ENSO update - OCOF 156 · 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 u 05 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 Reynolds SST 1500E cosppac spp _O...
Transcript of ENSO update - OCOF 156 · 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 u 05 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 Reynolds SST 1500E cosppac spp _O...
ENSO update - OCOF 156
15 September 2020
ENSO Update
August 2020 SSTs
NINO SST anomalies (°C)
IndexJuly2020
Aug2020
Latest weekly
NINO3 –0.3 –0.4 –0.8
NINO3.4 0.0 –0.4 –0.7
NINO4 +0.2 –0.1 –0.2
Weekly data for theweek ending 13/09/2020
Equatorial Pacific sub-surface profileBureau of Meteorology
Equatorial Pacific sub-surface profile
August 2020 Sea Level Anomaly
Ocean Currents at 10 September 2020
A
C
B
Southern Oscillation Index
At 12 September 2020: 30-day SOI = +10; 90-day SOI = +5
Equatorial Trade Winds
Equatorial Trade Winds
Equatorial Pacific
Aug
Madden-Julian Oscillation
ECMWF
NCEP
Satellite Rainfall
A B
C
Satellite Rainfall Anomaly
Units = mm per month
Model Rainfall Predictions (SON)
ACCESS-S
Model Rainfall Predictions (SON)
C3S
Model Rainfall Predictions (SON)
PICASO MME
Model Rainfall Predictions (SON)
Climate Model Summary