European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31...

31
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring €4M contribution from European Commission Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners

Transcript of European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31...

Page 1: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

• EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring

• €4M contribution from European Commission

• Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners

Page 2: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

• EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring

• €4M contribution from European Commission

• Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners

(KNMI, Met Office, URV, NMA, Meteo Swiss, DWD, SMHI, UEA/CRU, Météo France)

Page 3: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

• Goal: meeting the need for climate monitoring information

Page 4: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

• Goal: meeting the need for climate monitoring information

• Need: according to user-consultations byJRC/EEA, EUMETNET, WMO-GFCS,and our own Climate Liaison Team

LONG-TERM CLIMATE DATA + ASSESSMENTS

Page 5: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

• Goal: meeting the need for climate monitoring information

• Need: according to user-consultations byJRC/EEA, EUMETNET, WMO-GFCS,and our own Climate Liaison Team

LONG-TERM CLIMATE DATA + ASSESSMENTS

…describing climate variability and change at European scale

…placing high-impact extreme events in a historical context

Page 6: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

• EURO4M develops two core services (which are closely linked):

+

Reference historical databases Climate Indicator Bulletins

Page 7: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

• EURO4M develops two core services (which are closely linked):

+

Reference historical databases Climate Indicator Bulletins

Page 8: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

EURO4M

Page 9: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

EURO4M

ESA-CCI

Page 10: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

EURO4M

ESA-CCI

MACC

Page 11: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

1) satellite data (CM-SAF)

2) in-situ observations (ECA&D, HadCRU, GPCC)

3) regional reanalysis of past weather (new!)

Reference historical databases

Page 12: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

?

?

Page 13: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

Page 14: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

GPCC and CM-SAF (DWD)

Page 15: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

ECA&D/E-OBS (KNMI)

Example of E-OBS map for 31st of last month

Page 16: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

Data rescue and digitization (MEDARE)

Page 17: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

ECMWF-ERA Interim (80 km) HIRLAM (20 km) MESAN (5 km)

2m Temperature 2m Temperature 2m Temperature

Source: SMHI & Météo France

Page 18: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

1) satellite data (CM-SAF)

2) in-situ observations (ECA&D, HadCRU, GPCC)

3) regional reanalysis of past weather (new!)

Reference historical databases

Page 19: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

1) satellite data (CM-SAF)

spatially extensive but short

2) in-situ observations (ECA&D, HadCRU, GPCC)

long-term records but sparse

3) regional reanalysis of past weather (new!)

complete but expensive and some bias

Reference historical databases

Page 20: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

+

Reference historical databases Climate Indicator Bulletins

Page 21: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

+

Reference historical databases Climate Indicator Bulletins

Page 22: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

Reference historical databases Climate Indicator Bulletins

focus on trends and variability in impact relevant indicators

include uncertainty estimates

first bulletin on EU-temperaturedue in March 2012

Page 23: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

In-situNOAA

Page 24: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

ERA-InterimECMWF

MSUUAH

Courtesy: John Christy (top), Adrian Simmons (bottom)

In-situNOAA

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

Page 25: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

Assessment requiresimpact relevant indicators(EEA, IPCC/ETCCDI, WMO-GFCS)

In-situNOAA

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

Page 26: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

31 days withT-max > 25°C against 9.5 days in a normal July

Source: ECA&D http://eca.knmi.nl

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

Page 27: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

16 nights with T-min > 20°C against 0.5 night in a normal July

Source: ECA&D http://eca.knmi.nl

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

Page 28: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

From: EEA/JRC/WHO impact indicator report, 2008; Source: ECA&D, http://eca.knmi.nl

Trends in impact indicators since 1976:

Page 29: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

ETCCDI worldwide indicatoractivities

Working together

GH Africa Workshop(WCRP/World Bank)

04/2010

Indonesia, Malaysia,Thailand, Philippines

(NL) 12/2009

Southeast Asia (USA)

12/2007

Mexico (UK)03/2009

West IndianOcean (France)

09/2009

Central Africa (USA) 4/2007

South America (Ecuador) 01/2011

Page 30: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

Page 31: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011

EURO4M EUMETGRID

4-year project (funding assured) Project with regular extensions (funding uncertain)

Focus on research and development Focus tools and methodologies for operational services

9 partners in consortium only Open to all ECSN members and targeted at RA VI

Top-down gridding with common method Bottom-up stitching national grids together

Based on central data archive ECA&D (selected stations only) Based on complete national archives (highest possible detail)

Includes DARE and digitization activities DARE is part of other projects outside EUMETGRID

In situ, satellite and reanalysis data Prime focus on in situ data

Bulletins with impact relevant indicators of extremes Various user applications

Relies on existing infrastructure only New infrastructure development (distributed databases, WIS)

Near-real time monitoring of extreme events Monitoring linked to WMO Pilot RCC on monitoring (DWD)

Initiated by EU Initiated by NMHSs

Building block for future GMES Climate Service Core of future EUMETNET Climate Capability

Liason with ERA-CLIM, ESA-CCI and future FP7 projects Keen eye on role in operational GMES Climate

GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ???

How do we convince EUMETNET of synergy, and need for funding climate?