FAST and Furious Edition: PERSPECTIVES ON THE FAST ACT · 2016-10-05 · 7 FAST ACT A Multimodal...
Transcript of FAST and Furious Edition: PERSPECTIVES ON THE FAST ACT · 2016-10-05 · 7 FAST ACT A Multimodal...
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T h u r s d a y , S e p t e m b e r 8 , 2 0 1 6C S G W E S T A N N U A L M E E T I N G
C O E U R D ’ A L E N E , I D
Matthew Hardy, Ph.D.Program Director for Planning and Performance Management
American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials
FAST and Furious Edition:
PERSPECTIVES ONTHE FAST ACT
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TALKING POINTS
• What is AASHTO
• Federal Legislation
o FAST Act
o MAP-21
• Topics to Discuss
o Implementation Issues
o USDOT Rulemakings
o Trends to Consider
o Big Three for Transportation Professionals
New Toy
(aka FAST Act)
Stalwart
(aka MAP-21)
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WHAT IS AASHTO?
• A nonprofit association founded in 1914
• Members include:
o Highway and transportation departmentsof the 50 states, the District of Columbia,and Puerto Rico
o 46 Associate Members from Federal, State, and Local agencies and other countries
• Covers all five transportation modes:Air, Highways, Rail, Transit, and Water
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FAST ACT OVERVIEW
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FAST ACTFunding Certainty for Five Years
• Contract Authority Provided for highway, highway safety, and transit programs between FY 2016 and 2020.
• $305 billion in total funding; $281 billion guaranteed from the Highway Trust Fund.
• Modest increase in Federal funding levels, slightly higher than rate of inflation.
• About 93 percent of highway dollars are apportioned to States.
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$10
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2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
1. FAST Act
2. MAP-21 Current Services (Inflation-adjusted Baseline)
3. Cliff Scenario (Supportable Oblim w/ No Net New Revenue)
COMPARISON OF ESTIMATED ANNUAL HIGHWAY AND TRANSIT OBLIGATIONSIn billions of dollars
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FAST ACT
A Multimodal Program Platform
• Proportionate funding increases for both highway and transit programs.
• Formula-based National Freight Program to support highway freight movement.
• Continuation of bicycle and pedestrian funding program.
• General Fund authorization of passenger rail funding and programs, including Amtrak.
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FAST ACTFAST Act’s Policy Priorities
• Streamlined project delivery through an improved review and permitting process that can lower costs and bring benefits to users sooner.
• Refinement of freight policy and network to match dedicated Federal freight funding.
• New technologies such as connected and automated vehicles.
• Further innovations in project financing and procurement.
• Demonstration of user-fee based alternative revenue mechanisms to sustain the Highway Trust Fund over the long term.
• Continuation of performance-based program implementation as enacted in MAP-21.
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IMPLEMENTATION ISSUES
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REVENUE AND FINANCE
• Rescission of Contract Authority
• Long-term Fundingo User-Based Alternative Revenue Mechanisms Demonstration Program
• National Surface Transportation and Innovation Finance Bureau
• National Significant Freight and Highway Projects Discretionary Grant Program
• Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Act
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FREIGHT
• Freight Planning
• Primary Highway Freight System
• National Multimodal Freight Network
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PROGRAM AND PROJECT DELIVERY
• Coordinated and Concurrent Environmental Review and Permitting Process
• Planning and Environmental Linkages
• USDOT Project Dashboard
• Project Schedules
• Environmental Checklist
• Programmatic Categorical Exclusions
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CURRENT RULEMAKINGS
Transportation Performance Management
Implementation Status
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DOT OMB NPRM CLOSED DOT OMB FINAL
Highway Safety Improvement Program
PM1 - Safety Performance Measures
State and Metro Planning
PM2 - Pavement/Bridge Condition Measures
Asset Management Plan
PM3 - System Performance+ Measures
Mar ‘16
Mar ‘16
May ‘16
Apr ‘16
Mar ‘14 Jun ‘14
Mar ‘14 Jun ‘14
Jun ‘14 Oct ‘14
Jan ‘15 May ‘15
Feb ‘15 May ‘15
Nov ‘16
Nov ‘16
TBDAug ‘16
MPO Coordination
Jun ‘16 TBD60 days
Transportation Performance Management
FINAL
Comment Review and Evaluation
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StakeholderInput
MAP-21 Provisions
State of Practice
LogicalOutgrowth
INPUT PROPOSAL REVIEW
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TRENDS TO WATCH FOR PLANNING
3D PRINTING’S IMPACT ON TRANSPORTATION
FREIGHT
Worldwide Container Port Traffic
TEU: 20-foot equivalent units, 2000-2014
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PANAMA CANAL EXPANSION IMPACT ON FREIGHT MOVEMENT
Source: based on Panama Canal Expansion study, EDR Group for USDOT (MARAD)
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100Historical CPI-U Estimated CPI-U Based on 21-year Average from 1994-2014
PURCHASING POWER LOSS OF GAS TAX DUE TO INFLATION
52% Purchasing Power Loss by 2024
39% Purchasing Power Loss by 2014Percentage
FEDERAL GAS TAX HEADWIND:SIGNIFICANT LOSS OF PURCHASING POWER
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FEDERAL GAS TAX HEADWIND:SIGNIFICANT LOSS OF PURCHASING POWER
ITEM UNIT/DESCRIPTION 1993 2010 PERCENT CHANGE
College Tuition Average Tuition and Required Fees 3,517$ 9,136$ 160%
Gas Per Gallon 1.12$ 2.73$ 144%
Movie Ticket Average Ticket Price 4.14$ 7.89$ 91%
House Median Price 126,500$ 221,800$ 75%
Bread Per Pound 1.08$ 1.76$ 62%
Income Median Household 31,272$ 49,167$ 57%
Stamp One First-class Stamp 0.29$ 0.44$ 52%
Beef Per Pound of Ground Beef 1.57$ 2.28$ 46%
Car Average New Car 19,200$ 26,850$ 40%
Federal Gas Tax Per Gallon $ 0.184 $ 0.184 0%Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Transportation, U.S. Postal Service, U.S.Department of Commerce, U.S. Department of Education,
National Association of Theater Owners
Sample of Nominal Prices Relative to Federal Gas Tax, 1993 and 2010
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TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK On the horizon:
• Dedicated, high-speed routes to accommodate driverless trucks and cars?
• Convenience of ‘hands-free’ driving and VMT?
• New engineering paradigms like intersections that work without stop lights?
• Computer code vulnerabilities versus driver error as biggest safety challenge?
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BIG THREE FOR TRANSPORTATION PROFESSIONALS
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1) COORDINATION
• Broad-based: Statewide, MetropolitanLong-range Transportation Plans
• Focused: Freight, Transportation Asset Management Plans (TAMPs), Modal Plans, etc.
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MPO COORDINATION• Redefines a metropolitan
planning area (MPA)
• Requires MPOs in an MPA to
jointly develop unified planning
products for the entire MPA
• 1 MTP and TIP
• Jointly establish performance
targets!
• Also apply to UZA that cross
State line
• Require dispute resolution
• Coordinate on any information
or analyses
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OHIO ???
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2) DATA
• Collection
• Management
• Analysis
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3) RELEVANCE
• Breadth vs. Depth of Measures
• Federal vs. State vs. Local
• Emphasis on “mega”
o Megaregions
o Megatropolis
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Matthew Hardy, Ph.D.Program Director for Planning and Performance Management
American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials202-624-3625
QUESTIONS AND DISCUSSION