FClimate change conference presentation 2014
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Transcript of FClimate change conference presentation 2014
Engagement’s role in building adaptive capacity within the horticultural industry of the Virginia and Northern Adelaide Plains Region
Kylie Fergusen, Jensen Planning and Design
Karla Billington, naturallogic
Key Message – Facilitating climate change adaptation requires localised
and contextual engagement approaches
AMLRNRM engaged us to develop a climate change engagement plan for the Virginia and Northern Adelaide Plains region.
We reviewed existing baseline - communication and engagement, levels of vulnerability, adaptive practices, potential climate change impacts
PIRSA, Councils of Mallala, Playford, AMLRNRM, Hortex, Barossa Economic Development Authority commissioned a Horticultural Framework (economics, culture, training, education, land use planning, marketing, business management etc) for the region, engagement was a key component
AMLRNM engaged Graham Green to investigate climate change impacts on horticulture in the region
Background
Know about the industry
1295
632
594470
469
385
206
190
179124 571
Crop Type by Area: 5,114 ha
Potatoes
Olives
Winegrapes
Almonds
Carrots
Lettuce
Onions
Tomatoes
Capsicums
Cucumbers
Other
Know about the growers
Language and culture, age, household income, use of smart phones and computers etc (ABS)
varies geographically and extent
RegionEnglish Greek Italian Punjabi Vietnamese Khmer English
%
Gawler - North 30 0 7 0 0 0 75%
Lewiston - Two Wells 29 12 3 10 11 15 22%
Virginia - Waterloo Corner
213 38 39 23 307 68 27%
Munno Para West - Angle Vale
36 3 25 0 35 6 33%
Total 308 53 74 33 353 89 29%
Share Across Region 29% 5% 7% 3% 34% 8%
Climate change can impact on various domains and sectors for each industry.
Integrated Vulnerability Assessments (IVA) build on conventional risk management by considering not only the impacts associated with climate change, but also the capacity to overcome stress and adapt to changed.
Engage with people about the areas in which they are most vulnerable (priorities vary)
Know about levels of vulnerability (informs what you should be engaging about)
Domain Natural Resources
Agriculture Economy and Transport
Social and Community
Sector Water Resources
Soil health and salinity
Horticulture Field crops Floriculture
Energy Waste Transport Infrastructure Markets
Communications Health Knowledge
ExposureExposure SensitivitySensitivity
Potential ImpactPotential Impact Adaptive Capacity
VulnerabilityVulnerability
Understanding the relationship between exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity and vulnerability helps to identify adaption options that address the weakest link within processes (therefore assists what you engage about)
In addressing the weakest link, exposure to the stress is reduced and adaptive capacity is increased.
Vulnerability Assessment
Example of vulnerability assessment
Exposure from heatwaves
Water required for coolingChickens are highly sensitive
Adapt mains water supply, reduced vulnerability
How to translate information
Make it as contextual as possible
Let the science speak
for its self
Ensure accuracy of scientific message, providing detail which
ensures it is locally relevant, relevant to the crop or farm management
types, relevant to vulnerability, and in terms used by growers.
Growers think and communicate in terms of:
•Dry years, wet years….rather than percentiles
•Occurrence - i.e. events per year….rather than %
•Total volumes of water (linked to specific crop)…..rather than potential evapotranspiration (mm)
•Within 15 years……rather than by 2030
•Examples, scenarios
Statements which summarise multiple weather event indicators or management implications are also highly beneficial:
•Optimum growing temperatures for potatoes may reduce by up to 35 days •Approaching harvest time, more days of over 28oC will significantly effect quality •There will be an increase in the need for pre-harvest irrigation to bring soils to an ideal harvest temperature
Translation of scientific information takes a considerable amount of time and should be specifically considered within projects.
In the case of the Virginia project, we translated, summarised, interpreted and extrapolated information in order to achieve the key engagement messages.
Collaborative approach
Engagement in the face of uncertainty
•Growers deal with risk and uncertainty all of the time (weather, insurance, market fluctuations).
•With regard to climate change growers need to have the best information to hand about potential impacts. This information can be divided into different time scales:
• Short term, what and when to plant, pest / plant management, irrigation scheduling;
• Medium term, development of crop cultivars, developing irrigation infrastructure;
• Long term, whether to expand, sell out or relocate business.
•Providing information across all time frames is highly beneficial.