F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping [email protected].

39
F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping [email protected]

Transcript of F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping [email protected].

Page 1: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring

Ken Tapping

[email protected]

Page 2: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Synoptic Solar Monitoring• The parameters we measure should be useful or reflect something useful.• They should be easily measurable and calibratable, and not subject to things that can

cause significant breaks or discontinuities in the data.• They need to be as objective as possible and referable to some stable,

reproduceable calibration standard. Anything based upon empirical processing or correction can be hard to maintain through generations of expertise or instrumentation..

• The data should be adequately sampled, especially if the characteristic timescales of variation themselves vary with time. Otherwise even the effects of undersampling are inconsistent..

• Equipment should be usable for long-term operation, and incrementally upgradable. Total replacement should be done using a long period of parallel operation.

• The equipment should be redundant.• We should understand the physics.• The time-series should be as long as possible.• The instrumentation and measurement/calibration methods should be duplicable.

Page 3: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Solar Monitoring• Space-Based

• Above the atmosphere• Can monitor more things• Can monitor continuously• Expensive• Long-term calibration a problem• Long-term observation easily compromised• Data not long-term, leading to sometimes serious context issues• Upgrading not usually feasible.

• Ground-Based• Accessible and easily maintainable• Easy to upgrade• Relatively Cheap-easy to deploy multiple instruments• Long durations of data reduce context risks• Calibration relatively easy.• Cannot see Sun 24/7 – Multiple instruments needed• Atmosphere reduces the spectrum access and affects some observations

Page 4: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

How Does F10.7 Match Up?• F10.7 has found use as an index of solar activity, a calibration datum and for proxying other solar

parameters, such as euv irradiance for ionospheric modelling or upper atmospheric heating..• F10.7 is relatively easy to measure, automatically, and having a hot backup available makes it

easier to avoid data gaps and also to provide a rough calibration check.• The measurements are made objectively using a standardized method, with no manual

intervention. However, in the early years of the project there were manual attempts to filter out bursts, which led to an empirical effect in the early part of the time series.

• Undersampling is a significant issue. Three spot measurements made each day at a single location is not always a good estimate of what happens over 24 hours.

• The equipment is cheap, stable and incrementally upgradeable. A new instrument is under construction, and when complete will be run in parallel with the existing equipment for at least one year before its data is believed (there are no plans to shut down the existing instruments)..

• There are two levels of redundancy, which we are increasing to three.• We understand the physics reasonably well.• The time-series extends back to 1947.• The data are calibrated against a duplicated standard.

Page 5: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

WHAT IS F10.7?

• Three measurements made each day of the total emission from all sources present on the solar disc in a 100MHz wide band centred on a frequency of 2800 MHz.

• Measurements made at 1700, 2000 and 2300 UT in the summer and 1800, 2000 and 2200 UT in the winter.

• Each measurement takes 1 hour and is an average of the solar emission within that hour.

• No account is taken of anything happening between those times (although the emission is being recorded all day from sunrise to sunset).

Page 6: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

F10.7Monthly Means

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1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year

Flu

x D

en

sit

y i

n s

fu

Page 7: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

The resonant cavity magnetron, invented by John Randall and Harry Boot of Birmingham University, UK, was the first device ever that could produce high powers at short radio wavelengths.

Tizard, the War, Serendipity and the Magnetron

Page 8: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Where Does F10.7 Come From?

Photosphere and Below

Corona

Free-Free emission from thermal plasma concentration trapped in Active Region Magnetic Fields

Bright emission from thermal electrons trapped in strong magnetic fields overlying sunspots.

Page 9: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Solar Radio Spectrum

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

0.1 1 10 100 1000

Wavelength (cm)

Flux

Den

sity

sfu

Active SunQuiet SunSeries3

106 K Black Body

104 K Black Body

S=Component = Difference

The S-Component Spectrum

corchrom TtTtk

F )),(1(),(2

2

10.7 cm

Page 10: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Flux Monitor 2 (Primary)

Flux Monitor 1 (Secondary)

Solar Radio Monitoring Programme DRAO, Penticton, Canada

Page 11: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

One of the Flux Monitors

Feed Horn

Directional Coupler

Receiver A

Demodulator (ch A2)

Control signal to calibration noise source

Control/Data Logging Computer

Two-way splitter

Directional Coupler

Calibration Noise Source

60 cm square x 8 cm thick aluminium slab

Demodulator (ch A1)

Demodulator (ch B1)

Demodulator (ch B2)

Flap Attenuator

Antenna

Test Noise Source

Receiver B

Waveguide Run Channels A1 and B1 are about 20dB more sensitive than Channels A2 and B2 Network

Page 12: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Back to Basics

S

S

Tdk

B

P

Bg

P

BA

PF

TdkB

P

receivedAreceived

eff

received

Areceived

02227.10

0

24

2

S

A

ξ is the sensitivity of the antenna compared with the sensitivity at the antenna boresight (on the axis), where it is assumed to be unity. This ideally is what we want over all the solar disc.

Page 13: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Getting a Usable Measurement

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

-0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6

Hours wrt Transit

No

rma

lize

d O

utp

ut

Sun is ~0.5º (0.033h) across.

Page 14: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

The Compromise

0.84

0.86

0.88

0.9

0.92

0.94

0.96

0.98

1

1.02

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5

Beamwidth

Flu

x E

ffic

ien

cy

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

6.4 4.3 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.4

Diameter

An

ten

na

Eff

icie

ncy

Flux Efficiency

Antenna Efficiency

100%

99%

Page 15: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Flux Determination Procedure

Page 16: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Cr File + Flux Determinations

Page 17: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Calibration and Data Checks

The gain of a paraboloidal antenna with a feed is very hard to calculate with any accuracy. On the other hand we can estimate the gain of a horn antenna with high accuracy from the physical dimensions. To calibrate the dish antennas we make periodic parallel (noon) measurements of the solar flux using the horns.

The methods for calculating the gain of horns are getting better. However, for consistency we continue to use the model used by Covington (Steen’s model). Therefore our data might be slightly wrong in absolute terms (a flux unit or two possibly).

Each flux monitor contains two independent receivers, and we have two identical but totally independent flux monitors, providing a high level of redundancy for internal data checks.

On occasion there can be contributions to the flux value by non-thermal emission mechanisms, which are often hard to eliminate.

Page 18: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Dual Horn Calibration System

Page 19: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

A Typical Horn Observation

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

18 18.5 19 19.5 20 20.5 21 21.5 22

Universal Time on 9 July, 2010

A/D

Vol

ts

Zenith Antenna Set to Declination of Sun at Transit

Calibration Noise Source

Flap Termination

Solar Transit

Page 20: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Comparison of FM#1 and FM#2 Flux Values

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6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5

Month in 2011

Flu

x D

en

sit

y in

sfu

FM#1

FM#2

Pointing model problem with FM#1

Page 21: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

FM#1/FM#2 Flux Ratio

0

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18

0.975 0.98 0.985 0.99 0.995 1 1.005 1.01 1.015 1.02

Modified Ratio

Perc

en

tag

e o

f V

alu

es

524 Values

Page 22: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

The Flare Problem

Page 23: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

2006/12/06 Event: Value of Low-Sensitivity Channels

Page 24: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Rose’s Cantina, El Paso, Texas

),,()),(()),(()( 5252 tPianoFightttOHHCPianottOHHCFighttaVolume

OHHC 52

PianoFight

Swinging Saloon Doors

(Transfer Function: a(t))

Sound Level

Fig

ht

Piano

PF

Page 25: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

F10.7

• It is a very good indicator of the general level of solar magnetic activity.• It is a successful basis for proxies for various solar emission components

and solar parameters.• It is easy to measure and monitor with high objectivity. It is highly but not

totally observer-independent.• We have a consistent, continuous database covering more than 60 years.

• It contains contributions from at least two emission components (thermal free-free and thermal gyroresonance). The former is related to plage and the latter to sunspots.

• It is not therefore fully clear what it is an index of.• Since sunspot and plage area are not consistently proportional to one

another, this can degrade its applicability to proxies (as our needs get tighter and tighter).

What’s Right About It What’s Wrong With It

Page 26: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

New Technology: The Next Generation Solar Flux Monitor

• F10.7 is a very useful index of solar activity, but it is a composite of up to three emission mechanisms; more specialized applications require those mechanisms to be separated, which in turn needs multiple-wavelength measurements. The Next Generation Solar Flux Monitor can monitor six spot wavelengths between 2 and 20 cm, and the entire spectrum between those wavelengths with millisecond time resolution.

• Observing with high time resolution will provide better flare detection and hopefully the radio signatures of the lifting off of coronal mass ejections, which are the main cause of large magnetic storms.

• Experience with F10.7 has shown that users always come up with new needs. To (hopefully) avoid some of these issues, the NGSFM is designed to obtain all the data within its physical capabilities and budget.

• Others are interested in duplicating the capabilities of the NGSFM.

Page 27: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Next Generation Solar Flux Monitor - Requirements

• To make precise flux determinations at enough wavelengths for the spectrum to be estimated and f-f and g-r emission contributions separated. To make these values truly comparable they should be measured using the same instrumentation, at the same time and in the same manner.

• To record data for each wavelength at a high enough sampling rate to address any reasonable burst monitoring/event patrol requirements.

• To record dynamic spectra over the whole wavelength range.• To use orthogonal linear polarizations to achieve receiver channel

redundancy (backup receiver system).

Page 28: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Specification for the NGSFM

Antenna half-power beamwidth to stay in the range 3 – 5 degrees over the wavelength range 21 – 3 cm (1.4 – 10 GHz).

Multi-wavelength operations: 21 cm, 18 cm,10.7 cm, 6 cm, 4 c m, 2.8 cm (and “broadband” for testing).

Dual orthogonal linear polarization (not primarily for science, for redundancy and backup).

Three precise flux determinations a day plus a “continuous record” from sunrise to sunset, for each polarization and wavelength.

Time resolution in continuous record better than 10ms, target is 1ms.

Modular system that can be duplicated totally or in part in the construction of other instruments.

Page 29: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

An Under-Illuminated Dish

NGSFM Beamwidth w ith Bipol Horn

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

0 5 10 15 20 25

Wavelength in Centimetres

NGSFM Design Wavelength Range

As the wavelength changes, so does the fraction of the antenna, so that to a first order, the beamwidth of the feed/antenna combination remains unchanged.

Page 30: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Trials Using the Broadband Test Receiver

Page 31: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Next Generation Solar Flux Monitor

Test Receiver

Production Receiver

Installing the Test Receiver

Queen’s University Radio Spectrometer

Antenna

!

Page 32: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

NGSFM – First Light: 2011-09-08

Broadband Tests: 20110908(1.5 - 8.5 GHz)

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

5.5

6

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Time in Minutes

RX

Ou

tpu

t V

olt

ag

e

Small Flare

Calibrations

??

Overload

2.2

2.3

2.4

2.5

2.6

2.7

2.8

2.9

3

2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000

Page 33: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Solar Radio Monitoring• Solar radio monitoring can be done from the ground. It is

inexpensive and easy to do for long periods with a smooth maintenance/upgrade strategy.

• Such programmes can be continued for long periods of time (will be 70 years in 2017).

• Consistency of calibration is easy to maintain over long periods.

• Undersampling is an issue.

• Cannot be done 24/7/12 from any ground-based location; multiple stations are needed. This can be achieved through international collaboration, through linkage of stand-alone systems into larger arrangement.

• We are now reaching the point where a new generation of instrumentation is needed.

• BUT NOT AT THE EXPENSE OF THE MEASUREMENTS WE HAVE BEEN MAKING FOR DECADES.

Page 34: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.
Page 35: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

S-Component Spectrum (Flux Density)

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0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Wavelength (cm)

Flu

x D

ensi

ty (

sfu

)

Quiet

Active (Thermal)

Active (Thermal + g-r)

Initial NGSFM Operating Wavelengths

Possibilities for the additional wavelengths

Page 36: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

The Problems With F10.7

For better proxies, and science, we need to separate the contributions from thermal gyroresonance and thermal free-free emission. The former makes the bump in the spectrum and the latter the monotonic decrease with increasing wavelength. To separate them requires the spectrum, not a single-wavelength measurement.

During the solar activity cycle, the spectrum of the S-component changes both amplitude and to a small extent, the wavelength of the spectral peak. A single-wavelength measurement reflects both variations inseparably.

There are occasionally contributions by non-thermal emission mechanisms, which are often hard to eliminate.

Although we want to keep our current measurements of F10.7 going indefinitely, it would be very useful if we could measure the S-component spectrum, and provide additional indices hopefully reflecting the contributions by different emission mechanisms.

Page 37: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

FM#2 v. FM#1 Values

y = 1.0036x

R2 = 0.9962

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FM#1 Observed Flux (sfu)

FM

#2

Ob

se

rve

d F

lux

(s

fu)

Page 38: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

F10.7 and the Sun’s Energy Output

Page 39: F10.7 and Synoptic Solar Radio Monitoring Ken Tapping ken.tapping@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca.

Antenna Arrangement

d

60dH

57

D

d

Hf

Angular diameter of the patch of dish “seen” by the horn (horn diameter is d:

Diameter of patch of dish seen by the horn:57Hfx

Beamwidth of antenna at that wavelength:f

d

xD 5757

Beamwidth is independent of wavelength until x=>D

We want a beamwidth of 3-5 degrees over the wavelength range 3-21 cm. This will require a dish diameter of at least 3.6m

x