Economics 270c - University of California, Berkeley

45
Economics 270c Development Economics Lecture 6 February 20, 2007

Transcript of Economics 270c - University of California, Berkeley

Page 1: Economics 270c - University of California, Berkeley

Econ

omic

s 27

0cD

evel

opm

ent E

cono

mic

s

Lect

ure

6 �

Febr

uary

20,

200

7

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Lect

ure

1: G

loba

l pat

tern

s of

eco

nom

ic g

row

th a

nd d

evel

opm

ent (

1/16

)

The

polit

ical

eco

nom

y of

dev

elop

men

tLe

ctur

e 2:

Ineq

ualit

y an

d gr

owth

(1/2

3)Le

ctur

e 3:

Cor

rupt

ion

(1/3

0) �

Gue

st le

ctur

e by

Ben

Olk

enLe

ctur

e 4:

His

tory

and

inst

itutio

ns (2

/6)

Lect

ure

5: D

emoc

racy

and

dev

elop

men

t (2/

13)

Lect

ure

6: E

thni

c an

d so

cial

div

isio

ns (2

/20)

Lect

ure

7: E

cono

mic

The

orie

s of

Con

flict

(2/2

7)Le

ctur

e 8:

War

and

Eco

nom

ic D

evel

opm

ent (

3/6)

Hum

an re

sour

ces

Lect

ure

9: H

uman

cap

ital a

nd in

com

e gr

owth

(3/1

3)Le

ctur

e 10

: Inc

reas

ing

hum

an c

apita

l (3/

20)

Lect

ure

11: H

ealth

and

nut

ritio

n (4

/3)

Lect

ure

12: T

he E

cono

mic

s of

HIV

/AID

S (4

/10)

Lect

ure

13: L

abor

mar

kets

and

mig

ratio

n (4

/17)

Lect

ure

14: E

nviro

nmen

t and

dev

elop

men

t (4/

24)

Lect

ure

15: S

ocia

l Lea

rnin

g an

d Te

chno

logy

Ado

ptio

n (5

/1)

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�R

efer

ee re

port

#2 p

asse

d ba

ck in

cla

ss n

ext T

uesd

ay

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(1) U

nder

stan

ding

Eas

terly

and

Lev

ine

(199

7)(2

) Com

petin

g th

eorie

s of

eth

nic

dive

rsity

and

pub

lic g

oods

(A

lesi

naet

al 1

999,

Mig

uel a

nd G

uger

ty20

05)

(3) P

ande

(200

3) o

n re

serv

atio

ns a

nd p

ublic

pol

icy

Lect

ure

6 ou

tline

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ture

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�Th

is in

fluen

tial a

rticl

e do

cum

ents

the

corr

elat

ion

betw

een

coun

try le

vel e

thni

c di

vers

ity a

nd a

rang

e of

eco

nom

ic

and

publ

ic p

olic

y ou

tcom

es 1

965-

1990

(1) E

aste

rly a

nd L

evin

e (1

997,

QJE

)

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ics

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ture

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�Th

is in

fluen

tial a

rticl

e do

cum

ents

the

corr

elat

ion

betw

een

coun

try le

vel e

thni

c di

vers

ity a

nd a

rang

e of

eco

nom

ic

and

publ

ic p

olic

y ou

tcom

es 1

965-

1990

�Fo

llow

ing

Mau

ro (1

995)

, the

y ge

t aro

und

the

endo

gene

ityis

sue

in c

ross

-cou

ntry

regr

essi

on b

y us

ing

ethn

olin

guis

ticfra

ctio

naliz

atio

n (E

LF),

whi

ch th

ey c

laim

is

hist

oric

ally

det

erm

ined

and

larg

ely

stab

le o

ver t

ime

�U

nlik

e M

auro

(199

5), t

hey

do n

ot a

ttem

pt to

pin

dow

n th

e pr

ecis

e ch

anne

l thr

ough

whi

ch h

igh

ELF

affe

cts

econ

omic

out

com

es (i

n hi

s ca

se, c

orru

ptio

n)

(1) E

aste

rly a

nd L

evin

e (1

997,

QJE

)

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�E

LF w

as o

rigin

ally

con

stru

cted

by

Sov

iet a

nthr

opol

ogis

ts

in th

e 19

60s

(1) E

aste

rly a

nd L

evin

e (1

997,

QJE

)

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ics

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ture

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�E

LF w

as o

rigin

ally

con

stru

cted

by

Sov

iet a

nthr

opol

ogis

ts

in th

e 19

60s

�Li

ke a

Her

finda

hlin

dex

of in

dust

ry c

once

ntra

tion,

it ta

kes

on v

alue

s fro

m 0

(all

indi

vidu

als

belo

ng to

the

sam

e et

hnic

gro

up) t

o 1

(tota

l div

ersi

ty):

ELF

= 1

�Σ i

(Pi)2

whe

re th

e pr

opor

tion

of e

ach

ethn

ic g

roup

iis

den

oted

Pi

(1) E

aste

rly a

nd L

evin

e (1

997,

QJE

)

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�M

ain

resu

lt: h

igh

leve

ls o

f ELF

are

ass

ocia

ted

with

muc

h sl

ower

eco

nom

ic g

row

th d

urin

g 19

65-1

990

GD

P p

er c

apita

gro

wth

i= a

+ b

(ELF

) i+

cXi+

ei

�Th

eir e

stim

ate

is b

= -0

.02

(t-st

atis

tic =

3.2

). S

o go

ing

from

ELF

=1 to

ELF

=0 in

crea

ses

annu

al p

er c

apita

gr

owth

by

arou

nd 2

poi

nts

on a

vera

ge

(1) E

aste

rly a

nd L

evin

e (1

997,

QJE

)

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ics

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�In

terp

reta

tion

issu

es(1

) Is

ELF

real

ly �e

xoge

nous

�? W

hat o

mitt

ed v

aria

bles

co

uld

be re

late

d to

eth

no-li

ngui

stic

div

ersi

ty?

An

impo

rtant

one

mig

ht b

e th

e co

untry

�s h

isto

ry o

f pol

itica

l ce

ntra

lizat

ion

(a la

Boc

kste

tteet

al 2

004)

(1) E

aste

rly a

nd L

evin

e (1

997,

QJE

)

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ics

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617

�In

terp

reta

tion

issu

es(1

) Is

ELF

real

ly �e

xoge

nous

�? W

hat o

mitt

ed v

aria

bles

co

uld

be re

late

d to

eth

no-li

ngui

stic

div

ersi

ty?

An

impo

rtant

one

mig

ht b

e th

e co

untry

�s h

isto

ry o

f pol

itica

l ce

ntra

lizat

ion

(a la

Boc

kste

tteet

al 2

004)

--E

.g.,

Fran

ce in

180

0 ve

rsus

190

0--

Em

pire

s le

ad to

ling

uist

ic a

nd c

ultu

ral h

omog

eniz

atio

n (c

ontra

st C

hina

with

Zam

bia

agai

n)--

Nun

n (2

005)

find

s th

at c

ontro

lling

for l

ocal

exp

osur

e to

th

e sl

ave

trade

�kno

cks

out�

the

pred

ictiv

e po

wer

of E

LF

in A

frica

n co

untri

es

(1) E

aste

rly a

nd L

evin

e (1

997,

QJE

)

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�In

terp

reta

tion

issu

es(1

) Is

ELF

real

ly �e

xoge

nous

�? W

hat o

mitt

ed v

aria

bles

co

uld

be re

late

d to

eth

no-li

ngui

stic

div

ersi

ty?

An

impo

rtant

one

mig

ht b

e th

e co

untry

�s h

isto

ry o

f pol

itica

l ce

ntra

lizat

ion

(a la

Boc

kste

tteet

al 2

004)

(2) W

hat i

s th

e ch

anne

l thr

ough

whi

ch d

iver

sity

affe

cts

publ

ic p

olic

y ou

tcom

es a

nd e

cono

mic

gro

wth

? N

ot

viol

ence

, but

cor

rupt

ion,

sch

oolin

g, in

frast

ruct

ure,

etc

.

(1) E

aste

rly a

nd L

evin

e (1

997,

QJE

)

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ics

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�O

ne s

et o

f the

orie

s em

phas

izes

diff

eren

ces

in

pref

eren

ces

acro

ss e

thni

c gr

oups

(Ale

sina

, Baq

iran

d E

aste

rly 1

999

QJE

)�

Thes

e th

eorie

s ar

e op

en to

the

char

ge o

f ass

umin

g th

e ex

iste

nce

of e

thni

c di

visi

ons

rath

er th

an s

how

ing

why

they

exi

st

(2) T

heor

ies

of d

iver

sity

and

col

lect

ive

actio

n

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ics

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ics

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ture

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ics

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ics

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ture

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ics

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ture

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�O

ne s

et o

f the

orie

s em

phas

izes

diff

eren

ces

in

pref

eren

ces

acro

ss e

thni

c gr

oups

(Ale

sina

, Baq

iran

d E

aste

rly 1

999

QJE

)�

Thes

e th

eorie

s ar

e op

en to

the

char

ge o

f ass

umin

g th

e ex

iste

nce

of e

thni

c di

visi

ons

rath

er th

an s

how

ing

why

they

exi

st

�A

noth

er s

et o

f the

orie

s in

stea

d fo

cus

on d

iffer

ence

s in

th

e ab

ility

of c

omm

unic

ate,

coo

rdin

ate,

and

san

ctio

n m

embe

rs w

ithin

an

ethn

ic g

roup

ver

sus

acro

ss e

thni

c gr

oups

(Mig

uel a

nd G

uger

ty20

05 J

Pub

E)

�Th

ese

theo

ries

may

be

mos

t app

ropr

iate

for l

ocal

co

llect

ive

actio

n in

poo

r cou

ntrie

s, s

mal

l com

mun

ities

(2) T

heor

ies

of d

iver

sity

and

col

lect

ive

actio

n

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�W

hat i

s th

e im

pact

of l

egis

lativ

e re

serv

atio

ns fo

r und

er-

repr

esen

ted

grou

ps o

n po

licy

outc

omes

?

�E

mpi

rical

focu

s on

sch

edul

ed c

aste

/ sc

hedu

led

tribe

(S

C/S

T) g

roup

s in

Indi

a an

d re

serv

atio

ns in

sta

te

legi

slat

ures

(rou

ghly

25%

of t

he to

tal)

--In

oth

er c

onte

xts

(e.g

., La

tin A

mer

ica)

rese

rvat

ions

for

wom

en a

re a

lso

com

mon

(3) P

ande

(200

3, A

ER

)

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ics

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�In

Indi

a ce

rtain

sea

ts (m

ajor

itaria

nvo

ting

rule

) are

re

serv

ed fo

r SC

/ST

polit

icia

ns, a

nd n

ot n

eces

saril

y in

he

avily

SC

/ST

area

s

(3) P

ande

(200

3, A

ER

)

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ics

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�In

Indi

a ce

rtain

sea

ts (m

ajor

itaria

nvo

ting

rule

) are

re

serv

ed fo

r SC

/ST

polit

icia

ns, a

nd n

ot n

eces

saril

y in

he

avily

SC

/ST

area

s

�Th

us w

hen

a se

at is

ass

igne

d to

SC

or S

T, th

e el

ecto

rate

doe

s no

t cha

nge

�ju

st le

gisl

ator

iden

tity

(3) P

ande

(200

3, A

ER

)

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�In

Indi

a ce

rtain

sea

ts (m

ajor

itaria

nvo

ting

rule

) are

re

serv

ed fo

r SC

/ST

polit

icia

ns, a

nd n

ot n

eces

saril

y in

he

avily

SC

/ST

area

s

�Th

us w

hen

a se

at is

ass

igne

d to

SC

or S

T, th

e el

ecto

rate

doe

s no

t cha

nge

�ju

st le

gisl

ator

iden

tity

�S

tudi

es 1

6 In

dian

sta

tes

durin

g 19

60-1

992,

and

find

s co

nsid

erab

le v

aria

tion

in th

e ex

tent

of r

eser

vatio

n ov

er

time

(ofte

n re

late

d to

the

timin

g of

the

cens

us, a

nd s

tate

bo

rder

cha

nges

). S

he c

ondi

tions

on

time-

vary

ing

stat

e ch

arac

teris

tics,

incl

udin

g cu

rren

t SC

/ST

popu

latio

n sh

are

(Tab

le 4

)

(3) P

ande

(200

3, A

ER

)

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�U

nder

a w

ide

rang

e of

theo

ries,

the

iden

tity

(cas

te,

relig

ion,

gen

der,

etc.

) of l

egis

lato

rs s

houl

d no

t mat

ter f

or

publ

ic p

olic

y ch

oice

s

�P

oliti

cian

s ar

e ac

coun

tabl

e to

the

sam

e vo

ters

, and

m

odel

s as

sum

e th

ey tr

y to

win

the

mos

t vot

es p

ossi

ble

(3) P

ande

(200

3, A

ER

)

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ics

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�U

nder

a w

ide

rang

e of

theo

ries,

the

iden

tity

(cas

te,

relig

ion,

gen

der,

etc.

) of l

egis

lato

rs s

houl

d no

t mat

ter f

or

publ

ic p

olic

y ch

oice

s

�P

oliti

cian

s ar

e ac

coun

tabl

e to

the

sam

e vo

ters

, and

m

odel

s as

sum

e th

ey tr

y to

win

the

mos

t vot

es p

ossi

ble

�W

ith s

trong

par

ties

that

can

com

mit

to a

n el

ecto

ral

plat

form

, the

legi

slat

or h

as li

mite

d ro

om fo

r man

euve

r--

A fi

ndin

g th

at id

entit

y m

atte

rs !

impe

rfect

pol

icy

com

mitm

ent o

n th

e pa

rt of

pol

itica

l par

ties

--M

any

mod

els

of e

lect

oral

com

petit

ion

assu

me

full

polic

y co

mm

itmen

t by

polit

ical

par

ties

(3) P

ande

(200

3, A

ER

)

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�W

hat a

re th

e lo

ng-r

un im

plic

atio

ns o

f pol

icie

s th

at c

reat

e re

nts

to g

roup

mem

bers

hip?

Cou

ld th

is s

low

dow

n th

e pr

oces

s of

cre

atin

g a

mor

e ho

mog

eneo

us s

ocie

ty?

--Th

ere

are

stro

ng in

cent

ives

to m

aint

ain

an S

C/S

T id

entit

y in

Indi

a, g

iven

the

empl

oym

ent a

nd s

choo

ling

adva

ntag

es

(3) P

ande

(200

3, A

ER

)

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�W

hat a

re th

e lo

ng-r

un im

plic

atio

ns o

f pol

icie

s th

at c

reat

e re

nts

to g

roup

mem

bers

hip?

Cou

ld th

is s

low

dow

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Page 39: Economics 270c - University of California, Berkeley

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639

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Page 40: Economics 270c - University of California, Berkeley

Eco

nom

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270c

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640

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Page 41: Economics 270c - University of California, Berkeley

Eco

nom

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270c

: Lec

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641

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Page 42: Economics 270c - University of California, Berkeley

Eco

nom

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Page 43: Economics 270c - University of California, Berkeley

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Page 44: Economics 270c - University of California, Berkeley

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Eco

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270c

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645