First Quarter Fiscal 2017 Earnings Call - graham-mfg.com Relations/Presentations... · First...
Transcript of First Quarter Fiscal 2017 Earnings Call - graham-mfg.com Relations/Presentations... · First...
© 2016 Graham Corp. 1
First Quarter
Fiscal 2017
Earnings Call
James R. Lines
President & Chief Executive Officer
Jeffrey F. Glajch
Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
NYSE:GHM • July 29, 2016
© 2016 Graham Corp. 2
Safe Harbor Statement
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities
Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions and are identified by
words such as “expects,” “estimates,” “projects,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “goal,” “outlook,” “priorities,”
“could,” and other similar words. All statements addressing operating performance, events, or
developments that Graham Corporation expects or anticipates will occur in the future, including but not
limited to, statements relating to revenue, backlog and expected performance of Energy Steel & Supply
Co., and expected expansion and growth opportunities within the domestic and international nuclear
power generation markets, anticipated revenue, the timing of conversion of backlog to sales, profit
margins, foreign sales operations, Graham Corporation’s strategy to build its global sales representative
channel, the effectiveness of automation in expanding engineering capacity, the ability to improve cost
competitiveness, customer preferences, changes in market conditions in the industries in which Graham
Corporation operates, changes in general economic conditions and customer behavior and Graham
Corporation’s acquisition and organic growth strategies are forward-looking statements. Because they are
forward-looking, they should be evaluated in light of important risk factors and uncertainties. These risk
factors and uncertainties are more fully described in Graham Corporation's most recent Annual Report
filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including under the heading entitled “Risk Factors.”
Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of Graham Corporation's
underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those currently
anticipated. In addition, undue reliance should not be placed on Graham Corporation's forward-looking
statements. Except as required by law, Graham Corporation disclaims any obligation to update or publicly
announce any revisions to any of the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
© 2016 Graham Corp. 3
First Quarter Fiscal 2017 Highlights • Q1 revenue was $22.4 million
– Down 19% compared with prior-year Q1
– Impacted by persistent weak market conditions
– Short cycle sales down ~20% in quarter
• Q1 net income was $0.1 million, $0.01 per share
– Excluding $0.4 million, nonrecurring restructuring charge, adjusted net income was $0.5 million, $0.05 per share
• Restructuring: 10% headcount reduction
– Expecting ~$2.7 million of annualized cost savings, with ~75% of savings in COGS and ~25% in SG&A
• Backlog at quarter end was $99.9 million
– Negatively impacted by $18 million of orders cancelled since start of Q4 FY2015
– Mix demonstrates success of diversification strategy
© 2016 Graham Corp. 4
First Quarter Fiscal 2017 Sales • Q1 FY2017 sales declined in energy-
related industries and most geographies
vs prior year
– Sales to power market were up 27% to
$4.7 million
– Sales to the defense and other
industrial market were up 10% to
$5.3 million
– US sales were down 7% to
$16.3 million
– International sales were down 39% to
$6.1 million
• Q1 mix by industry
– Refining industry sales: $7.2 million
– Chemical/petrochemical industry
sales: $5.2 million
– Power industry sales: $4.7 million
– Defense and other industrial sales:
$5.3 million
($ in millions)
$27.6
$22.8
$17.3
$22.3 $22.4
Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3 FY16 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY17
Quarterly Revenue
$105.0 $102.2
$135.2
$90.0 $80-$95
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017E
Annual Revenue
(1)
(1) FY2017 guidance provided as of July 29, 2016
5 © 2016 Graham Corp.
Financial Overview
Jeff Glajch Vice President and CFO
© 2016 Graham Corp. 6
$8.0
$4.1
Q1 FY2016 Q1 FY2017
Gross Profit and Margin
$27.6 $22.4
Q1 FY2016 Q1 FY2017
Q1 FY2017 – Persistent Weak Markets
Sales
Adjusted EPS(2)
$0.23
$0.05
Q1 FY2016 Q1 FY2017
Adjusted EBITDA and Margin(1)
$4.0
$1.0
Q1 FY2016 Q1 FY2017
($ in millions, except per share data)
(1) See supplemental slide for Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation and other important disclaimers regarding Graham’s use of Adjusted EBITDA (2) See supplemental slide for Adjusted Net Income reconciliation and other important disclaimers regarding Graham’s use of Adjus ted Net Income
14.6% 4.6%
29.1% 18.4%
© 2016 Graham Corp. 7
Cash, Cash Equivalents
and Investments
Capital Provides Flexibility
• Cash balances increased $2.6 million
during Q1 FY2017
– Cash provided by operations was
$3.8 million
– Paid $0.9 million of dividends
– Cash on hand at end of Q1 was
$6.97 per share
• Capital expenditures in Q1 FY2017
were $0.1 million compared with
$0.3 million in Q1 FY2016
– FY2017 capital expenditures expected
to be between $2 million and
$2.5 million
Cash available for investments in organic
growth and acquisitions
($ in millions)
$65.1 $67.7
3/31/2016 6/30/2016
No bank debt
at 6/30/16
Supports growth as well as shareholder returns
8 © 2016 Graham Corp.
Outlook
Jim Lines President & CEO
© 2016 Graham Corp. 9
$31.1 $35.4 $22.6 $47.5 $24.0 $20.6 $22.3 $17.1 $14.6
$126.5
$113.5 $112.6
$136.5 $129.4
$114.6 $114.3
$84.0 $74.6
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Fiscal 2016 Fiscal
2017
(in millions)
Weak Traditional Order Climate
• Q1 FY2017 orders by industry vs prior year Q1:
– Refining and chemical/petrochemical industry orders were down $3.4 million and $3.3 million, respectively, due to market conditions
– Power industry orders were down $4.1 million due to timing
– Defense and other industrial orders were up $1.4 million
• TTM comparison impacted by:
– Large U.S. Navy orders in Q4 FY2015
– $12.1 million of orders cancelled during TTM Q1 FY2017 period; $5.9 million cancelled in Q4 FY2015
• Bidding pipeline of ~$600 million to ~$800 million is active, but movement to order status remains slow
Fiscal 2015
Quarterly
Net Orders
Quarterly and TTM Net Orders
Trailing Twelve Month
Net Orders
© 2016 Graham Corp. 10
Navy 50%
Other 4%
Power 16%
Chemical/
Petrochemical
10%
Refining
20%
($ in millions)
Backlog by Industry June 30, 2016
Projected Backlog
Conversion June 30, 2016
Months
12-24
5-10% Within
12 months
45-50%
Beyond 24 Months
40-45%
Backlog Remains Solid
$85.8
$112.1 $113.8 $108.0
$99.9
0102030405060708090100110120
$0.00
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
$100.00
$120.00
3/31/2013 3/31/2014 3/31/2015 3/31/2016 6/30/2016
Backlog
Backlog Backlog expected to convert within 12 months
• Predictable base supports future growth; high
percentage of U.S. Navy projects in backlog
• ~60% from markets or customers not served
by the Company five years ago
– Reducing the impact of more cyclical sales in
the energy industry
Reflects success of diversification strategy
© 2016 Graham Corp. 11
• Revenue $80 million – $95 million
• Gross margin 24% – 26%
• SG&A $16 million – $17 million
• Effective tax rate 30% – 31%
(1) FY2017 guidance provided as of July 29, 2016
FY2017 Guidance(1)
Strategic Target: Exceed $200 million in organic revenue
© 2016 Graham Corp. 12
Supplemental
Information
NYSE:GHM • July 29, 2016
© 2016 Graham Corp. 13
Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation (Unaudited)
Non-GAAP Financial Measure:
Adjusted EBITDA is defined as consolidated net income before interest expense and income, income taxes, depreciation and amortization
and a nonrecurring restructuring charge. Adjusted EBITDA margin is Adjusted EBITDA divided by sales. Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted
EBITDA margin are not measures determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States, commonly
known as GAAP. Nevertheless, Graham believes that providing non-GAAP information such as Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA
margin are important for investors and other readers of Graham's financial statements, as they are used as analytical indicators by
Graham's management to better understand operating performance. Graham’s credit facility also contains ratios based on EBITDA.
Because Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA margin are non-GAAP measures and are thus susceptible to varying calculations,
Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA margin, as presented, may not be directly comparable to other similarly titled measures used by
other companies.
($ in thousands)
© 2016 Graham Corp. 14
Adjusted Net Income Reconciliation (Unaudited)
Non-GAAP Financial Measure:
Adjusted net income is defined as GAAP net income excluding a nonrecurring restructuring charge. Adjusted net income is not a measure
determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States, commonly known as GAAP. Nevertheless,
Graham believes that providing non-GAAP information such as Adjusted net income is important for investors and other readers of
Graham's financial statements, as it is used as an analytical indicator by Graham's management to better understand operating
performance. Because Adjusted net income is a non-GAAP measure and is thus susceptible to varying calculations, Adjusted net income,
as presented, may not be directly comparable to other similarly titled measures used by other companies.
($ in thousands)
© 2016 Graham Corp. 15
First Quarter
Fiscal 2017
Earnings Call
NYSE:GHM • July 29, 2016