European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011...

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European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring for Environment and Security (EC/ESA)

Transcript of European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011...

Page 1: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ???

Global Monitoring for Environment and Security (EC/ESA)

Page 2: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

• EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring

• Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, 9 partners, April 2010 – March 2014

Page 3: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

• Goal: meeting the need for climate monitoring information

Page 4: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

• Goal: meeting the need for climate monitoring information

• Need: long-term data and assessments describingclimate variability and change in Europe

EURO4M

Page 5: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

• Goal: meeting the need for climate monitoring information

• Need: long-term data and assessments describingclimate variability and change in Europe

…supporting science-based mitigation and adaptation

…placing high-impact extremes (such as floods and heat waves) in a historical context

Page 6: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

Example: Flood peak discharge for the river Rhine

Page 7: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

Example: Flood peak discharge for the river Rhine

Source: CHR

Page 8: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

Source: CHR

Example: Flood peak discharge for the river Rhine

Page 9: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

• EURO4M develops two types of information services:

+

Reference historical databases Climate Indicator Bulletins

Page 10: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

• Reference historical databases contain Climate Data Records from:

1) satellites

2) in-situ observations

3) regional reanalysis of past weather

Page 11: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

• Reference historical databases contain Climate Data Records from:

1) satellitesspatially extensive but short

2) in-situ observationslong-term records but sparse

3) regional reanalysis of past weathercomplete but expensive (+ some bias)

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

ECMWF-ERA Interim (80 km) HIRLAM (20 km) MESAN (5 km)

2m Temperature 2m Temperature 2m Temperature

Source: ECMWF and SMHI

Page 13: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

• Climate Indicator Bulletins:

based on basic Climate Data Records

focus on indicators for application sectors

include uncertainty estimates

Page 14: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

From: EEA/JRC/WHO impact indicator report, 2008

Page 15: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

Russian heat wave, July 2010

Page 16: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

Russian heat wave, July 2010

ECMWF

UAH

Courtesy John Christy (top), Adrian Simmons (bottom)

Page 17: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

Russian heat wave, July 2010

Page 18: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

31 days withT-max > 25°C against 9.5 days in a normal July

Data available from http://eca.knmi.nl

Russian heat wave, July 2010

Page 19: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

16 nights with T-min > 20°C against 0.5 night in a normal July

Data available from http://eca.knmi.nl

Russian heat wave, July 2010

Page 20: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

16 nights with Tn>20°C; normal is 0.5 night

Data available from http://eca.knmi.nl

No significant long term trend at station Moscow

Data available from http://eca.knmi.nl

Russian heat wave, July 2010

Page 21: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringMACC Conference, Utrecht, 23-27 May 2011

• Thank you for your attention!

• Visit www.EURO4M.eu or mailto: Albert.Klein.Tank @ KNMI.nlGe.Verver @ KNMI.nl