Financial Markets Review (November 2014)

3
November 2014 Performance of the main stock indices Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data The financial markets pag. 1 The utility sector pag. 2 Snam shares and its peers pag. 3 The oil markets Crude oil prices ended the month of Novem- ber significantly down, both the U.S. crude oil benchmark WTI (-17.9%, closing at $66.2/barrel), and Brent (-18.6%, to $68.9/ barrel), following the decision by the OPEC to not cut production to sustain prices, in a market backdrop characterized by an oil supply surplus. Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations The financial markets November saw positive trends across the stock markets, with increases of 2.5% on the US S&P500, of 2.6% on the European DJ Stoxx50, of 1.2% on the Italian FTSE MIB, and of 0.9% on the Stoxx Europe Utilities sector index. Markets were primarily boosted by expecta- tions for further extraordinary monetary poli- cy measures by the ECB. A further boost came from the Chinese Central Bank’s deci- sion to cut interest rates to improve the eco- nomy and from the publication in the US of companies’ quarterly results and better than expected macro-economic data. From a macroeconomic perspective, the US (with reference to October’s data, on a mon- thly basis) saw an improvement in orders for durable goods (+0.4%) and retail sales (+0.3%), whereas industrial production regi- stered a small fall (-0.1%). The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was also up (at 89.4 points in November, the highest in 7 years, from 86.9 in the previous month). Data on the 3Q US GDP 2014 was up +3.9% (on a quarterly basis annualised), from the +3.5% of the initial estimates. In the Eurozone, industrial production regi- stered growth on an aggregate level (+0.6% in October, on a monthly basis), whilst the preliminary estimates (November data, on a monthly basis) for the PMI indices showed a drop (the manufacturing sector to 50.4 points from 50.6, and the composite to 51.4 from 52.1). The ECB confirmed the official refe- rence rate at its current level (0.05%). 5.5% 16.2% 5.3% 11.9% 1.2% 0.9% 2.6% 2.5% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% DJ Stoxx 50 S&P 500 DJ Euro Stoxx Utilities FTSE MIB November ‘14 YtD ‘14 The Snam stock closed down A predominantly positive trend for stock markets in November, boosted by the main central banks’ expansive monetary policy Crude oil prices closed significantly down

Transcript of Financial Markets Review (November 2014)

Page 1: Financial Markets Review (November 2014)

November 2014

Performance of the main stock indices

Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data

The financial markets pag. 1

The utility sector pag. 2

Snam shares and its peers pag. 3

The oil markets

Crude oil prices ended the month of Novem-

ber significantly down, both the U.S. crude

oil benchmark WTI (-17.9%, closing at

$66.2/barrel), and Brent (-18.6%, to $68.9/

barrel), following the decision by the OPEC

to not cut production to sustain prices, in a

market backdrop characterized by an oil

supply surplus.

Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations

The financial markets

November saw positive trends across the

stock markets, with increases of 2.5% on the

US S&P500, of 2.6% on the European DJ

Stoxx50, of 1.2% on the Italian FTSE MIB,

and of 0.9% on the Stoxx Europe Utilities

sector index.

Markets were primarily boosted by expecta-

tions for further extraordinary monetary poli-

cy measures by the ECB. A further boost

came from the Chinese Central Bank’s deci-

sion to cut interest rates to improve the eco-

nomy and from the publication in the US of

companies’ quarterly results and better than

expected macro-economic data.

From a macroeconomic perspective, the US

(with reference to October’s data, on a mon-

thly basis) saw an improvement in orders for

durable goods (+0.4%) and retail sales

(+0.3%), whereas industrial production regi-

stered a small fall (-0.1%). The University of

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was

also up (at 89.4 points in November, the

highest in 7 years, from 86.9 in the previous

month). Data on the 3Q US GDP 2014 was

up +3.9% (on a quarterly basis annualised),

from the +3.5% of the initial estimates.

In the Eurozone, industrial production regi-

stered growth on an aggregate level (+0.6%

in October, on a monthly basis), whilst the

preliminary estimates (November data, on a

monthly basis) for the PMI indices showed a

drop (the manufacturing sector to 50.4 points

from 50.6, and the composite to 51.4 from

52.1). The ECB confirmed the official refe-

rence rate at its current level (0.05%).

5.5%

16.2%

5.3%

11.9%

1.2%

0.9%

2.6%

2.5%

-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

DJ Stoxx 50

S&P 500

DJ Euro Stoxx Utilities

FTSE MIB

November ‘14

YtD ‘14

The Snam stock closed down

A predominantly positive trend for stock markets in November, boosted by the main central banks’ expansive monetary policy

Crude oil prices closed significantly down

Page 2: Financial Markets Review (November 2014)

Similar to the stock market, individual sec-

tors experienced mainly positive trends. The

sole exceptions were the oil and gas sector,

which was affected by the further decline in

crude oil prices following OPEC’s decision to

not to make production cuts, and also the

raw materials sector, which was pulled down

by the persisting slowdown of the Chinese

economy, which continues to report worse

than expected macroeconomic data

(industrial production was at +7.7% in Octo-

ber, compared to an expected 8%).

The most positive performances included the

automotive sector, boosted by European

registrations (+6.2% in October y/y), and

telecommunication sector, supported by a

rationalization process of operators in South

America.

Finally, the Utility sector also saw growth,

supported by regulated companies.

During the month of November, the utility

sector was up 0.9% versus the previous

month's end.

The sector’s performance was supported by

regulated companies, particularly certain

corporate restructuring operations (United

Utilities +6%) and better than expected re-

sults for the period (Pennon +7%), boosted

companies in the UK water sector. Spanish

Red Electrica's performance was also positi-

ve (+6%), supported by the signing of a 20-

year agreement for the management of

ADIF's fibre optic network (public railway

company), which should generate significant

additional annual revenue (65 million euros).

The Utility sector in the Stock Market

Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data

Main sector performance, November 2014

Sector and subsector performance, November 2014

4.1%

0.6%

2.0%

0.9%

-5% 0% 5%

.

Defensive Utilities

DJ Utility

Energy Utilities

Others

Finally, the Utility sector also saw growth, supported by regulated companies.

The Utility sector performance

Financial Markets Review November 2014 Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10%

Page 3: Financial Markets Review (November 2014)

8.6%

12.5%

58.5%

46.6%

23.7%

22.8%

38.6%

16.2%

5.5%

5.3%2.6%

1.2%

0.9%

6.0%

2.4%

2.0%

5.8%

0.7%

-1.6%

-1.1%

-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60%

The Snam shares and its peers in the Stock Markets

The Snam stock closed the month of No-

vember down 1.1% (at €4.26 per share),

underperforming both the Italian market and

the Utility sector.

The stock was affected by the publication of

the new storage regulation by the Regulatory

Authority; it partially recovered from the un-

derperformance in the second half of the

month, following renewed investor confiden-

ce in a stable and sustainable future regula-

tory framework.

The stock's average daily trading volume in

November totalled 15.9 million units, up from

14.2 million in October.

Snam calls extraordinary shareholders meeting

Corporate News

Snam and its peers

Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data

YtD ‘14

November ‘14

FTSE MIB

Stoxx 50

DJ Utility

United Utilities

NG

Severn Trent

REE

Enagas

Snam

Terna

On October 31, under the chairmanship of

Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, Snam’s Board of Direc-

tors reviewed the status of the transaction

announced on 12 September 2014 and ai-

med at acquiring, for an overall amount of

Euro 505 million, the shareholding in Trans

Austria Gasleitung GmbH (TAG) held by CDP

GAS S.r.l., a wholly owned subsidiary of Cas-

sa Depositi e Prestiti S.p.A. In particular,

Snam’s Board of Directors resolved to call an

Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting on 10

December 2014, in a single call, to discuss

and resolve upon the following Agenda: pro-

posal of share capital increase, with the ex-

clusion of preemption rights, pursuant to

Article 2441, paragraph 4 of the Italian Civil

Code, reserved for CDP GAS S.r.l, to be

subscribed through the contribution in kind of

the stake in Trans Austria Gasleitung GmbH.

On November 19 Roberta Melfa, non-

independent and non-executive director and

member of the Appointment Committee of

Snam, resigned from office, with immediate

effect, for personal reasons.

The Company warmly thanks Roberta Melfa

for the professional contribution and commit-

ment shown in pursuance of her duties.

Financial Markets Review November 2014 Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations

Snam SpA

Piazza Santa Barbara 7 - 20097 S. Donato Milanese (Mi) Italy

www.snam.it — [email protected]

tel: +39 02 37037272- fax: +39 02 37037803

Board Member Roberta Melfa resigns from office

Agenda

No event by the end of 2014