EXPERT SELECTIONS - Churchill Downs · PDF file · 2017-05-04EXPERT SELECTIONS Joe...

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JOE KRISTUFEK Racing Analyst @JoeyDaKRacing EXPERT SELECTIONS Joe Kristufek returns for his third season as Churchill Downs’ paddock host. He has an extensive background in horse racing and wagering and has been instrumental in the creation of and hosting fan education programs at the premier racing events at racetracks coast to coast. A native of Chicago, Kristufek is the morning-line odds maker for several racetracks, including his hometown Arlington Park. He is also the racing writer and handicapper for the Daily Herald newspaper in Arlington Heights, IL. Joe is well recognized for his diversified handicapping skills and suggested wagering tactics and he loves interacting with all racing fans - from beginner to expert. ©2017 Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. All rights reserved. Data provided or compiled by Equibase Company LLC generally are accurate, but occasionally errors and omissions occur as a result of incorrect data received from others, mistakes in processing and other causes. Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. disclaim responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors but would appreciate having any such errors called to their attention. Selections subject to change due to scratches, off the turf, etc. Tune in to the twinspires.com pre-race paddock show for the most up to the minute information. Check program numbers for accuracy. Joe’s '16 Top Pick Stats through Nov. 27 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 691 199 109 84 28.8% 56.7% Thursday, May 4, 2017 Race 1 #2 Firstrate Proposal – Drops off needed run; win spot. #1 Shamelessfi – Even runs so far; fits like a glove here. #3 Cyclone Betty – Go to whoa threat; can if shakes loose. #6 Runaway Bride – Dangerous team; gets a fresh start. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 2/1-3/6 Race 2 #3 Afleet Jay – Distance suits; tactical advantage. #5 Sky Wonder – Trouble last two; good as any here. #4 Patriotic American – Earned class hike; holds form? #2 Sharm – Claim steps up for Steve; begs for hot pace. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3-5/4-2 Race 3 #4 Michaelslittleally – Speed drops; fires fresh off fast works? #2 Mia Bella Rossa – Broke maiden for tag; fits like a glove. #1 Greely’s Comet – Late runner begs for a hot pace in front. #3 Blaze Star – Blinkers on; Bernie lures Corey…intriguing. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-2/1-3/6 Race 4 #8 Cha Mono – Very well placed; stalks speed & pounces. #7 Fleet Gold Digger – Better than ever; sprouts wings late. #1 Morning Buzz – Versatile performer wants more ground? #5 Golden Moon – Speed of the speed; threat to wire them. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 8/7/1-5/2/4-6-3 Race 5 #10 Showreel – Turf-bred but trains well on dirt; tough call. #2 Keep Your Distance – Adds blinks, first tag, fires fresh? #5 Peloncillo – Rough start cost him last out; sure is capable. #3 Simply Great – Adds blinks for 3rd start of form cycle. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 10-2-5-3-1-4/8-9 Race 6 #3 Talmadge Tap – Love the debut win on Poly; turf bomber. #11 Be My Baby – Early trouble in last; sharp maiden score. #8 Prudence – 2nd to strong winner in last; advantaged trip. #5 What’s In A Kiss – Closed after sluggish start in U.S. debut. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3-11-8-5-12/14-1/10-15-13-4-6-7

Transcript of EXPERT SELECTIONS - Churchill Downs · PDF file · 2017-05-04EXPERT SELECTIONS Joe...

Page 1: EXPERT SELECTIONS - Churchill Downs · PDF file · 2017-05-04EXPERT SELECTIONS Joe Kristufek ... #9 Tarpys Zapper – Smoked GP allowance foes; upside. #3 Sharp Art – Overmatched

JOE KRISTUFEKRacing Analyst @JoeyDaKRacing

EXPERT SELECTIONS

Joe Kristufek returns for his third season as Churchill Downs’ paddock host. He has an extensive background in horse racing and wagering and has been instrumental in the creation of and hosting fan education programs at the premier racing events at racetracks coast to coast. A native of Chicago, Kristufek is the morning-line odds maker for several racetracks, including his hometown Arlington Park. He is also the racing writer and handicapper for the Daily Herald newspaper in Arlington Heights, IL. Joe is well recognized for his diversified handicapping skills and suggested wagering tactics and he loves interacting with all racing fans - from beginner to expert.

©2017 Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. All rights reserved. Data provided or compiled by Equibase Company LLC generally are accurate, but occasionally errors and omissions occur as a result of incorrect data received from others, mistakes in processing and other causes. Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. disclaim responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors but would appreciate having any such errors called to their attention.

Selections subject to change due to scratches, off the turf, etc. Tune in to the twinspires.com pre-race paddock show for the most up to the minute information. Check program numbers for accuracy.

Joe’s '16 Top Pick Stats through Nov. 27 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 691 199 109 84 28.8% 56.7% Thursday,May4,2017Race1#2FirstrateProposal–Dropsoffneededrun;winspot.#1Shamelessfi–Evenrunssofar;fitslikeaglovehere.#3CycloneBetty–Gotowhoathreat;canifshakesloose.#6RunawayBride–Dangerousteam;getsafreshstart.Joe’sSELECTIONS–2/1-3/6Race2#3AfleetJay–Distancesuits;tacticaladvantage.#5SkyWonder–Troublelasttwo;goodasanyhere.#4PatrioticAmerican–Earnedclasshike;holdsform?#2Sharm–ClaimstepsupforSteve;begsforhotpace.Joe’sSELECTIONS–3-5/4-2Race3#4Michaelslittleally–Speeddrops;firesfreshofffastworks?#2MiaBellaRossa–Brokemaidenfortag;fitslikeaglove.#1Greely’sComet–Laterunnerbegsforahotpaceinfront.#3BlazeStar–Blinkerson;BernieluresCorey…intriguing.Joe’sSELECTIONS–4-2/1-3/6

Race4#8ChaMono–Verywellplaced;stalksspeed&pounces.#7FleetGoldDigger–Betterthanever;sproutswingslate.#1MorningBuzz–Versatileperformerwantsmoreground?#5GoldenMoon–Speedofthespeed;threattowirethem.Joe’sSELECTIONS–8/7/1-5/2/4-6-3Race5#10Showreel–Turf-bredbuttrainswellondirt;toughcall.#2KeepYourDistance–Addsblinks,firsttag,firesfresh?#5Peloncillo–Roughstartcosthimlastout;sureiscapable.#3SimplyGreat–Addsblinksfor3rdstartofformcycle.Joe’sSELECTIONS–10-2-5-3-1-4/8-9Race6#3TalmadgeTap–LovethedebutwinonPoly;turfbomber.#11BeMyBaby–Earlytroubleinlast;sharpmaidenscore.#8Prudence–2ndtostrongwinnerinlast;advantagedtrip.#5What’sInAKiss–ClosedaftersluggishstartinU.S.debut.Joe’sSELECTIONS–3-11-8-5-12/14-1/10-15-13-4-6-7

Page 2: EXPERT SELECTIONS - Churchill Downs · PDF file · 2017-05-04EXPERT SELECTIONS Joe Kristufek ... #9 Tarpys Zapper – Smoked GP allowance foes; upside. #3 Sharp Art – Overmatched

Race7#9HeavyRoller–Troubled2ndindebut;stepsupoffclaim.#6Providence–Ratesonconsistency;getsoverthehump?#4DeadlyRuler–SolidFGformwithLA-breds;gimmicks.#3Tapster–Plentyofchances;doesfireoccasionally.Joe’sSELECTIONS–9-6/4-3/7-2-5-8Race8#7SeekingtheSoul–Hugelocalruns;firesafreshshot.#9TarpysZapper–SmokedGPallowancefoes;upside.#3SharpArt–Overmatchedbysprintmonsterinlast.#1ControlStake–Gunsfromtherail;facespressure.Joe’sSELECTIONS–7-9-3/1-10/5Race9–TheOpeningVerse#6MoneyFlows–Hisdamlovedthelawn;bombsaway?#3MonsterBea–Hasrunsomehugeracesonturf;fresh.#8Pleuven–VersatileperformerjustmissedatKee.#2ThatcherStreet–FlourishesonCDgreen;runslate.Joe’sSELECTIONS–6-3-8-2-4/11-5-10

Race10–TheKentuckyJuvenile#8BuySellHold–CanslayWard’stwo-headedmonster?#1aHappyLikeaFool–Wondebutunderahandride.#1McErin–Smokedrivalsinfirsttry;bothhalvesrun?#4WakiPatriot–2ndtoboysindebut;returnedtowin.Joe’sSELECTIONS–8-1a-1/4/2Race11#3PaulineRevere–Greenbloodonmom’sside;timingright.#10AsticouTrail–Toughlossinlast;getsoverthehump?#1StealingHolly–Adventuroustripinlast;cozyraildraw.#5RedDane–Heldwellthroughhonestsplits;mustrespect.Joe’sSELECTIONS–3-10/1-5/6-4-7-12-14

Race8:TrainerMikeTomlinsonhasstartedofftheSpringMeetinafury.TodayhesendsoutLookinforaKiss,whoislookin’forback-to-backvictories.WithleadingriderCoreyLanerieaboard,4-1isasolidpricetotakeonthesonofLookinAtLuckyoffofhisimpressivewinlasttimeout.SuggestedPlay:#5LookinforaKiss

KK’sPlayoftheDayBy:KevinKerstein

@HorseRacingKK

WorkoftheDayBy:BrandonStauble

@bstaubs22

Race5:4/25-#4Darion'sDreamfromthegatein23.4,36and48lookingwellthroughoutanddisplayingabitofpower.LookslikeagoodspotforDarion.MorningInsightforAfternoonProfits–“BrunowiththeWorks”dailyChurchillDownsreportsavailableatbrisnet.com!