6 10,0 11,4
1,5% 1,7%
0,3% 0,1%
∆ YoY - constant prices
0,5%
9,0%10,7%
4,9%
Billions USD, at current prices – Last 12 months
3
Source: MECON, INDEC and Company Estimates•Official GDP YoY variation, constant prices. •Fiscal Balance represents primarily fiscal surplus
• Fiscal front continued to deteriorate, expensesrose 39% YoY in 1Q12, while revenuesincreased 35%. Higher social expenses, werepartially offsets by decelerating transfers to theprivate sector.
• Imports experimented its first decrease inalmost 2 years, while exports were sustaineddue to high commodities prices.
• Capital outflows reduced significantly and theexchange rate remained stable.
• International context has shownimprovements as recovery in the UnitedStates gains traction and dangers fromEurope recede, although risks remain high.
• After a turbulent 4Q11, the measures taken bythe authorities seems to take effect, interestrates slumped and capital outflow eased,although industrial production decelerated.
• Improved climate increased agriculturalproduction with higher commodities prices,giving support to macro stabilization.
• Measures in the FX market taken in the4Q11 and an accommodative monetarypolicy, end maintaining real interest rateslow, fostering private consumption.
• Inflation remains high while wagesnegotiation started in different sectors atlower levels from previous year.
• Construction sector has deceleratedsignificantly from last year, although it stillshowing positive growth.
2009
179
2009
10,0 11,4
2009 2010 2011 1Q12e
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
AgendaAgenda
4
• Financials
• Q&A Session
Business Business HighlightsHighlights
Strong top of mind strengthens market position
VAS +44% YoY; 52% of services revenues
Internet revenues up 31% YoY in 1Q12
Bundling voice with fixed/wireless broadbandFIXED
MOBILE
5
Bundling voice with fixed/wireless broadband
NGN & FTTC deployments in key locations position TEO as first mover in these technologies
FINANCIALS
FIXED
As from FY12 Financial Statements are prepared under IFRS
Strong commercial activities & energy costs affected margins
P$ 0,82 per share dividend will be made starting on May 10, 2012
34,6 36,3 34,5 36,7
Mobile: Leadership in net adds with a view to MNPMobile: Leadership in net adds with a view to MNP
• #1 in Revenue Share
• #1 Postpaid net adds
• MNP Promotions:
• Focus on customer life extension
• Focus on packages to enhance customer satisfaction
• ARPU up +16% YoY in 1Q12
• Sustained Smartphone leadership
TEO vs. market growthMillion of lines
Others
54,550,9
+5%
+7%51,4
55,2
+6%
+7%
16,3 18,2 16,9 18,5
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12e
102 99 96 93
299 322 310 288
44,4
51,447,4
54,9
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12
6
Note: Argentinean operation only – does not include trunking subscribersSource: Market estimates of the main providers in the industry for total subscribers.
NationalMarket share TOU
(SMS/Month)
MOU (Mins/Month)
ARPU (ARS/Month)
+16%
+8%
-3%
Mobile KPITEO
+1,6 Msubs.
+70 pts
+11%
32,9% 33,6%32,1% 33,4%
+10%
+16%
-7%
-3%
4.482
5.095
5.727
+28%
Mobile: Value Added ServiceMobile: Value Added Service
Million ARS – Argentine Market
Data
as % of Service Revenues – Before capitalization of SAC & SRC
9,0%
4,2%3,8%
3,5%3,6%
15,3%16,4%
Service Revenue Breakdown SAC & SRC
2.432
+12%
Handset subsidies
Advertising
3.101
+14%
Retail & Wholesale Voice
8.483
10.983+29%
391 774 153 276
2.997
4.482
9561.323
1.323 1.502
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12
7
VAS as % of Service Revenues
Internet Services
Data (SMS)
Note: Argentinean operation only
• Mobile Internet Services revenues +80% YoY
• Change In Agent commissions with focus in quality acquisitions and customer retention
• Handset upgrades increases to yield base, stimulate usage and facilitate upselling
7,6% 9,0%
1Q11 1Q12+98%
+50% Agent Commission
52%
+80%
+38%
+14%
46%48%40%
1.8782.149
1.9012.203
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12
Paraguay Mobile Market: 3G services driving expansionParaguay Mobile Market: 3G services driving expansion
• Successful adoption of Personal Brand restyling
• Increasing EBITDA margins thanks to high VASrevenue growth
• Outstanding postpaid growth; backed on Mobileinternet services
• Elimination of unlimited SMS & Voice promotionsreduced MOU and TOU
• Churn levels at 1,8% down from 2,9% at 1Q11
KPI
Mobile lines Thousand of lines (includes 3G modems)
+14%
+16%
Financials
8
54 61 66 55
239 275 270 244
23,527,1
25,427,5
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12
TOU (SMS/Month)
MOU (Mins/Month)
ARPU(GUA/Month)In thousands
+15%
+15%
+13%
KPI+8%
-10%
-17%
466
714
148199158
264
48 73
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12
OPBDA
REVENUES
+53%
+67%
Financials
+34%
+52%
IFRS Million of ARS
Margin 34% 37% 32% 37%
2.883165 14
367 123 10251 3.705
+822(+29%)
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
Mobile Revenues: Data & Internet, key drivers of growthMobile Revenues: Data & Internet, key drivers of growth
Evolution of revenues 1Q11 – 1Q12
1Q11 Revenues
Retail Voice
Wholesale* Voice
Data Internet Equipment Nucleo* (Paraguay)
1Q12 Revenues
9
+18% +3% +38% +34%+34%
Note: Wholesale voice shows Interconnection revenues (CPP, TRLD, Roaming and others )Núcleo revenues expressed in Argentine pesos, includes equipment.
36%11% 7%29% 11%% of total MobileRevenues
6%
+80%YoY Variation
2.5312.891
2.6022.960
4.5264.441
Others1
BroadbandBroadband: Sustained revenue and customer expansion: Sustained revenue and customer expansion
• Bundling and new products contributes to control churn
• Arnet Play video streaming supports customer retention
• Arnet Turbo increases bandwidth and improves customer experience
• 10Mb residential targeted offer
• ARPU up +16% YoY
Thousand of broadband accesses
Evolution of Accesses
4.009
+14%
+13%
3.911
+14%
+14%
1.380 1.550 1.407 1.566
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12e
NationalMarket share1
1,2% 1,2% 1,2% 1,1% 1,3%
82,286,0 88,2 91,1
95,6
1Q11 2Q11 2Q11 4Q11 1Q12
Monthly Churn
ARPU (ARS)
10
1 Source: Market estimates of the main providers in the industry.2 It must be noted that the calculation method of ARPUs of 2011 was adjusted in order to exclude from thesubscriber base the dongles of customers that already had fixed broadband access.
35%
TEO
+16%
• ARPU up +16% YoY
35%
ARPU (2) & Churn Evolution
+11%
35%35%
+12%
4.107 4.141 4.110 4.138
Fixed voice: Commercial offers based on simplicityFixed voice: Commercial offers based on simplicity
• Simple offer proposition: Pricing & bundling:
� Unlimited local minutes
� 100-200-300 calls per month - no time limits
� ADSL + Video Streaming + 3G services
• ARBU up 7% YoY in 1Q12 thanks to flat pricing and value added services.
• Sustained low churn levels (0,5%)
+0,7%+0,8%
Thousand of lines in service
Evolution of Lines in Service
43,745,7 46,6 46,9 46,9
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
4.107 4.141 4.110 4.138
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12
11
1Source: Company reports of the main providers in the industry.* FY 11 refers to 4Q11 market share. ARBU: Includes only concepts billed to clients
ARS
• Sustained low churn levels (0,5%)
+7%(excluding broadband and data)
ARBU evolution
NationalMarket share1 47% 47% 47%*47%
1.421-1010928
-1441.251
+170(+14%)
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
FixedFixed Services: BB + ICT continue to accelerate growthServices: BB + ICT continue to accelerate growth
39%
Regulated
Evolution of revenues 1Q11 – 1Q12
Regulated
Revenues 1Q11
Retail Voice WholesaleVoice
Data Internet Equipment Revenues 1Q12
12
YoY Variation
-36%+8%
Note: Does not include intercompany revenues.Graph not in scale
-1%
12% 32%43% 12%% of total FixedLine Revenues
61%
42%
58%
Regulated
Non Regulated
1%
+21%
Non Regulated
+31%
24%
18%
36%
15%
7%
Others
IT
Mobile access
Fixed access
1.852
2.318
Evolution of CAPEXEvolution of CAPEX
Million of ARS
PP&E Capex BreakdownCapex Evolution
+49%
+32%
2.424
3.192
+25%PP&E
462690
Core & Infraestructure1572 874
129 198333
492
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12
13
Note: 1Core & infrastructure refers to network related capex, including quality and innovation capex.
% Revenues 17% 11% 13%
• Intangible assets mainly SAC & SRC
• Increase in “Commercial Assets” due to MNP implementation
• FTTC rollout to improve fixed BB bandwidth
• NGN & FTTC deployments in key locations position TEO as first mover in these technologies
• Mobile access network upgrade for capacity increase
17%
+53%Intangible Assets +53%
+48%462
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
AgendaAgenda
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• Financials
• Q&A Session
TEO Group: Consolidated Results TEO Group: Consolidated Results
+23%
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
Revenues OPBDA*IFRS, Million of ARS,
+26%18.498
14.627
4.874
6.015
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q122010 2011 1Q11 1Q12
15
OPBDA Margin
33%
*OPBDA = Operating Profit Before Depreciation & Amortization.
33% 35% 32%
4.1345.126
Regulated Revenues 14% 12%
+24%
+15%
1.436 1.648
4.874
13% 11%
TEO Group: Consolidated TEO Group: Consolidated CostsCosts
Consolidated Costs 1 as % of Revenues Operating Costs 1 1Q12
Labor Costs
Taxes
Others2
19%
13%
26%
20,5%
8,8% 8,0%
Marketing &
ITX Costs
68,0%65,5%
16
1. Excluding Depreciation & Amortizations.2. Others includes: Fees for services, fees for Call Center outsourcing,
maintenance, materials and supplies, bad debt expenses..
• Strong momentum in postpaid adds and upgrades increases SAC/SRC
• Higher energy and labor related costs affects margins.
ITX costsMarketing & Sales
12%30%
15,2% 17,3%
12,7% 13,2%
8,7% 9,0%
20,1%20,5%
1Q11 1Q12
Others2
Marketing & Sales
Taxes
Labor costs
14
29
TEO Group: Consolidated ResultsTEO Group: Consolidated Results
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
Operating Profit Net Income
3.857
3.162
+22% 2.542
1.949+30%
Non Controlling
Interest
1.935
2.513
634 698
106
2010 2011 1Q11 1Q122010 2011 1Q11 1Q12
17
O. Profit Margin 22% 21% 13% 14%23% 20% 15% 14%
+11%708
640+8%
958 1.033Attributable to
Telecom (Owners of the parent)
+10%
+30%
3.262
1.348
211 60 915
IFRS, Million of ARS - Last 12 months
TEO Group: FCF and Net Financial PositionTEO Group: FCF and Net Financial Position
6.227 3.420
455
OPBDA Capex ∆ WK & others
Operating Free Cash Flow
1.712
2.982
18
Note:(1) Includes Telecom USA(2) Includes Springville(3) OFCF: Operating Free Cash Flow before Taxes.
Net Financial Position
1Q11(Cash)
Net Financial Position
1Q12(Cash)
Net Interest
FX Variations
Operating Free Cash
Flow3
Taxes Dividend Payment
Free Cash Flow = 1.914
Telecom Argentina 716 (1)
Telecom Personal 2.370 (2)
Nucleo (Paraguay) (104)
Net Financial Position
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
AgendaAgenda
19
• Financials
• Q&A Session