Financial Analysis of Hul and Godrej

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 1

    FinancialAnalysis of HUL

    and GCPL (FMCG

    Sector)

    ManagementAccounting I Project

    12P139 Ishpreet Singh

    12P140 J Abhinav

    12P141 Karan Jaidka

    12P142 Kshitij Agrawal

    12P143 Kshitij Ahuja

    12P144 Ladlee Rathore

    Group 4 Section CPGPM

    2012-14

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 2

    Table of ContentsTitle Page No.

    Acknowledgements 1

    Introduction 2

    Snapshot of the FMCG sector 3Companies under study 4

    Comparative financial analysis 5

    Short term investment 6

    Long term investment 12

    Short term lending 19

    Long term lending 23

    Strategy 29

    Altman Model 42

    Appendix 46

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    AcknowledgementsWe, as Group 4 of Section C, would collectively like to thank Prof. S.K Rai, who for his in-depth

    analysis of various topics in Management Accounting I, arise in all of us a genuine curiosity and

    interest in the subject. His guidance during the course helped us in the financial analysis of the

    FMCG industry. Lastly, we thank the Almighty for guiding us through the implementation of this

    project.

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    IntroductionFinancial statement analysis is the process of reviewing and evaluating a c ompanys financial

    statements thereby gaining an understanding the financial health of the company and enabling

    effective decision making for owners and managers, prospective and present investors,

    financial institutions, government entities etc. It involves analysis of past, current and projected

    performance of the company.

    Financial Statements are released by companies not only for acceding to the norms set up by

    the exchanges on which they are listed and to follow the rules put down by the regulator of

    that country but also to provide prospective investors and financial institutions a brief insight

    into the company. It helps them take decision to make investment or give loan, both long termand short term to the company.

    Financial statements are normally available in companys website, prospectus as also the

    annual and the quarterly results declared by the company. These statements by themselves

    contain a lot of numbers which are in comprehensible unless a proper analysis of such

    documents is carried out to arrive at a conclusion on the company's financial health. The pages

    that follow, aim to provide a simplified explanation of some of the basic analysis company for

    different objectives of the investor/lender. The objectives include Short term and long term

    investment, short term and long term lending and future strategy.

    For executing this project, we selected two companies

    a. Hindustan Unilever Limitedb. Godrej Consumer Products LimitedWe took one Large Cap Company and a Mid Cap Company and compared the two.

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    Snapshot of the FMCG SectorFast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) These are products that are sold quickly and at

    relatively low. Examples include non-durable goods such as soft drinks, toiletries, and grocery

    items. Though the absolute profit made on FMCG products is relatively small, they generally sell

    in large quantities, so the cumulative profit on such products can be substantial.

    The term FMCGs refers to those retail goods that are generally replaced or fully used up over a

    short period of days, weeks, or months, and within one year. This contrasts with

    durable or major appliances such as kitchen appliances, which are generally replaced over a

    period of several years.FMCG have a short shelf life, either as a result of high consumer demand or because the

    product deteriorates rapidly. Some FMCGs such as meat, fruits and vegetables, dairy products

    and baked goods are highly perishable. Other goods such as alcohol, toiletries, pre-packaged

    foods, soft drinks and cleaning products have high turnover rates. The following are the main

    characteristics of FMCGs:

    From the consumers' perspective: Frequent purchase Low involvement (little or no effort to choose the item products with strongbrand loyalty are exceptions to this rule)

    Low price From the marketers' angle: High volumes Low contribution margins Extensive distribution networks High stock turnover

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    Companies under StudyHindustan Unilever Limited (HUL)- Itis India's largest consumer goods company based

    in Mumbai, Maharashtra. It is owned by the British-Dutch company Unilever which controls

    52% majority stake in HUL. Its products include foods, beverages, cleaning agents and personal

    care products.

    HUL was formed in 1933 as Lever Brothers India Limited and came into being in 1956 as

    Hindustan Lever Limited through a merger of Lever, Hindustan Vanaspati Mfg. Co. Ltd. and

    United Traders Ltd. It is headquartered in Mumbai, India and has employee strength of over

    16,500 employees and contributes to indirect employment of over 65,000 people. The

    company was renamed in June 2007 as Hindustan Unilever Limited.

    Lever Brothers started its actual operations in India in the summer of 1888, when crates full of

    Sunlight soap bars, embossed with the words "Made in England by Lever Brothers" were

    shipped to the Kolkata harbor and it began an era of marketing branded Fast Moving Consumer

    Goods (FMCG).

    Hindustan Unilever's distribution covers over 2 million retail outlets across India directly and its

    products are available in over 6.4 million outlets in the country. As per Nielsen market research

    data, two out of three Indians use HUL products.

    Godrej Consumer Products Limited (GCPL) It is an Indian consumer goods company based in

    Mumbai, India. GCPLs product range includes soaps, hair colorants, toiletries and liquid

    detergents. Some of the leading brands are Cinthol, Godrej Fair Glow, Godrej No.1 and

    Godrej Shikakai in soaps, Godrej Powder Hair Dye, Renew, ColourSoft in hair colorants and

    Ezee liquid detergent. GCPL has five manufacturing facilities in India at Malanpur (Madhya

    Pradesh), Guwahati (Assam), Baddi- Thana (Himachal Pradesh), Baddi- Katha (Himachal

    Pradesh) and Sikkim.

    The Consumer Products business was part of the erstwhile Godrej Soaps Limited (GSL) and was

    demerged into Godrej Consumer Products Limited in April 2001, pursuant to a scheme of

    demerger approved by the Honble High Court of Judicature, Mumbai, dated March 14, 2001.

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    Comparative Financial AnalysisThe following are various analysis metrics considered to compare the performance of HUL and

    GCPL:-

    Short Term Investment

    Long Term Investment

    Short Term Lending

    Long Term Lending

    Strategies for the Future

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    Short Term InvestmentShort term investment can be considered as the continual buying and selling of stock of

    companies, in an effort to have one's money grow faster than the general level of stock prices.

    Normally investments are done for less than a year.

    The main aim of Short term investment is to protect the capital by investing in low risk

    instruments and simultaneously get a return which beats the benchmark.

    Short term investment includes investment in stocks and other short term debt. They are

    commonly used by investors to temporarily store funds while arranging for their transfer to

    another investment vehicle that provides higher returns. The various ratios and factors to be

    taken into consideration are:-

    1. P/E ratio

    2. P/BV ratio

    3. EPS

    4. Beta Value

    5. Share price

    Though there is no fixed definition for short term we are considering a period of six months

    here.

    Observation of the two firms Hindustan Unilever Ltd. and Godrej Consumer Products Ltd. for

    Short Term Investment is depicted in the table below:-

    Company FY12 FY11 FY10 FY09 FY08

    P/E Ratio

    41.15 26.65 24.77 24.44 26.72

    40.53 27.18 32.48 21.13 21.60

    P/BV

    Ratio

    6.47 7.71 9.74 6.36 18.96

    44.17 86.33 226.79 28.87 25

    EPS12.45 10.68 10.09 11.47 8.12

    17.76 13.44 8.05 6.29 6.56

    1) P/E ratio

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    The P/E ratio expresses the relationship between the price per share and the amount of

    earnings attributable to a single share. i.e., the P/E ratio tells us how much an investor in

    common stock pays per rupee of current earnings.

    PE Ratio = Market Value per share / Earning per share

    What does P/E ratio say?

    A higher P/E ratio means that investors are paying more for each unit of net income, so the

    stock is more expensive, that is overvalued, compared to one with a lower P/E ratio.

    Trend analysis

    P/E ratios for both the companies are increasing with almost equal rate and the absolute values

    are also more or less equal. Hence, we cant conclude anything on the basis of this ratio alone.

    26.7224.44

    24.7726.65

    41.15

    21.621.13

    32.4827.18

    40.53

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 10

    2) P/BV ratioA ratio used to compare a stock's market value to its book value; it is calculated by dividing the

    market price of share by the book value per share.

    Price to Book Value = Market price per share / book value per share

    What does P/BV say?

    A lower P/BV ratio could mean that the stock is undervalued. However, it could also mean that

    something is fundamentally wrong with the company. As with most ratios, be aware that this

    varies by industry.This ratio also gives some idea of whether you're paying too much for what would be left if the

    company went bankrupt immediately.

    Trend analysis

    P/BV ratio of GCPL is 6.46 and it is decreasing but for HUL, it is 25.22 and increasing. So, we can

    say that GCPL share is under-valued as compared to HUL. This ratio for GPCL is not too low to

    get tense about returns from investment

    32.5

    25.25

    20.16

    23.12 25.22

    18.96

    6.36

    9.747.71

    6.47

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 11

    3) EPSThe earnings per share is a good measure of profitability and when compared with EPS of

    similar companies, it gives a view of the comparative earnings or earnings power of the firm.

    EPS ratio calculated for a number of years indicates whether or not the earning power of the

    company has increased.

    Earnings per share (EPS) Ratio = (Net profit after tax Preference dividend) / No. of equity

    shares (common shares)

    Trend Analysis

    EPS has been increasing for both the companies but GCPL is at a better position since the

    percentage increase in EPS and the absolute value of EPS is much better as compared to HUL

    8.12

    11.47 10.0910.68

    12.45

    6.566.29

    8.05

    13.44

    17.76

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 12

    4) Beta ValueBeta () of a stock or portfolio is a number describing the correlated volatility of an asset in

    relation to the volatility of the benchmark that said asset is being compared to, the benchmark

    being considered to be financial market.

    Beta can be estimated for individual companies using regression analysis against a stock market

    index. It describes how much risk that one can take to get a desirable return or vice versa.

    What does beta value say?

    1. Negative beta, is a rare condition where the price of the stock moves in reversedirection to the market movement.

    2. Zero beta, is another rarity, where the price of stock stays same over time irrespectiveof market movement. This can sometimes happen in sideways moving markets, where no majoreconomic/industry/company news is coming up.

    3. A beta of less than 1 means that the security will be less volatile than the market. This iswhen the stock price moves less in comparison of market. It makes them qualify for low-risk

    investments, but is not so suitable for short-term trading.

    4. A beta of 1 indicates that the security's price will move with the market. This is true formany index-linked stocks and funds.

    5. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than themarket. This is when the stock price movement surpass market movement. These stocks tend

    to offer better return for high-risk taken, but many of them are less suitable for long-term

    investing. Very high beta levels may indicate low liquidity causing increase in volatility.

    Trend analysis

    Beta value for HUL is 0.389 and for GCPL is 0.27. Since, both of them are less, we cant conclude

    much on the basis of beta values of two companies.

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 13

    5) Share priceShare price of HUL has increased by almost 35% in the past one year and the present market value of its

    share is 518.25 while the increase in price of GCPL is by almost 55% with present market value being

    690.6. But, in the last 3 months the percentage increase in price is almost the same at 20%.

    So, for short term nothing significant can be concluded by share price.

    Overall Analysis

    In short term, based on EPS and P/BV, we can conclude that investment is better in GCPL as

    compared to HUL since returns will be high from GCPL

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    Long Term InvestmentLong Term Investing refers to the fact that investment is made for a period greater than 1 year.

    The various factors to be considered are:-

    1. Fixed asset turnover ratio

    2. Return on Equity

    3. Return on capital employed

    4. Operating profit margin

    5. Dividend yield ratio

    6. Dividend payout ratio

    Each of these factors has a role to play in the selection of the company for investment.However, the degrees to which they affect the returns vary in response to the other factors as

    well. Hence, for arriving at a decision for the investment, the entire basket needs to be

    considered. Following is a brief discussion for each of them:-

    Company FY12 FY11 FY10 FY09 FY08

    D/E Ratio

    0 0 0 0.2 0.06

    0.09 0.18 0.01 0.12 0.89

    Interest

    CoverageRatio

    2796.6 12238.54 404.94 119.5 92.3

    44.17 86.33 226.79 28.87 25

    ROE76.62% 87.54% 85.25% 121.27% 122.91%

    23.94% 28.36% 29.98% 30.08% 98.47%

    Dividend

    per share

    7.5 6.5 6.5 7.5 9

    4.75 4.5 4.25 4 4

    P/BV Ratio25.22 23.12 20.16 25.25 32.5

    6.47 7.71 9.74 6.36 18.96

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 15

    1) Fixed-asset Turnover Ratio:The fixed-asset turnover ratio measures a company's ability to generate net sales from fixed-

    asset investments - specifically property, plant and equipment (PP&E) - net of depreciation.

    What does FA Turnover ratio say?

    A higher fixed-asset turnover ratio shows that the company has been more effective in using

    the investment in fixed assets to generate revenues.

    Trend analysis

    The ratio is increasing for both the companies but for GCPL, it is increasing at a higher rate ascompared to HUL, also, the absolute value for GCPL is higher than HUL. So, GCPL is more

    efficient of the two

    9.8

    7.81

    5.355.63

    6.26

    4.6 4.184.73

    6.09

    7.49

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 16

    2) Return on EquityIt is the amount of net income as a percentage of shareholders equity.

    Return on Equity = Net Income/Shareholder's Equity

    What does it say?

    Return on equity measures a corporation's profitability by revealing how much profit a

    company generates with the money shareholders have invested. So higher the ROE, better is

    the performance of the company

    Trend analysis

    ROE for both the companies are decreasing but for HUL the absolute value is much higher as

    compared to GCPL. Hence, of the two, HUL is a better option.

    122.91%

    121.27%

    85.25% 87.54%

    76.62%

    98.47%

    30.08% 29.98% 28.36%

    23.94%

    0.00%

    20.00%

    40.00%

    60.00%

    80.00%

    100.00%

    120.00%

    140.00%

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 17

    3) ROCEIt is the ratio that indicates the efficiency and profitability of a company's capital investments.

    ROCE = EBIT / (Total asset current liabilities)

    What does ROCE say?

    ROCE measures a corporation's profitability by revealing how much profit a company generates

    with respect to the total investment made. So higher the ROCE, better is the performance of

    the company

    Trend analysis

    ROCE has been decreasing for both the companies but the absolute value of ROCE for HUL is

    more than 4 times than GCPL, which shows that HUL is performing much better and hence, it isa better option

    138.72

    118.59

    106.78102.47

    93.08

    66.03

    32.65 35.7328.43

    21.42

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 18

    4) Operating Profit MarginsA ratio used to measure a company's pricing strategy and operating efficiency.

    Operating Profit Margin = Operating Income / Net Sales

    What does it say?

    Operating margin gives analysts an idea of how much a company makes (before interest and

    taxes) on each dollar of sales. When looking at operating margin to determine the quality of a

    company, it is best to look at the change in operating margin over time and to compare the

    company's yearly or quarterly figures to those of its competitors. If a company's margin is

    increasing, it is earning more per dollar of sales. Higher the operating profit margin, the betterthe performance of the company.

    Trend analysis

    HUL is a better option as its operating margin is high as well as it is increasing from the last year

    which is not the case with GCPL

    0.1270.122

    0.1360.128

    0.142

    0.175

    0.118

    0.1310.12

    0.111

    0

    0.02

    0.04

    0.06

    0.08

    0.1

    0.12

    0.14

    0.16

    0.18

    0.2

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 19

    5) Dividend YieldA financial ratio that shows how much a company pays out in dividends each year relative to its

    share price. In the absence of any capital gains, the dividend yield is the return on investment

    for a stock. Dividend yield is calculated as follows:

    Dividend Yield = Annual Dividends per share / price per share

    What does it say?

    Dividend yield is a way to measure how much cash flow you are getting for each dollar invested

    in an equity position - in other words, how much "bang for your buck" you are getting from

    dividends. Investors who require a minimum stream of cash flow from their investment

    portfolio can secure this cash flow by investing in stocks paying relatively high, stable dividend

    yields.

    Trend analysis

    HUL is better option since the absolute value of Dividend yield is greater than GCPL but for both

    the companies dividend yield is decreasing.

    4.2

    3.1

    2.7

    2.2

    1.8

    3.2

    3.01

    1.62

    1.23

    0.99

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    3

    3.5

    4

    4.5

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    6) Dividend Payout RatioThe percentage of earnings paid to shareholders in dividends.

    Dividend Payout Ratio = Dividends / Net Income

    What does it say?

    The payout ratio provides an idea of how well earnings support the dividend payments. More

    mature companies tend to have a higher payout ratio. This is because they do not retain the

    earnings for re investing in business.

    Trend analysis

    HUL is a better option since it doesnt retain much of its earnings for the purpose of expansion

    as compared to GCPL

    Overall Analysis

    After considering all the parameters, we can say that HUL is better for long term investment

    since it provides better dividends as compared to GCPL. Not only that, in terms of ROE, ROCL

    and operating profit margin, HUL is a better company to invest for the long term.

    131.8

    76.47 75.271.2 69.99

    73.2674.58

    59.34

    45.19

    30.11

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Short Term LendingThe analysis of short term will depend on how much returns our investment will give us in the short run.

    A bank will thus lend only to the company, which is more efficient in running business, and will have

    higher sales in the near future that will ensure that the loan will be repaid on time. Thus we must

    analyze why the company is borrowing money and what will be the application of funds. We must find

    out whether the company will apply the funds to pay back loans (principal or interest) or to raise fixed

    assets or to increase current assets. For short term lending the primary concern for any bank are the

    liquidity ratios of the company(s) concerned. So the parameters that we will take into consideration

    are:-

    1. Current Ratio

    2. Receivables Turnover Ratio

    3. Inventory Turnover Ratio

    Company FY12 FY11 FY10 FY09 FY08

    Current

    Ratio

    0.86 0.88 1.01 1.32 0.85

    1.20 0.74 1.46 2.23 0.95

    Receivables

    Turnover

    Ratio

    27.27 24.28 29.24 41.83 31.41

    30.17 35.1 59.25 99.37 81.10

    Inventory

    Turnover

    Ratio

    9.93 7.91 8.99 9.26 7.2

    7.16 8.2 7.93 9.25 5.7

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 22

    1) Current RatioA liquidity ratio that measures a company's ability to pay short-term obligations.

    The Current Ratio formula is:

    What does current ratio say?

    The higher the current ratio, the more capable the company is of paying its obligations. A ratio

    under 1 suggests that the company would be unable to pay off its obligations if they came due at

    that point. While this shows the company is not in good financial health, it does not necessarily

    mean that it will go bankrupt - as there are many ways to access financing - but it is definitelynot a good sign.

    Trend AnalysisWhen we compare the ratios for both the companies, HUL has a lower current ratio as compared to

    GCPL. The current ratio for HUL is decreasing as well unlike GCPL. This means that GCPL is a better

    company in paying off its obligations

    0.85

    1.32

    1.01

    0.88

    0.86

    0.95

    2.23

    1.46

    0.74

    1.2

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    2) Receivables Turnover RatioThis ratio shows how efficiently the company is making its credit sales and thereby making use

    of its assets.

    Receivable Turnover ratio = Sales / Average account receivable

    What does receivable turnover ratio say?

    A high ratio indicates the company is doing well at lending credit and collecting debts. A low

    ratio indicates that company has to look back its credit policies.

    Trend analysis

    In the last 5 years, the ratio has decreased for both the companies but it is decreasing at amuch faster rate for GCPL as compared to HUL. The absolute value of GCPL is, however,

    marginally more than HUL. But, according to the trend HUL is doing better at lending credit and

    collecting debts.

    31.41

    41.83

    29.2424.28 27.27

    81.1

    99.37

    59.25

    35.130.17

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    3) Inventory Turnover RatioThis ratio gives number of times inventory is sold i.e. for it is sales to inventory ratio.

    Inventory turnover ratio= sales/inventory

    What does Inventory turnover ratio say?

    High value of this ratio indicates that a lot of inventory is either being sold or there is ineffective

    buying because of low prices. Low value indicates high inventory which is not good. It shows

    that sales are not happening.

    Trend analysis

    Inventory turnover ratio of GCPL is low and decreasing from last year but for HUL, it isincreasing which shows that HUL is more efficient in utilising inventory

    Overall Analysis

    HUL is better at Receivable turnover ratio and Inventory turnover ratio signifying that for

    providing short term loans, HUL is a better company as compared to GCPL

    7.2

    9.26

    8.99

    7.91

    9.93

    5.7

    9.25

    7.93

    8.2

    7.16

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Long Term LendingThe main purpose of long term lending is

    a. Steady return for a long period of timeb. Reduce risk

    The lender generally looks at four ratios apart from the above analysis

    1. Debt equity ratio2. Interest coverage ratio3. Fixed asset turnover ratio4. ROCE5. Gross block

    Company FY12 FY11 FY10 FY09 FY08

    D/E Ratio

    0 0 0 0 0

    0.09 0.17 0 0.10 0.83

    Interest

    Coverage

    Ratio

    2796.6 12238.54 404.94 119.5 92.3

    44.17 86.33 226.79 28.87 25

    Fixed

    Assets

    Turnover

    Ratio

    6.26 5.63 5.35 7.81 9.8

    7.49 6.09 4.73 4.18 4.6

    ROCE93.08 102.47 106.78 118.59 138.72

    21.42 28.43 35.73 32.65 66.03

    Gross

    Block

    3574.67 3759.62 3581.76 2881.73 2669.08

    1363.43 1461.06 273.81 266.54 265.56

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 26

    1) D/E RatioIt is a measure of a company's financial leverage. It indicates what proportion of equity and

    debt the company is using to finance its assets.

    D/E = Total liabilities / Net worth

    What does D/E ratio says?

    While a lower total debt to equity ratio generally reflects conservative financial policies and

    mean diluted earnings for equity investors as it probably suggests that the company is not

    leveraging itself optimally to achieve growth in return on equity funds.

    A high debt/equity ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive in financing its

    growth with debt. This can result in volatile earnings as a result of the additional interest

    expense.

    Trend analysis

    D/E ratio is low for both the companies and it is decreasing further for GCPL. Since, this ratio is lower for

    HUL, so, this company is a better option for long term lending.

    0 0 0 0 0

    0.83

    0.1

    0

    0.17

    0.09

    0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 27

    2) Interest Coverage RatioA ratio used to determine how easily a company can pay interest on outstanding debt. The

    interest coverage ratio is calculated by dividing a company's earnings before interest and taxes

    (EBIT) of one period by the company's interest expenses of the same period:

    What does interest coverage ratio say?

    The lower the ratio, the more the company is burdened by debt expense. When a company's

    interest coverage ratio is 1.5 or lower, its ability to meet interest expenses may be

    questionable. An interest coverage ratio below 1 indicates the company is not generating

    sufficient revenues to satisfy interest expenses.

    Trend analysis

    Interest coverage ratio of HUL is higher than GCPL and it has increased by almost 3000% and for

    GCPL, it has increased by almost 90% which clearly tells that HUL will be in better condition to

    repay interest on loans.

    92.3 119.5 404.94

    12238.54

    2796.6

    25 28.87 226.79

    86.3344.170

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 28

    3) Fixed Asset Turnover RatioThe fixed-asset turnover ratio measures a company's ability to generate net sales from fixed-

    asset investments - specifically property, plant and equipment (PP&E) - net of depreciation.

    What does FA Turnover ratio say?

    A higher fixed-asset turnover ratio shows that the company has been more effective in using

    the investment in fixed assets to generate revenues.

    Trend Analysis

    From the last 3 years, the ratio is increasing for both the companies but the increase inpercentage of GCPL as well as absolute value is greater as compared to HUL and hence, GCPL is

    a better option

    9.8

    7.81

    5.35

    5.63

    6.26

    4.64.18

    4.73

    6.09

    7.49

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 29

    4) Return on Capital EmployedIt is a ratio that indicates the efficiency and profitability of a company's capital investments.

    ROCE = EBIT / (Total asset current liabilities)

    What does ROCE say?

    ROCE measures a corporation's profitability by revealing how much profit a company generates

    with respect to the total investment made. So higher the ROCE, better is the performance of

    the company

    Trend Analysis

    ROCE has been decreasing for both the companies but the absolute value of ROCE for HUL is

    more than 4 times than GCPL, which shows that HUL is performing much better and hence, it is

    a better option

    138.72

    118.59

    106.78102.47

    93.08

    66.03

    32.65

    35.73

    28.43

    21.42

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 30

    5) Gross BlockThe total value of all of the assets that a company owns. Value is determined by the amount it

    cost to acquire these assets, and it is not decreased to take into account the effects of

    depreciation.

    Trend Analysis

    Gross block for both the companies has decreased between 2011 and 2012. It increased

    significantly for GCPL in 2010-11 implying that the company has expanded rapidly. But, for now,

    both the companies seem to be stable.

    Overall analysis

    While comparing the two companies, we can see that HUL is better than GCPL for long term

    lending on parameters like ROCE, Interest coverage which signify that HUL is doing well in

    business

    2669.08

    2881.73

    3581.163759.62

    3574.67

    265.56 266.54 273.8

    1461.061363.43

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    3500

    4000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 31

    StrategyShort term operations

    1) Inventory turnover ratioThis ratio gives number of times inventory is sold i.e. for it is sales to inventory ratio.

    Inventory turnover ratio= sales/inventory

    What does Inventory turnover ratio say?

    High value of this ratio indicates that a lot of inventory is either being sold or there is ineffective

    buying because of low prices. Low value indicates high inventory which is not good. It shows

    that sales are not happening.

    Trend Analysis

    The inventory turnover ratio is higher for GCPL which shows the high amount of sales are happening in

    the company and the company is able to sell its inventory at a much faster rate as compared to HUL

    showing better short term operational efficiency. Over the last 5 years, we notice that both companies

    have followed a similar trend maintaining inventory. We see that both companies are efficiently their

    inventory over time and their operational strategy based on inventory is sound.

    7.2

    9.26

    8.99

    7.91

    9.93

    5.7

    9.25

    7.93

    8.2

    7.16

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 32

    2)Days of Inventory:365/turnover ratioA financial measure of a company's performance that gives investors an idea of how long it

    takes a company to turn its inventory (including goods that are work in progress, if applicable)

    into sales.

    Days of Inventory = 365/turnover ratio

    What does it Say?

    Generally, the lower (shorter) the DSI the better, but it is important to note that the average

    DSI varies from one industry to another.

    Trend analysis

    The days of inventory of HUL are substantially lower as compared to GCPL, which shows that HUL

    takes lesser time to turn its inventory (including goods that are work in progress, if applicable) into sales,and hence is more operationally efficient than GCPL.

    85.8

    73.6380.04

    89.57

    71.76

    122.49

    69.5

    87.1782.84

    91.46

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 33

    Long Term Operational Strategy1) Return on Assets/Assets Turnover Ratio

    Return on Assets: An indicator of how profitable a company is relative to its total assets. It is calculated

    as:

    Asset Turnover is the amount of sales generated for every dollar's worth of assets. It is calculated by

    dividing sales in dollars by assets in dollars.

    Formula:

    What does it say?

    A high value of ROA or Assets Turnover Ratio measures how efficiently the assets are used in making a

    profit.

    ROA

    6.619.46

    11.84 12.216.25

    6.54

    20.9

    26.85

    47.4

    74.17

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 34

    Asset Turnover

    Trend Analysis

    The return on assets as well as the asset turnover ratio is substantially higher in case of GCPL,which shows that the company is able to use its assets more efficiently as compared to the

    other company i.e, HUL and hence is able to generate more revenues per unit of assets. HULs

    Return on Assets is marginally increasing over the years, but it is not a significant increase,

    hence the company should try and utilize its assets more efficiently.

    5.64

    7.81

    5.355.63

    6.26

    4.64.18

    4.73

    6.09

    7.49

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 35

    2)Fixed AssetsA long-term tangible piece of property that a firm owns and uses in the production of its

    income and is not expected to be consumed or converted into cash any sooner than at least oneyear's time.

    Trend Analysis

    We see that both companies have been increasing their assets over the last 5 years. However,

    between 2010 and 2011, GCPL increased their assets approximately 5 times. One of the major

    reasons for the sharp increase in fixed assets between 2010 and 2011 was GCPLs extensive

    expansion of operations in countries in Africa and Latin America during this period.

    2727.262959.14

    3667.243854.15 4061.16

    389.28550.2

    726.74

    3455.14

    4185.74

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    3500

    4000

    4500

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 36

    Financial EfficiencyShort Term Financial Strategy

    1) Working CapitalWorking Capital measures a company's efficiency in its short term financial health.

    Working capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities

    What does it say?

    A positive working capital denotes that the company is able to pay off its short term liabilities

    while a negative value means that the company is unable to pay off its short term liabilities.

    Trend Analysis

    The working capital in case of GCPL has been substantially increasing over the years as

    compared to HUL which shows that the company is able to pay its short term liabilities over

    time. HULs working capital is negative indicating that company is not able to pay off short term

    liabilities.

    -1431.33

    -1183.74

    -2404.23-2227.84

    -1982.75

    -58.95 -84.47 -127.05 -96.67

    104.83

    -3000

    -2500

    -2000

    -1500

    -1000

    -500

    0

    500

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 37

    2)Interest Coverage RatioThis ratio signifies how easily a company can pay interest on outstanding debt.

    What does it say?

    The lower the ratio, the more the company is burdened by the debt expense. For example, an

    ICR of less than one signifies that the company is unable to generate sufficient revenues to

    satisfy interest expenses.

    Trend analysis

    Interest coverage ratio of HUL is higher than GCPL and it has increased by almost 3000% and for

    GCPL, it has increased by almost 90% which clearly tells that HUL will be in better condition torepay interest on loans.

    In case of HUL we see a sharp increase in the ICR from 2010 to 2011. This is due to the steep

    drop in the interest paid which falls from 6.98 crore to 0.24 crore during this period. From 2011

    to 2012 the interest increases from 0.24 crore to 1.24 crore which explains the steep decrease

    in the ICR.

    83.09 116.28395.13

    11243.63

    2636.53

    23.07 26.89

    216.85

    82.78 44.17

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 38

    Long Term Financial Strategy1) Sales Growth

    Sales Growth of a company is used to find out the rate at which sales grows as compared to the

    industry.

    Sales for the Companies

    Trend Analysis

    As it can be inferred from the graph, the sales for HUL has been rising at a faster rate as

    compared to GCPL which shows a strong order book and hence higher expectations of growth

    in the near future.

    14912.06

    21912.02

    18461.08

    20939.38

    24506.4

    1134.43 1438.92084.27

    3775.894986.61

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    30000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 39

    2)Long Term LoanLong-term loan is debt due in one year or more. It appears on a company's balance sheet.

    For example many banks have term-loan programs that can offer small businesses the

    cash they need to operate from month to month. Often a small business will use the cash from

    a term loan to purchase fixed assets such as equipment used in its production process.

    Trend Analysis

    The long term loans in case of HUL have been negligible, whereas in case of GCPL have been

    fluctuating. GCPL should therefore try and reduce its secured loans. One of the major reasons

    for the sharp increase in secured loans between 2010 and 2011 was GCPLs extensive expansion

    of operations in countries in Africa and Latin America during this period.

    88.53

    421.95

    0 0 0

    134.59

    62.89

    12.4

    272.49

    237.51

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 40

    3)Unsecured LoanThese are loans that are not backed by any underlying asset. It is high risk for the lenders since

    there is a chance of default. This generally comes at a high interest rate.

    Trend Analysis

    The unsecured loans in case of GCPL have been significantly higher as compared to HUL which

    show that the company has to pay huge amounts of unsecured loans which attract a higher

    amount of interest and hence would affect its profits in the long run. GCPL should therefore try

    and reduce its unsecured loans. One of the major reasons for the sharp increase in unsecured

    loans between 2010 and 2011 was GCPLs extensive expansion of operations in countries in

    Africa and Latin America during this period.

    63.01

    277.3

    0 0 0

    94

    48

    0

    262.43

    235.24

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 41

    4)Debt Equity RatioA measure of a company's financial leverage calculated by dividing its total

    liabilities by stockholders' equity. It indicates what proportion of equity and debt the company

    is using to finance its assets.

    It is calculated as:

    What does it say?

    A high Debt/Equity ratio generally means that the company is aggressive in financing its growth

    with debt. This can result in volatile earnings as a result of additional expense. If a lot of debt is

    used to finance operations, the company could generate more earnings than it would have

    without the debt. If the earnings are more than the interest on the debts then the

    shareholders benefit. However, the reverse - when the interest outweighs the expense could

    lead the company to bankruptcy.

    Trend Analysis

    We notice that over the last three years, HUL is maintaining zero debt.

    0 0 0 0 0

    0.83

    0.1

    0

    0.17

    0.09

    0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 42

    5)Interest Coverage Ratio

    Trendanalysis

    Interest coverage ratio of HUL is higher than GCPL and it has increased by almost 3000% and for

    GCPL, it has increased by almost 90% which clearly tells that HUL will be in better condition to

    repay interest on loans.In case of HUL we see a sharp increase in the ICR from 2010 to 2011. This is due to the steep

    drop in the interest paid which falls from 6.98 crore to 0.24 crore during this period. From 2011

    to 2012 the interest increases from 0.24 crore to 1.24 crore which explains the steep decrease

    in the ICR.

    92.3 119.5 404.94

    12238.54

    2796.6

    25 28.87 226.79

    86.3344.170

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 43

    6)Fixed Assets Turnover RatioA financial ratio of net sales to fixed assets. The fixed-asset turnover ratio is calculated as:

    What does it Say?

    The fixed-asset turnover ratio measures a company's ability to generate net sales from fixed-

    asset investments - specifically property, plant and equipment (PP&E) - net of depreciation. A

    higher fixed-asset turnover ratio shows that the company has been more effective in using the

    investment in fixed assets to generate revenues. When companies make these large purchases,

    prudent investors watch this ratio in following years to see how effective the investment in the

    fixed assets was.

    Trend Analysis

    We notice that the Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio of GCPL has been steadily increasing over the

    years, and this shows that GCPL has been utilising its fixed assets very efficiently to convert

    them into sales and in the long run, it will be very beneficial for investors to invest in GCPL. In

    the case of HUL, we notice that their Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio decreased initially and then

    picked up in 2011 and 2012. Both companies have very promising long term investment

    options.

    9.8

    7.81

    5.35 5.63

    6.26

    4.64.18

    4.73

    6.09

    7.49

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 44

    Altman ModelA predictive model created by Edward Altman in the 1960s. This model combines five different

    financial ratios to determine the likelihood of bankruptcy amongst companies.

    Formula to calculate Altman's Z-Score:

    z-score = 1.2 a + 1.4 b + 3.3 c + d + .6 f

    e g

    where :

    a = working capital,

    b = retained earnings,c = operating income,

    d = sales,

    e = total assets,

    f = net worth and

    g = total debt

    Altman z-score definition and explanation:

    TheAltman z-score is a bankruptcy prediction calculation.

    The z-score measures the probability of insolvency (inability to pay debts as they become due).1.8 or less indicates a very high probability of insolvency.

    1.8 to 2.7 indicates a high probability of insolvency.

    2.7 to 3.0 indicates possible insolvency.

    3.0 or higher indicates that insolvency is not likely.

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 45

    Analysis

    Altman score for both the companies are greater than 3 which means that they both are safe in

    terms of bankruptcy level. Since, HULs score is much higher than GCPL signifying that it is more

    safe as compared to GCPL

    14.64

    13.48

    11.27

    12.1911.48

    7.18

    5.035.55

    4.7 4.48

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HUL

    GCPL

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 46

    AppendixHindustan Unilever Limited Balance Sheets

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    Hindustan Unilever Limited Profit and Loss Accounts

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 49

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 50

    Godrej Consumer Products Limited Balance Sheets

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 51

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    Section C Group 4 Page | 52

    Godrej Consumer Products Limited Profit and Loss Accounts

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    Source: livemint.com