Epidemiology
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Transcript of Epidemiology
KARAGANDA STATE MEDICAL KARAGANDA STATE MEDICAL UNIVERSITYUNIVERSITY
SUBJECT-EPIDEMIOLOGY SUBJECT-EPIDEMIOLOGY
SIWTSIWT
SUBMITTED TO: AISULUKAMAROVA SUBMITTED BY: MANOJ
KUMAROM PRAKASH
GROUP- 3009
EPIDEMIOLOGYEPIDEMIOLOGY OFOF TUBERCULOSISTUBERCULOSIS
EPIDEMIOLOGY “The study of the distribution and
determinants of health-related states or events in specified populations, and the application of this study to the control of health problems”
TUBERCULOSIS Tuberculosis is a specific infectious
disease caused by M. tuberculosis. The disease primarily affects lungs and causes pulmonary tuberculosis.
TB is spread person to person through the air via droplet nuclei
M. tuberculosis may be expelled when an infectious person:◦ Coughs◦ Sneezes◦ Speaks ◦ Sings
Transmission occurs when another person inhales droplet nuclei
TB TRANSMISSIONTB TRANSMISSION
TB TRANSMISSIONTB TRANSMISSION
Transmission is defined as the spread of an organism, such as M. tuberculosis,
from one person to another.
Probability that TB will be transmitted depends on:Infectiousness of person with TB diseaseEnvironment in which exposure occurredLength of exposureVirulence (strength) of the tubercle bacilli
The best way to stop transmission is to:Isolate infectious personsProvide effective treatment to infectious persons as soon as possible
INCUBATION PERIODINCUBATION PERIODThe time from receipt of infection to the development of a +ve tuberculin test ranges from 3-6 weeks
Incubation period may be week, month or year
Until mid-1800s, many believed TB was hereditary
1865 Jean Antoine-Villemin proved TB was contagious
1882 Robert Koch discovered M. tuberculosis, the bacterium that causes TB
HISTORY OF TBHISTORY OF TB
Mycobacterium tuberculosisImage credit: Janice Haney Carr
1840 19201860 1900 1940 1960 1980 20001880
1993: TB cases decline 1993: TB cases decline due to increased funding due to increased funding and enhanced TB control and enhanced TB control
effortsefforts1884: 1884:
First TB First TB sanatorium sanatorium established established
in U.S.in U.S.
1865: 1865: Jean-Jean-
Antoine Antoine Villemin Villemin
proved TB is proved TB is contagiouscontagious
1943: 1943: Streptomycin Streptomycin
(SM) a drug used (SM) a drug used to treat TB is to treat TB is discovereddiscovered
1882: 1882: Robert Koch discoversRobert Koch discovers
M. tuberculosisM. tuberculosis
Mid-1980s: Mid-1980s: Unexpected rise in Unexpected rise in
TB casesTB cases
1943-1952: 1943-1952: Two more drugs are Two more drugs are discovered to treat discovered to treat TB: INH and PASTB: INH and PAS
TB HISTORY TIMELINETB HISTORY TIMELINE
EPIDEMIOLOGICAL EPIDEMIOLOGICAL INDICESINDICESIndices or parameters are needed to measure the tuberculosis problem in a community
For planning and evaluation of control measures
Indices are also required for international comparison
Following epidemiological indices are generally used in TB :
a) Prevalence of infection:- It is the percentage of individual who
show a positive reaction to the standard tuberculin test.
b) Incidence of infection (Annual infection rate):-
It is the percentage of population under study who will be newly infected by M. tuberculosis.
It reflects the annual risk of being infected in a given community.
c) Prevalence of disease (Case rate) :- It is the percentage of individuals
who’s sputum is positive for tubercle bacilli on microscopic examination.
It is the best available practical index to estimate the number of infectious cases or case load in a community.
d) Indices of new cases :- It is the percentage of new
tuberculosis cases per 1000 population occurring during one year.
e) Prevalence of suspect cases :- It is based on X- Ray examination of chest. Drawback of this index is that radiography
cannot reveal with any certainty. That’s why it has no epidemiological
significance.
f) Case detection rate :- no. of new and relapse cases in a year estimated incidence of such cases in same
year
g) Prevalence of new drug resistance cases :-
The patients resistance to anti- tuberculosis drugs.
Mortality rate :- The no. of deaths from TB per lakh
population was used as the index of the TB problem in a community.
At present time it has no significance.
SOME DEFINATIONS OF TB SOME DEFINATIONS OF TB CASESCASESNEW CASES – A patient with sputum
+ve PTB who has never treated for TB or has taken anti- tuberculosis drug for less than 4 week.
RELAPSE – A patient who return smear +ve having previously been treated for TB and cured.
Return after default- A patient who return sputum smear +ve after having left treatment for at least 2 months.
TRANSFER IN- A patient recorded in another administrative area register and transferred into another area to continue treatment.
TRANSFER OUT- A patient who has been transfer to another area registered and treatment result are not known.
CURED– Initially smear +ve positive patient who completed treatment and had –ve smear result on at least two occasions.
COHORT- A group of patients in whom TB has been diagnosed and who were registered for treatment during a specified time period.
NATURAL HISTORY OF NATURAL HISTORY OF TBTB
AGENT FACTORS
AGENTM. TUBERCULOSISIS A FACULTATIVEINTRACELLULAR
PARASITE
SOURCE OF INFECTION
(TWO SOURCES)
COMMUNICABILITYPATIENTS ARE REMAIN INFECTIVE AS LONG
AS THEY REMAIN UNTREATED
HUMAN SOURCEMOST COMMON
SOURCE
BOVINE SOURCEINFECTION USUALLY BY INFECTED MILK
HOST FACTORS
AGE- TB AFFECTS ALL THE AGES
SEX- MORE PREVALENT IN MALES
HERIDITY- TB IS NOT A HERIDITARY DISEASE
NUTRIENT- MALNUTRITION IS WIDELY PREDISPOSE TO TB
IMMUNITY- MAN HAS NO INHERITED IMMUNITY AGAINST TB
SOCIAL FACTORS
POOR QUALITY OF LIFE
POOR HOUSING
OVERCROWDING
POPULATION EXPLOSION
UNDERNUTRITION
LACK OF EDUCATION
LARGE FAMILIES
EARLY MARRIAGES etc.
GLOBAL BURDEN OF TB GLOBAL BURDEN OF TB 2 billion infected, i.e. 1 in 3 of global
population9.4 million (139/lakh) new cases in 2008,
80% in 22 high-burden countries About 5.7 million cases were notified
through DOTS programme during 2010Global incidence of TB has peaked in
2004 and is declining1.77 million deaths in 2007, 98% in low-
income countries1.4 million deaths in 2010MDR-TB -prevalence in new cases around
3.6%
GLOBAL SITUATIONGLOBAL SITUATIONSince 1995, over 21 million patients
have been diagnosed and treated in DOTS programmes.
In 2007, 5.5 million new and relapse TB cases were initiated on treatment under DOTS strategy.
Of 2.5 million new smear positive patients registered in 2006, 85% were successfully treated under DOTS.
TUBERCULOSIS IN INDIATUBERCULOSIS IN INDIAEstimated incidence
1.96 million new cases annually0.8 million new smear positive cases annually75 new smear positive PTB cases/lakh
population per year Estimated prevalence of TB disease
3.8 million bacillary cases in 2000 1.7 million new smear positive cases in 2000
Estimated mortality330,000 deaths due to TB each yearOver 1000 deaths a day2 deaths every 3 minutes
Prevalence of TB infection40% (~400 million) infected with M. tuberculosis (with a 10% lifetime risk of TB disease in the absence of HIV)
Estimated Multi-drug resistant TB< 3% in new cases12% in re-treatment cases
TB-HIV~2.31 million people living with HIV (PLWHA)
10-15% annual risk (60% lifetime risk) of developing active TB disease in PLWHA
About 80% of TB patients are between 15-54 year of age, while two- third of the cases are male.
India is the highest TB burden country India is the highest TB burden country accounting for more than one-fifth of the accounting for more than one-fifth of the global incidence global incidence
Indonesia6%
Nigeria5%
Other countries20%
Other 13 HBCs16% China
14%
South Africa5%
Bangladesh4%
Ethiopia3%
Pakistan3%
Phillipines3%
India21%
Source: WHO Geneva; WHO Report 2009: Global Tuberculosis Control; Surveillance, Planning and Financing
Global annual incidence = 9.4 million
India annual incidence = 1.96 million
India is 17th among 22 High Burden
Countries (in terms of TB incidence rate)
REFRENCESREFRENCES
Internet and WikipediaK. ParkVivek Jain