Employment Needs & Labor Market Data VACTEA 2010.
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Transcript of Employment Needs & Labor Market Data VACTEA 2010.
Employment Needs & Labor Market Data
VACTEA2010
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
CTE Planning Requires Employment Data
Administrators need employment data to complete many VDOE documents.
•Labor Market Needs
•Employment Data
•Employment Needs
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Labor Market Data For New Courses
New Course Forms ask for Data on labor market and/or employment needs.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Labor Market Data For Local Plans
Schedule 9 asks for labor market analysis
Schedule 12 asks for employment counseling
Schedule 14 asks for employment needs review
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Labor Market Data For Plans of Study
Plans of Study ask for Sample Occupations.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Local Knowledge Is Key
•Maintaining good communication with your local business community is the best way to keep up with local labor market needs.
•You can also find other ways to keep up with local trends. For example, one school division analyzed local want ads to find out about demand for a new program.
Your local Economic Development Department, and Virginia
Department of Business Assistance staff working in your area are great
resources.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Official Statistics Are Also Valuable
Occupational Demand Supply System (OSDS) has occupation data you can use.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Occupational Supply Demand System
Including data related to specific CTE courses
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Occupational Supply Demand System
OSDS contains many data elements
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Call for help finding and using labor market data
•Don’t waste time searching the internet for labor market data.
•We can help you find, understand, and use the data relevant to Virginia’s CTE courses.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Virginia Workforce Connection
•Run by the Virginia Employment Commission
•VWC contains employment projections and other data.
•New local projections will be released in October.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
What Data Are Available, (and what do they tell us about Virginia)
•Population
•Poverty
•Educational attainment
•Occupations and employment
•And many more topics
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
•Virginia’s Population
Population is concentrated in the north and east.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Poverty
Poverty is concentrated in the south and west.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
High School Graduation
Like poverty, low rates of education are concentrated in the south and west.
Source: American Community Survey, 2006-08
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Educational Attainment
Source: American Community Survey, 2006-08
Educational Attainment,
Virginians 24-64
About a third of working-age Virginians have a bachelor’s degree or higher.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Gender Differences, Age 18-24
Virginia Educational Attainment, Age 18-24
Source: American Community Survey, 2006-08
Younger men are falling behind
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Gender Differences Are Increasing
Source: USDOE, NCES
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
•Occupational Employment Data
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Virginia Occupational Employment
Source: Virginia
Workforce Connection
Office
Sales
Business
Food
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Virginia’s Largest Occupations
The Top 20 in 2008
The Bottom 500
Source: Virginia Workforce Connection
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
The Recession in Virginia
Source: Virginia Workforce Connection
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Virginia Employment Projections 2008-18
Source: Virginia Workforce Connection
Projections, 2008-18
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Projection Details, Virginia 2008-18
Source: Virginia Workforce Connection
Most New Jobs
Most Job Openings
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Occupational Education Levels and Openings
Occupations Primarily Hiring Workers at These Education Levels
Source: U.S. BLS
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Learn More, Earn More
Source: U.S. BLS
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Real Wages Are Falling For Most
Source: Monthly Labor Review, June 2009
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
How Wages Are Changing
Source: Monthly Labor Review, June 2009
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
New Projections from Georgetown University
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Demand for Postsecondary is Rising
Source: Help Wanted, June 2010
+290K
+110K
+38K
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
High-Paying Jobs Need More Education
Source: Help Wanted, June 2010
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Licenses & Certificates
Source: Valuing Certificates, 2009
Earnings vary substantially within degree levels. There is substantial earnings overlap across degree
levels.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
What does this mean for CTE?
• Job openings will return across the occupational spectrum, eventually. Help Wanted predicts return to job growth in 2011-2012.
• BUT recessions squeeze out inefficiency and pump up demand for skills. Educational and certification requirements will continue to rise (Wages probably won’t.).
• Qualifications matter. Postsecondary education and industry certifications are essential for most good jobs.
• The cost of education is rising. Students should aim for degrees and certifications they can complete; a 2 year college graduate with certifications is more employable than a 4-year college dropout.
• Workplace Readiness Skills and work experience matter. Students will need to prove they can fit in to the workplace.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
CTE Follow-up Survey—How We We Doing?
•Each school division must do a follow-up survey of CTE completers each spring.
•Schools collect data on completers’:
a)Transition to postsecondary, employment, or the military
b)Satisfaction with CTE programs
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
How is CTE Doing
•94% transition to employment, the military or postsecondary education
•77% received postsecondary education in the year after graduation
•6% were unemployed.
2009 follow-up of 2008 graduates
2010 follow-up of 2009 graduates•Results are not ready for release yet.
•Preliminary results are very similar to last year’s. CTE students continue to do well in work and at school.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Online Results
Results should be available online in late October. You will be able to receive raw data files if you need them.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Mark Your Calendar for Next Year
•The survey begins in March.
•The deadline for responses isJuly 1.
•We will send all the instructions, information, and tools that you need to conduct the survey.
•We anticipate significant improvements. We would like to hear more from you about what you need.
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Make a Note
•434-982-5582
Contact Us for Help Any Time
DEMOGRAPHICS & WORKFORCE GROUP, WELDON COOPER CENTER University of Virginia
Contact Information
Achsah Carrier
Demographics & Workforce GroupWeldon Cooper Center for Public Service
University of Virginia
434-825-3298
www.coopercenter.org/demographics