Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan...
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![Page 1: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill
country production economics
Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant)Alister Metherell
![Page 2: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Hill pastures Hill pastures
All hill country is All hill country is variablevariable
This means This means differences in differences in pasture growth pasture growth potentialpotential
Often in complex Often in complex patternspatterns
![Page 3: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
““Lost” pasture production can Lost” pasture production can occur in two ways:-occur in two ways:-
The same rate of fertiliser being The same rate of fertiliser being applied to different production applied to different production zoneszones
Variation in fertiliser application Variation in fertiliser application rate within a zonerate within a zone
![Page 4: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Factors affecting “lost” Factors affecting “lost” productionproduction
Fertiliser application rate factors Fertiliser application rate factors Land productivity, and initial nutrient Land productivity, and initial nutrient
statusstatus Fertiliser residual propertiesFertiliser residual properties
![Page 5: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
What causes variability in What causes variability in application rateapplication rate
Swath shapeSwath shape Discharge rateDischarge rate Track spacingTrack spacing Cross wind / altitudeCross wind / altitude Aircraft speed Aircraft speed
![Page 6: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Estimation of CV%Estimation of CV%
Usually use a single swath shape Usually use a single swath shape and overlap this at a range of track and overlap this at a range of track spacingsspacings
![Page 7: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
To date the accuracy of track spacing To date the accuracy of track spacing has depended on pilot skill and has depended on pilot skill and experienceexperience
Now GPS increasingly being used for Now GPS increasingly being used for guidance and job recordguidance and job record
![Page 8: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Results show that even with GPS Results show that even with GPS track spacing CV% may be up to track spacing CV% may be up to 33%.eg 15m 33%.eg 15m ±± 5m 5m
Difficult to estimate without GPSDifficult to estimate without GPS
Assume CV = 66% ?Assume CV = 66% ?
![Page 9: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Variability in discharge along the Variability in discharge along the flight path also varies flight path also varies
For superphosphateFor superphosphate
– – Helicopter CV % = 12-27Helicopter CV % = 12-27
- Fixed wing CV % = 37-67- Fixed wing CV % = 37-67 What effect does this have on spread What effect does this have on spread
CV% estimates?CV% estimates?
![Page 10: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Effects of variations in aircraft Effects of variations in aircraft altitude and speed, and in cross wind altitude and speed, and in cross wind not included in this evaluationnot included in this evaluation
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What are the effects of land What are the effects of land productivity and initial nutrient (P) productivity and initial nutrient (P) status?status?
eg “High” (stocking rate =20/ha; eg “High” (stocking rate =20/ha; Olsen P =30)Olsen P =30)
“ “Medium” (SR = 19; P =15)Medium” (SR = 19; P =15)
“ “Low” (SR = 4; P =8)Low” (SR = 4; P =8)
![Page 12: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Probability of fertiliser application Probability of fertiliser application rate occurring on any one site rate occurring on any one site estimated by @Risk analysis.estimated by @Risk analysis.
Effects of variability in fertiliser Effects of variability in fertiliser application rate on soil P and application rate on soil P and productivity assessed by OVERSEER productivity assessed by OVERSEER analysisanalysis
![Page 13: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Selected swath shapeSelected swath shape Cresco with superphosphate Cresco with superphosphate
R&R Distribution Pattern
0
50
100
150
200
250
10.5
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
26.0
28.0
at Bout Width of 12m
% o
f M
ean
Rat
e
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Random variationRandom variation
Added random variation in track Added random variation in track spacing of up to 33 or 66% and spacing of up to 33 or 66% and variation in flow rate of 50%variation in flow rate of 50%
R&R Distribution Pattern
0
50
100
150
200
250
10.5
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
26.0
28.0
at Bout Width of 12m
% o
f M
ean
Rat
e
![Page 15: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Results:Results:
Fertiliser application rate Fertiliser application rate and and
Soil PhosphateSoil Phosphate
![Page 16: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Variation in fertiliser application rate with Variation in fertiliser application rate with 66% variation in 12m track spacing66% variation in 12m track spacing
Distribution for Fertiliser P
Mean = 26.4
X <=4995%
X <=75%
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
0.035
0.04
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
kg P / ha
![Page 17: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Variability of overall spreadVariability of overall spread(CV%)(CV%)
33% track error = 3033% track error = 30
33% track plus 50% flow error= 4233% track plus 50% flow error= 42
66% track error = 4866% track error = 48
66%track plus 50% flow error = 5866%track plus 50% flow error = 58
![Page 18: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Soil P test distribution with 66% Soil P test distribution with 66% variation from 12m track spacingvariation from 12m track spacing
Distribution for Olsen P Year 10
Mean = 30.12
X <=36.6495%
X <=24.065%
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
20 25 30 35 40 45
Olsen P
![Page 19: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
ResultsResults
Pasture dry matter productionPasture dry matter production
![Page 20: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Dry Matter
13300
13400
13500
13600
13700
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year
kg
DM
/ h
aEffect of variability in fertiliser Effect of variability in fertiliser
application rate on pasture DM application rate on pasture DM productionproduction
Even SpreadMean
±1 S.D.
95%5%
![Page 21: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
ResultsResults
All scenarios showed less than 1% All scenarios showed less than 1% depression in long term (10 yr) mean depression in long term (10 yr) mean pasture DM production due to pasture DM production due to variability in P fertiliser application variability in P fertiliser application raterate
![Page 22: Effects of variability in fertiliser application on hill country production economics Allan Gillingham (Research Consultant) Alister Metherell.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070404/56649f395503460f94c55b31/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
ConclusionsConclusions
Variability in fertiliser application rate Variability in fertiliser application rate has little effect on average pasture has little effect on average pasture production because of-production because of-
Compensating random rate effectsCompensating random rate effects High residual properties of P High residual properties of P
fertiliserfertiliser
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ConclusionsConclusions
These results differ from situations These results differ from situations where exactly the same where exactly the same patternpattern of P of P application occurs at every application occurs at every applicationapplication
This is unlikely to occur in hill countryThis is unlikely to occur in hill country
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NitrogenNitrogen
Straight line Straight line responseresponse
Little effect of Little effect of variabilityvariability
in fertiliser rate in fertiliser rate
on pasture on pasture
responseresponse
Nitrogen response
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
0 30 60 90
Rate of N fertiliser
Past
ure
prod
uctio
n
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Thank Thank
youyou