Ezion-110407-OIR

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    Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this document.

    Enters into JV to provide jack-up rig. Ezion Holdings (Ezion)

    announced that it has signed a JV agreement with Buccaneer

    Energy Ltd (Buccaneer) for the joint ownership of a jack-up rig

    with the Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority

    (AIDEA). Ezion will acquire a 50% interest in Kenai Offshore

    Ventures (the JV) and its US$2.5m outlay will be funded through

    internal resources. We are, however, assuming a totalinvestment of US$5m for Ezion as there may be additional

    project costs.

    Backed by US$109.5m contract. Kenai Offshore has secured

    a contract worth US$109.5m to provide a jack-up rig to support

    the offshore oil and gas activities in the Cook Inlet in Alaska

    for five years, and is expected to commence before end FY11.

    This translates to a bareboat charter rate of about US$60,000/

    day. The unit can only operate in water depth of up to 300ft

    (shallow waters), hence we were not expecting the higher

    charter rates that higher-spec units generally command.

    Supported by AIDEA. The project has obtained the approvalof the state of Alaska, which is keen on this development as

    the main area around the Cook Inlet (including Anchorage)

    may face a natural gas shortage as early as 2012. According

    to Buccaneer's announcement, the incentives legislated by

    the State of Alaska to incentivize operators to drill with a jack-

    up rig were a significant factor for the business case. AIDEA

    will now commence final negotiations for acquisition of the

    rig, and begin modifications and upgrades before transporting

    the rig to Cook Inlet middle of this year. We understand that

    besides the joint ownership of the jack-up rig, Ezion will also

    provide expertise in the upgrades and mobilization of the unit.

    Upgrading work is likely to be done in one of the yards inSingapore.

    Maintain BUY. Taking into account interest cost, depreciation,

    rig maintenance and preferred dividends to AIDEA, we estimate

    the earnings contribution to Ezion in the rig's first year of

    operations (FY12) would be around US$2.89m, translating into

    an ROI of 57.8% for Ezion. Though we increase our FY12

    earnings estimate by 3.7%, our fair value estimate of S$0.79

    remains unchanged as valuation is based on 11x FY11 core

    earnings. Meanwhile, this latest development also allows Ezion

    to enter the Alaskan oil and gas scene, and there may be

    opportunities for it to provide offshore support vessels in the

    area in the future. Maintain BUY.

    Ezion Holdings Ltd

    SINGAPORE Company Update Results MITA No. 010/06/2009

    7 April 2011

    Maintain

    BUY

    Current Price: S$0.705Fair Value: S$0.79

    SINGAPORE Company Update MITA No. 010/06/2010

    Reuters Code EZHL.SI

    ISIN Code 5ME

    Bloomberg Code EZI SP

    Issued Capital (m) 714

    Mkt Cap (S$m / US$m) 504 / 400

    Major Shareholders

    Chew Thiam Keng 24.1%

    Ezra Holdings 14.0%

    Free Float (%) 55.7%

    Daily Vol 3-mth (000) 3,594

    52 Wk Range 0.550 - 0.815

    Going into Alaska

    Low Pei Han(65) 6531 9813e-mail: [email protected]

    Previous Rating: BUY

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    STI

    Ezion

    (S$ m) FY09 FY10 FY11F FY12FRevenue 73.6 151.2 152.5 211.2

    EBITDA 28.9 49.5 56.7 88.9

    P/NTA (x) 2.8 1.9 1.5 1.3

    EPS (cts) 2.4 7.3 9.0 10.1

    PER (x) 29.4 9.7 7.8 7.0

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    P age 2 7 Ap r i l 2011

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    Exhibit 1: Structure given by Buccaneer Energy; JV partner refers to Ezion

    Source: Buccaneer Energy

    Exhibit 2: Financing structure

    Source: Company, OIR

    Financing structure

    Entity Amount (US$m)

    Bank 50-55

    AIDEA 30

    Shareholders 5 to 10

    Ezion's portion 5 (estimated)

    More about the potential natural gas shortage. The main area around

    the Cook Inlet (including Anchorage) may face a natural gas shortage asearly as 2012 and importing natural gas is currently not regarded as an

    economically attractive solution. Building a pipeline from the North Slope

    to the main population centres in the south is also not considered

    economically viable currently with environmental, commercial and timing

    issues. According to an announcement by Buccaneer in Nov 2010, natural

    gas trades sold via contract to local utilities had a floor of US$7/mcf and a

    cap of US$10/mcf then. This is significantly higher than the spot price of

    about US$4/mcf in the Lower 48 states.

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    P age 3 7 Apr i l 2011

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    Exhibit 3: Project economics in the first year (US$m)

    Source: Company, OIR estimates

    Project economics (US$m)Revenue 22

    Less: Costs

    Depreciation 9

    Interest cost 2.75

    Maintenance of rig 1.50

    Pref div to AIDEA 2.40

    Pre-tax 6.35

    Tax 0.57

    After-tax 5.78

    Ezion's share 2.89

    Ezion's Key Financial Data

    EARNINGS FORECAST BALANCE SHEET

    Year Ended 31 Dec (S$m) FY09 FY10 FY11F FY12F As at 31 Dec (S$m) FY09 FY10 FY11F FY12F

    Revenue 73.6 151.2 152.5 211.2 Cash and cash equivalents 40.3 97.5 72.8 59.2

    Gross profit 29.3 57.7 76.2 105.6 Other current assets 28.9 40.3 39.6 54.9

    EBITDA 28.9 49.5 56.7 88.9 Property, plant, and equipment 260.1 194.8 414.2 495.6

    Net finance expense -2.2 -2.8 -4.8 -5.2 Total assets 364.7 513.0 641.2 744.5

    Share of results of JVs, net 2.4 8.8 14.5 17.4 Debt 155.7 168.6 220.0 220.0

    Exceptionals -2.5 12.1 14.0 0.0 Current liabilities excluding debt 28.7 70.8 69.3 94.5

    Profit before tax 18.1 55.8 71.6 82.4 Total liabilities 187.1 241.9 292.4 318.2

    Minority interests 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Shareholders equity 177.6 271.1 348.9 426.3

    Profit attributable to shareholders 17.1 51.9 67.1 77.8 Total equity 177.6 271.1 348.9 427.3

    Core net profit 19.6 39.8 53.1 77.8 Total equity and liabilities 364.7 513.0 641.2 744.5

    CASH FLOW

    Year Ended 31 Dec (S$m) FY09 FY10 FY11F FY12F KEY RATES & RATIOS FY09 FY10 FY11F FY12F

    Op profit before working cap. changes 30.5 53.3 57.3 88.3 Core EPS (S cents) 2.8 5.6 7.1 10.1

    Working cap, taxes and int -20.4 4.2 7.4 1.7 EPS (S cents) 2.4 7.3 9.0 10.1

    Net cash from operations 10.1 57.5 64.7 90.0 NTA per share (S cents) 24.9 38.0 47.0 55.3

    Purchase of PP&E -126.6 -149.5 -100.0 -100.0 Net profit margin (%) 23.3 34.3 44.0 36.9

    Other investing flows -9.6 17.0 -35.4 2.3 PER (x) 29.4 9.7 7.8 7.0

    Investing cash flow -136.2 -132.5 -135.4 -97.7 Price/NTA (x) 2.8 1.9 1.5 1.3

    Financing cash flow 126.6 120.7 41.1 -10.8 EV/EBITDA (x) 17.4 10.2 8.9 5.7

    Net cash flow 0.4 45.8 -29.6 -18.4 Dividend yield (%) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

    Cash at beginning of year 34.7 40.3 97.5 72.8 ROE (%) 9.6 19.2 19.2 18.3

    Cash at end of year (incl pledges) 40.3 97.5 72.8 59.2 Net gearing (%) 65.0 26.2 42.2 37.7

    Source: Company data, OIR estimates

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    For OCBC Investment Research Pte Ltd

    Carmen LeeHead of ResearchPublished by OCBC Investment Research Pte Ltd

    SHAREHOLDING DECLARATION:The analyst/analysts who wrote this report holds NIL shares in the above security.

    RATINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS:OCBC Investment Researchs (OIR) technical comments and recommendations are short-term and tradingoriented.- However, OIRsfundamental views and ratings (Buy, Hold, Sell) are medium-term calls within a 12-monthinvestment horizon. OIRs Buy = More than 10% upside from the current price; Hold = Trade within +/-10%from the current price; Sell = More than 10% downside from the current price.- For companies with less than S$150m market capitalization, OIRs Buy = More than 30% upside from thecurrent price; Hold = Trade within +/- 30% from the current price; Sell = More than 30% downside from thecurrent price.

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