First Quarter 2013 Earnings...
Transcript of First Quarter 2013 Earnings...
First Quarter 2013 Earnings Presentation
May 1, 2013 Slides posted at www.enbridgepartners.com/q
Legal Notice
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This presentation includes certain forward looking information (“FLI”) to provide Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. (“EEP”) and Enbridge Energy Management, L.L.C. (“EEQ”) investors and potential investors with information about EEP and EEQ and management’s assessment of the future plans and operations, which may not be appropriate for other purposes. FLI involves statements that frequently use words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “position,” “projection,” “should,” “strategy”, “will” and similar words. Although we believe that such forward looking statements are reasonable based on currently available information, such statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions and are not guarantees of performance. Future actions, conditions or events and future results of operations may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements. Many of the factors that will determine these results are beyond Enbridge Partners’ ability to control or predict. Specific factors that could cause actual results to differ from those in the forward-looking statements include: (1) changes in the demand for or the supply of, forecast data for and price trends related to crude oil, liquid petroleum, natural gas and NGLs, including the rate of development of the Alberta Oil Sands; (2) Enbridge Partners’ ability to successfully complete and finance expansion projects; (3) the effects of competition, in particular, by other pipeline systems; (4) shut-downs or cutbacks at facilities of Enbridge Partners or refineries, petrochemical plants, utilities or other businesses for which Enbridge Partners transports products or to whom Enbridge Partners sells products; (5) hazards and operating risks that may not be covered fully by insurance; (6) changes in or challenges to Enbridge Partners’ tariff rates; and (7) changes in laws or regulations to which Enbridge Partners is subject, including compliance with environmental and operational safety regulations that may increase costs of system integrity testing and maintenance.
Our FLI is subject to risks and uncertainties pertaining to operating performance, regulatory parameters, project approval and support, weather, economic conditions, interest rates and commodity prices, including but not limited to those discussed more extensively in our filings with U.S. securities regulators. The impact of any one risk, uncertainty or factor on any particular FLI is not determinable with certainty as these are interdependent and our future course of action depends on management’s assessment of all information available at the relevant time. Except to the extent required by law, we assume no obligation to publicly update or revise any FLI, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All FLI in this presentation is expressly qualified in its entirety by these cautionary statements. You are referred to EEP’s and EEQ’s SEC filings, including its most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequently filed Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, for a more detailed discussion of risk factors. This presentation makes reference to certain financial measures, such as adjusted net income, which are not recognized under generally accepted accounting principles, referred to as GAAP.
Agenda
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1. Project Update
2. Market Access Program
3. Financial Highlights
4. Question & Answer
Project Update
4
Liquids
Bakken Pipeline Expansion
Bakken Berthold Rail
Bakken Access
Line 6B 75-mile replacement
Eastern Access (Line 5 exp. )
Mainline Expansions
Sandpiper
Natural Gas
Ajax gas plant
Texas Express NGL Pipeline
U/C
U/C
U/C
U/C
In-service
Under construction
Being phased-in
Regulatory process
U/C
G&P Growth Update – Expand ETX Processing
Capacity
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Project Overview
• Construction of 150 MMcf/d cryogenic natural gas processing plant – Beckville Plant (Panola county)
Will expand EEP’s processing capacity in ETX Cotton Valley/Haynesville region to 820 MMcf/d
Capital investment ~$140 million; attractive EBITDA multiple; in-service early 2015
Cotton Valley: covers 10 counties in ETX; region currently produces ~ 1.8 Bcf/d of natural gas,
with 72 kbpd of associated NGLs ~2.5-3.0 GPM gas
Expand G&P Strategic Asset Footprint
Consistent with EEP strategy to optimize existing infrastructure
Competitive advantage due to extensive gathering footprint
Incremental NGL volumes will enhance EEP’s downstream integration strategy
Increases East Texas volume diversification
Generates incremental distributable cash flow ~ accretive growth
Potential for additional investment opportunities
Commercial Underpinnings
• Combination of fee + commodity based contracts with acreage dedication
Active large-scale producers in the region
Linking North American Crude Supply Growth
to Refining Centers
Cushing
Houston
Chicago/ Flanagan
Port Arthur
1
3
2
Enbridge Energy Partners Projects (EEP) ~ $7.3B*
Sandpiper Pipeline Project ($2.5B)
• +225/375 kbpd early 2016
US Mainline Expansions ($2.4B):
Line 67 Expansion (border to Superior)
• +350 kbpd, total 800 kbpd; 3Q14 to 2015
Line 61 Expansion (Superior to Flanagan)
• +800 kbpd, total 1,200 kbpd; 3Q14 to 2016
Chicago Connectivity
• +570 kbpd Line 62 twin mid-2015
Eastern Access Expansions ($2.4B):
Line 5 Expansion
• +50 kbpd 2Q13
Line 62 Spearhead North Expansion
• +105 kbpd 4Q13
Line 6B Replacement
• +260 kbpd late 2013/early 2014; +70 kbpd early 2016
Eastern Access & US Mainline Expansions
EEP/ENB joint funded *represents total capital before joint funding
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1
2
3
6
Montreal
Superior
Canadian/U.S. East
Coast Refinery Markets
U.S. Gulf Coast
Refinery Markets
Sarnia
EEP North Dakota System
Patoka
Enbridge (ENB) & Enbridge Partners (EEP)
Market Access Programs
U.S. Gulf Coast Access
Eastern Access
Light Oil Market Access 4
5
4
5
6
5
1
2
4
6
6
U.S. Mid-West
Refinery Markets
Enbridge Inc. Projects (ENB) Seaway Pipeline - ENB and EPD JV
• +400 kbpd 1Q13
Flanagan South Pipeline
• +585 kbpd (36” line) mid-2014
Seaway Pipeline Twin & Lateral
• ENB and EPD JV; +450k bpd 1H 2014
Toledo Pipeline Partial Twin
• +80 kbpd 2013
Line 9 Reversal & Expansion
• +240 kbpd late 2013, 2014;+80 kbpd 2014
Southern Access Extension
• +300 kbpd 2015
Trunkline JV
• +440 to 660 kbpd 2015
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Growth Projects:
Commercially secured
Low-risk framework
Long-term contracts
5 2
3
4
5
6
7
Memphis
St. James
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Delivering Low-Risk Sustainable Growth
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Note:
Eastern Access and Mainline Expansion liquids expansion projects are jointly funded by EEP & ENB.
Commercial Structure
- Commodity/Volume Sensitive - Take-or-Pay - Cost of Service
Expected Project In-Service Period 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Liquids Projects
Bakken Pipeline Expansion
Bakken Rail
Bakken Access
Eastern Access: Line 6B repl., Line 5, Line 62 exp.
Mainline Expansion: Line 61 and 67 Exp. Phase 1
Mainline Expansion: Line 61 and 67 Exp. Phase 2
Mainline Expansion: Line 62 Twin (Chicago Connectivity)
Sandpiper
Eastern Access: Line 6B exp. and Tankage
Natural Gas Projects
Ajax Plant
Texas Express NGL Pipeline JV
Business Mix & Risk Profile
*Note: based on 2013 forecast
Liquids Pipelines
80%
Natural Gas 20%
Operating Income*
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
60%
12%
18%
59%
23%
28%
Commodity
Fee-Based
Cost of Service /
Take-or-Pay
Crude oil projects progressively transform EEP to lower risk business model
Cost of Service/Take-or-Pay: Contribution from Liquids and Natural Gas business cost of service and take-or-pay contracts.
Fee-based: Contribution from Liquids and Natural Gas business fee-based service. Commodity Sensitive: Contribution from Natural Gas business from its commodities length (before hedging).
Contribution is based on revenues from Liquids segment and gross margin from Natural Gas segment, including non-controlling interest.
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Financial Highlights
1Q 109.2 1Q
95.7
0
50
100
2012 2013
$ m
illio
ns
Excludes earnings attributable to non-controlling interest
Adjusted Net Income Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted Earnings Per Unit As-declared Coverage Ratio
1Q 291.5
1Q 281.0
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2012 2013
$ m
illio
ns
Includes non-controlling interest
1Q $0.28
1Q $0.21
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
2012 2013Excludes earnings attributable to non-controlling interest
YTD 0.79x
YTD 0.79x
0.00x
0.20x
0.40x
0.60x
0.80x
1.00x
2012 2013
Unaudited; adjusted results exclude the impact of: (a) additional environmental costs, net of insurance recoveries, associated with the incident on Line 6B; and (b) non-cash, mark-to-
market net gains and losses; among other adjustments. Refer to the Non-GAAP Reconciliation tables presented in the supplemental slides.
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Liquids Segment Results
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1.86 1.81 1.76 1.74 1.84
0.24 0.24
0.21 0.21
0.22
0.22 0.22
0.21 0.17
0.13
-
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
Volu
me b
y S
yste
m (
mm
bpd)
Lakehead Mid-Continent North Dakota
159.0 155.5 153.5
133.0
154.3
0
50
100
150
200
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
$ m
illio
ns
Adjusted Operating Income Volumes
Unaudited; adjusted results exclude the impact of: (a) additional environmental costs, net of insurance recoveries, associated with the incident on Line 6B; and (b) non-cash, mark-to-
market net gains and losses; among other adjustments. Refer to the Non-GAAP Reconciliation tables presented in the supplemental slides.
Natural Gas Segment
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Adjusted Operating Income Volumes / Rig Count
52.5
43.3
60.2
42.9
26.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
$ m
illio
ns
942 1,062 1,065 998 964
1,319 1,291 1,219
1,233 1,252
315 332
343 333 332
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
Avera
ge R
ig C
ount
EE
P M
ain
Regio
ns
Volu
me b
y S
yste
m (
mm
btu
/d in
thousands)
Anadarko East Texas North Texas Rig Count
Unaudited; adjusted results exclude the impact of: (a) non-cash, mark-to-market net gains and losses; among other adjustments. Refer to the Non-GAAP Reconciliation tables
presented in the supplemental slides.
Forecasted Capital Expenditures
2013 Capital Expenditures Forecast Available Liquidity
1 Eastern Access and US Mainline Expansion capital expenditures are forecasted net of joint funding, with assumed Enbridge Inc. 60% funding; all amounts in $ millions.
Core Maintenance $130
Eastern Access1 490
US Mainline Expansions1 130
North Dakota Expansion & Rail 185
Line 6B 75-mile Replacement 95
Liquids Integrity 275
Cushing Storage 45
Liquids Other Growth Enhancements 290
Ajax Gas Processing Plant 55
Texas Express NGL Pipeline 185
NG Other Growth Enhancements 275
Total $2,155
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1,283
1,611
228
242
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
12/31/2012 3/31/2013
$ millions Credit Facilities Cash
1,852
1,511
Strong investment grade credit profile (BBB/Baa2)
Executed on ~$273 million public
offering of EEQ shares in 1Q13
Joint Funding with Enbridge
enhances financing flexibility
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Strengthening Distribution Coverage
Secured growth projects improve distribution coverage
0.00x
0.25x
0.50x
0.75x
1.00x
1.25x
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013(e) 2016(e)
Long Range
Coverage
Target
Guidance range
Transition to high end of
distribution growth target
Co
vera
ge*
* Coverage includes EEQ paid-in-kind distribution.
Key Takeaways
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• Operational excellence, system integrity, safety and project
execution are top priorities
• Growth projects entered service in first quarter
– Distributable cash flow growth will continue to ramp-up and coverage
strengthens as organic growth projects enter service
• Secured Liquids growth projects collectively further transform the
Partnership to lower risk business model
• Strong liquidity position secured to support organic growth platform
• Maintaining investment grade credit rating is a priority
• Distribution growth: targeting 2% to 5% annual growth