Finding a Smart Partner - mbacasecomp.com · Problem Analysis Decision Criteria Alternatives...
Transcript of Finding a Smart Partner - mbacasecomp.com · Problem Analysis Decision Criteria Alternatives...
Finding a Smart PartnerSWATCH Competitive Reaction
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Is Smart-Touch enough
Apple had a strong launch into the smartwatch
Consumers stating to indicate smartwatch preference
Swatch net sales declined in 2015 by 3%
Profit margins are still healthy 17%
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
What should Swatch do
Expand marketing for existing products
Partner with existing smartwatch company
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Smart watches cannibalizing sales
27% of luxury watch consumers prefer the Apple
Watch
Sales will decline as smart watch
market grows
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Net sales & operating profit declining
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Net Sales 7,796 8,456 8,709 8,451 7,611 6,855 6,174
Operating Profit 1,978 2,314 1,752 1,451 1,115 857 772
All financials are in Millions of CHF
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Net Sales Operating Profit
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Net sales growth is declining rapidly
Year Growth in Net Sales
2015 -3.0%
2018 -9.9%
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
How does Swatch need to react
Org
aniza
tiona
l Per
form
ance
Time
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
External factors hurt performance
High exchange rate contributed to losses
Switzerland had negative exchange rates in 2016
Stronger competition from wearable and smartwatch
Economy is doing well; disposable income is on the rise
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
New technology created smartwatches
Large portion of consumers want to be connected
Technology can change quickly
Wearable technology and fitness trackers are aligned with consumer
trends
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Consumers drive the market
Consumers have a lot of choice &
different preferences
Large number of competitors
Competitors offer specific product
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Smartwatches are a luxury
Swatch dominates luxury market
Swatch has a history of innovation
Strong brand and reputation
Can survive market disruptions
Timeless craftsmanship
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
External resources required for success
Lacking brand awareness with younger generations
Decline in sales (3%) in 2015
Decline in operating income (17%) in 2015
Failed partnership with Microsoft
Low resources available for developing smart watch software
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Turn threats into opportunities
Opportunities• Low penetration in
smartwatch
Threats• Exchange rate• Limited N.A. Market
share• 15% potential
substitute• 27% prefer Apple
watch
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Turn threats into opportunities
Opportunities• Low penetration in
smartwatch• Limited N.A. Market
share• 15% potential
substitute• 27% prefer Apple
watch
Threats• Exchange rate
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Past success with Jonathan
Distinguished professional
Appreciates quality
Willing to pay a premium price
Between 35 – 55 years old
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Meet Erica
Tech-saavyBetween 20 – 35 years
old
Competitive salary
Appreciates technical quality
Needs to stay
connected
Physical activity is important
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
An ideal solution
Increase sales
Maintain market share
Leverage existing brand
awareness
Short-term implementation
timeline
Develop and innovate
technology
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
What can Swatch do
Expand marketing for existing products
Develop a robust luxury smartwatch
Partner with existing smartwatch company
Maintain existing trajectory
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Expand marketing for existing products
• Capitalize on growing watch market in North America• Maintain market share• Targeted marketing will engage ages 20-35• Does not sustainable develop sales growth by expansion
into smart watch
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Expand marketing for existing products
• Capitalize on growing watch market in North America• Maintain market share• Targeted marketing will engage ages 20-35• Does not sustainable develop sales growth by expansion
into smart watch
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Develop a robust luxury smartwatch
• Success is dependent on customer reaction• Swatch unknown development capabilities in high tech• Long term implementation horizon• Develops technology for future growth
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Develop a robust luxury smartwatch
• Success is dependent on customer reaction• Swatch unknown development capabilities in high tech• Long term implementation horizon• Develops technology for future growth
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Partner with existing smartwatch company• Partner with existing smartwatch company Garmin• Integrate Swatch timeless craftsmanship• Increase sales• Maintain market share• Develops technology partner for the future
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Partner with existing smartwatch company• Partner with existing smartwatch company Garmin• Integrate Swatch timeless craftsmanship• Increase sales• Maintain market share• Develops technology partner for the future
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Maintain existing trajectory
• Lose 27% of customers who prefer apple watch• No improvement to North American market• Does not plan for the future
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Maintain existing trajectory
• Lose 27% of customers who prefer apple watch• No improvement to North American market• Does not plan for the future
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
What should Swatch do
Expand marketing for existing products
Develop a robust luxury smartwatch
Partner with existing smartwatch company
Maintain existing trajectory
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Landing a smart partner
In the world of face-paced technology, you need to be quick and decisive in securing capabilities and resources from a partner firm in the first six months
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Landing a smart partner
Task Responsibility Cost Key Metrics
Dedicate partnership task force:• Developing
contracts• Estimates• Ownerships/
legalities
Procurement & senior leaders
N/A(Existing employees & processes)
• Task force created• Negotiation
started
Sign contract with Garmin• Outsource
development –Garmin
• Physical Design –Swatch
Task force 50/50 revenue spline Contract signed
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Landing a smart partner
Task Responsibility Cost Key Metrics
Hold focus group forexisting partners• Marketing• Advertising
Marketing 1 Million CHF Defined target market for smartwatch
Begin hardware build for next smartwatch
Engineers, R&D, Designers
50 Million CHF Prototype
Current customer marketing & awareness• Select brand
ambassador• Focus on current
brand
Marketing & PR 5 Million CHF Launch campaignIncreased salesIncreased market share
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Focus on the future
During the next 6 – 12 months, a balance between smart technology and your strong brand of timelessness and craftsmanship will be critical.
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Focus on the future
Task Responsibility Cost Key Metrics
Integrate Garminoperating system with Swatch hardware• UAT• Customization
Swatch Task force & Garmin
20 Million CHF Minimum viable product
Focus groups for testing of prototype• Look & feel• Wear-ability• Feedback
Marking, PR, Tech team
1 Million CHF Revised user requirements
Refined final product• Integrative
feedback loop
Swatch Task force & Garmin
1 Million CHF Final Product
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Focus on the future
Task Responsibility Cost Key Metrics
Manufacture and mass produce for sale
Manufacturing leads 40 Million CHF Completion of 3 million watches (phased approach)
Marketing and distribution development plans• Co-branded• Co-distributed• Advertising
Swatch & GarminProduct leads
20 Million CHF Final marketing planDistribution channels secured
Launch marketing campaign
Marketing teams Incurred above Website hitsView countsPresale totals
Launch product Marketing, PR, senior leaders
Incurred above Market shareSales
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Engineering future growth
The next 12-24 months of implementation will focus on ensuring resources and capabilities are aligned for future success. This will require constant monitoring of all product lines.
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Engineering future growth
Task Responsibility Cost Key Metrics
Monitor productlaunch
Product Manager Business as Usual SalesMarket Share
Launch secondarycampaign for current customer brand awareness• Luxury• Technology
Marketing, PR 10 Million CHF Website hitsSales
Create innovation hub• Developing
technology in house
Hayek 20 Million CHF N/A
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Engineering future growth
Task Responsibility Cost Key Metrics
Hire for innovation tech hub• Engineers• Designers• Technical Expertise
HR Previously Incurred Secure employees
Launch innovationhub
Innovation hub employees
Previously Incurred Number of viable ideas
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Financial Assumptions
• 2.5% increase in sales from US marketing plan in 2017• Increased watch awareness in US market responds to
campaign
• 2.6 Million units sold at US$800 in 2018• Smart Watch market growth predictions are accurate
• Currency rates stay at current level, no further appreciation
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Net Sales surpass 2014 results by 20182012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Net Sales 7,796 8,456 8,709 8,451 7,611 7,802 8,842Operating Profit 1,978 2,314 1,752 1,451 1,115 1,187 1,827
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10,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Net Sales Operating Profit
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Plan has positive net returns
2017 Costs 2018 Costs
Finding Smart Partner 57 Million CHF
Focus on the Future 82 Million CHF
Engineering Future Growth 30 Million CHF
Yearly Revenue Increase 946 Million CHF 2,667 Million CHF
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Plan has positive net returns
2017 Costs 2018 Costs
Finding Smart Partner 57 Million CHF
Focus on the Future 82 Million CHF
Engineering Future Growth 30 Million CHF
Yearly Revenue Increase 946 Million CHF 2,667 Million CHF
12% Hurdle Rate
Project NPV = 3,162 Million CHF
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Key risks & mitigation
• Smart Product does not generate expected sales• Increase marketing and advertising to promote product• Rely more heavily on current customer market share
• Swiss Franc continues to appreciate• Participate in hedging
• Product launch is delayed• Invest in more resources (use Garmin or Swatch)
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
What should Swatch do
Expand marketing for existing products
Partner with existing smartwatch company
Problem
Analysis
Decision Criteria
Alternatives
Recommendation
Implementation
Financials
Q & A
Q & A