Estácio: UniSãoLuis´s Presentation - Mergers and Acquisitions

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Faculdade São Luís Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting – Mergers and Acquisitions June 15, 2012

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Estácio: UniSãoLuis´s Presentation - Mergers and Acquisitions

Transcript of Estácio: UniSãoLuis´s Presentation - Mergers and Acquisitions

Page 1: Estácio: UniSãoLuis´s Presentation - Mergers and Acquisitions

Faculdade São Luís Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting – Mergers and Acquisitions

June 15, 2012

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Social and Economic Dynamics – São Luís

2009 GDP – IBGE

Total: R$15.3 billion

Per capita income: R$15,381

Working-age population: 44%

Working population: 35%

Unemployment rate: 22%

919

928

930

942

945

958

05 06 07 08 09 10

Population

Brazil São Luís

São Luís is Maranhão’s main economic center. Its expansion resulted from the installation of major economic projects, such as the Itaqui Port and the Ponta da Madeira Port Complex (CPPM), in addition to the consolidation of the Industrial District. The combination of these projects have vitalized the local economy.

GDP Breakdown by Sector

> The broad base of São Luís’s pyramid projects future growth in the number of target people (“supply of students for post-secondary education”)

2000 IBGE Census

0.2%

41.2%

44.2%

14.4%

Agribusiness Industry

Services Public Adm.

94%

6%

Urban Rural

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Northeast Region Growth

Low penetration of students enrolled in the Northeastern region points to high growth potential

Penetration of students enrolled in the target population (aged between 18 and 35)

Source: IPC Target / Estácio

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1.339

1.914

2.049

1.963

1.979

1.977 2.484

3.6163.716

02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Growth and Competition

Student Base – FACSÃOLUÍS

*latest information available

IES – Local Market

0

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

10.000

12.000

14.000

16.000

18.000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

UNICEUMA

UFMA

FAMA Kroton

UEMA

FACSÃOLUÍS

CEST

Fac.Pitagoras

UNDB

FACAM-MA

Outros

Market Share

5,0% 4,8% 4,7%5,6%

6,9% 6,8%

8,1% 7,8%7,2%

8,5%

10,9% 10,6%

05 06 07 08 09 10*

Total Geral Total Privadas

IES Market – São Luís (thousand students)

15,3 15,7 15,0 15,5 19,5 19,6

24,2 25,2 27,5 29,233,3 35,0

05 06 07 08 09 10*

Total Públicas Total Privadas

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Executive Summary

The Company

• Approximately 4,000 students in 2012

• CAGR 05-10 of 13.6% for Fac. São Luís vs. 7.1% for other private IES (post-secondary education) institutions

• For-profit IES and ProUni

• 1 campus located downtown São Luís

• Average Net Ticket (2011): R$432

• Entry the São Luís market, expanding the portfolio of on-campus programs and transforming the institution into a distance learning (EAD) center

• Excellent infrastructure

• Synergies: Shared Services Center (CSC), teaching activities, marketing

Strategic Rationale

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Valuation Premises

Financial Operational

• Nominal flow

• Average inflation: 5.1%

• WACC: 15%

• Perpetuity Growth (g): 4.5%

• Base date: June 30, 2012

• Average Student Base: CAGR 2011-16 of 4.3%, which should increase as of 2014 due to the new courses approved (note: the base excludes distance learning)

• Average Ticket: Pass through of projected inflation only.

• Cost of Services: 10 p.p. gain in faculty costs by 2016, reflecting the implementation of the Estácio teaching model.

• SG&A: synergy gains from back office reduction and 13 p.p. reduction in the Administration payroll by 2016; 8 p.p reduction in PDA to 5% of net revenues

• CAPEX: higher investments in 2012 and 2013 to cover IT and systems integration costs, and reduction to 3.5% of net revenues in 2014.

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Valuation

Result

• Base date 06/30/2012

• 5-year flow: R$16.2 M

• Perpetuity: R$65.7 M

• Total EV: R$ 81.9 M

• Proposal: R$28 M R$7,000/student

• IRR: 21.4%

2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E

R$ million CAGR

Average student base 3884 3,972 3,987 4,147 4,335 4,788 4.3%

Base growth 2.3% 0.4% 4.0% 4.5% 10.4%

Net revenue 19.5 22.4 23.5 25.4 27.5 31.4 Cost of services (7.0) (8,1) (8,0) (7,9) (7,9) (8,1)

Gross profit 8.7 9.9 11.8 14.7 17.7 21.0 SG&A (12.3) (14.1) (11.8) (9.9) (8.8) (9.7)

EBITDA 0.2 0.3 3.7 7.6 10.9 13.5 (-) IR + CSLL (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) (0.1) (0.2) (+) VCG (1.0) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.6) (-) CAPEX (2.3) (1.7) (0.9) (1.0) (1.1) Perp.

Free Cash Flow (3.0) 1.5 6.1 9.2 11.6 119.1

PV - Free Cash Flow (2.5) 1.3 4.6 6.1 6.7 65.7

2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E

Net revenue 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Cost of services -36.0% -36.0% -34.0% -31.3% -28.6% -25.9%

Gross profit 44.4% 44.4% 50.1% 57.8% 64.3% 67.0%

SG&A -62.8% -62.8% -50.3% -38.8% -31.9% -31.0%

EBITDA Margin 1.2% 1.2% 15.7% 29.9% 39.5% 43.1%

(-) CAPEX 0.0% -10.2% -7.1% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5%