ERA-CLIM2 3rd General Assembly Welcome and Introduction
Transcript of ERA-CLIM2 3rd General Assembly Welcome and Introduction
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on1
Roberto Buizza European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
ERA-CLIM2 3rd General Assembly Welcome and Introduction
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on2
Welcome
Welcome..andthankyouto:§ Allofyouforyourhelpandengagement,especiallytotheWPLeadersfortheirleadershiprole§ Allforyourworkandprogress(wewillhearmoreaboutit..)§ MKacikforhersupportandhelpwiththeamendment(withthe12-monthextension)
APertheWS:§ PleaseletmeknowifyouobjectthatyourslideswillbemadeavailableonECMWFERA-CLIM2project
website:hUp://www.ecmwf.int/en/research/projects/era-clim2
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on3
Outline
1) AdopWonoftheAgenda2) Projectoverviewanddeliverables’status3) Financials4) LookingaheadinreanalysisproducWon(feedingC3SacWviWes)5) ForthcomingmeeWngs
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on4
1.Adop7onoftheagenda
Tuesday 17 January (0900-1800) Elise Richter Saal
0900-1250 WP2 (Future coupling methods)
0900-0910 Overview of WP2 M. Martin
0910-0935 WP2.2 – SST assimilation developments M. Martin
0935-1000 WP2.2 – Sea-ice assimilation developments C.-E. Testut
1000-1025 WP2.3 – Ocean assimilation algorithm developments A. Weaver
1025-1050 WP2.3 – Coupled ensemble information A. Storto
1050-1110 Coffee break
1110-1135 WP2.4 – Land carbon component developments P. Peylin
1135-1200 WP2.4 – Ocean carbon component developments C. Perruche
1200-1225 WP2.5 – Coupled error covariances and bias correction K. Haines
1225-1250 WP2.5 – Coupled DA in idealised studies A. Vidard
1250-1430 Lunch break
1430-1800 WP3 (Earth System Observations)
1430-1455 WP3 Overview and accomplishments S. Brönnimann
1455-1520 Upper air deliverables contributed by Météo-France to WP3 S. Jourdain
1520-1555 Updating FFCUL contribution to WP3 (Data Rescue and Global Registry) M. A. Valente
1555-1620 RIHMI contribution to WP3 A. Sterin
1620-1640 Coffee break
1640-1705 Data rescue, use of satellites and integrating surface and sub-surface ocean temperature and salinity N. Rayner
1705-1730 EUMETSAT contribution to WP3 J. Schulz
1730-1755 Historical snow in situ data set and snow cover satellite products J. Poulliainen
1900 Dinner at Heurigen “Mayer am Pfarrplatz”, Pfarrplatz 2, 1190 Wien
End of second day
Monday 16 January (1300-1800), Kleiner Festsaal der Universität Wien
1230- Registration (Foyer kleiner Festsaal)
1300-1315 Welcome Vice Rector Prof. Regina Hitzenberger
1315–1340 Introduction Roberto Buizza
1340-1520 WP1 (Global 20th century reanalysis)
1340-1405 Overview WP1 Patrick Laloyaux
1405-1430 CERA-20C: climate indices, ocean and flux Eric de Boisseson
1430-1455 CERA-20C: uncertainty estimation Per Dahlgren
1455-1520 CERA-20C: observation feedback Yuki Kosaka
1520-1540 Coffee break
1540-1800 WP1 (Global 20th century reanalysis) and WP5 (Service developments)
1540-1605 CERA-SAT implementation Dinand Schepers
1605-1630 PISCES biogeochemical reanalysis Coralie Perruche
1630-1655 Land carbon reanalysis Philippe Peylin
1655-1720 Upper-air observations Per Dahlgren
1720-1745 Overview WP5 Patrick Laloyaux
1745-1800 Questions
1800-2000 Reception (Erika Weinzierl Saal)
2000 End of first day
Wednesday 18 January 2017 Elise Richter Saal
900-1200 WP4 (Quantifying and reducing uncertainties)
900-920 Radiosonde temperature homogenization L. Haimberger
920-940 Towards homogenizing land surface data: QC and breakpoint detection
M. A. Valente
940-1000 Hurricanes in ERA-20C and CERA-20C S. Brönnimann
1000-1020 Reproducing upper air temperature, humidity and wind characteristics in late 1930s-1960s by reanalyses
A. Sterin
1020-1040 Validating daily precipitation totals by means of ETCCDI M. Ziese
1040-1100 Coffee break
1100-1120 Homogenization of global radiosonde humidity data M. Blaschek
1120-1140 Coupled energy budget diagnostics of the Arctic M. Mayer
1140-1200 Uncertainties on the land carbon cycle re-analysis P. Peylin
1200-1220 Instructions to Working Groups (break out sessions)
1220-1400 Lunch break
1400-1600 Working Groups (break-out sessions, WP1/WP2/WP3/WP4)
WG1/5 Marietta Blau Saal
WG2 Sitzungszimmer VAM2
WG3/4 Erika Weinzierl Saal
1600-1630 Coffee break
1630-1830 Report of WG discussions, back in Elise Richter Saal
1630-1700 Short report from each breakout session Session chairs
1700-1730 Recommendations from advisors Sakari Uppala
1730-1830 Discussion
End of General Assembly
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on5
2.TheFP7ERA-CLIM2project(2014-2017)
Goal:Produc,onofaconsistent20th-centuryreanalysisofthecoupledEarth-system:atmosphere,landsurface,ocean,sea-ice,andthecarboncycle
Maincomponents:
• Produc,onofcoupledreanalyses,for20Candthemodernera (WP1)• Researchanddevelopmentincoupleddataassimila,on (WP2)• Earthsystemobserva,onsforextendedclimatereanalyses (WP3)• Evalua,onofuncertain,esinobserva,onsandreanalyses (WP4)• Improvingaccesstoreanalysisdataandinputobserva,ons (WP5)
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on6
2.Keyachievementsofpast9months:WP1
Timeseriesofthemul6variateENSOindexforERA-20C,CERA-20CandtheWolter&Timlinobserva6onalproduct(MEI.ext)TheElNiñoandLaNiñaeventsarecapturedbythetworeanalyses
§ CERA-20Cdatasetiscompleted(1901-2010)§ CERA-SATproducWonhasstarted(2008-2016)§ OceancarbonreanalysisforcedbyERA-20Cis
completedassessmentofthesea-airCO2fluxshowspromisingresultswhencomparedtoobservaWons,beUerassessmentoftheinterannualvariabilityisrequired
§ OceancarbonreanalysisforcedbyCERA-20Cscheduledfor2017
§ LandcarbonreanalysisbasedonORCHIDEEforcedbyCERA-20Ciscompleted
§ ConsolidaWonoftheORCHIDEEmodelforlandcarbonreanalyses
§ LandcarbonreanalysesbasedontheconsolidatedORCHIDEE,forcedbyCERA-20CandCERA-SATarescheduledfor2017
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on7
2.Keyachievementsofpast9months:WP2§ ManyWP2contribuWonstotheWMOCoupledDataAssimilaWonWorkshopinToulouse,
Oct2016:• 6oralpresentaWonsfromWP2partners• BreakoutdiscussiononchallengesandprioriWesforcoupledDAforreanalysis.
§ DeliverableD2.4completedbyCMCC:“StronglycoupleddataassimilaWonexperimentswithlinearizedocean-atmospherebalancerelaWonshipsandhybridcovariances”
§ PaperpublishedoncarboncycleassimilaWon(Peylinetal.,GMD).§ Progressonotherupcomingdeliverables–seelaterpresentaWons.
Towards strongly coupled DA:
Variance explained for 2m air temp from a linearised air-sea balance operator
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on8
2.Keyachievementsofpast9months:WP3§ Conference:ObservaWonsforReanalyses(22June2016,Maynooth,Ireland,togetherwithACRE
meeWng)§ ConWnuaWonofdatarescue:Deliverable3.4§ RTTOVupdatesandoceandatabaseupdatesdelivered,earlysatellitedataalmost§ Casestudy“Avalanchesduringthewinterof1916”:ERA-CLIM2datarescue,ERA20Creanalysis,
anddynamicaldownscaling
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on9
2.Keyachievementsofpast9months:WP4
Goal:Op,mizeuseofinputdata,es,mateandreduceuncertain,esinreanalysesandtheirinputdata
§ PrecipvalidaWonwithDWDdatahasprogressedquitefar§ ERA-preSATpapersubmiUed,successfuljointconferencewithACREinMaynooth§ GoodprogressincoupledevaluaWonofoceanicandatmosphericreanalysisdata§ QCfornewlydigiWsedupperair,surface,snowdatafromRussiaandothercountriesalmost
completed§ CHUANv2.0datamergedwithavailabledata,feedbackdataforallWmeseriescalculatedfor
variousfullandsurfacedataonlyreanalyses§ GoodprogressinRS-ThomogenizaWonbackto1939,RS-HhomogenizaWonbackto1979
Example:ERA-20CandCERA-20Cmonthlyprecipita7onensemblevsGPCCprecipita7onoverIndianMonsoonregion
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on10
2.Keyachievementsofpast9months:WP5§ TechnicaldevelopmentinMARStosupport
archivingandretrievalofNetCDFformathasbeendone:weareabletoarchiveandretrieveNEMOmonthlymeansinNetCDF.
§ TheconsolidaWonofCERA-20Cdataintotheuserversionhasstarted,andwillbedoneinphases:• Complete:Atmosphericandwavemonthly
means:30Tbytes.AvailableviathePublicDataServer
• Inprogress:Atmosphericandwaveanalysis(allmembers)andensemblemeansandstandarddeviaWon:200Tbytes.ExpectedendJan2017
• Followedbyforecast(allmembers),observaWonfeedbackandoceancomponent:Over1Pbyte.Expectedformonth42.
§ WehaveextendedtheframeworkofthePublicDataServertoreportonregisteredusersandaccessstaWsWcs,suchasvolumeandfieldsretrieved.Thishasbeendoneusingotherdatasets,butthereporWngwillbeavailablefortheaccesstoCERA-20Cduring2017.
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on11
2.Projectstatus:deliverablesWP1
Delivered DelayedStatus:
D1.1 CERA-20C 24 36 Delivered.
D1.2 CERA-20C/Carbon 36 48ExtensionallowscarbonreanalysestouseatmosphericforcingsfromERA20C.
D1.3 CERA-SAT 36 48(parWally)
ExtensionallowstoestablishtheCERA-SATsystem,andrunitforaasubperiod(numberofyearstobeconfirmedoncesystemisupandrunning)between1979and2016dependingofHPCresourcesandproducWonspeed
D1.4 CERA-SAT/Land 36 48(parWally)
ExtensionallowsCERA-SAT/Landsystemtobeimplementedandrunoverasubperiodbetween1979and2016dependingofHPCresourcesandproducWonspeed.
D1.5 StatusreportWP1 8 8 Delivered
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2.Projectstatus:deliverablesWP2
Delivered DelayedStatus:
D2.1 SSTassimilaWoncode(METO) 27 39 ExtensionallowsmoreWmefortesWngofdevelopmentsD2.2 Sea-iceassimilaWoncode(MERCO) 27 39 ExtensionallowstesWngtobedoneinmorerecentversionofsystemD2.3 EnsembleBNEMOVARcode(CERFACS) 34 46 ExtensionallowshigherqualitydeliverableD2.4 ReportonensemblecovariancesincoupledDA(CMCC) 24 36 DeliveredD2.5 Reporton4D-Vartests(INRIA) 27 39 Extensionallowshigherqualitydeliverable
D2.6 ReportonlandcarbonmodelopWmisaWon(UVSQ) 34 46DelayoftheproducWonoftheclimatereanalysisinWP1putssomeconstraintontheCcyclereanalysis
D2.7 Reportonoceanbiogeochemicalcouplingmethods(MERCO) 34 46 ExtensionallowshigherqualitydeliverableD2.8 Reportonstrengths/weaknessesofcoupledDA(UREAD) 18 18 DeliveredD2.9 Reportoncouplederrorcovariances(METO) 18 18 DeliveredD2.10 ReportoncoupledmodeldriPanbiascorrecWon(UREAD) 34 46 ExtensionmakesitpossibletodeliverahighqualityreportD2.11 ReportonfullycoupledDA(INRIA) 34 46 ExtensionallowshigherqualitydeliverableD2.12 Statusreport(METO) 8 8 Delivered
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on13
2.Projectstatus:deliverablesWP3
Delivered DelayedStatus:
D3.1 Datacatalogue(UBERN) 6 6 deliveredD3.2 PrioriWesfordatarescue(UBERN) 6 6 deliveredD3.3 Meta-databaseupdate(UBERN) 36 48 conWnuousD3.4 In-situdataforreanalysis(UBERN) 24 36 SpanishEbroandNorthAfricanupperairnotinWmeD3.5 In-situdata(other)(UBERN) 30 42 ChiledatanotinWmeD3.6 Quality-controlledversionofD3.4(UBERN) 36 48 ShiPindeadlinesallowsmoredatafromFrenchoverseas,InternaWonaldaysD3.7 Quality-controlledversionofD3.5(UBERN) 33 48 ShiPindeadlinesallowsmoredatafromFrenchoverseas,InternaWonaldaysD3.8 RTTOVupdates(METO) 36 36 deliveredD3.9 Earlysatellitedata(METO) 36 36 TobesubmiUedbyendofJanuary(METO);
D3.10 AVHRRpolarwinds(EUMST) 24 36
ExpectedinM48-DelayedduetoupdatesofoperaWonalEUMETSATalgorithmanddelayednewcomputeenvironmentatEUMETSAT;itwillcausenootherdelaysfortheproject;
D3.11 SSM/T2andAMSU-B/MHSradiancedata(EUMST) 24 24
ExpectedinM42-EUMETSATClimateMonitoringSatelliteApplicaWonFacility(CM-SAF)diddeliveranATBDandapreliminaryversionofthedatarecordbutnottheprocessortoEUMETSAT;furthermore,theearlyversionofdatahadissuesthatresultedintheneedtoupdatetheinter-satellitecalibraWonmethod;itwillcausenofurtherdelaystotheproject'sdeliverables;
D3.12 GeostaWonaryradiancedata(EUMST) 36 36
ExpectedinM42-RecalibraWonofMeteosatIRchannelsisfinished;whatissWllmissingistheintegraWonintotheoriginalimagefiles,whichisdelayedduetothedelayeddeliveryofthenewcomputeenvironmentatEUMETSAT;thiswillcauseadelayindeliverableD3.13;
D3.13 AMVfromMFG(EUMST) 36 42ExpectedinM48-ThiswillbedelayedduetodependenceonD3.12;thiswillnotcauseanydelaytootherproject'sdeliverables;
D3.14 RadiooccultaWondata(EUMST) 36 36
ExpectedinM48-DelayedduetoerrorfoundinGRASreprocesseddata;asecondprocessingoftheGRASmissiondatahasbeenperformedbutothermissiondataarependingtheprocessing.
D3.15 HadISST2update(METO) 18 18 deliveredD3.16 Icethicknessdata(METO) 12 12 deliveredD3.17 Oceandatabaseupdate(METO) 24 30 delivered
D3.18 Snowdataproduct(FMI) 24 36
ExpectedinM42-FMIinvesWgaWonontheopWmumsetofcalculaWonparametersofSWEassimilaWonsystemissWllgoingon(adetailedinvesWgaWonneededinordertoobtainanimprovedproductwhencomparedwiththeoriginalGlobSnowSWEClimateDataRecord).
D3.19 Qualitycontrolledversionofsnowdatabase(insitu)(FMI) 36 48 ExtensionallowshigherqualitydeliverableD3.20 HadISDupdate(METO) 12 12 delivered
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on14
2.Projectstatus:deliverablesWP4
Delivered DelayedStatus:
D4.1 RSbiasadjustments(UNIVIE) 12 20 delivered
D4.2 UpdatedRSbiasadjustments(UNIVIE) 36 48
ERA5andaERA-preSATrerunareexpectedtobemuchbeUerreferencethanpreviousreanalysesbutarenotavailableinmonth36.Valueofdeliverablewouldbesignificantlydegraded
D4.3 QCforobsfromFFCUL(FFCUL) 36 48
FFCULhaddifficulWesinpersonnelrecruitmentandworkshardondigiWzaWonofChileanandotherdata.Thishaspriorityfornow.QCaspectwouldimprovealotif12monthsmoreareavailable
D4.4 VisualizaWontoolforQC(FFCUL) 12 12 deliveredD4.5 QCforupper-air,surface,andsnowobs.(RIHMI) 36 36 TobedeliveredbyendofJanD4.6 MethodologyforquanWfyingobserror(UBERN) 36 36 delivered
D4.7 VerificaWonofprecipitaWonagainstGPCC(DWD) 36 48DatasetwillbereadybutvalidaWonofERA5,CERA-20Cwouldnotbepossible
D4.8 Globalenergy,water,carboncycles(ECMWF,UNIVIE,UVSQ) 36 48 EvaluaWonswithoutERA5,CERA-20CwouldbemuchlessinnovaWveD4.9 Upperairdataqc(UBERN,RIHMI) 24 24 deliveredD4.10 Comparisonwithotherreanalyses(UNIVIE;ECMWF) 36 48 ComparisonswithoutERA5,CERA-20CwouldbemuchlessinnovaWve
D4.11 Lowfrequencyvariabilityandtrends(ALL) 36 48WithoutcompletedERA5,CERA-20CmanyevaluaWonswouldhavetobebasedondatanotcreatedinERA-CLIM2
D4.12 Uncertaintyofinputparametersforcarbonbudget(UVSQ) 12 20 deliveredD4.13 Confidenceintervalsoncarbonfluxes(UVSQ) 36 48 ThosewouldhavetobebasedonexisWngERA-20C,notnewCERA-20C
D4.14ComparisonofCTESSEL,ORCHIDEEfluxesWmates(ECMWF,UVSQ,UNIVIE) 36 48
ThiscouldbedonepartlywithunfinishedCERA-20CbutmuchvaluewouldbeaddedifcompleteCERA-20Csetwereavailable
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on15
2.Projectstatus:deliverablesWP5-WP6-WP9
Delivered DelayedStatus:
D5.1 NetCDFinMARS 12 30 Design,specificaWonsandtechnicalworkcompleted.
D5.2 CERAdataservices 24 48
ConsolidaWonofdataintouserversioninprogress.Monthlymeansreleased.ExpectedcompleWonformonth48,asinrevisedplananddiscussedduringtheM27ReviewMeeWng.
D5.3 Reportondataservices 24 48
TechnicalworkcompletebasedonERA-20C.D5.3willreportondataservicesforyear2017.xpectedcompleWonformonth48,asinrevisedplananddiscussedduringtheM27ReviewMeeWng.
D6.1 Projectwebsite 10 10 deliveredD6.2 Projectbrief1 12 12 deliveredD6.3 Workshopreport1 19 19 deliveredD6.4 Projectbrochure 22 36 ExpectedinM39D6.5 Policybrief2 24 36 TobedeliveredbyendofJanD6.6 Workshopreport2 31 31D6.7 Policybrief3 36 48D6.8 DisseminaWonplan 4 4 deliveredD6.9 Policybrief4 n/a 48 D9.1 CoordinaWonplan 36 48D9.2 Commonwebpage 6 6 deliveredD9.3 Commonlessonslearned 24 24 deliveredD9.4 MeeWngminutes 36 48
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on16
3.FinancialsWiththeextensionoftheprojectthepaymentsareasfollowing:1. Pre-financing(60%withretenWonof5%guarantee
fund)–Q1-20142. FirstinterimaPermonth18(upto90%ofthe
budget)–Tobepaidinthecomingdays/weeks3. FinalpaymentaPermonth48(remainingbalance)
Thefirstinterimpaymentwasalreadyreceivedbythepartnerson3March2016.Soallpartnersshouldhavereceived90%oftheiragreedreimbursements.WiththeongoingreporWngnowtheconsumpWonisbalancingthesepaymentsorgoevenbeyond.ThefollowinggraphsillustratesthebudgetconsumpWonat30/06/2015,whenpartnersreportedtoCoordinator.ThenextreporWngupdateisexpectedinFeb2017,withconsumpWonsupto31/12/2016.
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%110%
0€100,000€200,000€300,000€400,000€500,000€600,000€700,000€800,000€900,000€
1,000,000€
ECMWF
METO
EUMST
UBE
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UNIVIE
FFCU
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METFR
DWD
CERFAC
CMCC
FMI
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INRIA
UVS
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Partners'consumpWon-30/06/2015
RequestedEUContribuWon BudgetConsumpWon%
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500,000€
1,000,000€
1,500,000€
2,000,000€
2,500,000€
3,000,000€
ECMWF
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UNIVIE
FFCU
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METFR
DWD
CERFAC
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Partners'totalandconsumedbudget(30/6/15)
RequestedEUContribuWon MaximumallowableEUcontribuWon
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4.ECMWFreanalysisproduc7on
20212020201920182017201620152014
ERA-Interim&ERA-Interim/Land(1979-todate)
ERA-20CERA-CLIM
ERA-CLIM2 CERA-20C CERA-SAT
NEWH2020CALL?
ERA5(1979-todate)C3S
CERA100(conven,omalobs,1918-2018)???
ERA6(1979-todate)C3Sin2019/20
ECMWF
ECMWF
ORA-S5(Oceanandsea-ice,¼deg,z75)–1979-..
©ECMWFERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Wien,16-18Jan2017)-RobertoBuizza:WelcomeandIntroduc6on18
5.ForthcomingERA-CLIM2mee7ngs
ERA-CLIM2WSsandGAs:§ 16-18Jan2017:ERA-CLIM23rdGeneralAssembly(Univ.ofVienna-Austria)§ 19Jan2017:ERA-CLIM2M36ReviewMeeWng(Univ.ofVienna-Austria)§ 12-14Dec2017-ERA-CLIM24thGeneralAssembly(Univ.ofBern-Switzerland)–Mee6ng
star6ngat13.30onTuesday12Dec§ 15Dec2017(Friday;amonly)-M48ReviewMee6ng(Univ.ofBern-Switzerland)
RelatedWSs/Seminars/Conferences:§ 97thAMSAnnualMeeWng(22-26Jan2017;SeaUle,US)§ EGUMeeWng(23-28Apr2017;Vienna,Austria)§ ECMWFAnnualSeminaron‘EnsemblepredicWon:past,presentandfuture’(Reading,UK)§ 5thInternaWonalConferenceonReanalysis(ICR5;13-19Nov2017;Rome,Italy)