Economic Contributions of Private, Recreation-Based ... · " Inform the outcome of discontinuation...
Transcript of Economic Contributions of Private, Recreation-Based ... · " Inform the outcome of discontinuation...
Economic Contributions of Private, Recreation-Based Aquaculture in the
Western United States
Problem Statement p Economic Studies on Many Industries Exist
n Google in Colorado: $880 million/year (2010) n Airports in Colorado: 32.2 billion/year (2008) n US Recreational Fishing: $45 Billion (2008) n USFWS Fish Stocking: $325 Million (2005)
n Private, Recreation-Based Aquaculture in the Western US?: p No Studies Exist
Objective p Estimate the Economic Contribution of the
Private Recreation-Based Aquaculture Industry in the Western United States.
n Output and Employment Generated. n Inform the outcome of discontinuation of Favorable
Policies. n Different from economic impact analysis.
Region of Analysis
*No For-Profit producers in Alaska
Backward Linkages
ASRF Producer
Sales $$
Labor Expenditures
$
Depreciated Expenditures
$
Non-Depreciated Expenditures
$
Forward Linkages
ASRF Producers
$
ASRF Direct Customers
$$$
Recreational Anglers $$$$$$$$$$$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
Methods p Survey 3 populations:
n ASRF Producers n ASRF Customers n Recreational Anglers
p Construct two new industries in IMPLAN n ASRF Producers n ASRF Customers
Methods p Predict number of angler days supported by
ASRF private stocking.
p Use angler survey data to determine daily angler spending.
p “Shock” appropriate industries in IMPLAN (including ASRF customers).
ASRF Producer and ASRF Customer Surveys
p ASRF Producers n Surveys Distributed by mail. n State Level Permit information publicly available.
p ASRF Customers n No publicly available permit information. n Colorado Aquaculture Association, Cline Trout Farms,
Liley Fisheries and E&J Fish Farms Helped Compile List.
Angler Survey On-Site Sampling
California Angler Survey Region
Colorado Angler Survey Region
Response Rates and Administration Dates by Survey
Surveyed Individuals
Excluded Individuals* Respondents Response
Rate
ASRF Producer Survey 418 245 52 30%
ASRF Customer Survey 686 94 260 44%
Colorado Private Fishery Angler Survey 366 11 222 63%
Colorado Public Fishery Angler Survey 873 0 489 56%
California Angler Survey 613 0 359 59%
ASRF Producer Demographic Statistics
Variable Average
Age 55
% Male 90%
Years in ASRF Business 22
Years in Aquaculture in General 23
Size of Household (Persons) 3.3
% Married 88%
% Who Live On-Site 80%
Earnings as a % of Total Income 45%
ASRF Sales Outlets
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Salmonids Warm/Cool Water Fish
Sales Outlets
Other
Recreational Outlets(Private)
Recreational Outlets(Public)
Food Fish
Brokers/Consultants
ASRF Customer Demographic Statistics
Variable Average
Age 58.51
% Male 90%
Years of Experience 12.79
Years of Education 15.80
Household Members 2.84
Contributing Members 1.67
% Married 89%
% With Home On Site 59%
% of Income from Fishery 5%
ASRF Customers ASRF Customer Operation Types
Private Dude Ranches
Private Fishing Clubs
Fee Fishing Ponds
Homeowners' Associations
Private Backyard Ponds
Other
Backward Linkages Only ASRF Industry Multipliers
Direct Effect Multiplier Total
Effect Output $53m 1.85 $99m Employment 1,237 1.37 1,694
ASRF Customer Multipliers Direct
Sales Multiplier Total Effect
Output $272m 1.79 $487m*
Employment 8,658 1.28 11,082*
*Includes ASRF Producer Contributions
Recall: Forward Linkages
ASRF Producers
$
ASRF Direct Customers
$$$
Recreational Anglers $$$$$$$$$$$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
Angler Demographic Statistics
Variable Average
% Male 89%
% Employed 71%
% Retired 35%
% Private Fishing Club Member 22%
Age 53
Years of Education 15
Income $81,000
Targeted Species
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Colorado Public Colorado Private California
% of Surveyed Anglers Targeting These Species
TroutBassWalleyeCatfishOther
Angler Expenditures
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
Gasolin
e
Restaur
ant
Groceri
es
Supplie
s
Public C
amping
Private
Campin
gHotel
s
Horseback
Riding
Guide Fees
Fishing L
icences
Fishery
Entrance
Fees
Car Rental
Airline
Packag
e Deal
sOther
Daily Angler Expenditures by CategoryColorado Public ($138/Day)
Colorado Private ($135/Day)
California ($180/Day)
aDerived from ASRF induced Angler Expenditures bDollars of economic activity per dollar of ASRF producer output. cJobs per million dollars of ASRF producer output.
Output and Employment Contribution of ASRF Industry in the Western United States
Direct Effect Indirect
Effect Induced Effect Total Effect
Total ASRF Sales $53,251,888
Total Outputa $1,046,112,040 $433,387,530 $433,571,367 $1,913,070,968
Total Employmenta 19,205 3,810 3,214 26,229
Output Multipliersb 19.64 8.14 8.14 35.92
Employment Multipliersc 360.64 71.55 60.35 492.54
aDerived from ASRF induced Angler Expenditures bDollars of economic activity per dollar of ASRF producer output. cJobs per million dollars of ASRF producer output.
Output and Employment Contribution of ASRF Industry in the Western United States
Direct Effect Indirect
Effect Induced Effect Total Effect
Total ASRF Sales $53,251,888
Total Outputa $1,046,112,040 $433,387,530 $433,571,367 $1,913,070,968
Total Employmenta 19,205 3,810 3,214 26,229
Output Multipliersb 19.64 8.14 8.14 35.92
Employment Multipliersc 360.64 71.55 60.35 492.54
aDerived from ASRF induced Angler Expenditures bDollars of economic activity per dollar of ASRF producer output. cJobs per million dollars of ASRF producer output.
Output and Employment Contribution of ASRF Industry in the Western United States
Direct Effect Indirect Effect Induced
Effect Total Effect
Total ASRF Sales $53,251,888
Total Outputa $1,046,112,040 $433,387,530 $433,571,367 $1,913,070,968
Total Employmenta 19,205 3,810 3,214 26,229
Output Multipliersb 19.64 8.14 8.14 35.92
Employment Multipliersc 360.64 71.55 60.35 492.54
aDerived from ASRF induced Angler Expenditures bDollars of economic activity per dollar of ASRF producer output. cJobs per million dollars of ASRF producer output.
Output and Employment Contribution of ASRF Industry in the Western United States
Direct Effect Indirect
Effect Induced Effect Total Effect
Total ASRF Sales $53,251,888
Total Outputa $1,046,112,040 $433,387,530 $433,571,367 $1,913,070,968
Total Employmenta 19,205 3,810 3,214 26,229
Output Multipliersb 19.64 8.14 8.14 35.92
Employment Multipliersc 360.64 71.55 60.35 492.54
aDerived from ASRF induced Angler Expenditures bDollars of economic activity per dollar of ASRF producer output. cJobs per million dollars of ASRF producer output.
Output and Employment Contribution of ASRF Industry in the Western United States
Direct Effect Indirect
Effect Induced Effect Total Effect
Total ASRF Sales $53,251,888
Total Outputa $1,046,112,040 $433,387,530 $433,571,367 $1,913,070,968
Total Employmenta 19,205 3,810 3,214 26,229
Output Multipliersb 19.64 8.14 8.14 35.92
Employment Multipliersc 360.64 71.55 60.35 492.54
aDerived from ASRF induced Angler Expenditures bDollars of economic activity per dollar of ASRF producer output. cJobs per million dollars of ASRF producer output.
Output and Employment Contribution of ASRF Industry in the Western United States
Direct Effect Indirect
Effect Induced Effect Total Effect
Total ASRF Sales $53,251,888
Total Outputa $1,046,112,040 $433,387,530 $433,571,367 $1,913,070,968
Total Employmenta 19,205 3,810 3,214 26,229
Output Multipliersb 19.64 8.14 8.14 35.92
Employment Multipliersc 360.64 71.55 60.35 492.54
Which Numbers to Use? p Average Surveyed ASRF Producer Data p Average Surveyed ASRF Customer Data p Average Surveyed Primary-Purpose Angler
Data
n Potential Problems?
Summary p 173 ASRF Producers in Western US p $53 Million in direct sales p Stimulate 7 million Angler Days, which
generate: n $1.04 Billion in Angler Expenditures n $1.91 Billion in Economic Activity
Summary p Accounting for Forward and Backward
Linkages: n Every Dollar of ASRF Sales Generates:$36 in
Economic Activity n Every Million dollars of ASRF Sales generates
500 Jobs
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