FernandoRegulation and FDI- Sri Lanka

7/29/2019 FernandoRegulation and FDI- Sri Lanka

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Regulation and FDI: Sri Lankan Telecommunications Industry

By

Ms Asoka Fernando, PhD Candidate, Dept. of Management, Monash University

Abstract

This paper examines the role of the telecommunications regulator in Sri Lanka and assesses the

effectiveness of its interventions in attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) into the

telecommunications sector from a management point of view. The study finds that despite Sri

Lanka has responded to globalization by liberalizing the telecommunications sector and timely

establishing a regulator to monitor the industry, the interventions of the Telecommunications

Regulatory Commission (TRC) have been only partially successful particularly in terms of

meeting its full potential of FDI into the sector. Interventions of TRC have been reviewed in

terms of creating environment for market entry and competition, management of scarce

resources, tariff regulation and independence of the regulator, and revealed its inability to create

sustainable investment climate for private investors. In conclusion, we argue that it is time to

investigate whether the current regulatory model is the most appropriate arrangement for the

prevailing economic, social and cultural circumstances in Sri Lanka.

Key Words: Privatization, Telecommunications, Regulation, Foreign Direct Investment


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Regulation and FDI: Sri Lankan Telecommunications Industry

I. INTRODUCTION

Foreign direct investment (FDI) in developing countries has grown rapidly throughout the last

quarter of the twentieth century. The growth of this investment has been facilitated by changes in

governmental policies of host countries, global trend and firm strategies (Doh & Teegen, 2003).

The prevalent change in this regard has been witnessed by a decisive shift from import

substitution towards export orientation, thus designing trade and industry policies accordingly. In

addition, economic liberalization and removal of state intervention in economic activities to

facilitate market mechanism has resulted in a borderless globe. These reforms in developing

countries however were not internally originated, but imposed by their development partners,

mainly the World Bank and the IMF through structural adjustment programmes (SAPs) as

conditions for support (Hughes, 2003; United Nations, 2001; Pollitt, (2000, 2001, 2003); Hood,

1991; Holmes & Shand, 1995; Minogue et al, 1998; Osborne & Gaebler, 1992; Cope et al, 1997;

Minogue, 2000).

Globalization has enhanced opportunities for international business through integration of

markets for goods, services and capital (Brune & Garrett, 2005). In LDCs therefore,

multinational enterprises (MNEs) and trans-national corporations (TNCs) were expected to play

a major role by bringing investments, markets, technology, experience and know-how (Farrell,

2004; Athukorala & Menon, 1995). Privatization of state owned enterprises (SOEs) on the other

hand has redefined the role of the state and introduced marketization (Welch & Molz, 1999;

World Bank, 1997; Anderson, 1989; Biersteker, 1992) and appeared to be a good opportunity to

attract much needed foreign direct investment (FDI) into these countries. Yet, FDI inflows are


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limited by a series of factors such as poor infrastructure, competition among LDCs, unfavourable

macro economic conditions, and other inherent social problems like civil unrest and internal

conflicts in host countries. The underlying debate of this article however is whether the

privatization and newly created regulators have been able to intervene efficiently and effectively

in attracting FDI into privatized industries.

Sri Lanka, a South-Asian developing country adopted economic liberalization policy as early as

in 1977. Especially the second wave of liberalization which commenced in the mid 1980s was

primarily aimed at an ambitious privatization programme (Athukorala, 1995). Though it was a

trial and error type implementation initially (Kelegama, 1993:32), the partial privatization of

telecommunications industry in 1997 became the most ground-breaking industry in its

transformation of Sri Lanka. Yet, the experience after nine years of privatization, especially the

role of the regulator is subject to criticism.

This paper focuses on the role of the regulator in the telecommunications sector and assesses the

effectiveness of creating sustainable investor climate for private investors in the

telecommunication industry in Sri Lanka. The next section of the paper reviews the literature on

the issues relating to globalization, liberalization and privatization as a means of attracting FDI

into LDCs. It then discusses the revolution that took place in the telecommunications industry in

Sri Lanka with an extensive look at in the regulatory arrangements followed by a brief discussion

of investments that took place in the telecommunications sector after liberalization. The final

section reviews and analyses the major regulatory interventions by the Telecommunications


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Regulatory Commission of Sri Lanka (TRCSL) leading to conclusion that indicates areas for

further research.

II. LITERATURE REVIEW

GLOBALIZATION AND LIBERALIZATION

A set of environmental and firm-level drivers are forcing globalization of telecommunications

sector (Sakar et al, 1999) that had been state owned either natural or regulated monopolies.

The recent changes towards market economies through policy actions such as lowering tariffs,

devaluation of currency, unification of exchange rates and removal of import and export

restrictions have brought fundamental institutional changes into the service provision

mechanisms. This move towards free-markets through privatization and liberalization has

therefore, created an environment for globalization resulting increased global capital movements,

trade and information flows and more importantly customers benefiting from a cheaper, higher

quality with more choices for information services. It was believed that the market based

economy was the most appropriate strategy for achieving rapid, robust and equitable growth

(Athukorala & Rajapathirana, 2002).

On the other hand, firms look for efficiencyand market opportunities (Farrell, 2004:53) in

order to face the competition that is emerging due to globalization. They look for three types of

advantageous; ownership; internalization; and location (Dunning, 2002). Especially, when they

face changing regulatory and market environment domestically, this move has been fast tracked.

Sakar et al (1999) argue that firms reportedly earn up to 30 percent higher rate-of-returns through

international markets than to regulated local markets for reasons such as low costs through

volume accumulation across country locations and international negotiation of market segments.


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The interconnect nature of the telecommunications industry makes the owning of adjacent

markets profitable as it usually results on a substantial scale of economies in traffic handling,

thus enjoying above-normal rates-of-return by increasing capacity utilization of their lines and

administrative facilities (Sakar et al., 1999). Similarly, diverse trends such as formation of

telecommunications consortium among telecommunications firms, integration of small network

players are emerging from firms perspective. Therefore, firm-related drivers make MNEs and

TNCs to look for foreign country specific advantages and to invest abroad.

The other forces such as global alliances, regionalism and bilateral trade agreements between

countries have stimulated the telecommunications industry liberalization. Many of these are state

mandated and bound by global international organizations such as World Trade Organization

(WTO) and International Telecommunications Union (ITU). There were 2,181 Bilateral

Investment Treaties (BITs) and 2,256 Double Taxation Treaties (DTTs) in effect by the end of

2002 almost doubling the number since mid 1990s (WIR, 2003). These movements have

supported integration of activities and to act as drivers for increased FDI among nations (Brooks,

2003).

However, currently there is a growing criticism against globalization and liberalization. Many

observers question whether it has increased standards of living or broadly reduced poverty. It is

also argued that there is little room for host countries to influence MNEs decisions (Athukorala

& Menon, 1995). The underlying debate however is whether LDCs are committed themselves to

implement sound policies that build up the confidence of foreign investors at least through newly

created regulatory agencies.


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PRIVATIZATION OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS INDUSTRY AND FDI

According to the basic economic theory, growth requires investment and investment requires

savings. If a country can increase its savings and investments it can deal with the balance of

payment problems through increased exports and hence, there is no need for depending on FDI.

If the reverse happens, that country will have to depend on external support, FDI or foreign

borrowings alternatively. Many LDCs are in favour of the former. FDI indeed is good for the

economic health of developing nations as it improves productivity and output in the sector,

raising national income while lowering prices and improving quality and selection for consumers

(Farrell, 2004). It also increases opportunities for trade among nations and hence trade and FDI

coexist (Brooks et al, 2003; Agrawal, 2000; Makki & Samowaru, 2004). FDI has therefore,

become an important catalyst for growth and development in LDCs.

Entry of a MNE into a host country initiates an improvement in efficiency and productivity of

the sector by bringing new capital, technology, and management skills and forcing less efficient

domestic companies to either improve their operations or exit (Farrell, 2004). It therefore,

supports for a healthy economic growth process of LDCs through its spill-over effects largely

due to human capital development, technology transfer and increased international trade (Bandi-

Nabendi, 1999; OECD, 1983; Brooks et al, 2003). Privatization and liberalization of state

monopolies such as telecommunications has created opportunities for MNEs to enter markets in

LDCs and it has increased the volume of FDI into these countries during the recent past.


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However, the distribution of FDI among LDCs has been skewed. Lall (2003) by looking at the

FDI inflows from 1986 to 1999 suggests that the top ten LDCs account for nearly eighty percent

of total FDI while top twenty-five countries account for ninety-five percent of total FDI during

the same period. In the context of Asia, in 2002, the top ten countries accounted for ninety-three

percent of total FDI inflows (WIR, 2003). Table 1 gives an overview of the unequal distribution

of FDI inflows during the recent past.

Table 1Global FDI inflows from 1992-97 to 2003

FDI inflows (in US$ Millions)

Host

Country/Region

1992-97

(Annual

Average)

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

World 310,879 690,905 1,086,750 1,387,953 817,574 678,751 559,576

Developing

Countries

11,596 194,055 231,880 252,459 219,721 157,612 172,033

Bangladesh 31 190 180 280 79 52 121

India 1,676 2,633 2,168 2,319 3,403 3,449 4,269

Nepal 11 12 4 - 21 2 30

Pakistan 577 507 530 305 385 823 1,405

Sri Lanka 186 150 201 175 82 197 229

Source: World Investment Report - 2004

Table 1 shows the total FDI inflows to LDCs and its unequal distribution even among countries

in the same region. Sri Lanka has been the most open economy in the region since 1977 and it

has no restrictions for foreign investors. Yet, it has failed to attract significant amount of FDI


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inflows into the country. This suggests that in spite of openness, there are many other factors

affecting FDI inflows into a country. They include: lack of administrative and bureaucratic

infrastructure available to implementing agencies; political instability, unstable macro economic

environment; trade policy regime; attitudes of the host country towards MNE; stability and

clarity of rules governing FDI and tax concessions and other related incentives (Athukorala &

Menon, 1995; Hossain et al, 1999; Athukorala & Rajapathirana, 2002; Dunning, 2002).

Telecommunications industry privatization in the meantime has been witnessed as the most

prevalent corridor for LDCs in bringing record level of much needed FDI into these countries,

bringing financial, technical and managerial competence they need facing the challenges

associated with globalization. It has also been resulted in low prices better quality and easy

access to consumers. The total investment in the telecommunications sector in LDCs from 1994-

2003 is given in Figure 1.

Figure 1: Trend in Telecom Investment in Developing Countries (1994

2003)

Private Investments in Telecom Projects in Developing

Countries

0

1020

30

40

50

60

70

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

US

$Mn

Source: Private Participation in Infrastructure (PPI) database, The World Bank


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It is revealed that after a peak in 1998, the total investment in this sector is declining. Sakar et al

(1999) argue that with privatization of a public utility like telecommunications, market entry has

been limited to a single foreign firm that owned the successful bid and has been able to negotiate

through the host countrys mandated procedures, thus limiting further FDI into the sector. This is

typical in many countries with telecommunications industry privatization. However, this paper

stresses that the role of the statewith modern states - the sector specific regulatory body, is the

paramount for this daunting backdrop delaying internationalization of firms and low FDI

inflows.

REGULATION WITH TELECOMMUNICATIONS PRIVATIZATION

Traditionally, the state intervention has been necessary to guide, correct and supplement

(Musgrave & Musgrave, 1989: 5) the four types of market failures: the nature of public goods;

externalities; natural monopoly behaviour; and imperfect competitive conditions (Friedman &

Friedman, 1980; Stigler, 1975; Hughes, 2003; Osborne & Gaebler, 1992; Baumol et al, 1982;

Heimler, 2000; Bishop et al, 1995). With regard to privatized utility industries, these issues are

handled by industry specific regulators. The notion behind the establishment of such regulators

was the belief that a mechanism for ensuring efficiency, setting standards of service and for

exercising financial audits (Minogue et al, 1998:31), separated from the operational activities

was necessary. These regulators were intended to be independent from political and bureaucratic

interventions while creating an effective level playing field for private operators and ensuring

social obligations for citizens on behalf of the state. The regulatory regime therefore, is a tool for

securing the efficiency while ensuring private sector confidence on markets against monopoly

abuses.


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The advantages of such a regulatory body are multidimensional: it could ensure fair enforcement

of Government policy; hold operators accountable for performance; address consumer issues;

monitor changing industry needs; and provide feedback to the policy making units (Jain, 1993).

Yet, the effectiveness of these regulatory bodies has been questioned in many LDCs (Lee, 2002;

Viani, 2004; Serra, 2000; Samarajiva, 2000; Jayasuriya & knight-John, 2000; Al-Obaidan,

2002). The known reasons for such deficiencies are: information asymmetry; different industry

structures; underdeveloped capital markets; insufficient institutional and regulatory

enforcements; and limited capacity of regulators (Burton, 1997; Saunders & Harris, 1994; Klodt,

1997; Doh & Teegen, 2003; Miller, 1997; Serra, 2000; Viani, 2004; Jayasuriya & Knight-John,

2000). Further, effective privatization requires political commitment, appropriate institutional

frameworks, overall quality of governance, technical assistance from donors, administrative

reorganization, civil service reforms and measures to prevent regulatory capture that are not

readily available in these countries (Basu, 1994; Henisz, 1999; Banerjee & Munger, 2004;

Johnson, 2003; Craig, 2000; Dunham & Jayasuriya, 2001; Samaratunge & Bennington, 2002;

Akram, 2002; World Bank, 2005). Hence, it is argued that privatization and regulatory

arrangements appropriate to the prevailing economic, social, political, cultural and even legal

conditions of LDCs should be developed for each country, considering case by case (see

Johnson, 2003; Miller, 1997; Smith & Trebilcock, 2001; Welch & Molz, 1999; Soeters &

Tessema, 2004).

The following section reviews the Sri Lankan experience with special reference to the regulatory

arrangements associated with telecommunications sector privatization and its effectiveness in

attracting FDI into the telecommunications sector.


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III. SRI LANKAN EXPERIENCE

Sri Lanka is an island nation with a population of 19.2 million concentrated into a land area of

65,670 sq km. It is relatively poor with a per-capita GDP of US$ 1,031 in 2004 (CBSL, 2004).

Since independence in 1948, its economic policies may be viewed in two main phases: between

1948-1977; and post 1977. The first phase was mainly dominated by import substitute

industrialization (ISI) policies and the economy was opened by adopting a liberalization policy

package in 1977.

Sri Lanka was the first country in the region to open up its economy. Among five main items

included in the policy package, attracting FDI has been seen as the main development strategy of

the Government (Wickramanayake, 1995; BOI, 2005a). The liberalization was also aimed at

freeing the private sector from state control, integrating the economy with global markets and

creating a less interventionist development strategy (Embuldeniya, 2000). The paramount

importance was also vested on the policy of privatization under these reforms. By this time, the

Sri Lankan economy was far better than its neighbour countries and even to Korea (Hossain et al,

1999) and it was believed that Sri Lanka would become one of the most developed countries in

the region. This has not materialized.

The privatization of telecommunications industry in Sri Lanka can also be seen as a result of

internationalization and globalization that modified the international trade policy regime in the

form of new institutional, inter-governmental and regional agreements (Doh & Teegen, 2003;

Cowhey & Klimenko, 2000). For example, the WTO agreement on liberalization of


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telecommunications services has influenced Governments to adhere to common approaches in

liberalizing their telecommunications industries. Sri Lanka, having realized that the

telecommunications sector is a core element of infrastructure and is pivotal for the development

of Sri Lanka as an island nation, was one of the first nations to enter the WTO agreement. Since

then it has undergone massive reforms in this sector.

The telecommunications sector was the only utility industry that had been privatized albeit

partially with a regulator in place to oversee the industry. Yet, whether the regulator has been

able to effectively attract FDI into the sector is questionable for various reasons. Prior to this

debate, the following section briefly reviews the development of Sri Lankas telecommunications

industry with special reference to regulatory arrangements.

DEVELOPMENT OF THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS INDUSTRY

The Department of Telecommunications (DoT) of Sri Lanka as in many other LDCs was

inherited from the colonial administration (Cowan, 1990:83) and was suffering from lack of

much needed resources: financial, technical and managerial (PERCi: 1998) since the

independence in 1948. Hence, it was difficult to meet the challenge in the shift from analogue to

digital (Mansell, 1997:970). The 1980s was a time that telecommunications sector everywhere

took various reform initiatives through deregulation, opening up market for cellular, paging and

other value added services, and partial to full privatization (Hays, 1997; Fraser, 1988; Hughes,

2003; Jackson & Price, 1994). Sri Lanka began its reforms in the early 1980s.


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The DoT was separated from the postal service in 1980s and was injected funds obtained from

the World Bank in return for reforms (Samarajiva, 1993:39) as an initial solution to its

inefficient performance. Yet, it was unable to operate commercially, raise funds or retain

earnings for internal use, as it was still subject to the requirements that the Government placed

on its departments. DoT had difficulties meeting the immediate challenge which arose due to

opening of the economy. In early 1980s: thirtyeight percent of telephone lines in the Greater

Colombo area were out of order at any given time (Abeynaike, 1986 cited in Samarajiva, 1993);

applicants on the waiting list for telephones (about 245,000) exceeded the number of existing

lines and the waiting periods were on average ten years (Shetty, 1996; TRCSL, 1998); the billing

system was in arrears by three to four months; and the financial accounting reports were late by

three to four years. This resulted in issuing licenses to private telecommunications bureaus for

provision of international, local and long distance calls and fax services which became only a

temporary solution.

The DoT became a public company, namely Sri Lanka Telecom (SLT), under its reforms in

1991. By 1997, SLT had over 8500 employees and its operating profits was US$75 million.

Although it was a gradual increase since 1980s, about forty-six percent of annual turnover of

SLT was attributed to by international incoming calls (PERC, 1998). By the mid 1990s, it was

estimated that an additional US$450 to 500 million was urgently required to meet the estimated

demand for telephones by 2000.


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LIBERALIZATION PROCESS

The liberalization process which started in the early 1980s was strengthened by enacting the Sri

Lanka Telecommunications Act No. 25 of 1991. It separated policies, operations and regulation

and assigned responsibilities to the ministry, Sri Lanka Telecom (SLT) and Sri Lanka

Telecommunications Authority (STA- the regulator) respectively. Having realized the

importance of assigning priority to policy changes (President of Sri Lanka, 1995; Taylor, 1996),

the National policyii on the Telecommunications Industry was introduced in 1997, accompanied

by necessary amendments to the existing act. The main objectives of the policy were provisions

of quality telecommunications services to all by eliminating long waiting lists, allowing private

sector competition, increasing local value addition through local manufacture & construction and

protection of defence, security and environmental interests of the country (TRCSL, 1998).

In the mid 1990s, the liberalization process was extended by granting permission to two fixed

line operators to use Wireless Local Loop (WLL) technology (SunTel and LankaBell) and four

mobile telephone operators (CellTel, Mobitel, Lanka Cellular, and MTN). In August 1997, the

Government divested thirty-five percent of its stake in SLT to Nippon Telegraph and Telephone

Corporation (NTT) of Japan (for US$ 225 million). Management control of SLT was given to the

same company through another agreement by the Government. At the same time three and half

percent of SLTs shares were distributed among SLT employees. In December 2002, the

Government floated another twelve percent of SLTs stake at an initial public offering (IPO)

leaving it with only forty-nine and half percent. In response to these reforms, as of the mid 2005,

the major investors in the telecommunications sector are given in Table 2.


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Table 2: Major Investors in Fixed and Mobile Operators, 1993-2005

Operator Major/strategic investor Percentage of equity

SLT NTT [Japan] (management contract 1997-

2002)

35% in 1997; subsequently

added 0.5% of worker

shares

Suntel Telia [Sweden], Telecom AB [Sweden], C-

Tech [Hong Kong], IFC [World Bank],

Metropolitan Agencies [Sri Lanka], NDB,

Kelmarsh [Sweden], NDB (Ayojana)

Venture Inv [Sri Lanka]

55%, 16%, 11%, 7%, 4%,

3%, 3%, 1%

Lanka Bell Trans-Asia Tel [Singapore], AIDEC

[Japan], MIEL [Singapore], Nortel [Canada]

& Others

47%, 20%, 18%, 7% & 8%

MTN (Dialog) Malaysian Telekom [Malaysia] 100%

Celltel Millicom [USA] 100%

Mobitel Telstra 60% [Australia] (until 2002); SLTL SLT 100%

Lanka Cellular

Services (LCSL)

Singapore Telecom [Singapore] to 1997;

Hutchison [Hong Kong] from 1997

100%

Source: Samarajiva & Dokeniya, (2004) Regulation and Investment: Sri Lanka Case Study,Regulateonline. Org.

REGULATORY ARRANGEMENTS

The first regulatory body, STA was established in 1991 to deal with customers and competitors

on matters relating to licensing, pricing, competition and meeting universal service obligations,


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the first regulatory body. It was argued that STA did not have the independence, power,

structure, resources or accountability (World Bank, 1995; Samarajiva, 1993) and was performing

unsatisfactorily. Hence, the Sri Lanka Telecommunications Act No. 27 of 1996 converted STA

into a more independent body, namely the Telecommunications Regulatory Commission of Sri

Lanka (TRCSL), with the objectives of implementation of telecommunications policy,

achievement of the objectives of SLT privatization and monitoring of the industrys activities.

The responsibilities of the commission were: to ensure the provision of qualitative, reliable and

efficient national and international telecommunication services by every operator while

protecting and promoting the interests of consumers, purchasers and other users; to maintain and

promote effective competition within the industry; promote research & development activities

for the industry in order to make Sri Lanka the hub for international transit services in the region;

and to advise the Minister on granting licenses, policy issues, pricing, interconnection charges,

tariffs, and matters relating to the International Telecommunications Union (ITU) (GOSL, 1991).

It became the sole body to inquire into matters related to telecommunications industry in Sri

Lanka.

NEW FEATURES AFTER TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIBERALIZATION

The reforms that took place since 1980s have brought various positive and negative impacts on

the industry. Table 3 gives a summary of such achievements from 1991 to 2004, and the

following are some of the highlights:

The total number of telephones was increased from 80,000 in 1980 to 126,000 in

1991 with the real boom took place in 1991 (Bowman, 1993) resulting almost 150

Nine point six percent of Dialogs stake was opened to public on the 7 th July 2005 and it was over subscribed bysix and half percent within one hours of IPO opening (Daily News, 8 July 2005; The Island, 9 July 2005)


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percent increase from 1991-97 and a further increase of 173 percent from 1997-

2004. The total number of fixed lines (including WLL connections) in the island

by the end of 2004 was 991,239.

The mobile telephone market grew at an average annual rate of 54.5 percent from

1994 to 2004 compared to 19 percent growth in the fixed line market (including

WLL) over the same period.

The tele-density (number of telephones per 100 persons) for both was increased,

fixed lines from 0.7 in 1991 to 5.1 in 2004 and of mobile phones from 0.1 in 1991

to 11.4 in 2004 (TRC, 2005).

Despite the overall increase in service provision, the number of applicants in the

waiting list experienced an increasing trend.

The use of the internet in the country is very low. Yet, it shows an increasing

trend over the last few years signalling a thirty two percent of annual growth rate

from 2000 to 2004.

The other service operators such as radio paging and public payphone operators

are disappearing.

Apart from these, the total number of players in the telecommunications industry after the

removal of SLTs monopoly power on international calls in 2002 has been increased

dramatically. The total number of operators including newly licensed International Gateway

Operators (IGOs) by the end of 2004 was seventy-seven (CBSL, 2004).


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Table 3Statistics of Telecommunications Industry after Liberalization

Developments of Telecommunications services in Sri Lanka

Year 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

1. Fixed line services (000)

SLT telephone lines 126 136 15.8 181 204 255 315 456 580 653 708 769 818 860

New telephone lines 6.6 11 22 25 25 50.1 72.4 143 133.7 90.6 77.5 69.2 62.8 53.6

Applicants on waiting lists 61 96 124 186 238 271 285 224 236 248 258 306 378 334

Wireless Local Loop telephones - - - - - 0.6 26.4 67.9 88.9 114.3 121 114.4 116 130.8

Telephone Density (100 persons) 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.9 3.7 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.9 5.1

2. Other services (000)

Cellular phones - - - 29.2 51.3 71 115 174 257 430 668 932 1,393 2,211

Public Pay Phones - - - 0.9 1.5 3 3.7 4.7 5.8 8.2 7.2 6.7 6.4 5.9

Radio Paging Services - - - 6.3 9.6 10.7 10.8 10.5 10.3 7 6.5 5.5 2.8 0.8

Internet and Email connections - - - 0.2 1.1 2.5 10.2 19 25.5 40.5 61.5 70.1 85.5 93.4

Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Annual Report - Various years


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FDI INTO SRI LANKA

Sri Lanka compared to its neighbouring countries has many advantages such as better social

conditions (high literacy rate, low infant mortality rate and long life expectancy), strategic

location and an educated and trainable work force. It also has most favourable policies towards

foreign investors. Yet, according to the Figure 2 below its FDI inflows during the recent past has

been insignificant. It reveals that despite many advantages it has, some other factors hinder the

smooth flow of FDI into the country. This study however looks at only the regulatory impact of

FDI inflows into the telecommunications sector which will be addressed in the next section.

Figure 2 : Comparison of FDI inflows into South Asian Countries

Source: World Investment Report, 2004

In particular, in 2004, the total realized FDI (including privatization proceeds) in Sri Lanka was

US$ 233 million which includes a US$ 100 million bond issued by SLT (CBSL, 2004). The total

investments into the telecommunications industry includes government on-lending to SLT and

internal investments by operators. The private sector investment in telecommunications sector in

Sri Lanka from 1993 to 2002 is given in Table 4 below.

01000

2000

3000

4000

5000

US $ Mn

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Years

FDI inflows into South Asian Countries

Bangladesh

India

Pakistan

Sri Lanka


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Table 4Telecom Investments in Sri Lanka, 1993-2002iii (USD million)

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Gov on lending 11.81 59.39 44.31 43 21.87 39.57 52.91 57.81 38.06 11.21

SLTL reinvestment 50.4 76.9 47.7 178.9 118.6 17 8.2 175 64.3 11.8 24.9

SLTL total 62.21 136.29 92.01 221.9 140.47 217.77 227.91 122.11 49.86 36.11

Suntel 17.8 15 30.2 23.6 17.2 13.6 4

Lanka Bell 0.83 45.96 35.68 4.74 1.71 2.9

Celltel 4.89 6.26 19.53 10.06 1.59 3.41 -1.5 8.06 2.46 0.49

Mobitel 3.05 3.68 4.09 6.77 3.34 3.61 5.89 4.03 6.09 3.02

Dialog 6.53 1.01 9.91 22.47 6.01 9.45 15 23.08 38.95

Total investment 70.15 152.76 116.64 266.44 183.7 306.96 301.03 171.14 96.8 85.47

T mobile inv. 7.94 16.47 24.63 26.74 27.4 13.03 13.84 27.09 31.63 42.46

T non-SLTL inv. 7.94 16.47 24.63 44.54 43.23 89.19 73.12 49.03 46.94 49.36

Source: Samarajiva & Dokeniya, (2004), Regulation and Investment: Sri Lanka Case Study, Regulateonline. Org.

With reference to telecommunications industry, Sri Lanka has not attracted significant private

investments into the sector compared to other countries in the region. Table 5 below reveals the

situation. Sri Lanka despite its many advantages and early opening up of the economy, in the

context of FDI attraction, it is lagging behind and India, which had followed relatively closed

economic policies until recently is really dominating.


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Table 5Private Investments in Telecommunications (US $ Mn)

Year Bangladesh India Sri Lanka Pakistan

1990 110.0 0 0 20

1991 6 0 0 20

1992 0 0 0 20

1993 0 0 41.6 20

1994 0 96.7 2.0 502

1995 30.0 309.2 18.0 21

1996 165.4 306.6 164.0 18

1997 74.0 1806.0 43.0 31

1998 26.0 503.9 38.3 38

1999 142.7 682.0 113.3 0

2000 74.1 452.7 160.4 26

2001 51.3 2720.3 10.8 60

2002 60.9 3811.5 65.5 170

2003 740.4 10688.9 656.9 157

Source: Private Participation in Investment (PPI) database, The World Bank

Based on the information above, we suggest that despite achievements in the telecommunications

sector after privatization mentioned early, the newly created regulatory body has been unable to

attract much needed FDI into the country to reach the full potential of growth in the sector. The

following section reveals the regulatory effectiveness in attracting FDI to this sector.


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IV. EFFECTIVENESS OF TRC IN ATTRACTING INVESTMENTS

Sri Lanka as a developing country lacks much needed resources for investment, modern

technology, and managerial skills. Hence, FDI has a major role to play especially in an industry

like telecommunications to facilitate modern global commercial activities that require wide

accessibility of internet, e-mail, e-finance, and e-commerce facilities (Paul-Budde, 2005). The

primary purpose of establishing the TRC was to create competition among operators in order to

make the industry efficient, dynamic and technologically innovative in order to deliver cheaper,

better quality services to consumers (Jayasuriya & Knight-John, 2000). This section reviews the

effectiveness of TRC in achieving these objectives in particular whether it has been able to

increase private participation in the industry through its interventions.

MARKET ENTRY AND COMPETITION RELATED REGULATION

The literature suggests that creating competition is important for a private player to enter and

perform, hence, introducing appropriate competitive forces by designing proper market structures

should be done carefully (Osborne & Gaebler, 1992; Bishop et al, 1995; Clark & Corbett, 1999).

The increased number of service providers typically seen everywhere after privatization does not

imply that an increased volume of investments are pumped into the sector. In Sri Lanka there was

no competition in the fixed line market until mid 1990s. The newly licensed duopoly operators

were restricted to wireless operations putting the wire-line exclusivity on SLT and the operations

of international telephone services were solely vested on SLT. The tariff rebalancing permission,

given to SLT at privatization for five consecutive years added the situation to a further

deterioration by the regulator (Knight-John et al, 2004). The implementation of price-cap

regulation which was included in all three fixed line operators licenses was suspended as a result


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of this special permission for tariff rebalancing. The suspension of implementation of New

Communications Policy prepared in 2002 again led to uncertainty of regulatory intervention by

the TRC (CBSL, 2003). There was a hope that at least one international operation license would

be issued (Samarajiva and Dokeniya, 2004) which was not realized until recently. Even after the

expiration of tariff rebalancing permission in 2002, no major changes occurred with regard to

market entry in the fixed line market.

The mobile licensing lacked transparency mainly due to absence of a policy and non adherence to

the policy statements by the authorities (Samarajiva & Dokeniya, 2004). Since the initial issue, no

additional licenses have been issued in this sector. Yet, competition in the mobile market segment

similar to many other countries (Sakar et al, 1999) is undoubtedly visible due to a number of

reasons: competition among operators; affordable initial price (prepaid systems); constant

improvements in mobile phone technology; quick supply; expansion of coverage; declining

number of public payphones; shortage of fixed line supply; opening up of new market segments

(war-torn areas) due to peace building efforts and so on (CBSL, 2003).

However, the regulatory interventions by the TRC in this sector would have been much more

satisfactory if it had taken steps to implement the promised market entry policy review in 1999.

Further, it violated specified equipment standards by permitting import of used equipment, once a

mobile operator was ready to exit the market. It has also been argued that the quality of mobile

services in Sri Lanka appears to be low because some operators have been insufficiently

capitalized to maintain network capacity in the face of rapid demand (UNCTAD, 2003).


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TRC unveiled a plan for implementation of a ten digit numbering system which was aimed at

stimulating competition across both fixed and mobile lines and completed implementation

throughout island by the end of 2003. However, SLT caused a delay claiming it needs more time

to make necessary technical changes. The new system facilitates number portability for customers

to switch from operator to another. But due to political turmoil, and regulatory inefficiency this

facility is yet to be implemented in Sri Lanka (Paul-Budde, 2005). The regulator did not make

any significant interventions in this regard and prospective investment has therefore, become

futile.

MANAGEMENT OF SCARCE RESOURCES

For an industry such as telecommunications, it is more important to be a part of the globalized

world in order to comply with ever changing modern technology. This aspect was totally

neglected by the TRC by denying the request of fixed line duopoly operators to use CDMA

technology until recently. On the request of Lanka Bell to use the technology (1900 CDMA) was

approved by TRC in 2002 after a long hold. But, similar request to use CDMA-2000-1X

technology by the other WLL operator, Suntel, was approved only in 2004, after a real hassle

(Suntel, 2005). This discriminatory type of responses by the regulator has created unfavourable

environment within the industry affecting investments into the sector. In the mobile market

segment this was relatively unproblematic (Samarajiva & Dokeniya, 2004).

INTERCONNECTION REGIME

The telecommunications industry becomes a monopoly when one company owns the widely

spread network. Therefore, the most important aspect of regulation appears as interconnection for

other operators to use the main incumbents network in a fair and efficient way. Yet, it is


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common that the first entrant even in the post monopoly period, having owned the network tends

to control and set uncompetitive rates which makes it difficult for establishing competition (Sakar

et al, 1999). In Sri Lanka new fixed operators commenced operations with an interim two-year

interconnection determination agreed upon by operators by themselves (SLT and WLL operators)

based on a sender-keeps-all arrangement for domestic calls, a 35 per cent discount on outgoing

international calls and no termination fees from incoming international calls. This was not a

smooth type of implementation. In 1998, TRC mediated via an Alternative Disputes Resolution

(ADR) in this regard, but was unable to implement mainly due to non-compliance behaviour of

the main incumbent (Jayasuriya & Knight-John, 2000). The clash among operators ended up in

court and the interconnection regime became a chaos (Samarajiva & Dokeniya, 2004). This

together with the extension of main incumbents exclusive gateway rights in the international

segment till 2002, kept WLL operators in a disadvantaged position (Jayasuriya & Knight-John,

2000; Shetty, 1999) and were not encouraged to invest. Therefore, the regulatory intervention

with regard to interconnection regime has not been satisfactory.

The fixed-mobile interconnection regime has similar anticompetitive experiences. In 1999, TRC

intervened, proposing a Calling Party Pays (CPP) system to eliminate prevailing anti-competitive

behaviour of operators of the fixed-mobile, and mobile to mobile interconnection regimes but

were never able to implement due to disputes between mobile and fixed line operators on call

charges. The TRC has held several public hearings but have been unsuccessful to commence

implementation.


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TARIFF REGULATION

At the partial privatization of SLT in 1997, three main decisions were taken by the Government:

first, not to issue any new licenses until 2002; second, to vest monopoly power on SLT for

international voice service operations until 2002; and third, to grant permission for minimum

annual tariff increases for domestic services of 25%, 25%, 20%, 15% and 15% by SLT for five

consecutive years till 2002 (Samarajiva, 1993, 2000; Jayasuriya & Knight-John, 2000). The

exceptional permission given to SLT for tariff rebalancing resulted in doubling of phone rentals

and two, twenty-five percent increase in domestic revenue in 1998 and 1999 (Samarajiva &

Dokeniya, 2004). The TRCs inefficiency delayed opening up of international telephone call

operations for competition for another year even after expiration of permitted period.

The tariff regulation of mobile operators at the beginning was random and disorganized.

However, in the light of the sectors requirements, TRC introduced a fast-track promotional

tariffs approval procedure in 1998 (Samarajiva & Dokeniya, 2004). The new procedure requires

consultation of minister in charge of telecommunications, instead of the concurrence from both

ministers of finance and telecommunications had previously.

INVESTMENT CLIMATE

The main incumbent even after partial privatization continued to receive funds through

government sources by way of on-lending and hence the governments interest was not reduced

over the operations of SLT. It has increased its operational income from Sri Lanka Rupees

(SLR) 200 million in 1980 to SLR 5.4 billion in 1992 and SLR 13.7 billion in 1997 iv. Its annual

turn-over was in excess of SLR 20 billion and it had 85 per cent of the fixed line market, 11 per

cent of the mobile phone marketv (SLT, 2004). Despite many efforts to increase competition


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within the industry, due to this artificial monopoly situation, consumers experienced higher prices

rather than price reductions after privatization in Sri Lanka.

As per Table 4, investments in the fixed sector peaked in 1998 and 1999 when the new entrants

invested heavily, but since then it has been declining. The peak may have occurred anticipating

better regulatory interventions by the TRC. The decline in investments by the new entrants

suggests that the discontent of operators with this investment climate, especially the

discriminatory type of decision making by the TRC. It may also be attributed to the failure to

implement the 1998 interconnection determination and the subsequent serious deterioration of the

regulatory environment, thus resulting in WLL operators concentrating on survival in niche

markets rather than growth in the sector. There were 334,000 applicants on the waiting list for

fixed lines by end of 2004 (Table 2) which demonstrates the existing high demand and that if

investments had been occurring in the past few years, the waiting list would have been

diminished (Paul-Budde, 2005).

The investment pattern in the mobile market segment (Table 4) shows an increasing trend. All

four mobile operators have been investing substantially and competing against each other for

market segments within the country. Though specific firm related investment figures are not

available internationally, MTN Dialog, the smallest mobile operator in 1994 became the largest

single operator in 2001 and has recently obtained another loan of US$ 100 for further expansions

(BOI, 2005b). The overall improvement in the regulatory environment may have also contributed

to the pattern of increasing investment in this sector. Yet, investments would have been even

higher if the measures prescribed by TRC such as Calling-Party-Pays were implemented.


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INDEPENDENCE OF THE REGULATOR

The first regulator, STA was established well before the privatization of SLT and was

strengthened in 1996 with the establishment of the TRC. This was done with the belief that it

would be immune from Government political pressures. The STA was functioning directly under

the ministry, with no significant difference from a Government department, having no funds or

expertise. The successor, TRC was provided with resources and recruited experts from outside. It

developed some degree of independence and contributed through putting up technical

mechanisms such as interconnection regime. But, Telecommunications Act of Sri Lanka (1996)

by which TRC was formed, nominated the statutory chairman to head the commission. This

created the ambiguity of the independence among operators. The appointment of three other

commissioners was left to the minister. The minister in charge of the industry was authorized to

issue licenses and to make other important decisions based on the advocacy from the commission.

This situation advertently led to a partial or bias decision making by the commission. Further, the

Government was unable to retain the experts hired initially in 1996 simply because it was not

possible for Government to offer them internationally competitive remunerations. The ultimate

result was that ex-SLT employees joining the Commission, in the worse case scenario, a former

Managing Director of SLT was appointed as the Director General of TRC in 1999. This resulted

in creating a negative perception among operators which resulted in a serious deterioration of the

regulatory environment. The independence of the commission was once questioned publicly by

one of the WLL operators underlying many disputes (Zita & Kapur, 2004; Paul-Budde, 2005).

Even the new Communications Policy proposed by the Government does not indicate steps to

eliminate the above ties between the Government and the commission. This situation has

undoubtedly hindered the much needed private investments to the country.


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V. CONCLUSION

Liberalization of telecommunications sector has markedly increased opportunities for

international business through integration of markets and FDI has become the key tool in this

regard. The Sri Lankan experience suggests that despite its many advantages over the other

countries in the region in attracting FDI into the country and despite the hope of many that it

would become one of the tiger economies in the region, the impact of privatization of

telecommunications industry and the interventions of TRC have been mixed. The industry has

flourished with increased service provision, competition and substantial increase in investments

albeit in some market segments, for instance in the mobile sector. Nonetheless, the fixed line

market suffered from inadequate investments limiting new entrants investments into the sector

due to ineffective regulatory interventions. The inability of TRC to govern an effective

interconnection regime has resulted in clashes among players in the industry and the main

incumbent has been playing in the industry superciliously. The regulator has been unable to

create opportunities for businesses to be integrated with the ever expanding telecommunications

industry which is highly volatile and changing. These findings suggests that a regulatory model to

suit domestic requirements in Sri Lanka compatible with market driven management principles

should be further investigated.


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Notes:

i The Public Enterprises Reform Commission (PERC) established by Sri Lanka Public Enterprises Reform Act No 1of 1996 is the responsible agency for implementation of the Governments privatization and public enterprise reform

programme.

ii This policy however has been revised in 2002 but yet to be implemented.iiiThe private sector involvement has been increased after the removal of SLTs monopoly status for internationaloperations since August 2002, but investment figures were unable to obtain internationally.iv Annual reports of SLT in various yearsv Mobitel, one of the four mobile phone operators was started as a joint venture between NTT (40 percent) andTelstra (60 percent), Australia. In 2002 NTT bought Telstras 60 percent of stake in Mobitel and became the soleowner.

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