EU Market Situation for Eggs Civil Dialogue...

EU Market Situation

for Eggs

Civil Dialogue Group

07 October 2015

DG AGRI C3 07 October 2015

26 2

26

23 0

91 26 6

52

27 6

12

26 8

27

25 8

25

24 4

05

20 1

44 23 5

50

22 7

12

20 3

08

18 3

41

23 6

92

24 0

96 29 8

48

26 5

43

24 4

31

26 1

06

20 4

71

17 5

43 21 3

85

20 3

24

17 3

30 22 2

70

22 6

22

23 2

22 26 7

01

25 3

55

26 8

81

19 7

92

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Placings of laying chicks(1 000 pieces)

2013 2014 2015


7 51

7

7 49

7

7 47

4

7 45

8

7 44

3

7 52

9

7 44

6

7 42

0

7 42

4

7 44

2

7 41

2

7 23

8

7 37

0

7 34

5

7 33

3

7 26

8

7 08

0

7 20

8

7 17

0

7 19

2

7 28

1

7 20

1

7 26

1

7 12

8

6 98

2

6 93

4

6 85

1

6 77

1

6 76

4

6 76

9

6 74

7

6 74

5

6 77

6

#N/A

#N/A

#N/A

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000


Forecast and Production of eggs in shell(Mio pieces)

2013 2014 2015


0.0

200.0

400.0

600.0

800.0

1000.0

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR HR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK

Qty

in 1

000 t

on

nes

Experts EU production forecast of Total Eggs(Eggs in shell + Hatching Eggs)

2015: 7 525.8 th T (+ 1.9 %) & 2016: 7 600 thT ( + 1.0 %)(Thousands Pieces - 2015 = 120 413 & 2016 = 121 600)

2014 2015 2016

Source: According to the data sent by the experts of the forecast group

Missing: (BE - BG - EE - LV - MT - SK)

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR HR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK EU

2015 200.0 94.0 158.0 82.0 865.0 9.8 128.0 890.8 983.0 35.5 45.0 830.0 8.4 42.2 58.6 148.2 7.1 722.0 110.0 593.0 132.0 365.0 20.4 71.0 70.8 103.0 753.0 7 525.8

% + 0.0% + 2.2% + 2.6% + 0.0% + 1.3% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 1.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 1.2% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% - 2.6% + 0.0% + 0.6% + 15.5% + 3.1% + 3.9% + 1.4% + 0.0% + 0.4% + 3.4% + 0.0% + 3.0% + 1.9%

2016 200.0 94.0 158.0 82.0 873.0 9.8 128.0 899.7 983.0 35.5 46.0 833.0 8.4 42.2 58.6 152.0 7.1 722.0 110.0 609.0 132.0 370.0 20.4 71.0 71.5 103.0 780.8 7 600.0

% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.9% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 1.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 2.2% + 0.4% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 2.6% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 2.7% + 0.0% + 1.4% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 1.0% + 0.0% + 3.7% + 1.0%


0

200

400

600

800

1000


Qty

in 1

000 t

on

nes

Experts EU production forecast of Eggs for consumption2015: 6 661.7 th T (+ 2.3 %) & 2016: 6 825.7 thT (+ 2.5 %)

(Thousands Pieces - 2015 = 106 587 & 2016 = 109 211 )

2014 2015 2016




2015 143.0 88.0 138.0 70.4 788.0 9.2 100.0 690.0 900.0 32.0 41.0 800.0 7.1 41.1 53.0 130.0 6.9 645.0 104.0 527.0 108.0 355.0 20.0 63.9 62.0 90.0 649.1 6 661.7

% + 0.0% + 2.3% + 3.0% + 0.0% + 1.3% + 0.0% - 5.7% + 7.0% + 0.1% + 0.0% + 2.5% + 1.3% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 9.5% - 3.7% + 0.0% - 0.2% + 15.2% + 2.7% + 2.9% + 1.4% + 0.0% + 0.3% + 2.5% + 0.0% + 2.8% + 2.3%

2016 143.0 88.0 138.0 71.0 796.0 9.2 100.0 759.0 900.0 32.0 42.0 805.0 7.1 41.1 54.0 132.0 6.9 679.0 104.0 540.0 109.0 360.0 20.0 63.9 62.5 90.0 673.0 6 825.7

% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.9% + 1.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 10.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 2.4% + 0.6% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 1.9% + 1.5% + 0.0% + 5.3% + 0.0% + 2.5% + 0.9% + 1.4% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.8% + 0.0% + 3.7% + 2.5%

100

115

130

145

160


€ur

o/

10

0kg

Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Class A eggs in packing stations

Moy. 10-14 2013 2014 2015

133.25 €/100 kg

Source: MSs weekly communications



40.00

90.00

140.00

190.00

240.00

290.00

340.00

390.00

| 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |

Egg prices of EU, USA, Brazil and Indiain €uro/ 100kg

EU egg

US egg €uro

BR Egg €uro

IN NECC €uro

64,39

134,33

82,71

288,53

EU = weighted avg of MS prices Average class L&M

US = weekly USDA prices Eggs grade A ,ChicagoBR = avg of prices in main producing states (noticiasagricolas.com.br)

IN = avg of NECC prices in available Production Centres (e2necc.com)


0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

300.00

350.00

| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |

€u

ro/ 1

00

kg

Prices of Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking 2011 - 2015

EU-Eggs for Consumption US breaking (high)

EU Barn cage free breaking (high) EU Enriched cage breaking (high)


0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

1|

5 9 13 17 21 252012

29 33 37 41 45 49 1|

5 9 13 17 21 252013

29 33 37 41 45 49 1|

5 9 13 17 21 252014

29 33 37 41 45 49 1|

5 9 13 17 21 252015

29 33 37 41

€/10

0 kg

Maximum weekly prices for individual egg products

in the EU and the USA in €/10kg

whole plain EU Yolk EU Albumen Spray EU

whole plain US Yolk US Albumen Spray US


0.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

| 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |

€/10

kg

Prices of Egg products in the EU and the USA(in €/10 kg)

Yolk 44% pasturised EU Yolk 11% salted EU Yolk 43% pasturised USA Yolk 10% salted USA


0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53

Rem

ain

der €uro

/ 100kg

100KG Egg minus feedcost for Laying Hensfeedconversionrate = 2,7(2009) - 2,2(2014)

Marge Average10 - 14

Marge Egg 2012 Marge Egg 2013 Marge Egg 2014 Marge Egg 2015


EU Imports of Eggs:

Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jul 14

India 1 554 7.5% 3 658 9.7% 3 855 18.7% 5 606 42.3% 3 794 37.4% + 17.7%

Argentina 8 113 39.0% 10 159 26.9% 5 835 28.4% 1 433 10.8% 2 016 19.9% + 158%

USA 5 956 28.6% 15 179 40.2% 6 861 33.4% 3 930 29.7% 1 978 19.5% - 31%

Ukraine 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 163 1.2% 920 9.1% +++

Norway 1 502 7.2% 1 474 3.9% 1 968 9.6% 1 280 9.7% 563 5.6% - 36%

Switzerland 343 1.6% 333 0.9% 355 1.7% 610 4.6% 262 2.6% - 32%

Others 3 335 0.2% 6 919 0.0% 1 687 0.0% 219 0.0% 604 6.0%

EXTRA EU 28 20 801 37 722 20 563 13 240 10 136

% change + 81% - 45% - 36% + 22.9%

2011 2012 2013 Jan-Jul 152014


EU Egg Imports

2.0773.225 3.794

4.366781

2.016

1.707

518

866

14.678

8.249

10.136

0

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

10.000

12.000

14.000

16.000

Jan-Jul 13 Jan-Jul 14 Jan-Jul 15

Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs

(Tonnes eggs equiv)

India Argentina USA Ukraine Norway Other destinations

2.478 3.005 3.889

4.610715

1.952

1.9151.153

21.072

13.083

19.643

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000


Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs

(1000 EUR)

India Argentina USA Ukraine Norway Other destinations


Russ

ia (u

p to

May

yy)

Russ

ia (u

p to

May

yy)

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

(up

to Ju

n)

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

(up

to Ju

n)

Sing

apor

e (u

p to

Jun)

Sing

apor

e (u

p to

Jun)

Cana

da (u

p to

Jun)

Cana

da (u

p to

Jun)

Mex

ico (u

p to

May

)

Mex

ico (u

p to

May

)

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2 000

2014 (up to July) 2015 (up to July)

Qty

in 1

000

Tonn

es

Main Importers of EGGS Products (up to July)

Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl. Eggs for hatching)


EU Exports of Eggs:

Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jul 14

Japan 66.354 31% 66.935 36% 64.522 30% 78.765 34% 41.346 30% - 8,2%

Sw itzerland 42.163 19% 41.888 23% 41.991 20% 39.379 17% 24.137 17% - 1%

U.A.Emirates 8.261 4% 1.676 1% 10.449 5% 8.118 4% 9.137 7% + 126%

USA 636 0% 180 0% 98 0% 3.020 1% 7.315 5% +++

Angola 17.524 8% 17.110 9% 12.905 6% 16.077 7% 6.868 5% - 6%

Israel 2.654 1% 1.060 1% 936 0% 3.491 2% 5.540 4% +++

Taiw an 7.939 4% 4.624 2% 3.411 2% 3.445 2% 2.667 2% + 57%

Thailand 7.251 3% 6.406 3% 5.913 3% 4.939 2% 2.576 2% - 14%

Hong Kong 5.354 2% 409 0% 314 0% 2.379 1% 2.472 2% + 139%

Sierra Leone 312 0% 0 0% 1.020 0% 1.673 1% 2.035 1% + 61%

Russia 4.947 2% 5.982 3% 10.538 5% 7.659 3% 1.302 1% - 68%

Others 53.680 25% 39.502 21% 62.538 29% 59.518 26% 32.907 24%

EXTRA EU 28 217.075 185.771 214.636 228.464 138.301

% change - 14% + 16% + 6% + 6,3%

2011 2012 2013 Jan-Jul 152014


EU Egg Exports

34.02445.017 41.346

26.838

24.362 24.137

43.961

48.21249.499

117.305

130.083138.301

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000

160.000


Total EU Export of Eggs not incl. hatching eggs (T. eggs equiv.)

Japan Switzerland U.A.Emirates USA Angola Other origins

35.26048.899 52.359

41.65232.003 32.078

8.897

53.386 58.866

63.738

146.269153.502

174.814

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000

160.000

180.000

200.000


Total EU Export of Eggs not incl. hatching eggs (1000 EUR)

Japan Switzerland U.A.Emirates USA Angola Other origins


Turk

ey (u

p to

May

yy)

Turk

ey (u

p to

May

yy)

Unite

d St

ates

(up

to Ju

n yy

)

Unite

d St

ates

(up

to Ju

n yy

)

EU (u

p to

Jun

yy)

EU (u

p to

Jun

yy)

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

(up

to Ju

n yy

)

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

(up

to Ju

n yy

)

Mal

aysia

(up

to M

ay y

y) *

Mal

aysia

(up

to M

ay y

y) *

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2014 (up to July) 2015 (up to July)

Qty

in 1

000

Tonn

es (

pw)

Main Exporters of EGGS Products (up to July)

(excl. Eggs for hatching)Source : GTA & Eurostat


EU Egg Trade Balance (not including Hatching eggs)

1018

2318 17

27

16

30

69

2530

3945

2330

34

21

38

2113 10

144

164

186

209

231

201 205

191

142

198 198202

167

187

150

182

217

186

215

228

138

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-Jul15

in 1000 TonnesIMPORTS EXPORTS


4 16

9

7 61

4

6 25

2

7 56

9

6 94

8 7 79

8

8 20

7

8 52

4

8 43

3

8 93

9

3 50

6

6 63

7

5 47

1

6 80

5

6 26

7 7 16

4

7 39

6

7 62

4

7 56

7

8 05

4

597 89

6

697

719

628

785

739

828

790

807

730

924

885

759

751

667 72

9

698 75

5

619

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

10 000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Num

ber o

f hat

cher

ies

In M

io p

iece

s

EU Capacity of and incubations by hatcheriesIn 2014 - hatching of eggs for layers is around 9% of the total hatching

Incubations : Total Incubations : Utilization table

Incubations : Utilization laying Number of hatcheries


0

100

200

300


Qty

in 1

000 t

on

nes

Experts EU production forecast of Hatching Eggs2015: 864.1 th T (- 1.6 %) & 2016: 774.3 thT (- 10.4 %)

(Thousands Pieces - 2015 = 13 826 & 2016 = 12 389)

2012 2014 2015 2016




2015 57.0 6.0 20.0 11.6 77.0 0.6 28.0 200.8 83.0 3.5 4.0 30.0 1.3 1.1 5.6 18.2 0.2 77.0 6.0 66.0 24.0 10.0 0.4 7.1 8.8 13.0 103.9 864.1

% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 1.3% + 0.0% + 27.3% - 15.3% - 1.2% + 0.0% - 20.0% - 1.3% + 0.0% + 0.0% - 45.1% + 5.8% + 0.0% + 6.9% + 22.4% + 0.0% + 9.1% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 1.4% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 4.7% - 1.6%

2016 57.0 6.0 20.0 11.0 77.0 0.6 28.0 140.7 83.0 3.5 4.0 28.0 1.3 1.1 4.6 20.0 0.2 43.0 6.0 69.0 23.0 10.0 0.4 7.1 9.0 13.0 107.8 774.3

% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% - 5.2% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% - 29.9% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% - 6.7% + 0.0% + 0.0% - 17.9% + 9.9% + 0.0% - 44.2% + 0.0% + 0.0% - 4.2% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 0.0% + 3.8% - 10.4%


59 7

93

75 8

71

41 9

66 50 2

51

27 0

64

42 3

48

22 3

94

26 0

18

6 27

3

6 10

4

3 93

5

5 35

6

1 87

8

4 48

3

1 74

1

5 40

8

4 87

6

3 82

1

1 71

7

2 94

2

3 88

2

3 83

6

2 73

2

2 29

9

2 66

8

2 93

5

1 72

4

1 72

0

13 1

51

12 3

43

7 72

3

6 50

8

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

2 013 2 014 Jan-July14 Jan-July15

Tonn

es e

gg e

quiv

alen

t

EU EXPORTS OF HATCHING EGGS(By main partners)

Total Russia Iraq Ukraine Saudi Arabia Libya Switzerland Others

Source: Eurostat


59.7

93

75.8

71

41.9

66 50.2

51

15.6

04

20.2

52

11.6

59

11.5

82

9.37

3

10.0

97

5.63

3

5.76

2

6.69

2

8.11

3

4.00

6

7.67

6

5.06

9

6.19

1

3.68

4

3.61

2

4.41

1

6.63

9

3.80

6

3.67

8

5.77

9

4.88

0

2.34

1

3.28

412.8

64 19.7

00

10.8

38

14.6

58

0

10.000

20.000

30.000

40.000

50.000

60.000

70.000

80.000

2.013 2.014 Jan-July14 Jan-July15

Tonn

es e

gg e

quiv

alen

t

EU EXPORTS OF HATCHING EGGSMain Member States

Total Netherlands Germany Belgium

Spain Czech Republic United Kingdom Others

Source: Eurostat


27 0

64

42 3

48

22 3

94 26 0

18

10 8

26 16 0

06

9 43

1

10 2

17

6 31

0

7 45

0

4 16

4

3 69

3

3 70

9

5 20

2

3 01

1

2 82

0

1 39

4

2 35

6

822

2 01

0

285 2

443

1 47

7

1 68

7

1 04

1

1 81

8

834

1 18

4

3 49

9 7 07

3

2 65

6

4 40

7

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

45 000

2013 2014 Jan-July14 Jan-July15

Tonn

es e

gg e

quiv

alen

t

EU EXPORTS OF HATCHING EGGS(By MS to Russia)

Total Netherlands Germany Czech Republic

Hungary France Slovakia Others

Source: Eurostat


25

4 4

77

23

1 9

81

11

3 4

42

11

3 3

85

10

0 1

62

85

30

0

45

15

9

43

38

7

26

15

8

27

48

4

10

55

0

9 3

92

21

63

7

12

62

2

6 0

89

9 1

20

17

25

7

12

59

7

5 3

00

7 1

85

4 2

91

10

91

9

5 1

62

2 4

14

9 6

26

6 2

94

2 9

41

3 8

57

6 8

07

7 8

66

3 5

29

3 9

45

68

54

0

68

89

8

34

71

2

34

08

5

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

2013 2014 Jan-June 2014 Jan-June 2015

In M

io p

iece

s

Number of one day old chicks exported(Main Partners)

Total Ukraine Egypt Belarus Russia Moldova Algeria Serbia Others


25

4 4

77

23

1 9

81

11

3 4

42

11

3 3

85

76

98

3

66

96

4

33

70

2

36

16

3

39

06

8

31

88

3

16

68

6

9 8

88

21

34

9

18

60

0

11

32

4

10

43

9

9 4

91

14

10

5

6 8

02

7 9

75

12

91

2

12

67

9

6 0

00

5 1

69

5 4

96

6 0

88

2 7

57

5 4

77

38

94

6

32

27

3

14

99

8

16

00

4

50

23

1

49

38

9

21

17

2

22

27

0

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

2013 2014 Jan-June 2014 Jan-June 2015

In M

io p

iece

s

Number of one day old chicks exported(Main MS)

Total Poland Netherlands Hungary Czech Republic Germany Belgium Others France

EU market situation for Poultry 07 October 2015

Where to find data:

• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en.htm

• Click on link: Poultry

• Click on link: Presentations and prices

(righthand side under: in this chapter)

• Choose the item (link) you want

http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en.htm









EU Market Situation for Eggs Civil Dialogue...

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