Financial Symmetry and Moods in the Markets - Jorgen Vitting Andersen - November 26 2013
Financial Markets Review (November 2014)
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Transcript of Financial Markets Review (November 2014)
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November 2014
Performance of the main stock indices
Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data
The financial markets pag. 1
The utility sector pag. 2
Snam shares and its peers pag. 3
The oil markets
Crude oil prices ended the month of Novem-
ber significantly down, both the U.S. crude
oil benchmark WTI (-17.9%, closing at
$66.2/barrel), and Brent (-18.6%, to $68.9/
barrel), following the decision by the OPEC
to not cut production to sustain prices, in a
market backdrop characterized by an oil
supply surplus.
Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations
The financial markets
November saw positive trends across the
stock markets, with increases of 2.5% on the
US S&P500, of 2.6% on the European DJ
Stoxx50, of 1.2% on the Italian FTSE MIB,
and of 0.9% on the Stoxx Europe Utilities
sector index.
Markets were primarily boosted by expecta-
tions for further extraordinary monetary poli-
cy measures by the ECB. A further boost
came from the Chinese Central Bank’s deci-
sion to cut interest rates to improve the eco-
nomy and from the publication in the US of
companies’ quarterly results and better than
expected macro-economic data.
From a macroeconomic perspective, the US
(with reference to October’s data, on a mon-
thly basis) saw an improvement in orders for
durable goods (+0.4%) and retail sales
(+0.3%), whereas industrial production regi-
stered a small fall (-0.1%). The University of
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was
also up (at 89.4 points in November, the
highest in 7 years, from 86.9 in the previous
month). Data on the 3Q US GDP 2014 was
up +3.9% (on a quarterly basis annualised),
from the +3.5% of the initial estimates.
In the Eurozone, industrial production regi-
stered growth on an aggregate level (+0.6%
in October, on a monthly basis), whilst the
preliminary estimates (November data, on a
monthly basis) for the PMI indices showed a
drop (the manufacturing sector to 50.4 points
from 50.6, and the composite to 51.4 from
52.1). The ECB confirmed the official refe-
rence rate at its current level (0.05%).
5.5%
16.2%
5.3%
11.9%
1.2%
0.9%
2.6%
2.5%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
DJ Stoxx 50
S&P 500
DJ Euro Stoxx Utilities
FTSE MIB
November ‘14
YtD ‘14
The Snam stock closed down
A predominantly positive trend for stock markets in November, boosted by the main central banks’ expansive monetary policy
Crude oil prices closed significantly down
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Similar to the stock market, individual sec-
tors experienced mainly positive trends. The
sole exceptions were the oil and gas sector,
which was affected by the further decline in
crude oil prices following OPEC’s decision to
not to make production cuts, and also the
raw materials sector, which was pulled down
by the persisting slowdown of the Chinese
economy, which continues to report worse
than expected macroeconomic data
(industrial production was at +7.7% in Octo-
ber, compared to an expected 8%).
The most positive performances included the
automotive sector, boosted by European
registrations (+6.2% in October y/y), and
telecommunication sector, supported by a
rationalization process of operators in South
America.
Finally, the Utility sector also saw growth,
supported by regulated companies.
During the month of November, the utility
sector was up 0.9% versus the previous
month's end.
The sector’s performance was supported by
regulated companies, particularly certain
corporate restructuring operations (United
Utilities +6%) and better than expected re-
sults for the period (Pennon +7%), boosted
companies in the UK water sector. Spanish
Red Electrica's performance was also positi-
ve (+6%), supported by the signing of a 20-
year agreement for the management of
ADIF's fibre optic network (public railway
company), which should generate significant
additional annual revenue (65 million euros).
The Utility sector in the Stock Market
Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data
Main sector performance, November 2014
Sector and subsector performance, November 2014
4.1%
0.6%
2.0%
0.9%
-5% 0% 5%
.
Defensive Utilities
DJ Utility
Energy Utilities
Others
Finally, the Utility sector also saw growth, supported by regulated companies.
The Utility sector performance
Financial Markets Review November 2014 Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations
-10% -5% 0% 5% 10%
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8.6%
12.5%
58.5%
46.6%
23.7%
22.8%
38.6%
16.2%
5.5%
5.3%2.6%
1.2%
0.9%
6.0%
2.4%
2.0%
5.8%
0.7%
-1.6%
-1.1%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60%
The Snam shares and its peers in the Stock Markets
The Snam stock closed the month of No-
vember down 1.1% (at €4.26 per share),
underperforming both the Italian market and
the Utility sector.
The stock was affected by the publication of
the new storage regulation by the Regulatory
Authority; it partially recovered from the un-
derperformance in the second half of the
month, following renewed investor confiden-
ce in a stable and sustainable future regula-
tory framework.
The stock's average daily trading volume in
November totalled 15.9 million units, up from
14.2 million in October.
Snam calls extraordinary shareholders meeting
Corporate News
Snam and its peers
Source: Snam on the Bloomberg data
YtD ‘14
November ‘14
FTSE MIB
Stoxx 50
DJ Utility
United Utilities
NG
Severn Trent
REE
Enagas
Snam
Terna
On October 31, under the chairmanship of
Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, Snam’s Board of Direc-
tors reviewed the status of the transaction
announced on 12 September 2014 and ai-
med at acquiring, for an overall amount of
Euro 505 million, the shareholding in Trans
Austria Gasleitung GmbH (TAG) held by CDP
GAS S.r.l., a wholly owned subsidiary of Cas-
sa Depositi e Prestiti S.p.A. In particular,
Snam’s Board of Directors resolved to call an
Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting on 10
December 2014, in a single call, to discuss
and resolve upon the following Agenda: pro-
posal of share capital increase, with the ex-
clusion of preemption rights, pursuant to
Article 2441, paragraph 4 of the Italian Civil
Code, reserved for CDP GAS S.r.l, to be
subscribed through the contribution in kind of
the stake in Trans Austria Gasleitung GmbH.
On November 19 Roberta Melfa, non-
independent and non-executive director and
member of the Appointment Committee of
Snam, resigned from office, with immediate
effect, for personal reasons.
The Company warmly thanks Roberta Melfa
for the professional contribution and commit-
ment shown in pursuance of her duties.
Financial Markets Review November 2014 Snam S.p.A. Investor Relations
Snam SpA
Piazza Santa Barbara 7 - 20097 S. Donato Milanese (Mi) Italy
www.snam.it — [email protected]
tel: +39 02 37037272- fax: +39 02 37037803
Board Member Roberta Melfa resigns from office
Agenda
No event by the end of 2014