ENSC502 05-06 Living With Our Rivers BRBC Combined

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    Flood 2005: Lessons Learned

    ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE 502

    Susan

    Ryan

    Presented by Kelly Carter and Ryan WillsonJ une 14, 2006

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    ENSC401 Field School IENSC501 Field School IIENSC502 Special Projects in Environmental ManagementENSC503 - Environmental Assessment and Hearings

    ENSC 502 students 2005-2006A.Beal, K. Beyak, K. Carter, S. D'Abadie, S. Durham, E. Fulowski, C. Greene,K. Harris, T. Hirsche, E. J ohanson, T. Lesack, J . Martin, J . Migdal, D. Nalley,M. Panek, A. Pfliger, N. Poon, J . Purcell, G. Rokosh, S. Roome-Sandrin,E. Savard, D. Stein, E. Swerdfeger, M. Towey, and R. Willson.

    Project Mentors L. Henderson, W. Holden, D. Iredale, M. Iwanyshyn,D. Nuell, and C. Ryan.

    B.Sc. Environmental Science Program

    ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE 502

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    Flood 2005: Lessons Learned

    Hydrologic Aspects of Elbow River Watershed Flooding

    Bow River Ecological Changes Following Flood 2005

    Surface Water Quality Changes During Flooding

    Spatial distribution of Flood Damage in Rideau and Roxboro

    Flood Risk Perceptions of Rideau and Roxboro Residents: AnExploratory Review

    City of Calgary Riparian Zone Assessment

    ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE 502

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    Hydrologic Aspects of Elbow River

    Watershed FloodingKim Beyak, Stephen dAbadie, Sarah Durham,

    Mike Panek, Elise Savard, Ryan Willson

    ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE 502

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    Elbow River Watershed

    Elbow Riverapproximately 120

    km Watershed area is

    1230 km2

    Alluvial AquiferArea is 67 km2

    25 year average

    discharge 8 m

    3

    /s SignificantHistorical Floods in1923 and 1932

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    River-connected,

    highly permeable, sandand gravel bottomlands

    Elbow RiverAlluvial Aquifer

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    Glacial drif t

    Alluvial gravel

    (aquifer)

    Shale

    Sandstone

    river

    Water table

    Schematic cross section of Elbow River showing

    alluvial aquifer

    Meyboom, 1961

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    The Big Question

    How do hydrological aspects interact toinfluence flood magnitude and

    frequency?

    Bow River J une 2005: Center Street Bridge

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    Study Purpose

    1. What causes flooding? Precipitation in the watershed

    Stream Discharge

    Elbow River alluvial aquifer behaviour

    2. During the 2005 flood event which one of thesethree factors was dominant? Are other flood

    years similar?3. How accurate are recurrence intervals?

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    Maximum discharge at each river gauging stationduring three major flood events.

    10

    100

    1000

    Bragg Creek Above Calgary Glenmore Dam

    Log

    Disc

    harge

    (cms

    )

    River Discharge does not increase significantly

    moving downstream

    Log

    Discharge(m

    3/s) 2005

    1992

    1990

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    Floods can be influenced by more than just

    precipitation

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    1981 1990 1995 2005

    PeakDischarge(cms

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    PeakAnnualPrecipitation(m

    Discharge (cms)" Precipitation (mm)

    Comparing peak discharge volumes at Sarcee Bridge and precipitation amounts recordedat Elbow River Ranger Station for extreme years.

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    1981 Elbow River Flood

    interaction of climatic factors

    Discharge Mean Temperature Total SnowfallTotal Rainfall

    -300

    -200

    -100

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400500

    JanJanFebFebMarMarAprAprMayMa

    yJunJunJul JulAugAugSepSe

    pOctNovNovDecDe

    c

    Time (day)Quantity(cms,mmx

    10,cmx

    10,degrees

    C)

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    Does the alluvial aquifer return to pre-floodlevels between flood years?

    Baseflow recession calculations depicting the amount of water stored within the aquifeduring the recession period following a peak discharge event.

    -200

    -100

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    1965-1

    966

    1966-1

    967

    1967-1

    968

    1968-1

    969

    1992-1

    993

    1993-1

    994

    1994-1

    995

    1995-1

    996

    1996-1

    997

    2002-2

    003

    2003-2

    004

    2004-2

    005

    Flow Recession Year

    Es

    timat

    edAqu

    iferS

    torage

    (M

    illionso

    fm

    3)

    * *

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    Flood Recurrence Intervals

    A Flood Recurrence Interval (RI) is theprobability of a flood of a given magnitudeoccurring in any given year

    The term 1 in 100 yearor 1 in 5 yearflooddoes not refer to how often that flood occurs, butthe probability of that flood occurring

    A 1 in 100 yearflood may occur more thanonce in 100 years

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    Flood Probability Recurrence Intervals and Flows

    1 in 20 Year Flood = 340 m3/s

    1 in 100 Year Flood = 758 m3/s

    (As calculated by Alberta Environment)

    When flows exceed 170 m3/s flooding begins below thedam

    Glenmore Reservoir was at 64 % of capacity

    on J une 5, 2005

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    RI for a flood of the magnitude experienced in J une 2005

    Discharge Stations

    Bragg Creek

    Above Glenmore

    Dam

    Below Glenmore

    Dam

    (a) RI ( using allavailable years)

    1 in 72 yrs(1934- 2005)

    1 in 24 yrs(1979 - 2005)

    1 in 49 yrs(1908 - 2005)

    (b) RI (1979-2005at all stations) 1 in 28 yrs 1 in 24 yrs 1 in 28 yrs

    Recurrence Intervals are

    Sensitive to the Data Set

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    Conclusions

    1. Flooding is influenced most by climatic factors aboveBragg Creek

    2. In 2005 the main factor influencing the flood magnitudewas precipitation upstream of Calgary In any given year a number of factors interact to determine the

    magnitude of discharge in the Elbow River Precipitation is generally the flood trigger

    3. Over-winter groundwater storage doesnt play a

    significant role in spring floods

    4. Recurrence interval estimation is highly sensitive to

    length of data record

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    Bow River EcologicalChanges Following

    the 2005 Flood

    Elizabeth Fulowski, Trevor Hirsche, J essica Martin,J enn Migdal, J oey Purcell, Erin Swerdfeger

    ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE 502

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    http://www.maroochy.qld.gov.au/maroochyriverrecovery/images/river_health.jpg

    Healthy Unhealthy

    Stable banks Bank erosion and sediment infill

    Low sediment nutrientconcentrations

    High sediment nutrientconcentrations

    Low abundance of rock algaeand aquatic plants

    High abundance of rock algaeand aquatic plants

    Potential changes due to flooding

    Healthy Unhealthy

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    PurposeInvestigate the ecological changes after

    the 2005 flood

    StudyPre and post flood comparison using data

    including last years ENSC 502 data

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    Ogden

    Heritage

    Southland

    Pine Creek

    Ogden

    Heritage

    Southland

    Pine Creek

    Samples taken November5th and 10th, 2005

    Methods followed AlbertaEnvironments (AENV)Water Quality SamplingManual 2002 or otherstandard methods

    Study Area

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    River Parameters

    Rock algae (Periphyton)

    Stream Insects (Macroinvertebrates) Aquatic Plants (Macrophytes)

    River bed profiles River Sediment Nutrients

    - Nitrogen (N) and Phosphorus (P)

    Brown Trout spawning nests (redds)

    - Elbow River

    Summary of Results

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    Summary of Results

    Recovered quickly: Rock algaeTime for recovery unknown: Aquatic insects Variable response to flood Aquatic plants (dramatic decrease)

    Little observed change: Water quality Trout redds

    Other findings: Sediment nutrients lower in most samples

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    Worm

    (Oligochaeta)

    http://www.inhs.uiuc.edu/~sjtaylor/cave/cave_ol

    ig.jpg

    Midge

    (Chironomidae)

    http://www.wwa-fs.bayern.de/datenufakten/Biologie/Bilder/chir

    onomidae.jpg

    Midge

    (Simullidae)

    http://www.arpa.vda.it/foto/figura_Simuliidae_26

    18_s.jpg

    Mayfly

    (Ephemerillidae)

    http://www.famu.org/mayfly/images/pluteus_nym.jpg

    Caddisfly

    (Tricoptera)

    http://www.dec.state.ny.us/website/dow/stream/c

    adb.jpg

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    Results: Stream Insects

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    Ogden

    Heritage

    Southland

    Pine Creek

    Site

    Number of Groups

    2005

    2004

    At each site along the Bow River, insect diversity decreased from 2004 to2005.

    A ti Pl t

    http://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpghttp://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpg
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    Aquatic Plants

    Advantages

    Traps sediment, thereby cleaning the water column

    Habitat for stream insectsDisadvantages

    Increases in sediment nutrients can lead to excessive

    macrophyte growth Affects dissolved oxygen

    http://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpg

    http://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq10.jpg

    http://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpghttp://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpghttp://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpghttp://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpghttp://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpghttp://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpghttp://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpghttp://members.fortunecity.com/macrophytes/aq13.jpg
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    Results: Aquatic Plants

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    Ogden Heritage Southland Pine Creek

    Site

    Biom

    ass

    (g/m

    2)

    2005

    2004

    Macrophyte biomass observed at four sites in the Bow River with mean and

    SE (standard error) for 2004 and 2005.

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    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004

    Number of Brown trout redds observed in the lower Elbow River since 1980(no survey 2003). Data courtesy of C. Bjornson, Golder Associates.

    #

    redds

    Results: Brown Trout redds

    No data availablethese years

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    Results: River Bed Profiles

    0

    0.3

    0.6

    0.9

    1.2

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Distance from West Bank (m)

    Dep

    th

    (m)

    Before

    After

    0

    1

    2

    3

    0 15 30 45 60 75 90

    Distance from West Bank (m)

    Depth

    (m)

    Before

    After

    VE: ~7.5VE: ~30

    Ogden Southland

    Vertically Exaggerated (VE) stream profiles near the Ogden and Southland

    sites showing the cross-section of the stream bed before and after the

    flood.

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    Conclusions

    Major ecological changes were foundalong the Bow River

    Some already recovered (rock algae),although other parameters may take a

    while to recover Scouring is most likely responsible for

    many of the changes

    Further analysis would be required toestablish long term changes

    Spatial Distribution of Flood

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    Spatial Distribution of Flood

    Damage in Rideau and RoxboroHow was the J une 2005 flood damage

    distributed, and what influenced thatdistribution?

    Distance from riverElevation above river

    Were current bylaws appropriate for

    minimizing damage?

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    What did we study?

    Tangible Damage

    due to overland flowand undergroundseepage

    Door-to-door survey

    GIS to integrate and

    evaluate data

    Floodway

    Floodfringe

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    Initial Findings

    Response Rate

    96%

    Total Amounts of Damage Within 6m Setback: > $1,150,000

    Outside 6m Setback: > $1,157,000

    P t f H S t i i D

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    Percentage of Homes Sustaining Damage

    74%26% Grandfathered

    No Damage

    GrandfatheredDamaged

    70%30%

    OutsideSetback No

    Damage

    OutsideSetback

    Damaged

    Overland Flow in the J une 2005 Flood

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    JEvent

    Overland flowaccounted foronly 17% of

    total damage

    Majority of

    damage resultof groundwater

    table comingup intobasement

    Average Damage vs Distance from 6m Setback

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    n=1

    n=1

    n=1

    n=0

    n=1

    n=1

    n=1

    n=1

    n=3

    n=3

    n=1

    n=3

    n=4

    n=4

    n=2

    n=2n

    =3

    n=12

    n=10

    n=6

    n=2

    n=12

    n=19

    n=20

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    - 6 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 240 252 264

    Distance from 6m Setback (m)

    AverageDamage(tenofthousand

    s$)

    Average Damage vs. Distance from 6m Setback

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    Proportional Damage to Homes

    74% of homes inside setback damaged

    63% of homes less than 6m outsidesetback damaged

    Setback only moderately appropriate forminimizing damage

    Damage vs. Ground Elevation above

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    Ground elevation was as predictive of damageas distance from river

    50% of flood damage occurred to homes withground elevations < 2.98m above the river (90%

    to homes < 3.66mabove river)

    Variability suggests other factors are relevant

    gElbow River

    Comparison of basement depth and

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    p p

    ground elevation with river stage

    Study Conclusions

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    Study Conclusions

    Underground seepage (not overland flow)

    responsible for most of flood damage

    Ground elevation above river was as gooda predictor of this damage as distancefrom floodway

    What does this tell us about the

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    What does this tell us about the

    setback?

    A better approach:A better approach: Regulate basement depths with respect toRegulate basement depths with respect to

    river (and water) table elevationriver (and water) table elevation

    Consider zoning areas based on basementConsider zoning areas based on basementelevation above 1:100 year river (andelevation above 1:100 year river (and

    groundwater level) as well as distance fromgroundwater level) as well as distance fromfloodwayfloodway

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    Future City of CalgaryRiparian Zone Assessment

    Presented by: Alison Beal

    ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE 502

    Elizabeth Fulowski, Trevor Hirsche, J essica Martin,J enn Migdal, J oey Purcell, Erin Swerdfeger

    A t f Ri i H lth

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    Assessment of Riparian Health

    Previous work has been conducted at a

    large scale by Cows and Fish along theSouth Saskatchewan River Basin

    Extensive assessment within urban areaswill help to evaluate the riparian zonesusceptibility to erosion in future flood

    events

    Riparian Health in Calgary

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    Riparian Health in Calgary

    Proposed Assessment: Identify erosion susceptibility

    Cost and benefit of re-naturalization EXAMPLE: Southland - outer meander exhibiting

    substantial erosion after the flood

    Photo courtesy of Don Binns,City of Calgary Parks

    BEFORE AFTER

    Riparian Zone Recommendations

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    Riparian Zone Recommendations

    Re-naturalizing bank may reduce impactof flood water on river banks

    A healthy riparian zone including woodyvegetation is the most effective in limiting

    erosion due to flooding

    Acknowledgements

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    g Don Binns City of Calgary Parks

    Bert van Duin Westhoff Engineering Resources, Inc.

    Mac Hickley Rivers Valley Council

    Cathy Ryan - U of C, ENSC 502 Mentor Susan Ryan - RVC

    Dr. Mary-Ellen Tyler U of C, EVDS

    Photo courtesy of Susan Ryan

    Acknowledgements

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    Acknowledgements Don Binns City of Calgary Parks

    Chris Bjornsen Golder Associates

    Maarten Dankers ENSC graduate

    Bert van Duin Westhoff Engineering Resources, Inc.

    Mac Hickley Rivers Valley Council

    Don Iredale U of C

    Mike Iwanyshyn U of C

    Doreen LeClair, Ray Walker, Al Sosiak - AENV

    Farzin Malekani U of C

    Brenda Mottle U of C

    Dr. Cathy Ryan U of C

    Gillian Savage and Travis J ohnson, U of C

    Dr. Mary-Ellen Tyler U of C, EVDS

    Acknowledgements

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    Acknowledgements

    David Nuell Cathy Ryan

    Linda Henderson Mac Hickley Bill Morrison

    Susan Ryan Chris Arko Bryce Haimila Larry Garner Terry Fedick Gordon Smith Dave Lieske

    Acknowledgements

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    Acknowledgements

    Dr. Anil Gupta (AENV)

    Dr. Masaki Hayashi (U of C) Mike Iwanyshyn (U of C)

    Dr. Shawn Marshall (U of C)

    Greg Rokosh (ENSC 502) Dr. Cathy Ryan (U of C)

    Dr. Caterina Valeo (U of C)

    Alberta Environment Environment Canada

    Natural Resources Canada