EPP Congress 2011 in Münster - Pig Producer · Manten 12 - 13 16 – 17 Simon, Wittlich 8,5 18...
Transcript of EPP Congress 2011 in Münster - Pig Producer · Manten 12 - 13 16 – 17 Simon, Wittlich 8,5 18...
-
Germany´s role in pan-european trade
EPP Congress 2011 in Münster
Thursday 19.05.201115:00 Uhr
Lower SaxonieLower Saxonie
Dr. Albert Hortmann-ScholtenDepartment 3.1Business and marketChamber of Agriculture Lower SaxonyOldenburg
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 1
Oldenburg
-
Agenda Germany´s role in pan-european trade
Trends and opportunities of the german pig productionTrends and opportunities of the german pig production
figures for production, import and export figures for production, import and export
structure of slaughterhouse sector, growth plans
Pricing system of the slaughter pig market
perspectives for the next years
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 2
-
Pi l ht b i GPig slaughter numbers in Germany All in Germany slaughtered (foreign and domestic) pigs
Forecast 2011
DestockingFMD
Eastern(EU27)enlargement Destocking
GDR
Swine fever
in NLe a ge e t
fever
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 3
-
S lf ffi i t (%) f k i G d EUSelf-sufficiency-rate (%) for pork in Germany and EU
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 4
-
C ti f k i G It l d EU 25/27Consuption of pork in Germany, Italy and EU 25/27
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 5
-
Feed import of Brake
Distributing 2 million tonnes a year
good infrastructureg y
50% by road (South Oldenburg)50% by rail or inland waterway transport
highway/waterway
modern
ports/harbours
iin
in North Westin North - West
GermanyAHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress Münster
Nr.: 6
Germany
-
P t f B k t th i W “Port of Brake at the river „Weser“
Challenge: Deepening of the river up to 12.80 m To make it usable for panmax bulkersTo make it usable for panmax bulkersImportant influence on feed pricesCorn, grain, soybeans etc.
jNew project
Deep-water-port
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 7
Jochen Klein; Mai 2011 Wilhelmshaven
-
S f th i th t 40Some reasons for growth in the past 40 years very often small arable-farms with poor soil In history cheap grain prices, which could not generate
enough income but allowed a profitable pig production family working constitution in traditional farms large family working constitution in traditional farms, large
families with a many children ======= cheap labour, good agricultural skills and know how in the sectorg g ecellent infrastructure (highway/waterway), good
connection to the world grain and feed componend markets (8 to 10 € feed cost advantage/fattener)markets (8 to 10 € feed cost advantage/fattener)
High standard of feedqualitiy and intensive competition of feed mills
tax privilegs of agriculture managed operations and tax privilegs in the case of descendence a farm to the next generation
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 8
generation
-
S f t b t k i i GSome facts about pork processing in Germany
In General: Small and medium enterprisesIn General: Small and medium enterprises
About 16.000 butchers for local marketswith about 27,000 outlets; mostly in South/South West Germanyy y(slaughtering, cutting and processing units)
Ab t 250 di d l i b tt i About 250 medium and large size abattoirs
About 600 cutting plantsAbout 600 cutting plants
About 2.300 processing plants
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 9
-
250 medi m and large si e abattoirs mainl250 medium and large size abattoirs mainlyin North-West-Germany
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 10
-
T 10 G i l ht iTop 10 German pigs slaughter companies
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 11
-
C fConcentration of the pig slaughtering industry in Germany since 2004
80%
Top 10
59,3 Mio.
75 %
70%
Top 10
- - - - Trend
75 %
60%54 %
50%
Top 340%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Top 3
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 12
Quelle: LWK / ISN nach Unternehmensangaben
-
Groth Plans of German slaughterhouse companiesin next 18 month in 1.000 Units/weekSlaughterhouse abattoirs Capathety Week Groth plans target / week BMR, Garrel 27,5 32
D & S, Cappeln 12,0 ???
D & S, DC (DK) Essen 63,0 DC plans 80Dühringer Fleischkontor 23 - 26 23-26
EGO, Georgsmarienhütte 10 - 11 13
Goldschmaus, Garrel 30,0 30
Manten 12 - 13 16 – 17
Simon, Wittlich 8,5 18
Tönnies, Rheda 130 - 135 180
Tönnies, Weissenfels 50,0 80
Tummel, Schöppingen 22 - 23 25
Vion, Emstek 38,0 50
Vion, Lingen 17 - 18 22 – 25
Vogler (insgesamt) 40,0 45 – 50
Weidemark, Sögel 33,0 1. step 40 / 2. step 50 / 3. step 80
Wernke, (Sprehe) CLP 8,5 19,2
Westfleisch (insgesamt) + Barfuss 122,0 130 - 140 (mainly in Coesfeld)
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 13
(LWK Survey from April 2011)
ca. 647 - 659 ~ ca. + 20 %
-
i h d i EU i
Which region can produce more pigs in the next future???Who will meat the expansive demand of the german meat industry?
pig herds in EU regions DK12,5 Mio.PP ±0Fat.
S-H1,5 Mio.
Green region 41 million pigs
Region brown 10.3 million pigs
Fat.
NDS8,3 Mio.
NRW
PL14,9 Mio.
PP ±0Fat. ± 0
Piglet production = PPfattening = Fat
Deutschland
NRW6,4 Mio.
NL12,3 Mio. Germany
Fat. ± 0
PP PP ±0Fat ±0
fattening = Fat.
BY3,5 Mio.BW
2 1 Mi
Germany26,5 Mio.
B6,4 Mio.
PP Fat.
PP ± 0Fat.
Fat ±0
2,1 Mio.
Swizerland
Austria3,1 Mio.
FR14,1 Mio. PP
Fat. PP
PP Fat.
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 14
source: Statistisches Bundesamt Nov. 2010; EU Juli 2010
S e a d1,6 Mio.
Fat.
-
Marketing opportunities for pigs in GermanyFarmers have the choise to sell their pigs on different ways
42 %
3000 Livestock
traders
25 %
(Limited company)
Slaughter100 Pi25 % Slaughter house
100 Pig farmers
cooperative
30 000 Pig
farmers
25 % 60 Pig producers
8 % di t l t
producers association(VEZG Retail Price)
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 15
8 % directplacement
-
Rends-
Members of the „union of producers associations for ■** *
Leizen
Rendsburg
Marschen-land
VzFHoya * livestock and meat e.V.“(VEZG)
*** **
***** Fläming-Fleisch
Altmark**VzF
Minden
Steyerberg
Hoya
Sulingen*
C f ld
Hamporc
* *
* Main focus on piglet-marketingRheinlandBorken
Coesfeld
LippborgPaderborn
Sonsbeck
Main focus on pig and piglet marketing
■ Comitees office
Alten-burg
Oldenburg
german legal basis: for this unique pricing
Hohen-lohe/Franken
Franken /
ESO Knölling
VZ for this unique pricing system is
„market structure law“
SüdostbayernPocking
Schwaben
Waldkraiburg
Schleker /Ehingen / Graißmaier
OberbayernPfaffenhofen
Stuttgart
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 16
Stand: April 2011
„market structure law
-
Tasks of the VEZG
regularly:• Retail price: market for slaughter pigs• Retail price: „M“ slaughter sows Thursday 14 o`clockp „ g y• Price conference on every Friday at 12 o`clock
• (Retail price: market for piglets 28 kg 200 groups) • (Price conference on every Monday at 14:00 o`clock)(Price conference on every Monday at 14:00 o clock)
• Price information two times the week
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 17
Price information two times the week
-
The formation of the "Vereinigungspreis"
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 18
-
P i i f k i th EUPrice comparison for pork in the EUprices/100 kg in € - colt
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 19
-
12,3
4 7SVG in Süd-OLDK
Ferkel
Piglet im- andOst-deutschland
4,7SVG in Süd-OL30-35 Prozent
Ferkel6,7 Mio.
NL-Ferkel (6,3 Mio.)= 3,3 Mio. surplus exports in 2010
7,0
nach DE 1,9 Mio.Germany Nordwest-
deutschland
-11,6
1,5 Mio pigletsSüdwest-
davon in BayernsurplusSüd-
deutschland
deutschland
Ost- S-5,1
davon in Bayern
Percentage change
surplus1,8 Mio.
-22,3 -6,7
Ost SAnzahl Schweine
Anzahl Sauen-22,3
1999 – 2009 ohne Stadtstaaten
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 20
Quelle: AMI; PVE, BMELV, FAL-37,3 -24,8
-
Challenge “piglet supply”
Up to 2015 we loose at least one third of the EU sow population specially in GB, IR, FR, SP and Eastern Europe (16 up to 10 mio sows ??)
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 21
-
The implementation of the new EU regulation in swineThe implementation of the new EU-regulation in swine housing in 2013Q ti i l t 2010 H f l d f lfill ll f EUQuestion in late 2010: How many farms already fulfill all of EU requirements (including group housing of sows)Denmark 65 - 70 % of the sow placesDenmark 65 70 % of the sow places(Nds, SH + NRW) 60 - 65 % of the sow places Southern Germany 30 - 40 % of the sow placesBE/NL/Lux ~ 70 % of the sow placesSpain ~ 10 % of the sow places - but 20 % sowsFrance ~ 27 % of the sow placesIrelands ~ 35 % of the sow placesPoland ~ 70 - 80 % (professional large companies) Small farmers (20 sows limit) 5 - 10 %
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 22
(20 sows limit) 5 - 10 %
-
W k i t f G i d tiWeak points of German pig production
densely populated livestock areas
small size farms (cropland + livestock)
farm growth is necessary but in some regions nearly impossible farm growth is necessary but in some regions nearly impossible
the German society becomes the biggest enemy of the sector
a lot of unprofessional producers a lot of unprofessional producers
high costs of land (rent/buying costs) driven by the „biogas-sector“
pig diseases cause still a lot of problems pig diseases cause still a lot of problems (PRRS, AP, Ileitis etc.)
unprofessional trading habits (to many pig dealers)p g ( y p g )
pig meat quality problems/security --- salmonella etc. - -
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 23
-
Strong points of German pig production
fair feed prices in the past (danger – biogas) is pushing feed grain prices at the moment between 195 - 220 €/t and land price
high level of competition between ~ 200 slaughterhouses
low wages in slaughterhouses/meat industry high competition
high slaughter weight 96- 98 kg/pig low processing costs high slaughter weight 96 98 kg/pig low processing costs
good infrastructure (waterways, highways modern harbours)
good trade relations to Eastern Europe
i il b l f i h it privileges by law of inheritance
rel. low financial obligations of pigfarmers compared to DK/NL
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 24
-
perspectives for the next years-will Germany keep its leading role???
EU - Gross production of pigs - 2011 forecast s
148,1 Mio. Pigs58 %= 58 %
259 258256
252
256256
246
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Pig total production = EU 27
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 25
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
-
Biggest challenge of the future:social acceptance of meat consumption and the meat sectorsocial acceptance of meat consumption and the meat sector
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 26
-
NGO´ Wh d th t t ??NGO´s: Where do they want us to go ??Sure, it is posible to feed the peolpe
ith t d i lt dwithout a modern agriculture and meat sector.
history shows, it functionend y ,
already in the past!!!
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 27 www.diefleischexperten.de
-
Which is the right way to feed people??Which is the right way to feed people??
Thank you very much
AHS FB 3.12011.05.19 EPP-Congress MünsterNr.: 28
for your attention !!