Financial Analysis

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1 Financial & Accounting Analysis Financial Statement Financial Analysis Accounting Analysis Recasting Financial Statement: firms could adopt different classifications Unbiased Accounting

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Transcript of Financial Analysis

Page 1: Financial Analysis

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Financial & Accounting Analysis

Financial Statement

Financial AnalysisAccounting Analysis

Recasting Financial Statement: firms could adopt different classifications

Unbiased Accounting

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Financial Analysis

A valid instrument which the analyst uses to understand what has happened and what will happen to the business

Ratio Analysis

Cash Flow Analysis

It is useful for making forecasts of the firm’s future performance

It is useful to examine the firm’s liquidity

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Financial Analysis

Financial tools

Time-series comparison

Ratio AnalysisCash Flow Analysis

Cross-sectional comparison

Two main comparisons

Purpose:

Understand Better the Business

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Ratio Analysis

The value of a firm is based upon its profitability and growth

Product market strategy

Financial market strategy

Operating Management

Investment Management

Financing strategy

Dividend policies

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Business Activities

Net Financial

Assets(NFA)

Financial Liabilities (Net Debt)

The firm Capital marketsShareholders

Equity

Financing Activities

Net Operating

Assets(NOA)

Operating Activities

Recasting Balance Sheet

ASSETS CAPITAL

Operating Liabilities

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Net Operating

Assets(NOA)

Non-CurrentNet Assets

Net WorkingCapital

Non currentIntangible/Tangible

Assets

- Other non-currentliabilities

Inventories

Trade Receivables

Other current assets

Recasting Balance Sheet

Business Activities

- Trade Payables

- Current Liabilities

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Business ActivitiesRecasting Income Statement

Operating Income

Financial Income

Income taxes

Earningto Shareholders

Gross Profit

Profit After Interests before

taxes

Profit after taxes

Net Profit

Ebitda/Ebit

SalesCost of sales

Other operating expenses

Amortisation,..

Interest income

Interest expense

Tax expense

Dividend, etc..

NOPAT

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Business ActivitiesMeasuring Profitability

ROE

NET PROFIT

SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

RETURN ON EQUITY

INCOME STATEMENT

BALANCE SHEET

?

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Business Activities

The Main Meanings of ROE

Firm’s Performance

Managers’Behaviour

Abnormal Return

Good indicator, even if not sufficient, to explain the general

profitability of the business

Are Managers goodto employ financial

capitals in profitable investments??

Does the business generates profit

more than itscost of equity

capital ??

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Business ActivitiesDecomposing Profitability

ROE ROA X Financial Leverage

Assets

Shareholders’ equity

Net Profit

Assets

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Business ActivitiesDecomposing Profitability

ROA ROS X Asset Turnover

Sales

Assets

Net Profit

Sales

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Business ActivitiesDecomposing Profitability

ROE Operating ROA + ( Spread x Net Financial Leverage)

(Operating ROA – Net Interest after tax/Net Debt)

NOPAT

Net assets

Net debt

Equity

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Ratio Analysis

The value of a firm is based upon its profitability and growth

Product market strategy

Financial market strategy

Operating Management Investment Management Financing strategy Dividend policies

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Business ActivitiesOperating Management

Product market strategy

Operating Management

ROSProfitability of operating management

Gross Profit Margin

NOPAT Margin

EBITDA Margin

Sales – Cost of sales

Sales

NOPAT

Sales

EBITDA

Sales

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Business ActivitiesInvestment Management

Product market strategy

Investment Management

Asset turnover

Working Capital

Management

Non-current assets

Management

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Business Activities

Working Capital

Management

Inventories Management

Receivables Management

Payables Management

Investment Management

(Operating current assets – Operating current liabilties)

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Business Activities

Inventories Management

Inventories Turnover

Days’Inventories

Cost of sales

Inventories

Inventories

Average cost of sales x day

It is expected to have a high rotation of

inventories

Investment Management

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Business Activities

Tradereceivables management

Trade Receivables Turnover

Days’Receivables

Sales

Trade receivables

Trade Receivables

Average sales x day

It is better to give less credit to your clients

Investment Management

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Business Activities

Tradepayables

management

Trade Payables Turnover

Days’Payables

Purchases

Trade payables

Trade payables

Average cost of materials x day

It is better to receivemore credit fromyour suppliers

Investment Management

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Business Activities

Net non-current assets

Management

It is defined as = (Total non current assets – Non-interest-bearing non-current liabilities)

Net non-currentassets turnover

PP&E turnover

SalesNet non-current

assets

SalesNet property, plant &

equipment

Investment Management

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Business ActivitiesProduct Management

How well does the company manage its inventories? If inventories ratios are changing, what is the underlying

Management systems?Are new product being planned?

How well does the company manage its credit policies? Is the company artificially increasing sales by loading

distribution channels?Is the company take advantage of trade credit? Is it relying too

much on trade credit?

Are the company’s investment in plant and equipment consistent with its competitive strategy?

Answer these questions??

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Business ActivitiesFinancial Management

Current liabilities& short-term liquidity

Financial market strategy

Financial Management

Financial Leverage

Debt & long-term solvency

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Business Activities

Current liabilities& short-term liquidity

Current ratio

Quick ratio

Cash ratio

Operating cash flow ratio

Current assets

Current liabilities

Current assets - Inventory

Current liabilities

Cash & cash equivalents

Current liabilities

Cash Flow from operations

Current liabilities

Financial Management

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Business Activities

Debt & long-term solvency

Liabilities to equity ratio

Total liabilities

Equity

(Current debt + Non-current debt)

Equity

Debt to equity ratio

Net Debt to equity ratio

Net Debt to capital ratio

(Net Financial Position )

Equity

(C.D. + Non-C.D.)

(C.D. + Non-C.D. + Equity)

Financial Management

Interest coverage ratio

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Business ActivitiesSustainable Growth

Sustainable growth rate

ROE - ( 1- Dividend Payout ratio)

Cash dividends paid

Net ProfitDividend Policy