EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami...

50
Field Survey of the 2018 Anak Krakatau Tsunami on the Islands in the Sunda Strait Hermann M. Fritz 1 , Tubagus Solihuddin 2 , Costas E. Synolakis 3,4 , Gegar S. Prasetya 5 , Jose C. Borrero 6 , Vassilis Skanavis 3 , Semeidi Husrin 2 , Widjo Kongko 7 , Dinar C. Istiyanto 7 , August Daulat 2 , Dini Purbani 2 , Hadiwijaya L. Salim 2 , Rahman Hidayat 2 , Velly Asvaliantina 2 , Maria Usman 5 , Ardito Kodijat 9 1 https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2020/EGU202011838.html 1 School of Civil and Environmental Eng., Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332, USA 2 Marine Research Centre, Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries, Jakarta 14430, Indonesia 3 Dept. of Civil and Env. Eng., University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USA 4 Dep. of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Chanea 73100, Greece 5 Indonesian Tsunami Scientific Community, Jakarta 12950, Indonesia 6 eCoast Ltd., 47 Cliff St., Raglan 3225, New Zealand 7 Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology (BPPT), Yogyakarta 55284, Indonesia 8 Coordinating Ministry for Maritime Affairs – Jakarta 10340, Indonesia 9 IOCUNESCO, Indian Ocean Tsunami Information Center (IOTIC), Jakarta 12110, Indonesia Fritz et al., 2020

Transcript of EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami...

Page 1: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Field Survey of the 2018 Anak Krakatau Tsunami on the Islands in the Sunda StraitHermann M. Fritz1, Tubagus Solihuddin2, Costas E. Synolakis3,4,Gegar S. Prasetya5, Jose C. Borrero6, Vassilis Skanavis3,  Semeidi Husrin2, Widjo Kongko7, Dinar C. Istiyanto7,  August Daulat2, 

Dini Purbani2, Hadiwijaya L. Salim2,  Rahman Hidayat2,Velly Asvaliantina2, Maria Usman5, Ardito Kodijat9

1

https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2020/EGU2020‐11838.html

1 School of Civil and Environmental Eng., Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332, USA 2 Marine Research Centre, Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries, Jakarta 14430, Indonesia3 Dept. of Civil and Env. Eng., University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USA4 Dep. of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Chanea 73100, Greece 5 Indonesian Tsunami Scientific Community, Jakarta 12950, Indonesia6 eCoast Ltd., 47 Cliff St., Raglan 3225, New Zealand7 Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology (BPPT), Yogyakarta 55284, Indonesia8 Coordinating Ministry for Maritime Affairs – Jakarta 10340, Indonesia9 IOC‐UNESCO, Indian Ocean Tsunami Information Center (IOTIC), Jakarta 12110, Indonesia

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 2: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Volcanic Tsunamis:Krakatau 1883 and 2018 

Anak Krakatau Before(Photo: September 2018)

Krakatau 1883 remnant Rakata

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 3: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Volcanic Tsunamis – Krakatau 1883Anak Krakatau Before (Photos: September 2018)

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 4: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

4

Meeting at Marine Research Center (MRC):Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries (MoMAF) and Coordinating Ministry of Maritime Affairs (CMoMA)

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 5: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

TIDE STATION POINTS

# Lon. (deg) Lat. (deg.) Sta. Name

1 105.8410 ‐6.1893 Serang2 105.9530 ‐6.0176 Ciwandan3 104.2130 ‐5.5204 Bangkunat4 104.6190 ‐5.5003 Kota Agung5 105.3190 ‐5.4713 Panjang

G.A.K

Slide:Widjo Kongko

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 6: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

‐1.00

‐0.80

‐0.60

‐0.40

‐0.20

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

22/12

/2018

 7:00:0

0

22/12

/2018

 8:00:0

0

22/12

/2018

 9:00:0

0

22/12

/2018

 10:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 11:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 12:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 13:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 14:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 15:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 16:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 17:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 18:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 19:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 20:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 21:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 22:00

:00

22/12

/2018

 23:00

:00

23/12

/2018

 0:00:0

0

23/12

/2018

 1:00:0

0

23/12

/2018

 2:00:0

0

23/12

/2018

 3:00:0

0

23/12

/2018

 4:00:0

0

23/12

/2018

 5:00:0

0

23/12

/2018

 6:00:0

0

23/12

/2018

 7:00:0

0

Water

 Elevat

ion (m

)

Time (UTC+7:00 / WIB)

Ciwandan(105.953E, 6.0176S)

MARIGRAM: CiwandanG.A.K

‐0.6

‐0.4

‐0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

22/12/20

18 7:00

:00

22/12/20

18 8:00

:00

22/12/20

18 9:00

:00

22/12/20

18 10

:00:00

22/12/20

18 11

:00:00

22/12/20

18 12

:00:00

22/12/20

18 13

:00:00

22/12/20

18 14

:00:00

22/12/20

18 15

:00:00

22/12/20

18 16

:00:00

22/12/20

18 17

:00:00

22/12/20

18 18

:00:00

22/12/20

18 19

:00:00

22/12/20

18 20

:00:00

22/12/20

18 21

:00:00

22/12/20

18 22

:00:00

22/12/20

18 23

:00:00

23/12/20

18 0:00

:00

23/12/20

18 1:00

:00

23/12/20

18 2:00

:00

23/12/20

18 3:00

:00

23/12/20

18 4:00

:00

23/12/20

18 5:00

:00

23/12/20

18 6:00

:00

23/12/20

18 7:00

:00Water Elevation (m

)

Time (UTC+7:00 / WIB)

Ciwandan(105.953E, 6.0176S)

Slide:Widjo Kongko

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 7: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sunda Strait Islands Tsunami Field Survey

7

Page 8: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

RakataIsland

Maximum85 m runup

8Fritz et al., 2020

Page 9: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

9

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 10: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

10

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 11: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

11

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 12: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

12

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 13: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

13

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 14: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

14

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 15: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

15

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 16: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

16

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 17: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

17

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 18: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

18

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 19: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Rakata Island

19

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 20: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

20

Krakatau Volcanic Complex

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 21: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Panjang Island

21

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 22: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Panjang Island

22

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 23: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Panjang Island

23

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 24: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Anak Krakatau Volcano

24

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 25: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Anak Krakatau Volcano

25

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 26: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sertung Island

26

Anak Krakatau

Rakata

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 27: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sertung Island

27

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 28: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sertung Island

28

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 29: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sertung Island

29

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 30: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sertung Island

30

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 31: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sebesi

NearestInhabitedIsland

31

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 32: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sebesi Island

32

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 33: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sebesi Island

33

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 34: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sebesi Island

34

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 35: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sebesi Island

35

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 36: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Waymuli, Sumatra

36

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 37: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Waymuli, Sumatra

37

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 38: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Panaitan Island, Ujung Kulon National Park

38Fritz et al., 2020

Page 39: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Panaitan Island, Ujung Kulon National Park

39

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 40: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Panaitan Island, Ujung Kulon National Park

40Fritz et al., 2020

Page 41: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Panaitan Island, Ujung Kulon National Park

41Fritz et al., 2020

Page 42: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Ujung Kulon National Park

42Fritz et al., 2020

Page 43: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Ujung Kulon National Park

43

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 44: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Ujung Kulon National Park

44

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 45: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Ujung Kulon National Park

45

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 46: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Eyewitness Interview

46

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 47: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Sunda Strait Islands Tsunami Field Survey

47

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 48: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

2018 Sunda Strait tsunami CONCLUSIONS• ITST collected 87 tsunami heights February 4‐9, 2019• Maximum 85 m runup on Rakata and an 83 m runup on Sertung.• Flow depth reached more than 11 m above ground on Sertung. • On Sebesi Island located 15 km northeast of the source tsunami runup

heights remained below 10 m.• Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon

National Park located 50 km southwest. • The runup distributions on the islands encircling Anak Krakatau 

highlight the directivity of the collapse towards the southwest. • Inundation and damage were mostly limited to within 400 m of the 

shoreline given the relatively short wavelengths of volcanic tsunamis.• The team interviewed numerous eyewitnesses based on established 

protocol and educated residents about tsunami hazards. • Community‐based education and awareness programs are essential to 

save lives in locales at risk from locally generated tsunamis. • Regrowth of Anak Krakatau will determine the future tsunami hazard • PAGEOPH Borrero et al., 2020 tentatively accepted for publication

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 49: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Acknowledgments

This work is supported by • National Science Foundation NSF        RAPID award CMMI‐1906162

• Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation

Fritz et al., 2020

Page 50: EGU2020 11838.html Field Survey of the 2018 Anak KrakatauFritz … · 2020. 5. 6. · • Tsunami heights exceeding 10 m were observed in the Ujung Kulon National Park located 50

Terima Kasih ‐ QuestionsFritz et al., 2020