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8/2/2019 Essay Finance
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EC 2008
Topic 2. The proposed rules would have driven capital requirements up for all
banks, forcing the quality and quantity of these capital cushions to grow
That would be expensive for banks, because the money sits on banks' balancesheets and essentially can't be invested to bring in more profits.
Comment on this quotation providing a theoretical background to your
arguments.
Student ID Number: 090001720
Word Count: 1,000
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Student ID: 090001720
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The proposed rules would have driven capital requirements up for all banks, forcing the
quality and quantity of these capital cushions to grow That would be expensive for
banks, because the money sits on banks' balance sheets and essentially can't be invested to
bring in more profits. Comment on this quotation providing a theoretical background to
your arguments.
The new proposed set of capital rules following Basel III has sparked lively debate and
discussion. This essay will evaluate the two aspects of these proposals raised by the
quotation; namely the claim that the proposed capital ratio rules will allow for a more secure
banking system and the claim that this same measure will be costly to banks. The former is
analysed in terms of the financial theory behind capital ratios and is criticized for potentially
being made irrelevant by its neglect of the, asset-side, systematic risk-evaluation issues that
have been blamed for the recent crisis. The latter will be evaluated with reference to the
notion of return on equity in relation to attractiveness to investors in addition to the influence
of prevailing tax regimes. The impact of this cost to banks will then be compared to gains
made in terms of greater security.
The rules proposed in Basel III aim to increase the security of deposits by increasing the
required capital that needs to be reserved by banks in the form of common equity, in other
words risk-free capital.1
This makes banks more secure by increasing their ability to
withstand shocks such as defaults and other losses of assets without going insolvent. The
proposed changes would increase capital ratios for risk-weighted assets from 2% to 7%
increasing the quantity of money that is available to banks in cases where it is needed. Banks
only need to hold capital to support their risk-bearing assets and the quantity they need to
hold is in proportion to that risk. Taking a hypothetical example of Bank A that uses the old
2% capital to risk-bearing asset ratio and Bank B with the proposed 7% ratio we can see the
difference in relation to the capacity to withstand write-offs.
1Miles, David. Speech entitled: Monetary Policy in Extraordinary Times. Centre for Economic Policy Research
and London Business School. London. 23 February 2011.
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Balance Sheet for Bank A (2% Capital to Assets Ratio),
Assets Liabilities
Reserves
+10mLoans
+100m
Checkable Deposits
+108mBank Capital
+2m
(10m x 0 + 100m x 0.2 = 2m)
For a total capital of 110m, where 10% is held as reserves (which is risk-free) Bank A can
be certain to write-off only up to 2m in bad loans without having to sell assets while Bank B
can accommodate up to 7m. Unlike particular assets a bank may hold, this capital is
considered risk-free and is available immediately. This is not the case with assets such as
illiquid tangible assets the value of which assets may both vary according to economic
circumstances and the nature of the asset. This means we also have an improvement in the
quality of available capital, instead of merely increasing quantity of capital we are also
increasing the quantity of capital that is guaranteed to be available when needed.2
Therefore,
increasing the amount of capital banks hold should put them in a much more secure position
and help prevent future crises.
It has been argued, however, that the underlying problems that led to the recent crisis have
not really been dealt with. The suggestion is that Basel III doesn't address the principle
2Miles, David. Speech entitled: Monetary Policy in Extraordinary Times. Centre for Economic Policy Research
and London Business School. London. 23 February 2011.
Balance Sheet for Bank B (7% Capital to Assets Ratio)
Assets Liabilities
Reserves
+10m
Loans
+100m
Checkable Deposits
+103m
Bank Capital
+7m
(10m x 0 +100m x 0.7 = 7m)
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contribution of Basel II to the last financial crisis, namely, the calculation of risk-weights3.
Risk-weighting means that while assets bearing risks need to be backed by capital however,
extremely low-risk assets [can] be held with very little or even no capital.4
The incentive
to "manufacture" apparently risk-free assets out of risky pools5
that led to the
securitisation of sub-prime loans is still there and may easily overpower the increased in
capital ratios. At the same time, risk [is still] calculated primarily by...the recognised ratings
agencies6. Regarding the aftermath of the previous crisis the Securities and Exchange
Commission concluded that credit rating agencies did not properly manage theirconflicts of
interests when assigning ratings to structured products7. These conflicts of interests both in
terms of bankers and credit rating agencies are still present and present a serious threat to the
system.
We can now move to the question of why increased risk-weighted capital ratio is costly for
banks. Increasing the capital banks are required to have is expensive for banks8
because
holding more risk-free capital reduces the return on equity. Equity holders in a bank buy
shapes which then entitle them to dividends. The profitability of this investment is given by
the formula of the return on equity which is given as follows:
Because equity capital does not contribute to profits increasing it leads, ceteris paribus, a
decrease in the profitability of banks, making them less attractive in relation to other
investments. As individual banks will...need to attract investors more common-equity
investors than ever and those investors will demand a competitive rate of return 9 they
3N.M. The Economist Blog. Basel III
Third time's the charm?. Sep 13th 2010, 17:57.New York.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iii .4
Ibid.,5
N.M. The Economist Blog. Basel III
Third time's the charm?. Sep 13th 2010, 17:57.New York.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iii 6Ibid.,
7Anon. SEC criticizes rating agencies conflict of interest. Dealbook-New York Times.
http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-agencies-conflicts-of-interest/ 8
Paletta, Damien. Inching Toward World-Wide Accord on Bank Rules. Wall Street Journal. August 30 2010.New York.http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703418004575455822415872894.html 9
N.M. The Economist Blog. Basel III
http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iiihttp://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iiihttp://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iiihttp://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iiihttp://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-agencies-conflicts-of-interest/http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-agencies-conflicts-of-interest/http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703418004575455822415872894.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703418004575455822415872894.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703418004575455822415872894.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703418004575455822415872894.htmlhttp://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-agencies-conflicts-of-interest/http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iiihttp://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iii -
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might choose to meet new requirements by decreasing risk-weighted assets (i.e. loans) rather
than increasing equity capital. Additionally, the differential in profitability of banks with
higher capital rations is aggravated by tax law, the money banks spend on paying interest
rates for depositors is generally tax-exempt, however the money they spent on dividends is
generally not tax-exempt.10 For this reason higher capital rates are a more expensive source
of financing for banks than normal debt instruments and, consequently, banks lend less,
reducing growth.11
There are reasons to be sceptical about this, namely: the lack of empirical evidence of this
and the benefits that an economy gets from fewer bank collapses. The lack of evidence of a
link between growth and capital ratios is illustrated below:
Figure 1. Taken from the Bank of England12
We can see that there is no clear link...[between]..leverage (total assets relative to equity)
and GDP growth.13 The second issue is the stability that higher capital ratios bring by
Third time's the charm?. Sep 13th 2010, 17:57.New York.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iii ,10
Herring, Richard J . Basel III: Banks Confront Complex Choices.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRSMYn2CU2s 11
Anon. The banks battle back. The Economist May 27th 2010 |
http://www.economist.com/node/16231434 12
Miles, David, Yang, Jing and Marcheggiano, Gilberto. Discussion Paper No. 31: Optimal bank capital. Bankof England: External MPC Unit.
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdf
http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iiihttp://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iiihttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRSMYn2CU2shttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRSMYn2CU2shttp://www.economist.com/node/16231434http://www.economist.com/node/16231434http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.economist.com/node/16231434http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRSMYn2CU2shttp://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iii -
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reducing bank crises massively overcompensates for any short-term losses. The BIS has
claimed the long-run benefits of these proposals arguably outweigh any marginal losses
incurred by the banking system or in fact society.14
The issues raised by this quote illustrate the diversity of opinions on the new set of proposals
to increase capital requirements. On the one hand, it goes a long way to mitigate the causes of
the liability side of the crisis but is disappointing in its disregard for the asset-side, in many
ways seen as the most crucial to the crisis, while maintaining the same incentive framework
that led us where we are today. On the other hand, there are arguments that this will actually
hamper already anaemic growth rates but could make up for it by a more stable system
overall. It should now be apparent that the answers to these two artificially divided questions
are actually intricately linked with the answer to one, being contingent on that of the other.
13Ibid.,
14Anon. Super Model. The Economist. August 19 2010.http://www.economist.com/node/16847862
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862 -
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Bibliography
Reports, Publications and Journal Articles
Miles, David. Speech entitled: Monetary Policy in Extraordinary Times.Centre for Economic Policy Research and London Business School. London.
23 February 2011.
Miles, David, Yang, Jing and Marcheggiano, Gilberto.Discussion Paper No. 31: Optimal bank capital. Bank ofEngland: External
MPC Unit.
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpape
r0031.pdf
Presentation/Lecture Videos
Herring, Richard J .Basel III: Banks Confront ComplexChoices.http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRSMYn2CU2s
News Articles, Special News Reports
Anon. SEC criticizes rating agencies conflict of interest. Dealbook-NewYork Times.http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-
agencies-conflicts-of-interest/
Anon. Super Model. The Economist. August 19 2010.http://www.economist.com/node/16847862
Anon. The banks battle back. The Economist. May 27th 2010 |http://www.economist.com/node/16231434
Conway, Edmunt.IMFputs total cost of crisis at 7.1 trillion.Telegraph.10:01PM 08 Aug 2009.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/I
MF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.html
http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRSMYn2CU2shttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRSMYn2CU2shttp://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-agencies-conflicts-of-interest/http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-agencies-conflicts-of-interest/http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-agencies-conflicts-of-interest/http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-agencies-conflicts-of-interest/http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://www.economist.com/node/16231434http://www.economist.com/node/16231434http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.economist.com/node/16231434http://www.economist.com/node/16847862http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-agencies-conflicts-of-interest/http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/sec-criticizes-ratings-agencies-conflicts-of-interest/http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRSMYn2CU2shttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdfhttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/externalmpcpapers/extmpcpaper0031.pdf -
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N.M. The Economist Blog. Basel IIIThird time's the charm?. Sep 13th2010, 17:57.New York.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iii
Paletta, Damien. Inching Toward World-Wide Accord on Bank Rules. WallStreet Journal. August 30 2010. New York.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405274870341800457545582241587
2894.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5995810/IMF-puts-total-cost-of-crisis-at-7.1-trillion.htmlhttp://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iiihttp://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iiihttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703418004575455822415872894.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703418004575455822415872894.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703418004575455822415872894.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703418004575455822415872894.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703418004575455822415872894.htmlhttp://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/09/basel_iii