Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems - Boris Jeremicsokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Systems Boris...
Transcript of Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems - Boris Jeremicsokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/ Systems Boris...
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Boris Jeremic and Sashi Kunnathwith
Kallol Sett and Nima Tafazzoli
Department of Civil and Environmental EngineeringUniversity of California, Davis
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Outline
Goals
ESS SystemsHigh Fidelity, 3D ModelsBehavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Uncertain Seismic MotionsConstitutive and Spatial UncertaintiesSeismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Summary
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
FocusI Steady progress in software and hardware allows high
fidelity, detailed performance assessment (simulations) ofcritical (and other) infrastructure systems (bridges, dams,buildings, ports...)
I Interplay of Earthquake Soil Structure systems seems toplay a major role in catastrophic failures (and successes)
I Quantify uncertainty and variablity in soil and structuralbehavior
I Provide methodology (formulation, implementation) forprobabilistic performance based engineering (PEER type)
I Overcome traditional performance assessmentapproaches used in engineering practice (design usingprescriptive code!)
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Historical Note (Full Circle?)
I Soil–Structure Interaction phenomena first realized anddescribed by Professor Kyoji Suyehiro
I Ship engineer (Professor of Naval Arch. at U. of Tokyo),I Earthquake engineer (First Director of the Earthquake
Research Institute at U. of Tokyo),I Was in Tokyo during Great Kanto earthquake (11:58am
(–12:08pm! slow?), 1st. Sept. 1923)I Saw earthquake surface waves travel and buildings sway
(ships in the ocean)I Presented his new SSI work in the USA (Caltech, UCB,
Stanford, MIT) in 1931...I Slow and Fast earthquakesI Uncertainty and variability (source, material...)
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
High Fidelity, 3D Models
Outline
Goals
ESS SystemsHigh Fidelity, 3D ModelsBehavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Uncertain Seismic MotionsConstitutive and Spatial UncertaintiesSeismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Summary
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
High Fidelity, 3D Models
Detailed 3D, FEM modelI Construction processI Two types of soil: stiff soil (UT, UCD), soft soil (Bay Mud)I Deconvolution of given surface ground motionsI Use of the DRM (Prof. Bielak et al.) for seismic inputI Piles → beam-column elements in soil holesI No artificial damping (only mat. dissipation, radiation)I Structural model: collaboration UCD, UCB and UWI Element size issues (filtering of frequencies)
model size (el) el. size fcutoff min. G/Gmax γ
12K 1.0 m 10 Hz 1.0 <0.5 %15K 0.9 m >3 Hz 0.08 1.0 %
150K 0.3 m 10 Hz 0.08 1.0 %500K 0.15 m 10 Hz 0.02 5.0 %
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
High Fidelity, 3D Models
FEM Mesh (one of)
B. Jeremic and G. Jie. "Parallel Soil–Foundation–Structure Computations", Chapter in Book: Progress inComputational Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering; Taylor and Francis Publishers, 2008.
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
High Fidelity, 3D Models
Parallel Computer GeoWulfI Distributed memory
parallel computerI Multiple generation
compute nodesand networks
I Very cost effective!I Same architecture as
large parallel supercomputers(SDSC, TACC, EarthSimulator...)
I Local design, construction,available at all times!
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Behavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Outline
Goals
ESS SystemsHigh Fidelity, 3D ModelsBehavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Uncertain Seismic MotionsConstitutive and Spatial UncertaintiesSeismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Summary
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Behavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Northridge and Kocaeli Input Motions
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
−2
0
2
Time (s)
Acc
eler
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n (m
/s2 ) Acceleration Time Series − Input Motion (NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE, 1994)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−0.2
0
0.2
Time (s)
Dis
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t (m
) Displacement Time Series − Input Motion (NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE, 1994)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
−2
0
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Time (s)
Acc
eler
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n (m
/s2 ) Acceleration Time Series − Input Motion (TURKEY KOCAELI EARTHQUAKE, 1999)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35−0.4
−0.2
0
0.2
Time (s)
Dis
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t (m
) Displacement Time Series − Input Motion (TURKEY KOCAELI EARTHQUAKE, 1999)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100
1
2
Period (s)Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m/s
2 )
Acceleration Frequency Content − Input Motion (NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE, 1994)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100
0.2
0.4
Period (s)Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m)
Displacement Frequency Content − Input Motion (NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE, 1994)
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 200
2
4
Period (s)Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m/s
2 )
Acceleration Frequency Content − Input Motion (TURKEY KOCAELI EARTHQUAKE, 1999)
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 200
2
4
Period (s)Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m)
Displacement Frequency Content − Input Motion (TURKEY KOCAELI EARTHQUAKE, 1999)
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Behavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Parametric Simulation Results
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
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)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
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)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
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SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
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SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
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SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
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SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−3
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/s2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
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SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−3
−2
−1
0
1
2
3
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/s2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−3
−2
−1
0
1
2
3
Time (s)
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n (m
/s2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−3
−2
−1
0
1
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3
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eler
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n (m
/s2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−3
−2
−1
0
1
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/s2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 50
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plitu
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SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 50
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rier
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plitu
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2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 50
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m)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
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1
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rier
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SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 50
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Period (s)
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0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 50
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SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
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2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
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plitu
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SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
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1
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Fou
rier
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plitu
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m/s
2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 50
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7
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Period (s)
Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m/s
2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 50
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Period (s)
Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m/s
2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 50
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4
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Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
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2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−4000
−3000
−2000
−1000
0
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4000
Time (s)
Mom
ent (
kN*m
)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−4000
−3000
−2000
−1000
0
1000
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4000
Time (s)
Mom
ent (
kN*m
)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−4000
−3000
−2000
−1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
Time (s)
Mom
ent (
kN*m
)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−4000
−3000
−2000
−1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
Time (s)
Mom
ent (
kN*m
)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−4000
−3000
−2000
−1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
Time (s)
Mom
ent (
kN*m
)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−4000
−3000
−2000
−1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
Time (s)
Mom
ent (
kN*m
)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Behavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Northridge Input Motions
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
−2
0
2
Time (s)
Acc
eler
atio
n (m
/s2 ) Acceleration Time Series − Input Motion (NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE, 1994)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60−0.2
0
0.2
Time (s)
Dis
plac
emen
t (m
) Displacement Time Series − Input Motion (NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE, 1994)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100
1
2
Period (s)Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m/s
2 )
Acceleration Frequency Content − Input Motion (NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE, 1994)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100
0.2
0.4
Period (s)Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m)
Displacement Frequency Content − Input Motion (NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE, 1994)
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Behavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Short Period E.: Left Bent, Structure and Soil, Disp.
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
−0.2
−0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
Time (s)
Dis
plac
emen
t (m
)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
−0.2
−0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
Time (s)
Dis
plac
emen
t (m
)
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Behavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Short Period E.: Left Bent, Structure and Soil, Acc.Sp.
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 50
2
4
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8
10
Period (s)
Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m/s
2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 50
1
2
3
4
5
Period (s)
Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m/s
2 )
SSS CCC SSC CCS SCS CSC SCC CSS Freefield Input Motion
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Behavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Short Period E.: Left Bent, Structure and Soil, M.
0 5 10 15 20 25−4000
−3000
−2000
−1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
Time (s)
Mom
ent (
kN*m
)
SSS CCC
B. Jeremic, G. Jie, M. Preisig and N. Tafazzoli. "Soil–Foundation–Structure Interaction in non–Uniform Soils", inreview in Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 2008.
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Behavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Kocaeli Input Motions
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
−2
0
2
Time (s)
Acc
eler
atio
n (m
/s2 ) Acceleration Time Series − Input Motion (TURKEY KOCAELI EARTHQUAKE, 1999)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35−0.4
−0.2
0
0.2
Time (s)
Dis
plac
emen
t (m
) Displacement Time Series − Input Motion (TURKEY KOCAELI EARTHQUAKE, 1999)
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 200
2
4
Period (s)Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m/s
2 )
Acceleration Frequency Content − Input Motion (TURKEY KOCAELI EARTHQUAKE, 1999)
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 200
2
4
Period (s)Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de (
m)
Displacement Frequency Content − Input Motion (TURKEY KOCAELI EARTHQUAKE, 1999)
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Behavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Long Period E.: Left Bent, Structure and Soil, M.
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35−4000
−3000
−2000
−1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
Time (s)
Mom
ent (
kN*m
)
SSS CCC
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Constitutive and Spatial Uncertainties
Outline
Goals
ESS SystemsHigh Fidelity, 3D ModelsBehavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Uncertain Seismic MotionsConstitutive and Spatial UncertaintiesSeismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Summary
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Constitutive and Spatial Uncertainties
Problem Setup
I Incr. 3D el–pl: dσij =
{Del
ijkl −Del
ijmnmmnnpqDelpqkl
nrsDelrstumtu − ξ∗r∗
}dεkl
I phase density ρ of σ(x , t) varies in time according to acontinuity Liouville equation (Kubo 1963)
I Continuity equation written in ensemble average form (eg.cumulant expansion method (Kavvas and Karakas 1996))
I van Kampen’s Lemma (van Kampen 1976) →< ρ(σ, t) >= P(σ, t), ensemble average of phase density isthe probability density
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Constitutive and Spatial Uncertainties
Eulerian–Lagrangian FPK Equation
∂P(σ(xt , t), t)∂t
= − ∂
∂σ
»fiη(σ(xt , t), Del(xt), q(xt), r(xt), ε(xt , t))
fl+
Z t
0dτCov0
»∂η(σ(xt , t), Del(xt), q(xt), r(xt), ε(xt , t))
∂σ;
η(σ(xt−τ , t − τ), Del(xt−τ ), q(xt−τ ), r(xt−τ ), ε(xt−τ , t − τ)
–ffP(σ(xt , t), t)
–+
∂2
∂σ2
»Z t
0dτCov0
»η(σ(xt , t), Del(xt), q(xt), r(xt), ε(xt , t));
η(σ(xt−τ , t − τ), Del(xt−τ ), q(xt−τ ), r(xt−τ ), ε(xt−τ , t − τ))
– ffP(σ(xt , t), t)
–
B. Jeremic, K. Sett, and M. L. Kavvas, "Probabilistic Elasto–Plasticity: Formulation in 1–D", Acta Geotechnica,Vol. 2, No. 3, pp 197-210, 2007.
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Constitutive and Spatial Uncertainties
Euler–Lagrange FPK EquationI Advection-diffusion equation
∂P(σ, t)∂t
= − ∂
∂σ
[N(1)P(σ, t)− ∂
∂σ
{N(2)P(σ, t)
}]I Complete probabilistic description of responseI Solution PDF is second-order exact to covariance of time
(exact mean and variance)I It is deterministic equation in probability density spaceI It is linear PDE in probability density space → Simplifies
the numerical solution processI Template FPK diffusion–advection equation is applicable to
any material model → only the coefficients N(1) and N(2)
are different for different material modelsK. Sett, B. Jeremic and M.L. Kavvas, "The Role of Nonlinear Hardening/Softening in Probabilistic Elasto–Plasticity",International Journal for Numerical and Analytical Methods in Geomechanics, Vol. 31, No. 7, pp 953-975, 2007
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Constitutive and Spatial Uncertainties
Spectral Stochastic Elastic–Plastic FEMN∑
n=1
Kmndni +N∑
n=1
P∑j=0
dnj
M∑k=1
CijkK ′mnk = 〈Fmψi [{ξr}]〉
Kmn =
∫D
BnDBmdV K ′mnk =
∫D
Bn√λkhkBmdV
Cijk =⟨ξk (θ)ψi [{ξr}]ψj [{ξr}]
⟩Fm =
∫DφNmdV
I SFEM: Ghanem and Spanos 2003I Material variables random field represented through a finite
number of random variables using KL-expansionI Unknown solution random variables represented using
polynomial chaos of (known) input random variablesI Fokker–Planck–Kolmogorov approach based probabilistic
constitutive integration at Gauss integration pointsBoris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Outline
Goals
ESS SystemsHigh Fidelity, 3D ModelsBehavior for Short and Long Period Motions
Uncertain Seismic MotionsConstitutive and Spatial UncertaintiesSeismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Summary
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
“Uniform” CPT Site Data
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Random Field Parameters from Site DataI Maximum likelihood estimates of correlation length
Typical CPT qT
Finite Scale
Fractal
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Seismic Wave Propagation through Stochastic Soil
I Soil as 12.5 m deep 1–D soil column (von Mises Material)I Properties (including testing uncertainty) obtained through
random field modeling of CPT qT〈qT 〉 = 4.99 MPa; Var [qT ] = 25.67 MPa2;Cor. Length [qT ] = 0.61 m; Testing Error = 2.78 MPa2
I qT was transformed to obtain G: G/(1− ν) = 2.9qT
I Assumed transformation uncertainty = 5%〈G〉 = 11.57MPa; Var [G] = 142.32MPa2
Cor. Length [G] = 0.61m
I Input motions: modified 1938 Imperial Valley
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Surface Displacement Time History
0.5 1 1.5 2
−20
20
−10
10
Dis
plac
emen
t (m
m)
Time (s)
0.5 1 1.5 2
2
4
6
8
Dis
plac
emen
t (m
m)
Time (s)
Deterministic/Mean Standard Deviation
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Mean ± Standard Deviation
0.5 1 1.52
−30
30
−20
−10
10
20
Time (s)
Displacement (mm)
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
PDF of Surface Displacement Time History
I PDF at the finiteelement nodes can beobtained using, e.g.,Edgeworth expansion(Ghanem and Spanos2003)
I Numerous applications,especially where extremestatistics are critical
−0.03−0.015
0.0150.03
0
150
300
450
Displacement (m)
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
1.75
2.00
0.00
Prob
abili
ty D
ensi
ty o
f D
ispl
acem
ent
Time (s)
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Most Probable Solution
−0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
20
40
60
80
100
Displacement (m)
Mode = 0.02 m
At t = 1.1 sec
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Tails of PDF
−0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
20
40
60
80
100
Displacement (m)
P[0.010 < Displacement < 0.012] = 0.01654
At t = 1.1 sec
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Probability of Exceedance
0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
Displacement (m)
CD
F
Probability that displacement exceeds 0.025 m = 1 − 0.825 = 0.175
At t = 1.1 sec
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Seismic Wave Propagation Through Uncertain Soils
Derivative Applications
I Performance based engineeringI Reliability index (β)I Probability of damage and/or failure (pf )
Value of Load or Resistance
PD
F
Resistance
MeanModeLoad
PD
F
Margin
µMarginfp
Marginβσ
Margin = Reistance − Load
I Sensitivity analysisI Financial risk analysisI In general, useful for applications where mean, mode and
extreme statistics are important
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems
Goals ESS Systems Uncertain Seismic Motions Summary
Summary
I Steady progress in software and hardware allows for highfidelity Model Based Simulations for performanceassessment of infrastructure systems
I Interplay of Earthquake(s) with Soil and StructureSystems plays a major role in catastrophic failures (andsuccesses)
I Probabilistic performance based engineering (uncertaintyin soil and structural behavior, earthquake motions...)
I Overcome traditional performance assessmentapproaches used in engineering practice (design usingprescriptive code!)
Boris Jeremic Structural/Geotechnical Engineering
Earthquake-Soil-Structure Systems