Financial Crisis Impact on Indian Economy

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    FINANCIAL CRISIS IMPACT OF

    AN ECONOMY

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    Financial

    Crisis:

    The term financial crisis is applied

    broadly to a variety of situations inwhich some financial institutions or

    assets suddenly lose a large part of

    their value.

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    Types of Crisis:

    1.Banking Crisis:

    A situation in which bank runs are

    widespread is called a systematic

    banking crisis or just a banking panic.

    when a bank suffers a sudden rush

    of withdrawals by depositors, this

    called a bank run.Sweden Banking Crisis 1991

    Reason: speculative real estate and consumer

    debt

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    2.Speculative Bubbles and Crashes:

    A financial asset (for example

    stock) exhibits a bubble when its price

    exceeds the present value of the

    future income (such as interest or

    dividends).

    Example:

    United States Housing

    Bubble /Subprime Mortgage Crisis

    2008.

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    3.International Financial crises:

    When a country that maintains a

    fixed exchange rate is suddenly forced

    to devalue its currency because of a

    speculative attack, this called acurrency crisis or balance of payments

    crisis.

    Example:European Exchange Rate

    Mechanism suffered crisis in 1992-93

    and were forced to devalue. In Asia

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    4.Wider Economic Crisis:

    Negative GDP growth lasting two or

    more quarters is called a recession.

    An especially prolonged recession

    may be called a depression.

    While long period of slow but not

    necessarily negative growth is called

    economic stagnation.

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    Recession VS Depression

    When your neighbor lost job-Recession

    When you last jobDepression

    Great Depression in US 1929

    Failure of Govt efforts to regulate Interest rates.

    Bank Failures

    Stock Market Crashes

    United States Great Britain France Germany

    Industrial production 46% 23% 24% 41%

    Wholesale prices 32% 33% 34% 29%

    Foreign trade 70% 60% 54% 61%

    Unemployment 607% 129% 214% 232%

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    How to Measure the

    Economic/Financial stability of a

    Country GDP

    Balance of Payments

    Currency Appreciation Inflation(Under control)

    Returns in Financial Markets

    Political stability in Home country andrest of the world

    Availability of Resources

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    Gross Domestic

    ProductProductio

    n

    Employment

    Income(S

    alaries)

    Spending

    Sales tothe

    Company(dependingcompany)

    Productio

    n

    GDP

    3M's(Men,Money,Material)

    Con

    sumers/Coustomers/Govt

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    Gross Domestic

    Product

    Investors

    Share Price will Increase(EPS)

    Profits

    Sales to the Company(depending company)

    Spending

    Income(Savings)

    Employment

    Production

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    IMPACT OF A COUNTRY

    Currency Depreciation

    Balance of payments(Deficits)

    Current Account

    Capital Account

    Downfall of Production in Sectors

    Downfall of Profitability in Financial Markets

    Rise in Deflation

    Rise in unemployment Hike in interest rates

    Decline of Countrys Growth rate(GDP)/Overall

    Economy Downfall

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    Current Account of INDIA

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    Capital account of INDIA

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    FIIS Investment in Last

    10years

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    Stock Changes in the year

    2008

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    High Growth in short span of

    time Leads to Unexpected andUnavoidable Damage for Longtime

    Never spend your money before

    you have earned it. Thomas Jefferson

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    Any questions