Review and Analysis for July 2020(Embargoed until August 21, 2020)

Summary:

• Kansas gained 10,000 total nonfarm jobs in July 2020. This change was due to a gain

of 6,800 private sector jobs and a gain of 3,200 government jobs.

• The unemployment rate decreased to 7.2 percent in July.

• In July 2020 there were 51,110 initial claims filed and 336,902 continued claims filed

for regular unemployment insurance.

For more information, contact:

Julie Menghini

Director of Communications

401 S.W. Topeka Blvd

Topeka, KS 66603

Phone: 785-581-7307

Fax: 785-296-0753

IMPORTANT NOTE: This release includes nonfarm jobs and labor force estimates for July 2020. Data collected for this report references the

week including July 12th. Reopening decisions were transferred to local officials on May 26, 2020. Counties following the ‘Ad Astra Plan to

Reopen Kansas’ moved to Phase Three on June 8, 2020, with recommendations to remain in Phase 3 issued on July 6, 2020.

INDUSTRY DATACurrent Employment Statistics (CES)

2

Seasonally adjusted preliminary total nonfarm jobs estimates for June were revised upward by 900

jobs, from 1,344,100 to 1,345,000. Seasonally adjusted private sector jobs were revised upward by

3,100 jobs, from 1,097,400 to 1,100,500.

Kansas gained 10,000 jobs over the month. Over the past 12 months, the number of nonfarm jobs

decreased by a total of 68,000 jobs. Estimates are seasonally adjusted.

The private sector gained 6,800 jobs over the month, or 0.6%. The largest gains were in Leisure and

Hospitality (+5,200) and Education and Health Services (+3,000). Over the past 12 months, the

private sector lost 56,400 jobs. Estimates are seasonally adjusted.

Average weekly hours worked in the private sector decreased to 34.4 hours, a decrease of 0.2 hours

from last July. Average nominal hourly earnings increased over-the-year by $0.47 to $25.79 (+1.9%).

Average nominal weekly earnings increased by $11.11 to $887.18 (+1.3%) over the past 12 months.

Estimates are not seasonally adjusted.

3

-3,100

-800

-400

-100

0

200

1,000

1,800

3,000

5,200

3,200

6,800

10,000

-4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000

Manufacturing

Construction

Financial Activities

Mining and Logging

Information

Trade, Transportation and Utilities

Professional and Business Services

Other Services

Education and Health Services

Leisure and Hospitality

GOVERNMENT

TOTAL PRIVATE

TOTAL NONFARM

Over-the-Month Job Gain/Loss

Over-the-Month Change in Employment (seasonally adjusted)Kansas

July 2020

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services and the Bureau of Labor Statistics; Current Employment Statistics (CES)

Six of the 11 major sectors added jobs over the month while four lost jobs and one remained unchanged.

4

Absolute Percent Absolute Percent

TOTAL NONFARM 1,339,100 -8,700 -0.6% -65,500 -4.7%

GOVERNMENT 223,900 -13,800 -5.8% -10,800 -4.6%

TOTAL PRIVATE 1,115,200 5,100 0.5% -54,700 -4.7%

GOODS-PRODUCING 227,100 -3,800 -1.6% -13,000 -5.4%

Mining and Logging 6,100 0 0.0% -800 -11.6%

Construction 65,600 100 0.2% -300 -0.5%

Manufacturing 155,400 -3,900 -2.4% -11,900 -7.1%

PRIVATE SERVICE-PROVIDING 888,100 8,900 1.0% -41,700 -4.5%

Trade, Transportation and Utilities 264,300 600 0.2% -1,900 -0.7%

Information 16,500 -100 -0.6% -1,600 -8.8%

Financial Activities 75,600 -500 -0.7% -2,500 -3.2%

Professional and Business Services 174,000 1,400 0.8% -6,800 -3.8%

Education and Health Services 192,500 900 0.5% -7,900 -3.9%

Leisure and Hospitality 117,200 5,200 4.6% -16,800 -12.5%

Other Services 48,000 1,400 3.0% -4,200 -8.0%

Industries in green added the most jobs over the year, and industries in red lost the most jobs over the year.

July 2020 Not Seasonally Adjusted Nonfarm Jobs

Place of Work Data

Month Change 12 Month ChangeJuly

2020

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services and the Bureau of Labor Statistics; Current Employment

Statistics (CES)

5

120,000,000

122,000,000

124,000,000

126,000,000

128,000,000

130,000,000

132,000,000

134,000,000

136,000,000

138,000,000

140,000,000

142,000,000

144,000,000

146,000,000

148,000,000

150,000,000

152,000,000

154,000,000

156,000,000

158,000,000

160,000,000

1,200,000

1,220,000

1,240,000

1,260,000

1,280,000

1,300,000

1,320,000

1,340,000

1,360,000

1,380,000

1,400,000

1,420,000

1,440,000

1,460,000

1,480,000

1,500,000

1,520,000

1,540,000

1,560,000

1,580,000

1,600,000

Jul-

15

Aug-1

5Sep

-15

Oct

-15

Nov-1

5D

ec-1

5Ja

n-1

6F

eb-1

6M

ar-1

6A

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16M

ay-1

6Ju

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6Ju

l-16

Aug-1

6Sep

-16

Oct

-16

Nov-1

6D

ec-1

6Ja

n-1

7F

eb-1

7M

ar-1

7A

pr-

17M

ay-1

7Ju

n-1

7Ju

l-17

Aug-1

7Sep

-17

Oct

-17

Nov-1

7D

ec-1

7Ja

n-1

8F

eb-1

8M

ar-1

8A

pr-

18M

ay-1

8Ju

n-1

8Ju

l-18

Aug-1

8Sep

-18

Oct

-18

Nov-1

8D

ec-1

8Ja

n-1

9F

eb-1

9M

ar-1

9A

pr-

19M

ay-1

9Ju

n-1

9Ju

l-19

Aug-1

9Sep

-19

Oct

-19

Nov-1

9D

ec-1

9Ja

n-2

0F

eb-2

0M

ar-2

0A

pr-

20M

ay-2

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l-20

U.S

. N

on

farm

Job

s

Ka

nsa

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on

farm

Jo

bs

Month-Year

Nonfarm Jobs

Kansas and U.S. July 2015 to July 2020

Kansas Jobs Kansas Jobs (Seasonally Adjusted) U.S. Jobs (Seasonally Adjusted)

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information

Services and the Bureau of Labor Statistics; Current Employment

Statistics (CES)

Over-the-Year Percent Change in Jobs, Not Seasonally Adjusted (KS) -4.7%Over-the-Year Percent Change in Jobs, Not Seasonally Adjusted (US) -7.7%

Preliminary nonfarm job estimates for July indicate that Kansas

has recovered 45.0 percent of the 144,100 jobs lost in March and April due to measures taken in the state to reduce the

spread of COVID-19. The U.S. has recovered 41.9 percent of the 22,160,000 jobs lost in March and April.

6

0.4

%

0.7

%

0.3

%

0.2

%

0.0

%

0.4

%

0.7

%

1.0%

0.1

%

-11.

0%

-8.2

%

-5.1

%

-4.7

%

-0.6

%

0.3

% 0.9

%

0.3

% 1.2%

0.0

%

-1.5

%

1.2%

0.9

%

-0.9

%

0.6

%

-1.7

%

-0.6

%

3.5

% 4.2

%

4.3

%

2.9

%

2.5

%

1.7% 0.7

%

0.5

%

1.4%

5.1

%

3.4

%

0.7

%

1.1%

-12.0%

-10.0%

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20

Perc

en

t

Month-Year

Over-the-Year Change in Private Sector Jobs, Average Weekly Hours, and Real Hourly Earnings

Not Seasonally AdjustedKansas

July 2019 to July 2020

Jobs Average Weekly Hours Real Hourly Earnings

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services and the Bureau of Labor Statistics; Current Employment Statistics (CES)

Private sector job estimates show improvement since April, but remain significantly lower than a year ago. In July, the over-the-year decrease in private sector jobs was 4.7 percent, the number of average weekly hours worked decreased by 0.6 percent, and real hourly earnings increased by 1.1 percent.

HOUSEHOLD DATALocal Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)

7

Seasonally adjusted estimates:

• The unemployment rate decreased to 7.2% in July. The revised unemployment rate for June remained

unchanged at 7.5%.

• Over the last 12 months the unemployment rate increased from 3.1% in July 2019 to 7.2% in July 2020.

Not seasonally adjusted estimates:

• The labor force increased by a net of 17,085 individuals to a total of 1,514,277 participants over the

month.

• Employment increased by a net of 14,922 individuals to 1,398,366 over the month.

• The pool of the unemployed increased by a net of 2,163 individuals to 115,911 over the month.

• The not seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 7.7% in July.

8

2.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.59.09.5

10.010.511.011.512.012.513.013.514.014.515.015.5

Jul-

17

Aug-1

7

Sep

-17

Oct

-17

Nov-1

7

Dec

-17

Jan

-18

Feb

-18

Mar

-18

Ap

r-18

May

-18

Jun-1

8

Jul-

18

Aug-1

8

Sep

-18

Oct

-18

Nov-1

8

Dec

-18

Jan

-19

Feb

-19

Mar

-19

Ap

r-19

May

-19

Jun-1

9

Jul-

19

Aug-1

9

Sep

-19

Oct

-19

Nov-1

9

Dec

-19

Jan

-20

Feb

-20

Mar

-20

Ap

r-20

May

-20

Jun-2

0

Jul-

20

Un

em

plo

ym

en

t R

ate

(%

)

Jul-

17

Aug

-17

Sep-

17

Oct-

17

Nov

-17

Dec-

17

Jan-

18

Feb-

18

Mar

-18

Apr-

18

May

-18

Jun-

18

Jul-

18

Aug

-18

Sep-

18

Oct-

18

Nov

-18

Dec-

18

Jan-

19

Feb-

19

Mar

-19

Apr-

19

May

-19

Jun-

19

Jul-

19

Aug

-19

Sep-

19

Oct-

19

Nov

-19

Dec-

19

Jan-

20

Feb-

20

Mar

-20

Apr-

20

May

-20

Jun-

20

Jul-

20

U.S. 4.6 4.5 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.5 4.4 4.1 3.7 3.6 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.7 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.3 3.4 3.8 4.0 3.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 4.0 3.8 4.5 14.4 13.0 11.2 10.5

Kansas 4.3 4.0 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.7 3.5 3.4 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.8 3.4 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.4 3.3 2.9 11.7 9.9 7.6 7.7

U.S. SA 4.3 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.8 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.5 4.4 14.7 13.3 11.1 10.2

Kansas SA 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.8 11.9 10.0 7.5 7.2

Unemployment RateKansas and U.S.

July 2017 - July 2020

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services and the Bureau of Labor Statistics; Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)

Preliminary estimates show the unemployment rate in Kansas and the U.S. continued to improve in July. The unemployment rate fell to

7.2% in Kansas and 10.2% in the U.S.

9

Jul-191,508,779

Jul-201,514,277

Jul-191,452,082

Apr-201,321,993

May-201,350,525

Jun-201,383,444

Jul-201,398,366

1,300,000

1,350,000

1,400,000

1,450,000

1,500,000

Jul-

10

No

v-1

0

Mar

-11

Jul-

11

No

v-1

1

Mar

-12

Jul-

12

No

v-1

2

Mar

-13

Jul-

13

No

v-1

3

Mar

-14

Jul-

14

No

v-1

4

Mar

-15

Jul-

15

No

v-1

5

Mar

-16

Jul-

16

No

v-1

6

Mar

-17

Jul-

17

No

v-1

7

Mar

-18

Jul-

18

No

v-1

8

Mar

-19

Jul-

19

No

v-1

9

Mar

-20

Jul-

20

Peo

ple

Month-Year

Labor Force and EmploymentNot Seasonally Adjusted

KansasJuly 2010 to July 2020

Labor Force

Number of People Employed

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services and the Bureau of Labor Statistics; Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)

From July 2019 to July 2020 the labor force increased by 0.4% (5,498 people).

Over the same time period the number of people employed decreased by 3.7% (-53,716).

UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE

CLAIMSEstimates are not seasonally adjusted

10

• In July, there were 51,110 initial claims for regular unemployment insurance and 23,108

PUA initial claims.

• In July, there were 336,902 continued claims for regular unemployment, 6,564 PEUC

continued claims, 685 EB continued claims, and 352,117 PUA continued claims.

• The number of individuals receiving unemployment insurance benefits decreased by 5,453

over the month, and increased by 102,269 from July 2019 (includes regular UI, PUA,

PEUC, and EB claims).

• The average duration of benefit receipt is 8.5 weeks, an increase of 0.6 from last month and

a decrease of 2.9 over the past 12 months (average duration is measured with a 12 month

moving average and includes regular UI, PEUC, and EB claims).

11

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

Jan

Jan

Jan

Jan

Feb

Feb Feb

Feb

Feb

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Ap

rA

pr

Ap

rA

pr

May

May

May

May

May

Jun

Jun

Jun

Jun

Jul

Jul

Jul

Jul

Aug

Aug

Aug

Aug

Aug

Sep

Sep

Sep Sep

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Nov

Nov

Nov

Nov

Dec

Dec

Dec

Dec

Dec

Nu

mb

er

of

Cla

ims

Month

Weekly Initial Claims for Regular Unemployment Insurance (4-Week Moving Average)

Kansas2009, 2019, and 2020

2009 2019 2020

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services; Unemployment Insurance Statistics

Each data point represents an average of initial claims for the current week and three preceding weeks.Note: This chart shows initial claims for Regular UI. PEUC, PUA, and EB claims are not included.

Initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits increased

significantly during March in Kansas due to the measures taken to stop the spread of COVID-19. Weekly initial claims began to

decrease in April, but remain higher than the number of claims filed in July 2019.

12

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Jan

Jan

Jan

Jan

Feb

Feb Feb

Feb

Feb

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Ap

rA

pr

Ap

rA

pr

May

May

May

May

May

Jun

Jun

Jun

Jun

Jul

Jul

Jul

Jul

Aug

Aug

Aug

Aug

Aug

Sep

Sep

Sep Sep

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Nov

Nov

Nov

Nov

Dec

Dec

Dec

Dec

Dec

Nu

mb

er

of

Cla

ims

Month

Weekly Continued Claims for Regular Unemployment Insurance (4-Week Moving Average)

Kansas2009, 2019, 2020

2009 2019 2020

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services; Unemployment Insurance Statistics

Continued claims for unemployment insurance benefits

include all claims following the initial claim. Continued claims increased initially during the week ending March 28.

Weekly claims continued to increase throughout April coming to peak during the week ending May 2nd.

Each data point represents an average of initial claims for the current week and three preceding weeks.Note: This chart shows continued claims for Regular UI. PEUC, PUA, and EB claims are not included.

13

Jan-1096,807

Jul-20110,473

Jul-198,204

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

Jan

-08

May

-08

Sep

-08

Jan

-09

May

-09

Sep

-09

Jan

-10

May

-10

Sep

-10

Jan

-11

May

-11

Sep

-11

Jan

-12

May

-12

Sep

-12

Jan

-13

May

-13

Sep

-13

Jan

-14

May

-14

Sep

-14

Jan

-15

May

-15

Sep

-15

Jan

-16

May

-16

Sep

-16

Jan

-17

May

-17

Sep

-17

Jan

-18

May

-18

Sep

-18

Jan

-19

May

-19

Sep

-19

Jan

-20

May

-20

Num

ber

of

Indiv

idu

als

Month

Number of Individuals Receiving Unemployment Insurance BenefitsKansas

January 2008 to July 2020

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services; Unemployment Insurance Statistics

The number of people receiving unemployment insurance benefits decreased in July to 110,473. This total includes data from

all active unemployment rate programs: regular UI, Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA), Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation (PEUC), and Extended Benefits (EB).

Regular UI PUA PEUC EB

July 2020 90,329 17,072 2,863 209

June 2020 99,421 14,582 1,923 0

July 2019 8,204 N/A N/A N/A

OTM Change -9,092 2,490 940 209

OTY Change 82,125 N/A N/A N/A

Number of Individuals Receiving UI Benefits