Financial Analysis of UPFL

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Introduction to Business Finance Group Members: Aaisha AbuBakar Mishal Hussain Mohammad Yakoob

Transcript of Financial Analysis of UPFL

Introduction to Business Finance

Group Members:Aaisha AbuBakar

Mishal Hussain

Mohammad Yakoob

Introduction

• No such company like UNILEVER serving with more than 400 brands to customer for their health and well beings.

• UNILEVER operating in Pakistan since 1948 by LEVER BROTHER in RAHIM YAR KHAN.

• Unilever Pakistan is the largest fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) company in Pakistan, Unilever Pakistan is the largest fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) company in Pakistan.

• Now their head office is in Karachi.

Vision

• “We work to create a better future every day.”

• We help people feel good, look good and get more out of life with brands and services that are good for them and

good for others. We will inspire people to take small every day actions that can add up to a big difference in the

world. We will develop new ways of doing business with the aim of doubling the size of our Company while

reducing our environmental impact.

Brands

Financial Analysis

Ratio analysis

• Current Ratio: 0.89 times

• Quick Ratio: 0.56 times.

• Inventory Turnover Ratio: 8.73 times per year

• Day sales outstanding (DSO) ratio: 0.0001

• Fixed Assets Turnover: 2.43 times

• Total Assets Turnover Ratio: is 1.9403

Ratio analysis

• Total Debt to Total Assets: 55.19%

• Times-Interest-Earned Ratio: 49.65 times.

• Operating Margin: EBIT/Sales

• 14.26%

• Profit Margin: Net income/ Sales

• 14.3%

• Return on common Equity:73.4%

• Price/Earnings Ratios is 27.49

Comparison Analysis with Industry

• UPFL’s ROE is 73.4% while industry average is 16.59%. It is because of company has not used debt.

• UPFL’s P\E ratio is 27.49x while industry average is 26.8x which mean company is relatively low risky and having high growth as compare to industry.

• UPFL’s operation margin is 14.56% as compare to industry average which is 12.56% which means UPFL is tackling its operation cost efficiently. It also implies they have relatively high turnover rate and days sales outstanding.

• UPFL’s current ratio is 0.89 while industry average is 1.82 which shows that UPFL is able to fulfil its short term liabilities in given period of time.

• UPFL’s profit margin is 14.38%% while industry average is 12.43% because its operating Margin is higher and its sales are enough to generate profit.

Balance Sheet of Company

Statement of Cash Flow

Some basic calculation regarding FCF model

• Free Cash Flow Valuation Model:

• FCF= EBIT*(1-T) + Depreciation and Amortization – Capital Expenditures – Change in net working capital.

• FCF2016 = FCF2015 (1+g)

• Horizon Value = FCF2019 (1+g) / (WACC – g)

• Non-Constant Growth:

Cost of Equity

• We have extracted data from Bloomberg to determine cost of equity (rs)

• Cost of equity is based upon CAPM model which is 13.32% which includes:

• Risk free rate which is 8%

• Market premium is 7% which is the difference of the market rate & risk free rate

• Beta of company is 0.76

Determining WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital)

Weight of debt=wd= 62%

Cost of debt=rd= 7.5%

Weight of equity=ws= 38%

Cost of equity=rs= 13.32%

No preferred equity.

Tax rate= 35

Formula

WACC= (wd) r

d(1-T) + (w

s)(r

s)

WACC= 8.08%

FCF VALUATION

MODEL F/2015 F/2016 F/2017 F/2018 F/2019Sales 8571.1

less: Operating cost 4738.8

less: Depreciation expense 107.3

EBIT 3725

EBIT(1-T) 2421.25

EBIT(1-T)+ depreciation and amortization 2528.55

Change in Net Operating Working Capital -260.5

Gross capital expenditure -153.2

FCF 2942.25 3442.433 4044.858 4772.933 381.8346

Horizon Value 5047.428

Discounted FCF 2942.25 3247.884 3600.589 4008.581 4367.668

PV Of FCF 18166.97

Less debt 220.6

Value of equity 17946.37

Number of shares outstanding 4.2

Price per share 4272.946

our valuation

• The intrinsic value is 4272.976Rs

• whereas the ongoing market price is 5700Rs.

• In this regard the stock is overvalued.