Erste Group Annual General Meeting 2015 presentation
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Transcript of Erste Group Annual General Meeting 2015 presentation
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22nd Annual General Meeting Erste Group Bank AG 12 May 2015 Austria Center Vienna
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Friedrich Rödler Chairman of the supervisory board
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First item on the agenda
Report on the financial year 2014
3
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Report on the financial year 2014 of Erste Group Bank AG (consolidated)
Andreas Treichl CEO Erste Group
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Disclaimer – Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements
5
• THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS DOCUMENT HAS NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED AND NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED IS MADE AS TO, AND NO RELIANCE SHOULD BE PLACED ON, THE FAIRNESS, ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS OR CORRECTNESS OF THIS INFORMATION OR OPINIONS CONTAINED HEREIN.
• CERTAIN STATEMENTS CONTAINED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY BE STATEMENTS OF FUTURE EXPECTATIONS AND OTHER FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE BASED ON MANAGEMENT’S CURRENT VIEWS AND ASSUMPTIONS AND INVOLVE KNOWN AND UNKNOWN RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES THAT COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR EVENTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED IN SUCH STATEMENTS.
• NONE OF ERSTE GROUP OR ANY OF ITS AFFILIATES, ADVISORS OR REPRESENTATIVES SHALL HAVE ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) FOR ANY LOSS HOWSOEVER ARISING FROM ANY USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENT OR OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS DOCUMENT.
• THIS DOCUMENT DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SHARES AND NEITHER IT NOR ANY PART OF IT SHALL FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED UPON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT OR COMMITMENT WHATSOEVER.
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Operating environment – Robust economic backdrop in Erste Group‘s markets
Real GDP growth (in %)
Domestic demand contribution to GDP growth (in %)
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• CEE economies grew faster than the euro zone in 2014 (euro zone GDP grew by 0.9% yoy in 2014) • Domestic demand was significant growth driver • Neutral contribution of exports to GDP growth in 2014
CZ
2.4 2.0
AT
0.8 0.3
-0.4
HR
0.0
HU
2.5
3.6
RO
2.8 2.9
SK
2.5 2.4
HR
-0.6
-1.8
HU
3.0
4.0
RO
2.7 3.0
SK
1.2
2.4
CZ
2.7 2.2
AT
0.9 0.7
2015 2014
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Operating environment – Solid public finances in Erste Group‘s markets
General government balance (in % of GDP)
Public debt (in % of GDP)
7
• General government balance in all markets except Croatia within Maastricht limit • Public debt in most markets below 60% Maastricht limit; Austria, Hungary and Croatia are exceptions
HR
-5.5 -5.0
HU
-2.5 -2.7
RO
-2.2 -1.9
SK
-2.5 -2.9
CZ
-2.0 -1.2
AT
-2.2 -2.4
8177
39
55
44
85 87
76
40
54
42
84
SK HR RO CZ AT HU
2014 2015
Maastricht limit: -3%
Maastricht limit: 60%
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Business environment – Historic low interest rate environment poses challenges
Austria
8
Czech Republic Romania
Slovakia Hungary Croatia
• ECB cut discount rate to 0.05% in Sept 14; maintains expansionary monetary policy stance
• National bank maintains ultra-low interest rates since Nov 2012 at 0.05%
• Central bank cut policy rate to historic low of 1.75% in May 2015
• As part of euro zone ECB rates are applicable in SK
• Base rate was cut to historic low of 1.8% in April 2015; ECB QE could result in further cuts
• Central bank maintains discount rate at 7.0% since mid-2011
2013 2014
1.48% 1.99%
0.21% 0.22%
10-year Gov 3m Interbank
2014 2013
0.36%
2.07% 1.55%
0.46%
2014 2013
3.98%
4.57%
2.29%
5.36%
2014 2013
0.22%
1.93%
0.21%
2.55%
2014 2013
5.91%
4.32%
4.80%
2.41%
2014 2013
0.73% 1.26%
Source: Bloomberg.
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Business performance: customer loans and deposits – Renewed loan growth, stable deposit base, balanced business
Customer loans (net)
Loan/deposit ratio
9
Other 0.3 0.4
RS 0.5 0.5
HR 6.1 6.1
HU 3.6 4.5
SK 8.0 7.1
RO 7.2 8.4
CZ 18.0 17.8
AT/OA 11.7 11.4
AT/SB 37.0 36.4
AT/EBOe 28.3 27.4
Group 120.8 119.9
in EUR bn
2014 2013
Customer deposits
258.2%
82.6%
67.3%
90.8%
78.3%
294.2%
83.1%
81.4%
94.5%
133.3%
109.8%
100.3%
102.6%
122.7%
73.5%
98.6% 91.3% 94.6% 103.6%
98.0%
-0.3
9.7
0.6 0.6
9.1
4.1
0.1
5.0 4.6
8.9 8.4
24.5 26.5
3.9
4.0 4.4
36.1 35.1
29.9 30.0
122.6 122.4
in EUR bn Not meaningful
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Business performance: operating revenues and expenses – Pressure on net interest income, costs under control
Operating revenues Operating expenses
10
219
1,870
2013
6,878
1,806
271 242
4,495
285 6,995
2014
4,685
-1.7%
Other income
Net interest income
Net trading and fair value result Net fee and commission income
518 466
2,232
3,787
2013
3,896
2014
1,137
-2.8%
2,184
1,146
Depreciation and amortisation Other administrative expenses Personnel expenses
in EUR m in EUR m
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Business performance: operating result and cost/income ratio – Operating result stable year-on-year
Geographic segments
Performance summary
• Stable operating performance, supported by: • EB Oesterreich • Savings Banks • Slovakia
• Pressure on operating performance in:
• Czech Republic due to low interest rate environment
• Romania due to NPL disposals and lower performing volumes
• Hungary due to lower volumes driven by government legislation
11
1212
-53 -90
RS
HR 216 191
HU 267 255
SK 327 323
RO 400 518
CZ 787 826
AT/OA
Other
298 350
AT/SB 447 378
AT/EBOe 390 336
Group 3,091 3,099
76.4% 75.3%
45.9% 43.0% 39.7% 41.4% 44.9% 43.5% 45.3%
41.6% 45.7% 46.6% 52.0% 51.1%
67.6% 71.0%
61.8% 64.3%
55.1% 55.7%
in EUR m
2014 2013
Not meaningful
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Business performance: risk costs – Risk costs driven exclusively by Romania clean-up
Geographic segments
Performance summary
• Healthy credit risk environment in: • EB Oesterreich • Savings Banks • Czech Republic • Slovakia
• High risk costs in:
• Romania, due to one-off provisioning for accelerated NPL resolution
• Hungary, but improving trend • Croatia, due to challeging economic
environment • Other Austria, but improving trend
12
16
10
47
78
77
16
51
Other
RS
HR 155 159
HU 152 201
SK
RO 999 454
CZ 135 140
AT/OA 269 440
AT/SB 199 229
AT/EBOe 104
Group 2,159 1,774
2.73% 1.69% 2.28% 2.40% 3.05% 3.46%
0.64% 0.64%
10.16% 4.08%
0.73% 0.74%
2.15% 3.40%
0.50% 0.59% 0.36% 0.27%
1.69% 1.38%
in EUR m
2014 2013
Not meaningful
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Business performance: asset quality in 2014 – Strong asset quality improvement driven by Romania, Hungary
NPL volume
NPL coverage (exc collateral)
13
22
86
60
83
Other
RS
HR 1,262 1,179
HU 1,157 1,421
SK 422 407
RO 2,138
CZ 821 850
AT/OA 1,483 1,638
AT/SB 2,441 2,571
AT/EBOe 1,012 1,070
Group 10,878 12,296
3,052
15.2% 6.2%
14.1% 15.3%
18.4% 17.4%
26.8% 26.4%
5.0% 5.4%
23.7% 29.2%
4.4% 4.6%
11.8% 13.4%
6.3% 6.8%
3.5% 3.8%
8.5% 9.6%
in EUR m
2014 2013
NPL ratio
75.6% 20.6%
75.8% 76.6%
60.4% 53.9%
64.0% 62.2%
82.4% 86.4%
82.2% 66.9%
79.7% 78.4%
58.1% 53.0%
64.0% 60.3%
68.9% 63.7%
68.9% 63.1%
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Business performance: other result – Other result driven down by intangible write-downs
Other result *
Levies on banking activities
14
• Deterioration in other result driven by intangible writedowns of EUR 964.8m, primarily related to Romania
• Lower banking levies due to changed formula in Austria that created level playing field, and lower charge in Slovakia
-946
2014
-1,735
2013
-256
-311
2014 2013
in EUR m in EUR m
*) Includes other operating result and gains/losses from financial assets and liabilities not measured at fair value through profit or loss, net.
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Business performance: pre-tax result and taxes on income – Income tax burdened by negative change in deferred tax assets
Pre-tax result
Taxes on income
15
• Pre-tax result impacted by high risk costs and intangible write-downs
• Negative change in deferred tax assets amounted to EUR 197.0m in 2014
378
2014
-803
2013
-509
-179
2014 2013
in EUR m in EUR m
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Business performance: net result and dividend – No dividend based on 2014 net loss
Net result
Dividend
16
• No dividend as Erste Group Bank AG has no distributable funds in 2014
60
2014
-1,442
2013 2013
0.0
2014
0.2
in EUR m in EUR m
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Business performance: regulatory capital position – Strong capital ratios despite Basel 3 implementation and net loss in 2014
Regulatory capital (EUR bn)
Risk-weighted assets (EUR bn)
17
Capital ratios (in %)
15.8
4.2
0.4
2014
15.9
5.0
0.0
10.8
2013
11.2
Tier 2 AT1 CET1
2014
100.6 3.2 10.3
87.1
2013
97.9 2.9
10.2
84.9
Trading risk Op risk Credit RWA
2014
15.6
10.6
10.6
2013
16.3
11.8
11.4
CET1 Tier 1 Total capital
Basel 2.5 Basel 3 Phased-in
Basel 3 Phased-in
Basel 2.5 Basel 3 Phased-in
Basel 2.5
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Q1 15 performance summary – Stable operating performance despite NII headwinds
Operating revenues
Operating expenses
18
Operating result
452 461
-0.1%
1-3 15
1,689 57 72
1,099
1-3 14
1,691 64 50
1,124
Other income Net trading and fair value result Net fee and commission income Net interest income
546 554
292 281
125 113
-1.6%
1-3 15
948
1-3 14
963
Personnel expenses
Depreciation and amortisation Other administrative expenses
in EUR m in EUR m in EUR m
741727
1-3 14
+1.9%
1-3 15
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Q1 15 performance summary – Net profit doubles in Q1 15
Risk costs
Other result
19
Net result
• Strong improvement in risk costs due to Romania, Hungary and Savings Banks
• Deterioration in other result due to booking of resolution fund contribution of EUR 54.9m
• Net profit doubles resulting in return on equity of 9.0%
183
364-49.7%
1-3 15 1-3 14
-143-124
1-3 15 1-3 14
in EUR m in EUR m in EUR m
226
103
+118.5%
1-3 15 1-3 14
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Q1 15 performance summary – Volume growth paired with continued asset quality improvement
Customer loans (net)
Customer deposits
20
NPL ratio
• Customer loan growth mainly driven by Retail and Large Corporate segments
• Continued inflow of customer deposits despite low interest rate environment
• NPL ratio decline mainly due to Hungary
31/03/15 31/12/14
120,834 123,437
+2.2%
124,752
+1.8%
122,583
31/12/14 31/03/15
in EUR m in EUR m
8.1%
31/03/15
8.5%
31/12/14
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Share price performance – Improving performance increasingly reflected in share price, after 24.1% drop in 2014
21
15
20
25
3030
/12/
14
06/0
1/15
13/0
1/15
20/0
1/15
27/0
1/15
03/0
2/15
10/0
2/15
17/0
2/15
24/0
2/15
03/0
3/15
10/0
3/15
17/0
3/15
24/0
3/15
31/0
3/15
07/0
4/15
14/0
4/15
21/0
4/15
28/0
4/15
05/0
5/15
in E
UR
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Conclusion – Outlook 2015 • Operating environment anticipated to be conducive to credit expansion
• Real GDP growth of between 2-3% expected in 2015 in all major CEE markets, except Croatia • Real GDP growth to be driven by solid domestic demand • Real GDP growth in Austria expected at below 1% in 2015
• Return on tangible equity (ROTE) expected at 8-10% in 2015 (YE 14 TE: EUR 8.4bn)
• Operating result expected to decline in the mid-single digits on the back of lower but sustainable operating results in Hungary (due to FX conversion related effect of lower average volume) and Romania (lower unwinding impact) as well as persistent low interest rate environment
• Loan growth expected in the low single digits in 2015 • Risk costs expected to decline to about EUR 1.0-1.2bn in 2015 • Banking levies expected at about EUR 360m in 2015, including parallel contributions to national as well
as European bank resolution and deposit insurance funds; related discussions with Austrian government still ongoing
• Risks to guidance
• Consumer protection initiatives • Geopolitical risks resulting in potentially negative economic impacts
22
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Agenda Items
Friedrich Rödler Chairman of the supervisory board
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Second item on the agenda
Grant of discharge to the members of the management board
25
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Third item on the agenda
Grant of discharge to the members of the supervisory board
26
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Fourth item on the agenda
Resolution on the remuneration of the members of the supervisory board
27
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Fifth item on the agenda
Elections to the supervisory board
28
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Sixth item on the agenda
Appointment of an additional auditor
29
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Seventh item on the agenda
Approval of the acquisition of own shares for the purpose of securities trading
30
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Eighth item on the agenda
Authorisation to acquire own shares for no designated purpose and to the exclusion of trading in own shares as purpose of this acquisition, and authorisation of the management board to dispose of acquired shares, also by means other than the stock exchange or a public offering, combined with the authorisation of the management board to exclude the shareholders’ general right to tender and general subscription option, subject to the supervisory board's consent, as well as the authorisation of the management board to redeem own shares, likewise subject to the supervisory board's consent
31
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22nd Annual General Meeting Erste Group Bank AG
Q & A
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22nd Annual General Meeting Erste Group Bank AG
Resolutions
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Second item on the agenda
Grant of discharge to the members of the management board
34
Page
Third item on the agenda
Grant of discharge to the members of the supervisory board
35
Page
Fourth item on the agenda
Resolution on the remuneration of the members of the supervisory board
36
Page
Fifth item on the agenda
Elections to the supervisory board
Page
Sixth item on the agenda
Appointment of an additional auditor
38
Page
Seventh item on the agenda
Approval of the acquisition of own shares for the purpose of securities trading
39
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Eighth item on the agenda
Authorisation to acquire own shares for no designated purpose and to the exclusion of trading in own shares as purpose of this acquisition, and authorisation of the management board to dispose of acquired shares, also by means other than the stock exchange or a public offering, combined with the authorisation of the management board to exclude the shareholders’ general right to tender and general subscription option, subject to the supervisory board's consent, as well as the authorisation of the management board to redeem own shares, likewise subject to the supervisory board's consent
40
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22nd Annual General Meeting Erste Group Bank AG
Thank you for your active participation!