Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are...

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Euromonitor International The rise of private label in savoury snacks Presented by Lamine Lahouasnia Head of Packaged Food Research @SNACKEX #SNACKEX @Euromonitor @LLahouasnia

Transcript of Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are...

Page 1: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Euromonitor International

The rise of private label in savoury snacks

Presented by Lamine Lahouasnia – Head of Packaged Food Research

@SNACKEX #SNACKEX

@Euromonitor

@LLahouasnia

Page 2: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Who are Euromonitor?

• Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence

• 11 Regional offices - 800+ analysts in 80 countries

• Cross-country comparable data and analysis

• Consumer focused industries, countries and

consumers

• 5 - 10 year forecasts with matching trend analysis

• All retail channels covered

• Subscription services, reports and consulting

London

Singapore

Shanghai

Dubai

Vilnius

Cape Town

Santiago

Tokyo

Sydney

Chicago

Bangalore

Page 3: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Definition of snacks

Extruded Snacks 42%

Nuts 24%

Chips/Crisps 23%

Pretzels 7% Tortilla/Corn Chips 4%

Europe: The Size of the Savoury Snack Market in 2012

EUR 17 billion

Page 4: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

What’s Really Driving Private Label?

Image courtesy of Jeff Eaton

Page 5: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

How far has private label come in packaged food?

16%

17%

18%

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vate

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Packaged Food: Branded vs. Private Label in Europe, 2003-2012

Private Label Branded Food Private Label Share

Page 6: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

So what about snacks?

16%

17%

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2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

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Snacks: Branded vs. Private Label in Europe, 2003-2012

Private Label Branded Food Private Label Share

Page 7: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

How private label snacks fits in with the rest of packaged food

0%

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Europe: Private Label Penetration in Packaged Food, 2012

Chilled processed food

Baby food Snacks

Page 8: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

What has driven the rise of private label food in Europe?

Trust in private label

Looks the same, tastes the same Is it the same?

Economic Environment

Financial squeeze Can I get the same for less?

Retail consolidation

The success of modern retail Is there a choice?

Page 9: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Battle for industry consolidation: Germany

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Germany: Consolidation in Packaged Food and Grocery Retailing, 2004-2012

Packaged Food Grocery Retailers

Page 10: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Battle for industry consolidation: Poland

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Poland: Consolidation in Packaged Food and Grocery Retailing, 2004-2012

Packaged Food Grocery Retailers

Page 11: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Battle for industry consolidation: Russia

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om

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Mar

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Russia: Consolidation in Packaged Food and Grocery Retailing, 2004-2012

Packaged Food Grocery Retailers

Page 12: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

So, who has the upper hand?

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Industry Consolidation: Packaged Food vs. Grocery Retailers, 2004-2012

34

%

25

%

Page 13: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

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Europe: Consolidation in the Packaged Food and Grocery Retailing Industries, 2012

Packaged Food Grocery Retailers Private Label Penetration

The relationship between retail consolidation and private label

Page 14: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Private Label Priorities for Snacks

Image courtesy of Geoff Lane

Page 15: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50

Tesco

McCoys

Walkers Sensations

Walkers Extra Crunchy

Walkers Crinkles

Tesco Finest

Kettle Ridge Chips

Real Crisps

Nandos

Jack Pots

Burts

Kettle Chips

Kettle Select Vegetable

Red Sky

Tyrell's

Price per Unit - £

Chips/Crisps: Private Label Price Positioning, 2013

Private label positioning in snacks: Tesco

Creating the private label

space

Undercutting branded

competition

Page 16: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Private label positioning in snacks: Asda

- 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50

Walkers Sensations

Walkers Extra Crunchy

Hunky Dory

Asda Chosen by You

Asda

Asda Extra Special

Lays

Mackies

Walkers Crinkles

Ruffles

Kettle Chips

McCoy's

Price per Unit - £

Chips/Crisps: Private Label Price Positioning, 2013

Crowding out the private

label space

Page 17: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Private label positioning in snacks: Sainsbury’s

- 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50

Walkers Sensations

Sainsbury's Taste the Difference

Kettle Chips

McCoy's

Red Sky

Tyrell's

Walkers Extra Crunchy

Tyrell's Vegetable Crisps

Price per Unit - £

Chips/Crisps: Private Label Price Positioning, 2013

Creating the private label

space

Page 18: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Private label positioning in snacks: Waitrose

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50

Kettle Ridge Chips

Waitrose

Corkers

Walkers Sensations

Kettle Chips

Red Sky

Walkers Extra Crunchy

Walkers Crinkles

Burts

Tyrell's

Price per Unit - £

Chips/Crisps: Private Label Price Positioning, 2013

Creating the private label

space

Page 19: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Packaging imitation crucial for economy private label snacks

Packaging type Colour Imagery

Albert Heijn

Carrefour

Esselunga

Page 20: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Cross category ranges needed for standard and premium private label

Page 21: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

What are the priorities for private label snacks in Europe?

Specialty ranges also becoming popular

Initial focus on health and wellness

Future likely to see establishment of ethical ranges

Premium ranges to be next challenge

Cross category range requirement

More of a priority than standard segment for retailers

Domination of the economy ranges

Price to be primary offering Imitation is key

Page 22: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

What the Future Holds for Private Label Snacks

Image courtesy of Femto

Page 23: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

So where now for private label snacks?

16%

17%

18%

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21%

22%

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3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

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18,000

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pri

vate

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alu

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€ b

illio

n

Snacks: Branded vs. Private Label in Europe, 2003-2012

Private Label Branded Food Private Label Share

Page 24: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

A perfect storm is brewing for private label in Europe

Disposable incomes stagnating

Retail modernisation to continue

Grocery retailers to prioritise PL

Page 25: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Trading down likely to return

-1

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GG UK RU LA LT RO BU BS ET BL PL MD RS CR CS SV HU SK TR NO SE DK IE CH FI AT DE GB FR ES GR PT BE NL IT

Eastern Europe Western Europe

CA

GR

%

Europe: Outlook for Disposable Incomes, 2012-2017

Page 26: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Modern retail is everywhere

0%

10%

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SV

ET

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LT

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CR

H

U

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P

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Eastern Europe Western Europe

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Europe: The Rise of Modern Grocery Retail, 2002/2012

2002

2012

Page 27: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Where to invest…

Sales Growth

Margin Growth

Page 28: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

…when expansion is no longer an option?

-20

-10

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2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

Selli

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Western Europe: The Slowdown in Grocery Expansion, 2004-2012

Aldi Group Carrefour SA

Schwarz Beteiligungs GmbH Tesco Plc

Average

Page 29: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

Is it inevitable?

Shapes ‘Pester Power’

Flavours Non-

traditional

Innovation

Event association

Party food

Health and Wellness

Healthier alternative

Marketing

Page 30: Euromonitor International - SNACKEX presentations/12-06_3rd session_Lamin… · Who are Euromonitor? •Global provider of Strategic Market Intelligence •11 Regional offices - 800+

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