Electricity storage vs. solar thermal electricity · STE in recent/forthcoming IEA publications...
Transcript of Electricity storage vs. solar thermal electricity · STE in recent/forthcoming IEA publications...
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Electricity storage vs.solar thermal electricity
Cédric Philibert
Renewable Energy Division
International Energy Agency
ESTELA Workshop 2016 – 29 September, Brussels
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STE in recent/forthcoming IEA publications
Energy Technology Perspectives 2016
STE in 2050: 224 GW to 632 GW (4DS/2DS) – 900-2545 TWh
Medium-Term Renewable Energy Market Report (24/10)
Prospects for STE virtually unchanged ~10 GW by 2020
World Energy Outlook 2016 (16/11):
Last year (WEO 2015), STE in 2040: 262 to 937 TWh (NPS/450)
This year: Large increase in PV projection, significant increasein wind, small decrease in STE
Energy Technology Perspectives 2017
« Well below 2° Scenario »: STE up to 2060?
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Storage needs for large shares of variable RE
Hourly/daily storage for solar PV and wind
Interseasonal storage usually not cost-effective
Interseasonal mismatches could be addressed through the right RE portfolio + peaking plants
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Potential for storage in selected regions
Attractiveness of storage is highly context-specific, but increases greatly across all scenarios (ETP)
Depending on the system, flexibility from demand response could provide greater returns
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Role of storage is defined by applications in power grids
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Pumped-storage hydropower dominates
Thermal storage in
CSP plants
~1500 MW• Arbitrage
• Weekly storage
• Black start
• « Flexing » power
system w. variable RE
after nuclear power…
Reservoir
hydropower
~ 500 GW?
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Still large potential for new-built PSH plants
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Seawater PSH can be competititve
Valhalla project: 600 MW PV + 300 MW seawater PSH
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Cost trends – a breakthrough in sight?
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PV + battery: an emerging threat for CSP
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Possible roles of storage in CSP plants
Thermal storage canbe used to shift production, to extendit to base load or to concentrate it to super peak load © OECD/IEA, 2011
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Complementary roles of PV and STEIEA Technology Roadmap (2014)
©
Thanks to thermal storage, STE is generated on demand when the sun sets while demand often peaks and value of electricity increases
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Near-full power decarbonisation(of a much larger power system)
28%
39%18%
13%
6%
9%
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Roles of storage in the energy system
Improving energy system resource use efficiency
Helping to integrate higher levels of variable renewable resources
Improving electricity grid stability, flexibility, reliability and resilience
Allowing electrification of transport
Increasing energy access off grid
Maximising self-consumption w. distributed generation
Supporting greater production of energy where it is consumed, alleviating congestion issues
STE
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
No