Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic...

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Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar 27 th January, 2014

Transcript of Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic...

Page 1: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Electricity markets as platform markets

Weiller, C.Pollitt, M.

Working Paper #1334

EPSRC Autonomic Power System ProjectPresentation at EPRG E&E Seminar

27th January, 2014

Page 2: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Outline

• What is a “platform” market?• Why is (retail) electricity becoming one?• Cases and examples• Consequences for pricing and tariff structures• Consequences for energy policy

Page 3: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Examples of platform markets

Data storage & cloud computing

Dating, recruiting, & social networking websites

Online retail, trading platforms, and auctions

Operating systems

Web search

Messaging & e-mailCredit cards

Entertainment & music

News and educational media

Page 4: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

ExamplesCredit cards Software and OS

Platform Visa, MasterCard, Amex... Windows, MacOS, Linux...

User groups Two (Merchants’ and consumers’ banks) Two (Application developers and consumers)

Pricing 2-sided (Amex) or 1-sided (Visa) 2-sided (Windows) or 1-sided (Linux)

Network effect Cross-side positiveCross-side positive

Same-side (application developers) negative Same-side (consumers) positive

Platform technology Chip and card Computers, smart phone or tablet

Innovation in complements Medium High

Impact on un-related industries High High

Page 5: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

What platform markets have in common:• Multi-sided markets• Network externalities• Intermediation service provider• Triangular interactions

And perhaps...

• Digital information transmission between user groups• Complementary innovation (“ecosystem”)• ICT as the platform technology• Service-based business models• Enhanced functionality

Page 6: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Theory - Definition

• One or more user groups linked by a service or product provider that mediates their interactions (Triangular)• Network externalities• Same-side• Cross-side• One-way, two-way?... Or none necessary?

• Difference with a traditional market?• Same-side network effects: More than economies of scale• Intrinsic value creation “primarily by enabling direct interactions”

Page 7: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Theory - Definition

Source: Hagiu & Wright, 2011

Difference with re-sellers (grocery stores) or input suppliers:• Direct interaction

• Affiliation with the multiple user groups

Page 8: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Theory - Competition

• Platform competition: • “Envelopment” (Eisenmann et al., 2011) or “bundling” (Nalebuff, 2004)

• Competing on the seller-side

• Competition between users:• Compete to sell through the platform (software, video game developers...)

• Barriers to entry: • High switching costs and network effects (Suarez & Kirtley 2012)

Page 9: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Theory – Market structure

• Single-homing vs. multi-homing• Saturation of network effect?• Monopoly can be most efficient market structure (Caillaud & Jullien,

2003)• Reconfiguration/re allocation of value, rather than Schumpeterian

innovation• Innovative business ecosystems• E.g., Apple Store, Google, Amazon• Platform status comes through establishing leadership in a broader business

ecosystem (Gawer & Cusumano, 2002)

Page 10: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Theory - Pricing

• Price structure: Transaction-based vs. fee-based• Exclusive services, monopoly or dominant-firm equilibria: Pure transaction• Two-sided single-homing: Two-part tariff• Multi-homing: Pure registration fee (e.g. Amazon & e-Bay)

• Valuing network externalities• Both sides pay positive prices (e.g. newspapers) • One side pays positive prices and the other accesses for free (e.g. some credit

cards)• One side pays positive prices and the other side pays negative prices, i.e. is

compensated for using the platform (e.g. dating websites)

• Proprietary vs. open platforms

Page 11: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Pricing – User group subsidisation

“When the network externalities are high enough, i.e. when the marginal cost of connecting an additional user to the platform is lower than the marginal value of its connection for existing and prospective users, the platform provider can apply negative prices to one user group and still collect overall positive profits in equilibrium (Caillaud & Jullien 2003; Economides & Katsamakas 2006). In this case, the most profitable pricing strategy for a platform provider is sometimes to charge below marginal costs for access (Caillaud & Jullien 2003; Economides & Katsamakas 2006; Eisenmann et al. 2011) and for the producers’ applications (Economides & Katsamakas 2006), simply to attract a wider user base.”

Page 12: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

A working definition

Definition. A platform market is a market where user interactions are mediated by an intermediary, the platform provider, and are subject to network effects. As opposed to a marketplace or trading exchange, a platform intermediary must offer inherent value beyond the simple transaction mediation for the two sides of the market. This added-value usually comes from ICT and the associated complementary innovation that increases utility and attractiveness of the platform to all user groups.

Page 13: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Platforms in electricity?

Page 14: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Drivers of transition in electricity markets1. Smart metering data:• New business models, new

entrants• Understanding of behaviourBalancing services in retail market

2. Customer participation: • Generation owners (solar panels) • Storage owners (EVs) • Demand-elastic (DSM)Value of consumers as resources

3. Renewables: • Volatility, unpredictability (loss of

revenue)

Value of switchable uptake or VPP

4. ICT: • “Apps”, web interfaces • Smart appliances, smart meters New functionality

Page 15: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Emerging realities...

• Differentiated needs for quality (consumer)• Differentiated elasticities of demand (consumer)• Differentiated environmental preferences (consumer)• Differentiated service preferences (consumer)• Differentiated ability to provide services as resources (consumer)• Differentiated service offerings (supply)• Increased volatility (supply)• Availability of more granular data (supply).

Page 16: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Platform positioning

Sources: Adapted from Simmonds (2002); UK Department of Energy and Climate Change (2012b); Ofgem (2012)

41 major power producers

National Grid Company – Transmission Operator

14 distribution network operators (distribution areas)

15 supply companies

Customers

Trading through bilateral contracts in forwards, futures and short-term markets(incl. through power exchanges)

Wholesale balancing

mechanism and imbalance settlement

Balancing service

platform

Electric vehicle

management platform

Small- and medium-scale

power generation (renewables)

Page 17: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Platforms in electricity: Balancing services/Energy optimisation

Platform mediator

User group 2:Electricity consumers

User group 1:Retail

suppliers or generators

Platform technology:

ICT

Platform mediator COULD BE:

1. Specialised de novo energy service company

2. ESCO

3. ICT or data management company

4. General service company (finance, retail, etc.)

Page 18: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Platforms in electricity: Electric vehicle charge management

Platform mediator

User group 2:Electricity consumers

User group 1:Retail

suppliers or DNOs

Platform technology:

Charging network*

Platform mediator COULD BE:

1. Charging service company

2. Specialised EV aggregator

3. ICT or data management company

* The term “network” refers to the combination of ICT and hardware

infrastructure

Page 19: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Why the traditional (current) electricity market is not a platform...

• Network element, but network externalities?

• Simple supply chain

• Electricity is charged to consumers on a transaction basis: per-kWh costs of energy delivered + fixed costs of investments in the network

• Financial transactions flow linearly from consumers back to generators

• Two-sided market?

• ICT/Platform interface is needed to realise value from both sides for both sides

• The question of subsidising some consumers is not on the table

Page 20: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

An electricity platform in practice

• Multi-homing or single-homing• Consumers likely to adopt one platform only• Suppliers could participate in multiple platforms, as the value of the optimisation service is to reach

as many customers as possible, including those that are not their own customers!,

• Competitive market structure• Co-existence of multiple platforms possible• Monopoly (not necessarily inefficient!)

• Relationship with ESCOs• Consumers can use the platform services and remain customers of ESCO• Platform could bundle electricity supply + optimisation services, bypassing ESCO

• Cost/benefits of customer acquisition• Target valuable customers first and subsidise their participation• Find optimal number of consumer participants

Page 21: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Examples in electricity (Emerging)

Functionality:• Tracking

• Billing

• Advice

• Remote control

• “Social network”Mobile Energy, bill-splitting... Bidgely, consumption

monitoring and itemization...

Kill-Ur-Watts Simple energy

Page 22: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

PHEV manager: The Chevy Volt OnStar

Page 23: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Consequences: Pricing

• Flat-fee tariff structure, akin to a subscription or registration tariff

• Consumer differentiation

• Subsidisation of (consumer-side) user group• Consumers as a resource for the system• High demand, highly flexible consumers = more valuable

• Value (monetisation) of service to (supply-side) user group• Efficiency, customer service, in DNO revenue calculation• Value of certainty of uptake or VPP for renewable generators

Page 24: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Consequences: Society

1. Ethics of smart-metering• Does real-time/TOU/peak pricing disproportionally affect lower-

income households? (Hogan 2010; Faruqui 2010) A platform-type service could help consumers manage their

electricity costs, and ensure an effective re-allocation of value in the market

Platform pricing (fee-based) protects the vulnerable “Buffer”

Page 25: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Consequences

2. Innovation• Internalise vs. outsource platform service: New entry• Platform market to stimulate complementary innovation and increase

consumer interest (e.g. smart phone apps)3. Social welfare through energy optimisation• A platform intermediary that minimises losses and improves the

utilisation of the system in the retail sector through a “matching” service offers a valuable service to both consumers and suppliers• Solve peak load problem by making some decisions on behalf of the

consumer (constrained by pre-specified preferences)

Page 26: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Conclusions

• We discussed implications of entry of platform services between consumers and suppliers or DNOs, through cases:• Home energy management/balancing services, and • EV charging

• Drivers are consumer differentiation, data availability, and low-carbon transition• Future research should investigate the economic aspects of electricity platform

pricing

Contact: [email protected]

Page 27: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Cited references

• Caillaud, B., & Jullien, B. (2003). Chicken & egg: Competition among intermediation service providers. RAND journal of Economics, 34(2), 309–328.

• Economides, N., & Katsamakas, E. (2006). Two-Sided Competition of Proprietary vs. Open Source Technology Platforms and the Implications for the Software Industry. Management Science, 52(7), 1057–1071.

• Eisenmann, T., Parker, G. G., & Van Alstyne, M. W. (2011). PLATFORM ENVELOPMENT. Strategic Management Journal, 32, 1270–1285.

• Faruqui, A., 2010. The Ethics of Dynamic Pricing. The Electricity Journal, 23(6), pp.13–27.• Gawer, A., & Cusumano, M. A. (2002). Platform leadership: How Intel, Microsoft, and Cisco drive industry innovation (Vol. 31).

Harvard Business School Press. • Hogan, W.W., 2010. Fairness and Dynamic Pricing: Comments. The Electricity Journal, 23(6), pp.28–35.• Ofgem, 2012. Electricity distribution annual report 2010-11.• Rochet, J., & Tirole, J. (2003). Platform competition in two-sided markets. Journal of the European Economic Association, 1(4),

990–1029.• Simmonds, G., 2002. Regulation of the UK electricity industry. CRI Industry brief.• Suarez, F. F., & Kirtley, J. (2012). Dethroning an Established Platform. MIT Sloan Management Review, 53(4), 35–41.• UK Department of Energy and Climate Change, 2012b. UK Energy Sector Indicators 2012• Weiller, C. and Pollitt, M. Platform Markets and Energy Services. EPRG WP #1334

Page 28: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Extra slides

Page 29: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Examples of platform marketsFeaturesExamples

Cited in Number of user groups

Network externalities

Platform technology

Complementary innovation

Added-value platform (inherent)

General-purpose technology

Impact on un-related industries

Facilitates exchange or processing of digital information

Web search (Eisenmann, Parker & Alstyne 2006)

3 (websites, readers, and advertisers)

Cross-side positive?

Internet High (e.g. semantic web)

High (customized intelligent search, bundle with other Internet services like e-mail and chat)

Internet High Yes

File storage: Cloud computing (e.g. Dropbox, Google Drive, Sugarsync, iCloud)

New! 1 (users) Same-side positive

Internet High High (Remote access, sharing, security)

Internet and ICT

High Yes

Online retail, music, trading platforms, and auctions (e.g. eBay, Amazon MarketPlace, Rocket Internet, iTunes, Spotify)

(Hagiu & Wright 2011)

1 or more (1 for peer-to-peer selling; 2 for buyers and sellers)

Cross-side positive

Internet Medium-High Medium (time saving, information completeness and symmetry, convenience) –these are mostly related to the utility in interaction mediation

Internet Limited- Mostly on business model of given industry

Yes

News and educational media

(Parker & Van Alstyne 2005)

3 (readers, publishers, and advertisers)

Cross-side positive between readers and publishers

Internet Medium (online education changes in learning methods, news changes e.g. wiki and contributor blogs)

High (more interactive content, real-time dynamics, unlimited access to news...)

Internet Limited Yes

Dating, recruiting, and social networking websites

(Armstrong 2006; Hagiu & Wright 2011; Boudreau & Hagiu 2009)

2 or 3 (generally 2 user groups and advertisers)

Cross-side positive except with advertising?

Internet Low-medium Medium (efficiency and symmetry of information) – mostly related to interaction mediation

Internet Not necessarily – mostly on advertising

Yes

Table 1. Examples of industries that have transitioned from non-platform markets (see table below) to becoming Internet-based “platform” markets

Page 30: Electricity markets as platform markets Weiller, C. Pollitt, M. Working Paper #1334 EPSRC Autonomic Power System Project Presentation at EPRG E&E Seminar.

Examples in electricity, IT, and software

FeaturesExamples

Cited in Number of user groups Network externalities (other than economies of scale)

Platform technology

Complementary innovation

Added-value platform (inherent)

Impact on un-related industries

Electric vehicle charging infrastructure and service network

New! 2 (car owners and electricity suppliers)

High Charging infrastructure and ICT (Cloud services)

High High Medium-High

Retail electricity balancing services

New! 2 (distribution grid operators and consumers)

Medium ICT High Medium Limited

Healthcare database systems (Watson)

New! Multiple (health professionals, consumers, and complementary service providers)

Not necessarily Database system/software

High High (improved evidence-based practice, service personalisation)

Potentially high

Telephone networks (Eisenmann, Parker & Alstyne 2006)

1 (call makers and receivers)

Not necessarily ICT (Wired and wireless network)

High High High

Credit cards (Amex) (Rochet & Tirole 2003)

2 (merchants and consumers)

Cross-side positive Chip and card Medium High High

Operating systems (Rochet & Tirole 2003)

2 (application developers and consumers)

Cross-side positive; same-side (application developers) negative; same-side (consumers) positive when proprietary platform

Computers, smart phone or tablet

High High High