Electricity Metering Report Ed 3 2017world; the Indian sub-continent, sub-Saharan Africa and South...

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Installed Base and Demand Forecasts for Meters Electromechanical, Basic Electronic Prepayment Meters C&I Meters, Grid Meters AMR and AMI Meters The Smart Grid and Smart Deployments Future Metering Trends Cyber Security & the Smart Grid Market Drivers Vendors The global meter market is driven by large deployments of smart meters, huge and almost complete for the first round in China, quickening in Europe, starng in the rest of Asia but slowing down in the United States. Japan and Korea are at the forefront of the Smart Grid and the Smart City. We are entering the phase of smart meters replacements with the 2nd generaon smart meter. Several big countries go large on prepayment metering. Prepayment meters (PPM) provide a soluon to the chronic problems of low income budgeng and energy theſt in the developing world; the Indian sub-connent, sub-Saharan Africa and South America. In some African countries only 50% of electricity generated is paid for; half is not even billed to the distribuon companies and another half is stolen by the consumers. Advanced PPMs are delivering with smart metering. There is sll a large demand for basic meters in the many countries which are not yet going smart’. This report covers all segments of the meter market; residenal basic and smart, prepayment, AMR & AMI, C&I and Grid. Electricity Metering Report Ed 3 2017 StatPlan Energy Research July 2017

Transcript of Electricity Metering Report Ed 3 2017world; the Indian sub-continent, sub-Saharan Africa and South...

Page 1: Electricity Metering Report Ed 3 2017world; the Indian sub-continent, sub-Saharan Africa and South America. In some African countries only 50% of electricity generated is paid for;

Installed Base and Demand Forecasts for Meters

Electromechanical, Basic Electronic

Prepayment Meters

C&I Meters, Grid Meters

AMR and AMI Meters

The Smart Grid and Smart Deployments

Future Metering Trends Cyber Security & the Smart Grid

Market Drivers

Vendors

The global meter market is driven by large deployments of smart meters, huge and almost complete for the first round in China, quickening in Europe, starting in the rest of Asia but slowing down in the United States. Japan and Korea are at the forefront of the Smart Grid and the Smart City.

We are entering the phase of smart meters replacements with the 2nd generation smart meter.

Several big countries go large on prepayment metering. Prepayment meters (PPM) provide a solution to the chronic problems of low income budgeting and energy theft in the developing world; the Indian sub-continent, sub-Saharan Africa and South America. In some African countries only 50% of electricity generated is paid for; half is not even billed to the distribution companies and another half is stolen by the consumers. Advanced PPMs are delivering with smart metering.

There is still a large demand for basic meters in the many countries which are not yet going ‘smart’. This report covers all segments of the meter market; residential basic and smart, prepayment, AMR & AMI, C&I and Grid.

Electricity Metering Report

Ed 3 2017

StatPlan Energy Research

July 2017

Page 2: Electricity Metering Report Ed 3 2017world; the Indian sub-continent, sub-Saharan Africa and South America. In some African countries only 50% of electricity generated is paid for;

Electricity Metering Report

Ed 3 2017

THE ELECTRICITY METER MARKET AND DEMAND

The global market is estimated at XXX million meters in 2016, rising to XXX million in 2020 but then falling to XXX million in 2021. The reason for the decline in 2021 is that several of the largest deployments of smart meters are scheduled for completion in 2020 and currently it looks as if this will be achieved, notably in France and Spain. The largest rollout in the world, in China, is nearing completion and the replacement cycle is starting.

Global demand for meters has followed a cyclical pattern for the last one hundred years determined by economic and demographic growth. This is being turned on its head in some countries with fast national smart deployments. The pattern will change totally but we can still project the future demand cycle, with the same methodology and different inputs. See examples in this report.

MARKET DRIVERS

There are seven principal drivers in electricity metering which impact on both new installations and the replacement market.

Demographic trends

Increased electrification

The life cycle

Regulatory or government action

New technology, prepayment metering and the Smart Grid

Renewable and distributed generation

T&D losses

Each of these factors is analysed with diagrams and supporting data.

CYBER SECURITY AND THE SMART GRID

Cyber security has become a significant issue for metering with the advent of smart meters, with a growing number of attacks on grids. For some time, cyber security has been an increasing concern for the IT and Telecoms indus-tries, and for distributed control systems throughout all industries. In 2017 the NHS, the UK National Health Service which is the fifth biggest employer in the world, was attacked with ransomware and large swathes of it were para-lysed, causing cancellations of operations and medical appointments.

A recent article in the Harvard Business Review posed the question, “After nearly 20 years of trying and billions of dollars in investment, why are organisations still struggling with cybersecurity? In fact, the problem seems to be getting worse, not better.” These issues are discussed.

METER PRICES

The overall average price of meters will increase because the mix of meters will change by a fairly large margin, from cheaper basic meters to smart meters and PPM meters. The fundamentals such as BOM, affecting prices of individual meter categories will remain fairly constant, except for the more advanced smart meters which will ben-efit from progress on the learning curve.

Page 3: Electricity Metering Report Ed 3 2017world; the Indian sub-continent, sub-Saharan Africa and South America. In some African countries only 50% of electricity generated is paid for;

Electricity Metering Report

Ed 3 2017

MARKET REPORTS

The report contains a section for each of the regions and countries listed below, outlining:

The electricity supply sector,

Regulatory policy and decisions regarding smart metering,

Analysis of the meter market in numbers of meters, $ value and average selling price for

phase), prepayment, AMR/AMI, C&I and grid meters,

Special sections for the larger markets - China, United States, Japan, India, France, UK, Germany.

1. METER FORECASTS & MARKET PROFILES IN EUROPE (Region, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria,

Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia,

Lithuania, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Swit-

zerland, Turkey, United Kingdom)

2. METER FORECASTS & MARKET PROFILES IN CIS (Region, Russia, Ukraine)

3. M ETER FORECASTS & MARKET PROFILES IN MIDDLE EAST (Region, Iran)

4. METER FORECASTS & MARKET PROFILES IN AFRICA (Region, Egypt)

5. METER FORECASTS & MARKET PROFILES IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA (Region, South Africa,

Angola, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania)

6. METER FORECASTS & MARKET PROFILES IN ASIA PACIFIC (Region excluding China, China,

Australia, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam)

METER VENDORS AND MARKET SHARES

Global market shares for the top 56 vendors. With commentary on vendors in individual countries, with shares or ranking

each type of meter,

Market size in numbers of meters and value in 2016 and forecasts from 2017 to 2021,

Analysis of meter types; electromechanical (1 and 3 phase), basic electronic (1 and 3

7. METER FORECASTS & MARKET PROFILES IN NORTH AMERICA (United States, Canada, Mexico)

8. METER FORECASTS & MARKET PROFILES IN SOUTH AMERICA (Region, Argentina, Brazil, Chile)

9. METER FORECASTS & MARKET PROFILES IN CENTRAL AMERICA (Region)

Page 4: Electricity Metering Report Ed 3 2017world; the Indian sub-continent, sub-Saharan Africa and South America. In some African countries only 50% of electricity generated is paid for;

STATPLAN REPORTS & DATABASES

StatPlan publishes a range of reports for the energy, utility and telecoms industries and markets.

We maintain databases of electrical and telecoms infrastructure for all countries, constantly up-

dated, encompassing; generation, renewables, transmission and distribution, power and

distribution transformers, switchgear, meters, towers and poles, and other equipment. In many

cases these databases go back to the early days of the industry, providing a solid basis of data

for plotting the replacement cycle as well as new installations.

StatPlan can provide one-off customised analysis of these databases as well as published

reports.

AD HOC RESEARCH

StatPLan offers customised research services, bringing to bear years of experience in the global

energy and telecoms markets.

Electricity Metering Report Ed3 2017

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