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Transcript of Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund January 2010 Us
1
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund – February ‘10For professional/sophisticated investors onlyThese presentation materials and the information contained herein, and any oral or other written information disclosed or provided is strictly confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, nor may its contents be disclosed to any other person under any circumstances without the express written consent of Ermitage Asset Management Jersey Limited. An investment in the Fund is speculative and involves a high degree of risk. The Fund may, through its investments, employ certain trading techniques that may include short selling, options, and the use of leverage which may increase the risk of investment loss. As a result, performance may be volatile and an investor may lose some or all of his or her investment. Furthermore, the ability to withdraw investments or redeem shares or to transfer such shares or interests will be limited. It is anticipated that there will not be a secondary market for interests or shares in the Fund nor is any expected to develop. Fees and expenses may offset trading profits. Please refer to the Confidential Private Offering Memorandum when available for all risks associated with investments in the Fund. Certain information contained herein constitutes forward-looking statements. Due to various uncertainties and actual events, including those discussed herein and in the offering documents, actual results or performance of the Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (the "Fund"); a Cayman Islands limited liability company, may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. As a result, investors should not rely on such forward-looking statements in making their investment decisions. There can be no assurance that the investment objectives described herein will be achieved. Investment losses may occur, and investors could lose some or all of their investment.
2
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
400
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Sep
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10
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund USD
MSCI World Index
HFRX Macro Index
Global Dynamic Trading Fund – summary
� High conviction discretionary fund trading liquid futures markets
� Uses technical inputs based on pattern, time and price
� Highly adaptive to market conditions – returns can be generated irrespective of market direction
� Non-correlated to macro systematic or trend followers
� 22.65% average annual return since October 2007*
� Experienced investment team with 60 years combined expertise in investment / trading global markets
� Performance not dampened by diversification or thematic focus (fund remains in cash when market conditions are sub-optimal)
� Transparent process and robust risk management with clear, quantifiable profit and loss levels
Source: Ermitage Group and Bloomberg *The investment programme of Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (The "Fund") has been actively running since
October 2007 as an overlay allocation (the "Overlay allocation") for Ermitage Global Wealth Management Strategies Fund Limited. The monthly performance (%)
figures quoted above prior to August 2008, relate to the performance of the Overlay allocation. Performance from August 2008 to March 2009 relate to the Ermitage
SPC – Global Dynamic Trading Fund Segregated Portfolio. All performance figures quoted are net of a performance fee of 20% and an annual management fee of 1.5%
and expenses. Past performance of the Overlay Allocation is not indicative nor a guarantee of future returns of the Fund.
Please refer to page 18 of this document for the description of all Indices.
Cumulative performance – Global Dynamic Trading Fund USD*
vs MSCI World Index USD and HFRX Macro Index - Oct 07 to Jan 10
+22.65%
3
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Investment team
Elliot Refson
Portfolio Manager –
Global Dynamic
Trading Fund
Joined 2006
Ian Cadby
Group CEO and
Investment Trading
Director
Joined 2001
Ian Cadby is Ermitage Group’s Chief Executive Officer. An Investment professional with over 23 years industry experience, Ian joined Ermitage in 2001 initially to head up Ermitage's Strategic Investment and Hedge Fund seeding programme. He then went on to become Ermitage’s CIO (handed over FoHF CIO responsibilities to Jonathon Wauton in 2008) and finally CEO in 2004. Ian is also head of the firm’s CTA trading programme and as such chairs the Global Trading Committee. He left UBS Philips & Drew in 1990 to set up a Hedge Fund in London specialising in Asian equity arbitrage and in 1998 became Head of Hedge Fund Trading for what was then one of Asia’s largest Hedge Funds. Ian has extensive experience in options trading and equity arbitrage. For several years Ian was a registered Commodity Trading Adviser and is a Fellow of the Securities & Investment Institute. Ian is a Harvard Business School alumni, having completed the Harvard Advanced Management Programme in 2008.
Andrew N Whelan
MD – Global Wealth
Management
Services
Joined 2001
Elliot Refson is Portfolio Manager – Global Dynamic Trading Fund. Elliot joined Ermitage in 2006 and has over 20 years international experience in capital markets including an accomplished record as a technical analyst and fund / hedge fund manager (having also lectured extensively on his specialist area of market timing). Alongside his trading mandate, Elliot assists Ermitage’s Investment Management Committee and Global Wealth Management division to identify and benefit from key trend changes in major markets and currencies. Prior to joining Ermitage, Elliot worked with Ian Cadby in Hong Kong managing a futures fund with a similar profile.
Andrew Whelan is a Group Executive Director and Managing Director of Ermitage Global Wealth Management Jersey Limited (GWMS). Andrew is Chairman of the Wealth Management Portfolio Committee. He joined in 2001 from Kleinwort Benson (CI) Investment Management Limited, part of the Dresdner Private Banking Group, where he was head of the Channel Islands' Portfolio Management Division, which had funds under management of $2.5 billion. He was also a member of Kleinwort Benson's London Private Bank Investment Committee, which formulated investment strategy for both the onshore and offshore businesses with combined funds under management of circa $9 billion. In addition Andrew was the Fund Manager of the award winning Dresdner Private Banking Strategic Investment Fund, investing in core Dresdner RCM collective investment schemes. Andrew has 21 years’ experience as an investment professional and is a Fellow of the Securities & Investment Institute.
4
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
October 2007:
Global Dynamic Trading
Programme starts
March 2009:
Global Dynamic Trading Fund launched
August 2008:
Global Dynamic Trading Fund
Segregated Portfolio launched
Fund history
Source: Ermitage Group and Bloomberg. *The investment programme of Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (The "Fund") has been actively running since October
2007 as an overlay allocation (the "Overlay allocation") for Ermitage Global Wealth Management Strategies Fund Limited. The monthly performance (%) figures
quoted above prior to August 2008, relate to the performance of the Overlay allocation. Performance from August 2008 to March 2009 relate to the Ermitage SPC –
Global Dynamic Trading Fund Segregated Portfolio. All performance figures quoted are net of a performance fee of 20% and an annual management fee of 1.5% and
expenses. Past performance of the Overlay Allocation is not indicative nor a guarantee of future returns of the Fund **Risk is measured by standard deviation.
Please refer to page 18 of this document for the description of all Indices. ***Fund AUM relates to the Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading programme.
Ermitage’s Global Dynamic Trading Programme AUM comprises two funds and a number of managed accounts.
$157.6m***
(Jan 2010)
Fund Av. Annual
Performance*Return: 22.65%
Risk: 18.19%**
Programme AUM
5
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
GDTF versus Discretionary and Systematic Funds
� GDTF offers a hybrid strategy, between Discretionary and Systematic Trend/Non-Trend Managers
� GDTF has low to negative correlation vs. discretionary
hedge funds*
� High conviction style, combined with benefits of time
cycle analysis
� GDTF will not ‘build’ into trades and tolerate wider losses
per trade (max trade loss for each position is up to 3% or
less of invested NAV). Normal trading in a ranging market
is 1% of NAV and 2% in a trending market
� GDTF has low to negative correlation vs. systematic trend
and non-trend hedge funds* - reflects GDTF’s adaptive
characteristics to market conditions
� If potential for trend reversal or range bound markets
grows, GDTF can go 100% to cash
� GDTF can react to and profit from short term trends or
ranging markets and is not constrained by long term
trends
� GDTF does not need a diversified ‘portfolio construction’
approach – or need to rely on complex risk management
models to identify and control risk
*Source: Ermitage Group. Refer to pages 12, 13, 14
vs. Discretionary CTA’s / Macro Funds vs. Systematic CTA’s
6
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Analysis / idea generation
� Discretionary strategy aims to identify and benefit from distinct trends in a wide range of liquid futures markets –without being tied to any particular time frame
� Trading ideas are discussed daily amongst the investment team, supported by our proprietary analysis. The investment team meets monthly to review performance and determine key opportunities the Fund may exploit.
� Research focuses solely on leading indicators: starting point for analysis is Time (not Price)
� All market analysis begins with the long term Monthly chart and progresses to Weekly, Daily and Hourly charts to determine the market status in an historical context and identify points at which changes or continuation to existing trends can be expected
� The time frame for a trade is determined whether a market is ranging or trending
� While we believe our proprietary time based analysis gives an edge, our trading does not rely solely on this
� We believe time cycle analysis is a crucial edge over other directional based trading strategies
7
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Investing in liquid futures markets
Equity Exchange Currencies Exchange Bonds Exchange
S&P 500 CME Japanese Yen CME Gilt LIFFE
DJ Euro Stoxx EUREX British Pound CME Long Bond CBT
FTSE LIFFE Swiss Franc CME Bund EUREX
Nikkei SGX Euro CME
Hang Seng HKFE Australian Dollar CME
Metals Exchange Precious Metals Exchange Energy Exchange
Aluminium LME Gold COMEX Crude Oil NYM
Lead LME Silver COMEX
Zinc LME Platinum COMEX
Copper LME
Tin LME
Nickel LME
Softs Exchange Grains Exchange
Cocoa ICE Corn CBOT
Coffee ICE Wheat CBOT
8
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Risk management disciplines
� Transparent and repeatable process, with robust risk management (clear, quantifiable profit & loss levels)
� Positions only taken in keeping with main trend of a market
� Every position has a stop loss when the position is opened, placed ‘Good Till Cancelled’ (and where appropriate, ‘Good All Markets’)
� All positions carry an equal risk to stop loss
� Each position sizing based on ‘risk to stop loss’ of up to 3% or less of invested NAV
� Pyramid trades only implemented when the stop loss of original position becomes profitable and a fresh signal to enter a trade is generated
� Further pyramids are based on the same rule, taking into account the proximity of the profit stop
9
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Sep
-07
Oct
-07
Nov
-07
Dec
-07
Jan-
08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08
Jul-0
8
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09
Feb
-09
Mar
-09
Apr
-09
May
-09
Jun-
09
Jul-0
9
Aug
-09
Sep
-09
Oct
-09
Nov
-09
Dec
-09
Jan-
10
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund USD
MSCI World Index
HFRX Macro Index
Cumulative performance*
Source: Ermitage Group, Bloomberg, HFR. Index: MSCI World Index USD, HFRX Macro Index.
*The investment programme of Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (The "Fund") has been actively running since October 2007 as an overlay
allocation (the "Overlay allocation") for Ermitage Global Wealth Management Strategies Fund Limited. The monthly performance (%) figures
quoted above prior to August 2008, relate to the performance of the Overlay allocation. Performance from August 2008 to March 2009 relate to
the Ermitage SPC – Global Dynamic Trading Fund Segregated Portfolio. All performance figures quoted are net of a performance fee of 20% and
an annual management fee of 1.5% and expenses. Past performance of the Overlay Allocation is not indicative nor a guarantee of future returns
of the Fund. Please refer to page 18 of this document for the description of all Indices.
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund USD Performance* Net of Fees: Oct 07 – Jan 10
+22.65%
-14.92%
+0.05%
Average Annual
Return
10
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Performance – quantitative analysis*
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund USD Performance* – October 2007 to January 2010
Source: Ermitage Group and Bloomberg Index: MSCI World Index USD
*The investment programme of Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (The "Fund") has been actively running since October 2007 as an overlay allocation (the "Overlay
allocation") for Ermitage Global Wealth Management Strategies Fund Limited. The monthly performance (%) figures quoted above prior to August 2008, relate to the
performance of the Overlay allocation. Performance from August 2008 to March 2009 relate to the Ermitage SPC – Global Dynamic Trading Fund Segregated Portfolio. All
performance figures quoted are net of a performance fee of 20% and an annual management fee of 1.5% and expenses. Past performance of the Overlay Allocation is not
indicative nor a guarantee of future returns of the Fund. Please refer to page 18 of this document for the description of all Indices.
Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD
2010 3.29 3.29
2009 3.22 0.06 1.01 (2.25) 0.63 (0.98) 0.75 (4.68) 5.64 (1.40) 0.59 (0.94) 1.29
2008 10.52 (2.56) 9.07 (0.83) (3.20) 2.63 4.89 (0.60) 0.64 5.02 0.40 0.92 29.22
2007 (3.30) 21.73 1.29 19.24
Risk Fund MSCI Return Fund MSCISharpe Ratio 1.14 (0.60) Average Annual Return 22.65 (14.92)Standard Deviation 18.19 24.01 Average Monthly Return 1.84 (1.10)Sortino Ratio 4.15 (0.80) Largest Monthly Return 21.73 10.90Downside-Deviation (below 0%) 5.14 20.23 Largest Monthly Loss (4.68) (19.04)Maximum Drawdown (6.46) (55.37) Compounded Return 61.19 (31.47)Months in Maximum Drawdown 5 16 % of Positive Months 64.00 43.00Correlation - (0.34)
11
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Performance – trading overview
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund USD Performance* – August 2008 to October 2009
*The investment programme of Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (The "Fund") has been actively running since October 2007 as an overlay allocation (the
"Overlay allocation") for Ermitage Global Wealth Management Strategies Fund Limited. The monthly performance (%) figures quoted above prior to August 2008,
relate to the performance of the Overlay allocation. Performance from August 2008 to March 2009 relate to the Ermitage SPC – Global Dynamic Trading Fund
Segregated Portfolio. All performance figures quoted are net of a performance fee of 20% and an annual management fee of 1.5% and expenses. Past performance of
the Overlay Allocation is not indicative nor a guarantee of future returns of the Fund. Please refer to page 18 of this document for the description of all Indices.
-2.00%
-1.00%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
07-A
ug-0
8
03-S
ep-0
8
16-S
ep-0
8
01-O
ct-0
8
08-O
ct-0
8
15-O
ct-0
8
29-O
ct-0
8
13-N
ov-0
8
12-J
an-0
9
22-J
an-0
9
03-F
eb-0
9
09-F
eb-0
9
24-F
eb-0
9
11-M
ar-0
9
13-M
ar-0
9
01-A
pr-0
9
14-M
ay-0
9
28-M
ay-0
9
08-J
ul-0
9
14-J
ul-0
9
07-A
ug-0
9
10-S
ep-0
9
17-S
ep-0
9
05-O
ct-0
9
14-O
ct-0
9
27-O
ct-0
9
TR
AD
E P
&L
AS
% O
F N
AV
JPY CABLE
EUR CABLE
BRITISH POUND
SWISS FRANC
GOLD-COMEX
JAPANESE YEN
NIKKEI 225 YEN
EMINI S&P 500
IMM EMINI NSDQ
NEW FTSE 100
IMM EURO FX
EURO CCY GLOBEX
EURX EUR-BUND
EURX EUR STX 50
12
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Performance – correlation analysis*
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund Correlation* – Trend Following Oct 2007 to Dec 2009
Source: Ermitage Group and
Bloomberg
*The investment programme of
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund
(The "Fund") has been actively running
since October 2007 as an overlay
allocation (the "Overlay allocation")
for Ermitage Global Wealth
Management Strategies Fund Limited.
The monthly performance (%) figures
quoted above prior to August 2008,
relate to the performance of the
Overlay allocation. Performance from
August 2008 to March 2009 relate to
the Ermitage SPC – Global Dynamic
Trading Fund Segregated Portfolio. All
performance figures quoted are net of
a performance fee of 20% and an
annual management fee of 1.5% and
expenses. Past performance of the
Overlay Allocation is not indicative nor
a guarantee of future returns of the
Fund.
This correlation chart has been
constructed from our own database
(in the absence of a published peer
group), of a selection of established
single manager hedge funds that
follow a trend following trading
technique.
Oct 07 to Dec 09
AH
L A
lpha
plc
Alti
s G
loba
l Fut
ures
Por
tfol
io In
c. C
ell (
Cla
ss A
- U
SD
)
Asp
ect D
iver
sifie
d F
und
- U
SD
Bea
ch H
oriz
on F
und
Ltd
EM
C C
lass
ic P
rogr
am
Erm
itage
Glo
bal D
ynam
ic T
radi
ng F
und
(Cla
ss A
- U
SD
)
Glo
bal D
iver
sifie
d P
rogr
amm
e
Mill
burn
Mul
ti-M
arke
ts F
und
L.P
.
Mul
vane
y G
loba
l Mar
kets
Fun
d, L
imite
d
NuW
ave
Com
bine
d F
utur
es P
ortf
olio
Ltd
Wel
ton
Glo
bal D
irect
iona
l Por
tfolio
Win
ton
Fut
ures
Fun
d Lt
d (C
lass
B -
US
D)
AHL Alpha plc 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.6
Altis Global Futures Portfolio Inc. Cell (Class A - USD) 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 -0.2 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.7 0.7
Aspect Diversified Fund - USD 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 -0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.8 0.8
Beach Horizon Fund Ltd 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 -0.1 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.8 0.8EMC Classic Program 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.0 -0.1 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.7
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (Class A - USD) 0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 1.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.1
Global Diversified Programme 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.5
Millburn Multi-Markets Fund L.P. 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 -0.1 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.8
Mulvaney Global Markets Fund, Limited 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 -0.1 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.7 0.7
NuWave Combined Futures Portfolio Ltd 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.2
Welton Global Directional Portfolio 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 -0.1 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.0 0.8Winton Futures Fund Ltd (Class B - USD) 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.8 1.0
13
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund Correlation* – Non Trend Following Oct 2007 to Dec 2009
Performance – correlation analysis*
Oct 07 to Dec 09
Am
plitu
de D
ynam
ic T
radi
ng F
und
(Cla
ss C
- U
SD
)
CC
P Q
uant
itativ
e F
und
(Aris
tarc
hus
Cla
ss)
Dyn
amic
Offs
hore
Fun
d Lt
d (C
lass
B)
Erm
itage
Glo
bal D
ynam
ic T
radi
ng F
und
(Cla
ss A
- U
SD
)
Kai
ser
Tra
ding
Fun
d 2X
SP
C
Map
lerid
ge F
und
Ltd
(Cla
ss A
)
Qua
ntita
tive
Glo
bal P
rogr
am
R.G
. Nie
derh
offe
r G
loba
l Fun
d LP
I
Tho
r S
yste
mat
ic A
lpha
Fut
ures
Fun
d Lt
d -
Cla
ss A
Amplitude Dynamic Trading Fund (Class C - USD) 1.0 0.1 -0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.1
CCP Quantitative Fund (Aristarchus Class) 0.1 1.0 0.0 -0.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2Dynamic Offshore Fund Ltd (Class B) -0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 -0.1 0.2
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (Class A - USD) 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 1.0 0.3 0.4 -0.2 0.3 -0.5
Kaiser Trading Fund 2X SPC 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 -0.1
Mapleridge Fund Ltd (Class A) 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.1
Quantitative Global Program 0.3 0.1 0.2 -0.2 0.4 0.1 1.0 0.1 0.2
R.G. Niederhoffer Global Fund LP I 0.6 0.2 -0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.0 0.2Thor Systematic Alpha Futures Fund Ltd - Class A 0.1 0.2 0.2 -0.5 -0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.0
Source: Ermitage Group and
Bloomberg
*The investment programme of
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund
(The "Fund") has been actively running
since October 2007 as an overlay
allocation (the "Overlay allocation")
for Ermitage Global Wealth
Management Strategies Fund Limited.
The monthly performance (%) figures
quoted above prior to August 2008,
relate to the performance of the
Overlay allocation. Performance from
August 2008 to March 2009 relate to
the Ermitage SPC – Global Dynamic
Trading Fund Segregated Portfolio. All
performance figures quoted are net of
a performance fee of 20% and an
annual management fee of 1.5% and
expenses. Past performance of the
Overlay Allocation is not indicative nor
a guarantee of future returns of the
Fund.
This correlation chart has been
constructed from our own database
(in the absence of a published peer
group), of a selection of established
single manager hedge funds that
follow a trend following trading
technique.
14
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund Correlation* – Macro Oct 2007 to Dec 2009
Performance – correlation analysis*
Oct 07 to Dec 09
Arg
onau
t Glo
bal M
acro
Fun
d C
lass
A U
SD
Unr
estr
icte
d
Bre
van
How
ard
Fun
d (C
lass
B -
US
D)
Cla
rium
Cap
ital F
und
Ltd
(Cla
ss B
)
CO
MA
C G
loba
l Mac
ro F
und
Str
ateg
y -
US
D
Con
ques
t Mac
ro
Epi
sode
Inc
Fun
d (C
lass
A -
US
D)
Erm
itage
Glo
bal D
ynam
ic T
radi
ng F
und
(Cla
ss A
- U
SD
)
Frie
dber
g G
loba
l Mac
ro H
edge
Fun
d Lt
d
Glo
bal T
radi
ng S
trat
egie
s (C
aym
an)
Pol
ar C
apita
l Dis
cove
ry A
bsol
ute
Ret
urn
Fun
d
Qua
ntum
End
owm
ent F
und
N.V
.
Tra
xis
Fun
d LP
Argonaut Global Macro Fund Class A USD Unrestricted 1.0 0.2 -0.1 0.5 0.2 -0.5 -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 -0.3
Brevan Howard Fund (Class B - USD) 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 -0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 -0.3
Clarium Capital Fund Ltd (Class B) -0.1 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
COMAC Global Macro Fund Strategy - USD 0.5 0.7 0.3 1.0 0.5 -0.5 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 -0.6
Conquest Macro 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 -0.4 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 -0.4 Episode Inc Fund (Class A - USD) -0.5 -0.1 0.1 -0.5 -0.4 1.0 -0.3 0.0 -0.5 -0.3 0.0 0.9
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (Class A - USD) -0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 -0.3 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 -0.2 -0.4
Friedberg Global Macro Hedge Fund Ltd 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.1
Global Trading Strategies (Cayman) 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.5 -0.5 0.5 0.2 1.0 0.6 -0.2 -0.6
Polar Capital Discovery Absolute Return Fund 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 -0.3 0.6 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.1 -0.4
Quantum Endowment Fund N.V. 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.6 -0.2 0.1 1.0 0.2Traxis Fund LP -0.3 -0.3 0.1 -0.6 -0.4 0.9 -0.4 0.1 -0.6 -0.4 0.2 1.0
Source: Ermitage Group and
Bloomberg
*The investment programme of
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund
(The "Fund") has been actively running
since October 2007 as an overlay
allocation (the "Overlay allocation")
for Ermitage Global Wealth
Management Strategies Fund Limited.
The monthly performance (%) figures
quoted above prior to August 2008,
relate to the performance of the
Overlay allocation. Performance from
August 2008 to March 2009 relate to
the Ermitage SPC – Global Dynamic
Trading Fund Segregated Portfolio. All
performance figures quoted are net of
a performance fee of 20% and an
annual management fee of 1.5% and
expenses. Past performance of the
Overlay Allocation is not indicative nor
a guarantee of future returns of the
Fund.
This correlation chart has been
constructed from our own database
(in the absence of a published peer
group), of a selection of established
single manager hedge funds that
follow a trend following trading
technique.
15
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Global Dynamic Trading Fund – summary
Since October 2007, the Fund’s average annual return is 22.65%, versus -14.92% for the MSCI
World Index and 0.05% for HFRX Macro Index*
Source: Ermitage Group and Bloomberg *The investment programme of Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (The "Fund") has been actively running since
October 2007 as an overlay allocation (the "Overlay allocation") for Ermitage Global Wealth Management Strategies Fund Limited. The monthly performance (%)
figures quoted above prior to August 2008, relate to the performance of the Overlay allocation. Performance from August 2008 to March 2009 relate to the Ermitage
SPC – Global Dynamic Trading Fund Segregated Portfolio. All performance figures quoted are net of a performance fee of 20% and an annual management fee of
1.5% and expenses. Past performance of the Overlay Allocation is not indicative nor a guarantee of future returns of the Fund.
Please refer to page 18 of this document for the description of all Indices.
� High conviction discretionary fund trading liquid futures markets
� Trading ideas generated through proprietary technical analysis – not reliant upon computerised systems, positive market conditions or a general appreciation of asset values
� Directional long term and/or intra week positions in global equities, bonds, currencies, commodity markets
� Highly adaptive to market conditions (fund remains in cash when market conditions are sub-optimal)
� Rule based, disciplined risk management targets sustainable profit profile
� Experienced investment team with 60 years combined expertise in investment / trading global markets
� We believe time cycle analysis is a crucial edge over other directional based trading strategies
16
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Reporting
� Ermitage Investor Relations:
Monthly / Fortnightly Performance & NAV email
Monthly Fund Factsheet
� Fund administrator:
Bank of America Fund Services (Ireland) Limited:
7th Floor, 2 Park Place, Hatch Street, Dublin 2, Ireland
Tel: +3531 619 6515
email: [email protected]
17
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Share characteristics
Refer to fact sheet & explanatory memorandum for full details
LFS Custodial Services (Ireland) LtdCustodian
Dechert LLP (English and US Law); Walkers (Jersey)Legal advisors
Fortnightly - Dealing day 1st & 15th day of each month subject to 3 business days noticeLiquidity
1.5% per annumManagement fee
Minimum $100,000 initial subscription. To be received by the Administrator by 8am (Dublin time) on the relevant subscription day (1st and 15th day of each month)
Subscription
To be received by the Administrator 3 business days prior to the Redemption Day (1st &15th each month).Redemption payment normally within 30 calendar days of relevant Redemption Day
Redemption
Performance fee
Administrator
Structure An exempted limited liability company incorporated under the laws of the Cayman Islands on 16 February 2009 with registration number 223228
Bank of America Fund Services (Ireland) Limited
20% with a high watermark and no hurdle
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund Class USD
18
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
MSCI World Index: The MSCI World Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure global developed market equity performance. As
of June 2006 the MSCI World Index consisted of the following 23 developed market country indices: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France,
Germany, Greece, Hong Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the
United States.
The HFRX Indices ("HFRX") are a series of benchmarks of hedge fund industry performance which are engineered to achieve representative performance of a larger universe
of hedge fund strategies. Hedge Fund Research, Inc. ("HFR, Inc.") employs the HFRX Methodology, a proprietary and highly quantitative process by which hedge funds are
selected as constituents for the HFRX Indices. This methodology includes robust classification, cluster analysis, correlation analysis, advanced optimization and Monte Carlo
simulations. More specifically, the HFRX Methodology defines certain qualitative characteristics, such as: whether the fund is open to transparent fund investment and the
satisfaction of the index manager's due diligence requirements. Production of the HFRX Methodology results in a model output which selects funds that, when aggregated
and weighted, have the highest statistical likelihood of producing a return series that is most representative of the reference universe of strategies. Macro strategies
attempt to identify extreme price valuations in stock markets, interest rates, foreign exchange rates and physical commodities, and make leveraged bets on the anticipated
price movements in these markets. To identify extreme price valuations, trading managers generally employ a top-down global approach that concentrates on forecasting
how global macroeconomic and political events affect the valuations of financial instruments. These approaches may be systematic trends following models, or
discretionary. The strategy has a broad investment mandate, with the ability to hold positions in practically any market with any instrument. Profits are made by correctly
anticipating price movements in global markets and having the flexibility to use any suitable investment approach to take advantage of extreme price valuations. Trading
managers may use a focused approach or diversify across approaches. Often, they will pursue a number of base strategies to augment their selective large directional bets.
The Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50 Index is a free-float market capitalization-weighted index of 50 European blue-chip stocks from those countries participating in the
European Monetary Union. Each component’s weight is capped at 10% of the index’s total free float market capitalization. The index was developed with a base value of
1000 as of December 31, 1991.
Standard & Poor's 500 is a basket of 500 stocks that are considered to be widely held. The S&P 500 index is weighted by market value, and its performance is thought to be
representative of the stock market as a whole. The S&P 500 index was created in 1957, although it has been extrapolated backwards to several decades earlier for
performance comparison purposes. This index provides a broad snapshot of the overall U.S. equity market; in fact, over 70% of all U.S. equity is tracked by the S&P 500. The
index selects its companies based upon their market size, liquidity, and sector. Most of the companies in the index are solid mid cap or large cap corporations.
There are significant differences between the Fund's investments and the investments of the indices described above. The Funds may use leverage and invest in securities
that have a greater degree of risk and volatility, as well as less liquidity, than those securities contained in the indices. Moreover, the indices are not subject to any of the
fees or expenses that the Fund will incur. It should not be assumed that the Fund will invest in any specific securities that comprise any index, nor should it be understood
to mean that there is a correlation between the Fund's returns and the returns of any index. The indices are included for informational purposes only.
Indices – key notes
19
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Appendix Peer Group AnalysisFor professional/sophisticated investors only
An investment in the Fund is speculative and involves a high degree of risk. The Fund may, through its investments, employ certain trading techniques that may include short selling, options, and the use of leverage which may increase the risk of investment loss. As a result, performance may be volatile and an investor may lose some or all of his or her investment. Furthermore, the ability to withdraw investments or redeem shares or to transfer such shares or interests will be limited. It is anticipated that there will not be a secondary market for interests or shares in the Fund nor is any expected to develop. Fees and expenses may offset trading profits. Please refer to the Confidential Private Offering Memorandum when available for all risks associated with investments in the Fund. Certain information contained herein constitutes forward-looking statements. Due to various uncertainties and actual events, including those discussed herein and in the offering documents, actual results or performance of the Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (the "Fund"); a Cayman Islands limited liability company, may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. As a result, investors should not rely on such forward-looking statements in making their investment decisions. There can be no assurance that the investment objectives described herein will be achieved. Investment losses may occur, and investors could lose some or all of their investment.
2020
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
� The downside deviation graph (right) shows departures from normality in fund return distributions
� Funds below the black line tend to have right-tails; funds above it will have left-tails
� Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (“GDTF”) is the most right-tailed of all funds in the peer group
Peer Group Analysis
Right-tailed funds Left-tailed funds
Source: Ermitage; Bloomberg. See page 8 for Peer Group information and 9 for Disclaimer.
*The investment programme of Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (“GDTF”; The "Fund") has been actively running since October 2007 as an overlay allocation
(the "Overlay allocation") for Ermitage Global Wealth Management Strategies Fund Limited. The monthly performance (%) figures quoted above prior to August 2008,
relate to the performance of the Overlay allocation. Performance from August 2008 to March 2009 relate to the Ermitage SPC – Global Dynamic Trading Fund
Segregated Portfolio. All performance figures quoted are net of a performance fee of 20% and an annual management fee of 1.5% and expenses. Past performance of
the Overlay Allocation is not indicative nor a guarantee of future returns of the Fund.
Based on performance attribution between October 1995 and October 2009*
2121
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
� The histogram (left) shows GDTF is
right-tailed
� This is primarily due to the strict stop-
loss procedure followed for every trade
� Each trade employs both a stop-loss
and a profit-stop; These are not simply
binary market calls - there are clear
targets to the upside and downside,
which, if breached, trigger the stop
procedure
GDTF – Return Distribution
Source: Ermitage; Bloomberg. Based on performance attribution between October 2007 and October 2009
No losses of
more than 5%
Several gains of
more than 5%
2222
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Cluster Analysis – Correlation Dendrogram
� Correlation measures linear
dependence between funds
� Dendrogram (right) shows the main
themes of the Correlation Matrix in
pictorial form
� Funds on left-hand side (with lower 1-
R2 distance between them), tend to be
closely linked
� Funds on right-hand side tend to be
diversifiers
GDTF is a diversifier in terms of linear
correlation vs. left hand side funds
Source: Ermitage; Bloomberg. Based on performance attribution between October 2007 and October 2009
2323
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
� χ2 Matrix, measuring
probability of independence
� Funds with low probability of
independence (ie. high
probability of dependence) are
highlighted in red
� GDTF is highly independent
Cluster Analysis – χ2 test
GDTF is the greatest diversifier
by some distance
Source: Ermitage; Bloomberg. Based on performance attribution between October 2007 and October 2009.
See page 8 for Peer Group information and 9 for Disclaimer. NB. The funds used in this document are for illustrative purposes only and are intended as a
comparative measure.
2424
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
� Of the 5 funds selected*, GDTF
has 2nd largest absolute return
over the time period¹
� AHL, Welton and Winton are
closely linked (as their return
patterns appear very similar)
� Intuitively, GDTF and BlueTrend
would appear to be the
diversifiers
Cumulative Return Analysis
Source: Ermitage; Bloomberg. Based on performance attribution between October 2007 and October 2009.
* See page 8 for Peer Group information and 9 for Disclaimer. NB. The funds used in this document are for illustrative purposes only and are intended as a
comparative measure.
2525
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
� This graph displays the
cumulative return of an equally-
weighted composite portfolio of
all the funds in the Trend-
Following peer group* versus the
return of GDTF.
� The annualised return of GDTF is
more than twice that of the
composite portfolio.
Composite Portfolio Analysis
Source: Ermitage; Bloomberg. Based on performance attribution between January 2008 and December 2009.
See page 8 for Peer Group information and 9 for Disclaimer. NB. The funds used in this document are for illustrative purposes only and are intended as a
comparative measure.
2626
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Source: Ermitage; Bloomberg. ¹ Based on performance attribution since each fund’s inception as at 31st December 2009.
* See page 8 for Peer Group information and 9 for Disclaimer. NB. The funds used in this document are for illustrative purposes only and are intended as a
comparative measure.
Peer Group Analysis Summary
� GDTF has the highest annualised mean return of all funds in the peer group*
� Perhaps more significantly, GDTF’s largest monthly loss is much lower than the other funds,
helped by GDTF’s stop-loss and risk management procedures
2727
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
Disclaimer – GDTF Peer Group
Absolute Insight Plus Currency Fund
Absolute Trading Fund
Accela Global Diversified 2X Program
ACT Currency Fund
AHL Alpha plc
AHL Currency Fund
AIM Strategic Currency (ASC)
AIMF Fund
AIMhedge Global Diversified Fund Ltd
AIS Futures Fund (3x - 6x) LP
Alder Global 10
Alis Alternative Advisors Fund Acc
ALPHA STRATEGIEN Futures MH
AlphaQuest Composite Fund Ltd
Alternative Treasury Strategy LLC
Altin:Fund
Altis Global Futures Portfolio Inc. Cell (A)
Altius Capital Partners
Aspect Diversified Fund - USD
Aspect Master Fund
Auspice Diversified Commodity Fund
Barep Epsilon - USD
Baryon Momentum Global Fund
Beach Horizon Fund Ltd
Beach Horizon HFR Managed Account
Blackwater Global Onshore Fund
BlueTrend - USD
BlueTrend Fund Ltd (Class B - USD)
Bohemia Capital Investments
Borromeo Reduced Leverage Program
Cabana Capital Management
Campbell Financial Futures Fund LP
Campbell Global Assets Fund
Cipher Diversified Fund
Clarke FX-plus
Clarke Millennium Program
Claughton ARP Strategy
Cogitam T15 Systematic
CTA CONCEPT FUND
C-View Ltd (3X Leverage)
Cyril Systematic
Dexia Systemat
Drury Capital Inc
Drury Currency Strategy
Drury Financial Strategy (Offshore) Fund Ltd
Drury Offshore Diversified Fund Ltd
Eclipse Global Monetary Fund Ltd
EMC Classic Program
EMC Currency Program
Endeavour Pembroke Fund Limited
Epsilon Futures (Euro)
Ermitage Global Dynamic Trading Fund (Class A)
Estlander & Rönnlund Global Markets
Fall River Capital - Global Strategies
Fall River Global Strategies STD Program
FEM Currency Portfolio Ltd
Friedberg Currency Fund Ltd
FTC Futures Fund - Dynamic
FX Concepts Global Currency Program Fund Ltd
FX Concepts Global Financial Markets Fund
FX Concepts Multi-Strategy Fund
GLC Directional Fund - USD
Global Currency Program
Global Diversified Programme
GMO Global Tactical Fund
Hasenbichler Futures Diversified Fund (Offshore)
Hyman Beck FastTrac
ICM Diversified Fund
IKOS Equity Hedge Fund - USD
IMFC Global Program
JWH - International Foreign Exchange Program
Kybrant Capital - Select Strategies Program
Loewen Global Futures Fund Ltd
Lynx Hedge Fund
Man AHL Diversified Futures Ltd
Man AHL Guaranteed Futures Ltd
Man Barnegat Fund Limited (Series B)
Marathon System CFE Portfolio
Marathon System Diversified Portfolio
Marathon System Financial Portfolio
Millburn International (Cayman) Ltd - Diversified
Millburn Multi-Markets Fund L.P.
MKP Global Futures Fund Offshore Ltd
MLM Index Fund Leveraged (Class B)
MLM Index Fund Unleveraged B
Mulvaney Global Markets Fund, Limited
Nestor Partners
Northfield International Ltd
NuWave Combined Futures 2X
NuWave Combined Futures Portfolio Ltd
Paskewitz Asset Management
Permal Systematic Macro Ltd A
Pulsar Fund
QFS Currency Fund Ltd
Quadriga GCT Futures Fund (USD)
QuantiSquare (USD Class)
Quantitative Ultra Fund (3X)
R.G. Niederhoffer Global Fund LP I
R.G. Niederhoffer Negative Correlation Fund
Rhicon 4XiM CMP Fund
Richmond Global Currency Program
Richmond Optimus Fund Co., Ltd. – Class A
Rivoli International Fund - USD
Rivoli Long Short Bond Fund
Rivoli Managed Account Program - USD
Rochester Capital Managed Futures Fund
Rotella Orion Fund LLC
Rotella Polaris Fund Ltd
Roy G. Niederhoffer Optimal Alpha Fund Ltd
Roy G. Niederhoffer TrendHedge Fund Ltd
RQSI Managed Futures 1X Leverage
RQSI Managed Futures 2X Leverage
SingleHedge Currency Fund Plus
SMN Diversified Futures Fund (Euro)
Snowbird Partners LP
SSARIS Diversified Trading Program
Sunrise Capital Diversified Ltd
Sunrise Select Davco Fund LP
Swiss-Systematic Short Trends Limited
Systematiska Tornado
Threadneedle Emerging Currencies Crescendo Fund - USD
Transtrend Diversified Trend Program - Enhanced Risk USD
Transtrend Diversified Trend Program - Standard Risk USD
Trendline Diversified Fund
Trycon CI Global Futures Fund HAIG
Tunnelbrook Deep Blue Fund Ltd
Two Sigma Compass Funds Group
Valu-Trac Strategic
Vantage Horizon Fund
VCM Systematic Macro Segregated Portfolio
Vesuvius Investment Fund
Vision Capital Partners, LP
Welton Global Directional Portfolio
Winton Evolution Fund
Winton Futures Fund Ltd (Class B - USD)
NB. The funds used in this document are for illustrative
purposes only and are intended as a comparative measure.
This peer group list contains all of funds from Ermitage’s
"Directional - Trend Following" peer group that have a
minimum of 5 data points retrospectively from October
2009. The peer group has been constructed from our own
database (in the absence of a published peer group) of a
selection of established single manager hedge funds.
Source for data: Ermitage, Bloomberg, TASS, Altvest,
InvestHedge
28
AppendixSummary Performance Analysis Investment Approach Fund Overview
DISCLAIMER Ermitage Asset Management Jersey Limited ("EAMJL") is registered with the Jersey Financial Services Commission for the conduct of investment business and fund services business and with the U.S. Securities
and Exchange Commission as an investment adviser. Information contained in this publication, where not externally sourced, has been provided by EAMJL. EAMJL has issued this publication which is for private circulation
only, is published solely for information purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any of the securities or funds mentioned herein or any other financial instruments. Subscriptions will only be
received and units or shares issued on the basis of the current offering document (s) for the fund and prospective investors should carefully consider the risk warnings and disclosures for the fund set out therein. Investors
should also consider any other factors that may be relevant to their circumstances. The investor must take an independent assessment of any legal, credit, tax, regulatory and accounting issues and determine with his or her
professional advisors any suitability or appropriateness implications of any transaction contemplated or referred herein. Units or shares in the fund are not for sale in any jurisdiction in which such sale would be prohibited.
Without limiting the generality of the previous statement, with particular reference to the UK, this document may only be distributed to and acted upon by those persons in the UK pursuant to the Financial Services and
Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001 as amended. None of the funds described herein are regulated under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000, and for such funds protections provided by the UK
regulatory system do not apply, nor are the benefits available under the Financial Services Compensation Scheme. When issued in the UK, this publication is issued by Ermitage UK Limited, which is authorised by the Financial
Services Authority. The Fund will not register as an investment company under the U.S Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the “Company Act”) and, accordingly, the provisions of the Company Act will not be
applicable to the Fund. Whilst reasonable efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information herein, which may be based on proforma, estimated or unaudited figures, the Ermitage Group accepts no
responsibility for its accuracy, nor the reasonableness of the conclusions based upon such information. The contents of this document are believed to be accurate at the date hereof but are subject to change without prior
notification. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The price of units or shares can go down as well as up and may be affected by changes in rates of exchange. An investor may not receive back the
amount invested.
Ermitage Asset Management Jersey Ltd
47 The Esplanade, St Helier, Jersey
Channel Islands JE1 9LB
Tel: +44 (0) 1534 615500
Fax: +44 (0) 1534 615520
Ermitage UK Ltd
25 Savile Row, London, W1S 2ES
Tel: +44 (0) 207 333 0900
Fax: +44 (0) 207 333 0443
Ermitage Americas Inc
Suite 917, 9th Floor, 330 Madison Avenue
New York, NY 10017
Tel: +1 646 495 5665
www. ermitagegroup.com