FDI vào VN

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    Vietnams investment planners are forecasting a massive surge in the foreign directnvestment capital on the back of the countrys recent diplomatic successes.

    According to a survey conducted by the Asian Business Council, Vietnam rankedhird for investment attraction among Asian nations in the 2007-2009 period, after

    China and India. (VIR, No. 837, 29.10.2007)

    Nh lp k hoch u t ca Vit Nam c d bo mt st bin lnrong vn u t trc tip nc ngoi mt sau thnh cng ngoi giao

    gn y ca t nc. Theo mt cuc kho st c tin hnh bi Hing Kinh doanh chu , Vit Nam xp th ba v hp dn u t giacc quc gia chu trong giai on 2007-2009, sau Trung Quc v n. (VIR, s 837, 2007/10/29)

    BMI View on FDI Attractiveness of Vietnam in year 2011

    BMI View: South East Asian countries saw a significant rebound in foreign directnvestment (FDI) inflows in 2010 and we expect a robust recovery to continue into

    2011. In line with our view that Indonesia and Vietnam's economic growth wouldoutperform the region in 2011 due to favourable demographics and robust domesticdemand, we see the two countries as the top favourites for foreign investors. On theother hand, continued risk aversion is likely to put a damper on FDI inflows intoCambodia, Myanmar and Laos.

    Xem ch s BMI trn vn u t nc ngoi hp dn ca Vit Nam trong

    nm 2011BMI Xem: cc nc ng Nam chng kin mt s phc hi ngk trong u t trc tip nc ngoi (FDI) trong nm 2010 v chng tihy vng mt s hi phc mnh m tip tc vo nm 2011. Trong phhp vi quan im ca chng ti rng stng trng kinh t candonesia v Vit Nam s lm tt hn cc khu vc trong nm 2011 do

    nhn khu hc thun li v nhu cu trong nc mnh m, chng ta thyhai nc l yu thch hng u cho cc nh u t nc ngoi. Mt khc,ip tc lo ngi ri ro l c khnngt mt van iu tit dng vn FDI

    vo Cam-pu-chia, Myanmar v Lo.

    The post-crisis recovery in FDI inflows into South East Asian economies is expectedo continue as macroeconomic conditions remain on a relatively more stable footinghan its western counterparts going into 2011. From a regional perspective focusing on

    countries within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), we favourndonesia and Vietnam as top favourites in terms of attracting FDI in the coming

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    years.

    Vic thu hi sau cuc khng hong trong cc dng FDI vo cc nn kinh t ngNam d kin s tip tc cc iu kin kinh t v m vn cn trn mt v tr tngi n nh hn so vi cc i tc phng Ty ca n i vo nm 2011.T mt gc

    khu vc tp trung vo cc nc trong Hip hi cc quc gia ng Nam (ASEAN),chng ti ng h Indonesia v Vit Nam nh yu thch hng u v thu ht FDI trong nhng nm ti

    Global FDI flows witnessed a 47.1% decline from US$2.10trn in 2007 to US$1.11trnn 2009 as Transnational Corporations (TNC) delayed investment plans during the

    course of the global financial crisis. The rush to strengthen balance sheets at the onsetof the crisis coupled with the scarcity of credit, led to delays in investment projectsand a slowdown in mergers and acquisitions. We believe these factors were the key

    easons behind a global decline in FDI flows. We are beginning to see an encouragingebound in FDI inflows into ASEAN in 2010, suggesting that investor sentiment in theegion is improving. As investor sentiment continues to improve in line with better-han-expected economic growth across ASEAN countries, we expect a robustecovery in FDI in 2011 and 2012.

    FDI ton cu chy chng kin s st gim 47,1% t 2.10trn USD trongnm 2007 1.11trn USD trong nm 2009nh Tng cng ty xuyn qucgia (TNC) b tr hon k hoch u t trong qu trnh ca cuc khnghong ti chnh ton cu. Vi vng cng c bng cn i lc bt u

    ca cuc khng hong cng vi s khan him tn dng, dn n s chmr trong dn u t v s suy gim trong cc cuc sp nhp v mua li.Chng ti tin rng nhng yu t ny l l do chnh ng sau s st gimon cu trong dng chy FDI. Chng ti ang bt u thy mt s phc

    hi ng khch l trong dng vn FDI vo ASEAN trong nm 2010, chohy tm l nh u t trong khu vc ang c ci thin. Khi tm l nh

    u t tip tc ci thin ph hp vi tng trng kinh t tt hn d kingia cc nc ASEAN, chng ti hy vng phc hi mnh m vn u tnc ngoi trong nm 2011 v 2012.

    ndonesia And Vietnam Seen As Top Favourites Among TNCs

    udging from FDI inflows into ASEAN countries since the beginning of the year, weexpect inflows into Vietnam, Indonesia and Singapore in 2010 to surpass levels backn 2008 by a considerable margin. Indeed, latest official estimates by government

    agencies suggest FDI inflows for Indonesia, Vietnam and Singapore could increase by174%, 140% and 120%, respectively. Although we expect growth rates for FDInflows in 2011 to come in at a more moderate pace, the inflow of FDI in these

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    economies will nonetheless remain robust.

    ndonesia v Vit Nam ln Top nh Trong s cc cng ty a quc gia nh gi t dng vn FDI vo cc nc ASEAN k t u nm n nay, chng ti hyvng dng vn vo Vit Nam, Indonesia v Singapore trong nm 2010 vt qua mc

    tr li trong nm 2008 bng li ng k. Tht vy, c tnh chnh thc mi nhtca cc c quan chnh ph cho thy dng vn FDI cho Indonesia, Vit Nam vSingapore c th tng 174%, 140% v 120%, tng ng. Mc d chng ta mong ic tng trng FDI trong nm 2011 n vi mt tc va phi hn, lung

    vn u t nc ngoi trong cc nn kinh t ny vn s duy tr mnh m.

    According to a report published by the United Nations Conference on Trade andDevelopment (UNCTAD), TNCs see Vietnam and Indonesia as favoured destinationsor FDI in the South East Asia region in 2011 and 2012. This is in line with our view

    hat Indonesia and Vietnam will outperform the region in terms of economic growth.Singapore remains an attractive option for foreign investors due mainly to itsadvantage in infrastructure, technology and geographical location in the region ( seechart). However, we note that the country remains heavily exposed to external demandrom the US and EU. Given that economic conditions in the US and EU remain

    uncertain, we believe TNCs will favour countries with superior demographics andtrong domestic demand over export-orientated economies in the region.

    Theo mt bo co c cng b bi Hi ngh Lin hp quc vThngmi v Pht trin (UNCTAD), cc cng ty a quc gia Vit Nam vndonesia l nhng im n c a chung bi c vn u tnc

    ngoi trong khu vc ng Nam vonm 2011 v 2012. iu ny lph hp vi quan im ca chng ti rng Indonesia v Vit Nam s lmt hn cc khu vc vtng trng kinh t. Singapore vn l mt la chn

    hp dn cho cc nh u tnc ngoi ch yu do li th ca n trongcng ngh, csh tng v v tra l trong khu vc (xem biu ). Tuynhin, chng ti lu rng t nc vn cn rt nhiu tip xc vi nhucu bn ngoi t M v EU. Vi iu kin kinh tM v EU vn chachc chn, chng ti tin rng cc cng ty a quc gia s c li cho ccnc vi nhn khu hc cao cp v nhu cu trong nc mnh mhn cc

    nn kinh tnh hng xut khu trong khu vc.The remaining ASEAN countries are also expected to see an uptick in FDI inflows in2010, albeit at a slower pace. In the case of Thailand, although economic data inecent months suggests that domestic demand and exports remain robust, we are

    maintaining a cautious stance on the country's outlook for business investments due topolitical risks. Thailand is expected hold general elections in early 2011 and we expectbusinesses to delay investment plans until there are more evidence that another round

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    of political unrest can be avoided. Following a severe 81% decline in FDI inflows intoMalaysia from US$7.3bn in 2008 to US$1.4bn in 2009, the country is expected to seea 357% increase to US$6.4bn in 2010. Despite the rebound, Malaysia's FDI inflowsemain below the US$7.3bn level last seen in 2008. From our perspective, such

    extreme volatility in FDI inflows highlights the vulnerability of the Malaysian

    economy towards risk aversion among foreign investors during periods of uncertainty.However, we acknowledge that Malaysia's recently announced 10-year EconomicTransformation Program (ETP) could help boost the country's attractiveness to foreignnvestors in the coming years.

    Phn cn li nc ASEAN s nhn thy mt uptick dng vn FDI nm2010, nhngmt nhp chm hn. Trong trng hp ca Thi Lan,mc d d liu kinh t trong nhng thng gn y cho thy rng nhu cuni a v xut khu vn cn mnh m, chng ti ang duy tr mt lprng thn trng v trin vng ca t nc cho u t kinh doanh do ri

    ro chnh tr. Thi Lan d kin s t chc cuc tng tuyn cvo u nm2011 v chng ti hy vng cc doanh nghip tr hon k hoch u t chon khi c nhiu bng chng cho thy mt t bt n chnh tr c thrnh c. Sau s suy gim 81% nghim trng trong dng vn FDI vo

    Malaysia t US $ 7.3bn trong nm 2008 1,4 t USD trong nm 2009, cnc d kin stng 357% 6.4bn USD trong nm 2010. Mc d phchi, dng vn FDI ca Malaysia vn cn di mc US $ 7.3bn thy lncui cng trong nm 2008. T quan im ca chng ti, bin ng ccoannh vy trong dng vn FDI nu bt tnh d tn thng ca nnkinh t Malaysia i vi lo ngi ri ro gia cc nh u tnc ngoi

    rong sut thi gian ca s khng chc chn. Tuy nhin, chng ti thanhn rng Malaysia va cng b 10 nmChng trnh chuyn i kinh tETP) c thgip tng cng sc hp dn ca t nc cho cc nh unc ngoi trong nhng nm ti.

    LDCs To Underperform In A Challenging Economic Environment In 2011

    We expect Cambodia, Myanmar and Laos - classified as Least Developed CountriesLDC) by the United Nations - to underperform the region in terms of attracting FDInflows in 2011. We believe risk aversion among TNCs could remain in 2011 and this

    could put a damper on FDI inflows into LDCs, which have traditionally been heavilydependent on official development assistance and FDI. We expect TNCs to adopt aconservative approach and wait for further evidence of a robust economic recovery inLDCs before shifting funds into these economies. As such, we see a gradual but slowecovery for FDI inflows into Cambodia, Myanmar and Laos in 2011 and 2012.

    Source: Business Monitor Online)

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    Cc nc km pht trin km trong mi trng kinh ty th thchNm 2011Chng ti hy vng Campuchia, Myanmar v Lo - c phn loi l nckm pht trin (LDC) ca Lin Hp Quc - km khu vc v thu ht FDI

    rong nm 2011. Chng ti tin rng nguy cc cm trong cc cng ty aquc gia c thli trong nm 2011 viu ny c tht mt van iuit dng vn FDI vo cc nc km pht trin, c truyn thng ph thuc

    nhiu vo h trpht trin chnh thc v u t trc tip nc ngoi.Chng ti hy vng cc cng ty a quc gia p dng mt cch tip cn boh v chi thm bng chng ca s phc hi kinh t mnh mcc

    nc km pht trin trc khi chuyn tin vo cc nn kinh t.Nh vy,chng ta thy s phc hi dn dn nhng chm i vi dng vn FDI voCam-pu-chia, Myanmar v Lo trong nm 2011 v 2012.Ngun: Business Monitor Online)

    FDI Mechanism in Vietnam Year 2010C ch FDI ti Vit Nam nm 2010

    Click on image to enlagre the chart Click vo hnh nh enlagre bng xphng

    FDI in Vietnam from 1990 - 2010

    http://www.vietpartners.com/images/FDI-mec2010.jpg
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    FDI in the first half of 2010 FDI trong na u nm 2010

    Click on image to enlagre the chart

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    FDI Outlook in Vientam in year 2009

    Total new registered capital of FDI projects is about 21.48 billion USD, in which16.34 billion USD is newly licensed project (76% contribution, 839 projects). Top 3provinces attracts FDI in Vietnam is Baria-Vung Tau (6.73 bil. $US, in which 2.857

    bil.$US of 12 new licensed projects), Quang Nam (4.174, 4.150, 1), Binh Duong2.502, 2.152, 95). Hochiminh City and Hanoi are ranked number #7 and #8accordingly. However, the number of license granted by those major economic hubsof Vietnam is almost 537 licenses (64% of total new licenses granted in Vietnam)

    FDI Outlook trong Vientam trong nm 2009Tng vn u t ng k mi d n u t trc tip nc ngoi l khong21,48 t USD, trong 16,34 t USD mi c cp php d n (nggp 76%, 839 d n). Top 3 tnh thu ht FDI Vit Nam l tnh B Ra-Vng Tu (6,73 t USD, trong 2,857 t USD ca 12 d n mi c

    cp php), Qung Nam (4,174, 4,150, 1), Bnh Dng (2,502, 2,152, 95).Thnh ph H Ch Minh v H Ni c xp hng s 7 v 8 cho ph hp.Tuy nhin, slng giy php c cp bi nhng trung tm kinh t lnca Vit Nam l gn 537 giy php (64% tng s giy php mi c cpVit Nam)

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    More details onVietnam Ranking Index, as investment environment

    Vietnam Ministry of Industry and Trade has expected the industrial outputcontribution growth of FDI segment remaining at high over 15% year on year.

    Thm chi tit v Ch s Vit Nam Xp hng mi trng u tB Cng nghip v Thng mi Vit Nam d kin s ng gp tng trng snng cng nghip u t trc tip nc ngoi phn khc cn li ti cao hn 15 nm%rn nm.

    Focusmore news of VIETNAM INDUSTRY

    Vietnam Ministry of Planning & Investment (MPI) has official set the FDI target ofyear 2009. Country targets to attract 30 billion$US in year 2009 (almost a half ofactual in year 2008). There are some reasons explained from authorities : (1) worldinancial crisis (2) Other regional countries has raised up their competitivenessndexes, which could attract more FDI flow in (3) Other reasons from selft country

    competitivness like infrastructure conditions, amdministration process ...Vietnam'sGDP growth rate in year 2009 is planned at 6.5%

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    B K hoch v u t Vit Nam (B K hoch v u t) chnh thc thit lpmc tiu FDI ca nm 2009. Mc tiu Quc gia thu ht 30 t USD M trong nm2009 (gn nh l mt na ca thc t trong nm 2008). C mt s l do gii thch tchnh quyn: (1) cuc khng hong ti chnh th gii (2) Cc quc gia khc trong khuvc nng ch s nng lc cnh tranh ca h, m c th thu ht dng FDI trong (3)

    Cc l do khc t competitivness nc selft nh iu kin c s h tng,amdministration qu trnh. .. Tc tng trng GDP ca Vit Nam trong nm 2009d kin mc 6,5%

    MoreAggregating Business News| FocusFinancial News

    A. Classified by Industry

    http://www.thevietnamnews.net/category/business-news/http://www.thevietnamnews.net/category/business-news/http://www.thevietnamnews.net/category/business-news/http://www.vietpartners.net/http://www.vietpartners.net/http://www.vietpartners.net/http://www.vietpartners.net/http://www.thevietnamnews.net/category/business-news/
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    (Click on the graph to see full image)

    MoreIndustry Analysis:Paper Industry-Cement Industry-Petrochemical Industry-Construction Industry

    B. TOP 20 FDI countries to Vietnam

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    C. Review 10 years of FDI

    http://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asphttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asphttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asphttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Paperhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Paperhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Paperhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Cementhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Cementhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Cementhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Petrochemicalhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Petrochemicalhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Petrochemicalhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Constructionhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Constructionhttp://www.vietpartners.com/images/fdi-y2008a.jpghttp://www.vietpartners.com/images/fdi-y2008.jpghttp://www.vietpartners.com/images/fdi-y2008a.jpghttp://www.vietpartners.com/images/fdi-y2008.jpghttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Constructionhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Petrochemicalhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Cementhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp?Industry=Paperhttp://www.vietpartners.com/default-industry.asp
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    (Click on the graph to see full image)

    MoreAggregating Business News| FocusFinancial News

    A. Classified by industrial segments

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    (Click on the graph to see full image)

    MoreIndustry Analysis:Paper Industry-Cement Industry-Petrochemical Industry-Construction Industry

    B. Top 20 investor in last 9 years

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    A. Classified by Industry

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    B. Review in last 8 years

    (Click on the graph to see full image)

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    Viet Nam attracted foreign direct investment (FDI) of 5.8 billion USD in 2005, aecord high for the past eight years. Of the total figure, almost four billion USD comesrom 771 newly licensed FDI projects and the rest from additional investment injectednto existing projects.

    2005 couldn't have gone better for foreign entrepreneurs in Viet Nam, who reached

    heir highest revenue, 20 billion USD, since the 1997 Asian monetary crisis, andcontributed 1.3 billion USD to the State budget.

    The Government has relentlessly perfected its legal system, created more incentivepolicies for foreign investors and tried to fulfill its commitments to the internationalcommunity. These progressive steps, he said, have consolidated the confidence oforeign investors in pouring their money into the country. Besides, Viet Nam's effortso maintain its socio-political stability and step up and professionalise investment

    promotion activities also play a crucial role in increasing the FDI flow.

    t is also recommended that the Government speed up improvement of its legal

    mechanism, prepare instructive documents for the implementation of the InvestmentLaw and the Enterprise Law, intensify the decentralisation process and investmentmanagement work, create incentive policies for the development of supportingndustries and facilitate the Viet Nam-Japan Joint Initiative Programme and the Viet

    Nam-Singapore Economic Linkage Project, he said, adding that these are crucial stepso raise Viet Nam's competitiveness in attracting FDI. (Brief from Vietnam News

    Agency, Vneconomy News)

    VIETNAM FDI MECHANISM (1998 - NOVEMBER 2005). Source: MOT, MPI,VNA

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