Earnings Results - CNX Resources...
Transcript of Earnings Results - CNX Resources...
Cautionary Language
2
For purposes of this presentation: (i) “CNX”, “CNX Resources”, “Company”, “we” and “our” refer to CNX Resources Corporation (ii) “CNXM” refers to CNXM Midstream Partners LP; and (iii) “CNXM GP” refers to CNX
Midstream GP LLC
Risk Factors. This presentation, including the oral statements made in connection herewith, contains forward-looking statements, estimates and projections within the meaning of the federal securities laws.
Statements that are not historical are forward-looking and may include our operational and strategic plans; estimates of gas reserves and resources; projected timing and rates of return of future investments; and
projections and estimates of future production, revenues, income and capital spending. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those
statements, estimates and projections. Investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements as a prediction of future actual results. The forward-looking statements in this presentation speak only
as of the date of this presentation; we disclaim any obligation to update the statements, and we caution you not to rely on them unduly.
Specific factors that could cause future actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements are described in detail under the captions "Forward Looking Statements" and "Risk Factors" in our annual
report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018 filed with the SEC, as supplemented by our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Those risk factors discuss, among other matters, pricing volatility or pricing
decline for natural gas and NGLs; operational risks relating to midstream facilities, pipeline systems, drilling natural gas wells, access to key services and equipment, access to adequate water sources and customer
interactions; the impact of laws and regulations on our business and industry; competitive and economic concerns; risks associated with our debt and hedging strategy; our ability to acquire economically recoverable
natural gas reserves; challenges associated with strategic determinations, including the allocation of capital to strategic opportunities; our development and exploration projects and potential acquisitions or
divestitures, as well as CNXM's midstream system development.
Reserves. Currently, the SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible oil and gas reserves that a company anticipates as of a given date to be
economically and legally producible and deliverable by application of development projects to known accumulations. We may use certain terms in this presentation, such as EUR (estimated ultimate recovery),
unproved reserves and total resource potential, that the SEC's rules strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. We caution you that the SEC views such estimates as inherently unreliable and these
estimates may be misleading to investors unless the investor is an expert in the natural gas industry. These measures are by their nature more speculative than estimates of reserves prepared in accordance with SEC
definitions and guidelines and accordingly are less certain. We also note that the SEC strictly prohibits us from aggregating proved, probable and possible reserves in filings with the SEC due to the different levels of
certainty associated with each reserve category.
Title. Except for proved reserve data, the information included in this presentation is based on a summary review of the title to the gas rights we hold. As is customary in the gas industry, prior to the commencement
of natural gas drilling operations on our properties, we conduct a thorough title examination and perform curative work with respect to significant defects. We are typically responsible for curing any title defects at our
expense. As a result of our title review or otherwise, we may be required to acquire property rights from third parties at our expense in order to effectively drill and produce the gas rights we control and third parties
may participate in the wells we drill, thereby reducing our working interest in those wells.
Reconciliation. As it relates to the disclosures within this presentation of projected Adjusted EBITDA, projected EBITDAX, projected cash flow and other projected non-GAAP metrics for fiscal or quarterly periods in
2019 or beyond, for CNX or CNXM, CNX is unable to provide a reconciliation of such metrics to projected operating income, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, due to
its inability to calculate projected operating income due to the unknown effect, timing, and potential significance of certain income statement items for each of CNX and CNXM, respectively.
Data. This presentation has been prepared by CNX and includes market data and other statistical information from sources believed by CNX to be reliable, including independent industry publications, government
publications and other published independent sources. Some data are also based on CNX’s good faith estimates, which are derived from its review of internal sources as well as the independent sources described
above. Although CNX believes these sources are reliable, it has not independently verified the information and cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness.
Trademarks. CNX owns or has rights to various trademarks, service marks and trade names that it uses in connection with the operation of its business. This presentation also contains trademarks, service marks
and trade names of third parties, which are the property of their respective owners. CNX’s use or display of third parties’ trademarks, service marks, trade names or products in this presentation is not intended to, and
does not imply, a relationship with CNX or an endorsement or sponsorship by or of CNX. Solely for convenience, the trademarks, service marks and trade names referred to in this presentation may appear without the
®, TM or SM symbols, but such references are not intended to indicate, in any way, that CNX will not assert, to the fullest extent under applicable law, its rights or the right of the applicable licensor to these
trademarks, service marks and trade names.
Not an Offer. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of offers to buy securities of CNX Resources Corporation or CNX Midstream Partners LP.
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Large, High Quality Inventory in the Core Marcellus and Utica
Low Cash Costs Matters Even More in a Low Price Environment
Strong Hedge Position Protects Future Cash Flows and Ensures Capital Returns
On Track to Significantly Lower SG&A
Increasing Free Cash Flow Despite Lower Commodity Price Since Last Update
Strong Performance in Q3 for both CNX and CNXM
Strong Balance Sheet
An Emphasis on Flexibility and Ability to React to Dynamic Commodity Price Environment
Major Highlights
3
CNX Acreage Position Remains Top-Tier in Appalachia
Source: Company reports. Peers include AR, COG, EQT, GPOR, RRC, SWN.
(1) Locations calculated by dividing total controlled acreage in type curve region by the area of a well (9,500’ lateral length * 750’ inter-lateral spacing).
(2) Any incremental leasing and associated land leasing capital spend would increase the number of undeveloped locations. 4
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
Peer 1 CNX Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6
Appalachian Peer Group Net Acres CNX SWPA Central Marcellus Locations(1)
Assuming a run rate of 36
SWPA Central Marcellus TILs
per year:
CNX maintains ~12 years of
core inventory after YE2020
CNX maintains approximately
12 years of additional
inventory in Shirley/Pens
WVa., assuming 1 pad per year
CNX’s production grows with
only 40 wells per year
CNX’s controlled acres are only
~6% developed
SWPA Tier 1 Undeveloped Acres 69,800
Divided by
Acres per well 163
Equals
Total Undrilled Locations 427
Average wells TIL (2018-2020E) 36
Years Inventory remaining 12
$0.78 $0.79
$1.11 $1.15
$1.25 $1.31
$1.70
$2.15
-
0.75
1.50
2.25
CNXConsolidated
Peer 1 CNX Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6
Lease Operating Expense ($/Mcfe) Production, Ad Valorem, and Other Fees ($/Mcfe) Transportation, Gathering and Compression - E&P ($/Mcfe)
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Low Production Cash Costs Create Competitive Advantage
(1) TTM as of Q3 2019 end for CNX and TTM as of Q2 2019 for peers. Peers include AR, COG, EQT, GPOR, RRC, SWN. For peers that net transportation costs from revenue, $0.30 per
Mcfe has been added to Transportation, Gathering and Compression to estimate total production costs.
(2) CNX consolidated includes total company gathering rates with benefit of MLP.
(3) Does not include firm transportation.
(4) Lease operating expense for this producer includes gathering and processing costs, but not firm transportation.
(5) Average daily production TTM as of Q3 2019 for CNX and TTM as of Q2 2019 for peers.
TTM Q2/Q3 2019 Production Cash Costs per Mcfe(1)
CNX’s top-tier
production cash
costs and
substantial hedge
book create a
significant
advantage in a weak
natural gas pricing
environment
(4)
Avg. Daily
Production(5)
(Bcfe/d)
1.5 2.2 1.5 1.4 4.2 2.3 2.2 3.1
(2)
(3)
Workflow Integration Driving Significant SG&A Savings
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Consolidated
FY2018
Actual
$113M(1)
UPDATED
Consolidated
FY2019E
Guidance
$100M(1)
PREVIOUS
Consolidated
FY2020E
Guidance
$110M(1)
UPDATED
Consolidated
FY2020E
Guidance
$85M(1)
~$30M in consolidated SG&A savings expected
in 2020, compared to 2018
(1) Consolidated cash SG&A excludes non-cash stock compensation expense and based on the midpoint of the guidance range.
UPDATED
Stand-Alone
FY2020E
Guidance
$70M(1)
PREVIOUS
Consolidated
FY2019E
Guidance
$110M(1)
94 % 91 %
59 % 58 %
30 %
16 %
0 %
$2.97
$2.87
$2.63
$2.88
$2.77 $2.77
$2.30
$2.40
$2.50
$2.60
$2.70
$2.80
$2.90
$3.00
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
CNX Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6
% o
f C
on
sen
su
s P
rod
. H
ed
ged
2020 % of Production Hedged 2020 Average NYMEX Price Floor
Pri
ce F
loo
r ($
/Mcf)
Substantial Hedges in 2020 and 2021 with Strongest Hedge Price
Note: Peers include AR, COG, EQT, GPOR, RRC, SWN. As of Q3 2019 for CNX and as of Q2 2019 for peers. NYMEX as of October 9, 2019.
(1) Based on Bloomberg consensus estimates for 2020E and 2021E annual gas production. CNX 2020 % of production hedged based on the midpoint of natural gas
guidance. 7
2020E(1) Hedged Gas Production 2021E(1) Hedged Gas Production
79 %76 %
26 %23 %
0 % 0 % 0 %
$2.79
$ 2.93
$ 2.83
$ 2.55
$2.30
$2.40
$2.50
$2.60
$2.70
$2.80
$2.90
$3.00
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
Peer 1 CNX Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6%
of
Co
nsen
su
s P
rod
. H
ed
ged
2021 % of Production Hedged 2021 Average NYMEX Price Floor
Pri
ce F
loo
r ($
/Mcf)
2021E % of production
hedged increases to 80%
under a scenario of flat
2020 gas volumes of 520
Bcf
NYMEX Strip $2.40 in 2020
NYMEX Strip $2.43 in 2021
~53% of 2022E production
hedged at NYMEX $3.01
per Mcf under a scenario
of flat 2020 gas volumes
of 520 Bcf
Despite Weaker Gas Prices, Preserved FCF and Bolstered 2021 Inventory
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Q2 $135M Free Cash FlowOLD 2020 FCF Guidance
Outside Changes NYMEX Declined in 2020 ($2.55 to $2.40 per MMBtu) & 2019
Management Changes Volumes Capital Costs
$146M Free Cash FlowNEW 2020 FCF Guidance Q3
2019 also improved: EBITDAX$5M Capital $17.5M
Despite gas prices significantly weakening in 2019 & 2020, CNX increased
its 2019 & 2020 FCF by over $30M
Note: CNX Resources Corporation is unable to provide a reconciliation of projected E&P Stand-alone FCF to projected operating income, the most comparable
financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. This is due to our inability to calculate GAAP projected operating income given the unknown effect, timing, and
potential significance of certain income statement items.
Competitive Advantages and Philosophy Drive Investment Thesis
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ADVANTAGES
Hedge book
Minimal FT
Large stacked-
pay inventory
Midstream control
Water systems
~100,000 Core
SWPA Marcellus
acres
Marketing
Strategy
Cost
Structure
Asset
Portfolio
Strong cash
margins
Blending
strategy
CREDIBILITY
Doing what we say we’re going to do
Shares
outstandingProduction &
EBITDAX/share
Leverage ratio
Sold Appalachian acreage
Spun coal business
CONSISTENT
PHILOSOPHY
Stacked pay
gathering system
CPA/SWPA Utica
Marcellus buildout CNXM GP
Water infrastructureBlending strategy Share repurchases
Investments in high rate of return opportunities
(over 20% hurdle rate)
Capital allocation process
drives NAV per share growth
Core SWPA
Marcellus inventory
Net Debt
Or Debt Paydown /
Share Buybacks
$1.72 $1.66 $1.63 $1.46 $1.61 $1.70 $1.69
$1.28 $1.21 $1.29
$1.63
$1.36
$0.93 $0.82
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
Total Fully-Burdened Cash Costs Total Fully-Burdened Cash Margin
$1.21 $1.09 $1.04 $1.00 $1.11 $1.18 $1.13
$1.79 $1.78 $1.88
$2.09
$1.86
$1.45 $1.38
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
Total Production Cash Costs Total Production Cash Margin
Margin 60% 62% 64% 68% 63% 55% 55%
Q3 2019 Operational Results Summary
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▪ Marcellus Shale cash production costs were $1.33 per Mcfe in Q3
2019, up $0.08 from $1.25 per Mcfe in Q3 2018, or a 6% increase
▪ Utica Shale cash production costs were $0.48 per Mcfe in Q3 2019, a
decline of $0.08, or 14%, from $0.56 per Mcfe in Q3 2018
- The decline in Utica cash costs was a result of lower production
taxes and processing costs associated with the divestiture of CNX’s
wet Ohio Utica acreage in 2018
▪ E&P stand-alone capital expenditures increased 7% Y/Y to $272 million
in Q3 2019 from $255 million spent in Q3 2018
- Q3 2019 capital spend came in better than expected(1) Average sales prices for 3Q2019, 3Q2018, and 2Q2019 include gain on commodity derivative instruments (cash
settlements) of $0.47, $0.03, and $0.08 per Mcf, respectively.
(2) Total Production Costs for 3Q2019, 3Q2018, and 2Q2019 include DD&A of $0.86, $0.93, and $0.89 per Mcfe,
respectively.
(3) Includes per unit Lease Operating Expense; Transportation, Gathering and Compression; and Production, Ad Valorem and Other Fees. See non-GAAP reconciliation
table in appendix.
(4) Includes Production Cash Costs listed above plus SG&A (excluding non-cash stock compensation), Other Operating Cash Expense, Other Cash Expense (Income),
and Interest Expense.
Production Cash Costs(3) and Margins 1Q18-3Q19 Fully-Burdened Cash Costs(4) and Margins 1Q18-3Q19
($/Mcfe) 3Q 2019 3Q 2018
Y/Y
Change 3Q 2019 2Q 2019
Q/Q
Change
Average Sales Price(1)
$2.51 $2.92 ($0.41) $2.51 $2.63 ($0.12)
Total Production Costs(2)
$1.99 $1.97 $0.02 $1.99 $2.07 ($0.08)
Sales Volumes (Bcfe) 128.3 119.0 9.3 128.3 134.5 (6.2)
Sales Volumes by Category (Bcfe)
Marcellus 87.3 70.6 16.7 87.3 92.4 (5.1)
Utica 26.8 33.6 (6.8) 26.8 28.1 (1.3)
CBM 14.1 14.7 (0.6) 14.1 13.9 0.2
Other 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Margin 43% 42% 44% 53% 46% 35% 33%
$/M
cfe
$/M
cfe
SWPA Blending Strategy in Full Swing
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Damp Marcellus to Dry Outlets
▪ Maximize NAV by drilling high ROR Marcellus pads
with enough Utica to blend into dry outlet
▪ Two SWPA dry Utica pads TIL'd in Q3 2019
- MAJ 6 (4 wells)
- MOR 10 (3 wells)
▪ One SWPA dry Utica pad to TIL in Q1 2020
▪ Only completing enough to blend over the next several
years
- 1 pad expected to TIL in both 2020 and 2021
▪ Just one dry Utica well needed to blend 3-4 damp Marcellus
wells
▪ Increases Marcellus margins by $0.50 - $0.55/dth vs.
processing
▪ Generates 30% uplift to NPV per Marcellus well
2020 Utica TIL Program:
5-well Switz pad – Monroe County, Ohio
3-well Shaw pad – Westmoreland County,
PA
4-well Richhill “blending” pad – Greene
County, PA
Operational Highlights
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Drilling Highlights
▪ RHL 8 – 6 Well Marcellus Pad – High Operational Performance
- Drilling days average of ~ 13 days per well
- Drilling footage in lateral of an average of 5,891’ per day
▪ Most recent rig move from pad to pad of 2.75 days
Completions Highlights
▪ Stimulation record of 15 stages in 24 hours
▪ Most recent pad will be completed by Evolution all-electric frac crew
average ~18 pump hours per day
First Appalachian basin long-term contract currently underway
▪ Realizing savings of ~$250,000 per well related to fuel costs, which is an
increase of $70,000 per well from previous update
▪ Richhill water line from Ohio River to PA is operational and serving as
primary water source for SWPA stimulation operations
Production and Midstream Highlights
▪ Lower OPEX - Implementation of automated sand traps
▪ Commissioned 17,500 hp of compression (5 Morris / 2 Shirley) having a
capacity of 350 MMcf per day
Evolution Frac Crew
Q3 2019 Financial Results Summary
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Note: The Non-GAAP financial measures in the table above are defined and reconciled to GAAP net income in the appendix under "Non-GAAP Reconciliation."
(1) For the quarter ended September 30, 2019, total shares outstanding of 186,586,751 (Non-GAAP) are as of October 15, 2019. For the quarter ended September 30, 2018,
total shares outstanding of 203,599,810 (Non-GAAP) are as of October 16, 2018.
(2) Capital expenditures exclude $63.9 million and $42.3 million of total capital investment net to CNXM in the third quarter of 2019 and 2018, respectively, as reported in
CNXM Third Quarter Results.
(3) See the "Price and Cost Data Per Mcfe" in the appendix for a reconciliation to total Production Costs.
(4) Fully burdened cash costs include production cash costs, selling, general and administrative (SG&A) cash costs, other operating cash expense, other cash (income)
expense, and interest expense.
Strong Operating Cash
Margins despite weaker gas
prices vs. last year
Quarter
Ended
Quarter
Ended
Quarter
Ended
Quarter
Ended
September 30, September 30, September 30, September 30,
2019 2018 2019 2018
($ in millions, except per share data) Stand-alone% Increase/
(Decrease)Consolidated
% Increase/
(Decrease)
Adjusted Net (Loss) Income ($11) $26 -142.3% $31 $57 -45.6%
Total Shares Outstanding (in millions)(1)
186.6 203.6 -8.3% - - -
Adjusted Net (Loss) Income per Outstanding Share (1)
($0.06) $0.13 -145.3% - - -
Adjusted EBITDAX $159 $203 -21.7% $204 $239 -14.6%
Adjusted EBITDAX per Outstanding Share(1)
$0.85 $1.00 -14.8% $1.09 $1.17 -6.6%
Capital Expenditures(2)
$272 $255 6.7% - - -
Quarter
Ended
Quarter
Ended
September 30, September 30,
(Per Mcfe) 2019 2018
Average Sales Price - Total Company $2.51 $2.92
Total Production Cash Costs(3)
$1.13 $1.04
Operating Cash Margin $1.38 $1.88
Operating Cash Margin (%) 55% 64%
Total Fully Burdened Cash Costs(4)
$1.69 $1.63
Fully Burdened Cash Margin $0.82 $1.29
Fully Burdened Cash Margin (%) 33% 44%
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Flexibility to weather
commodity headwinds…
◼ In the event of a sustained downturn in gas prices, CNX has the ability and discipline to reduce activity and preserve balance
sheet strength and inventory
— Substantially all acreage is HBP or owned in fee, limiting the need to “drill to hold”
— Thoughtful firm transportation commitments, limiting the need to “drill to fill”
— Minimal service provider commitments
— Active hedging / risk mitigation program with strong prices for 2020 & 2021
◼ Internally, CNX regularly reviews downside scenarios that minimize drilling and take advantage of existing hedge position to
maximize free cash flow and preserve the balance sheet
…Or accelerate to take
advantage of tailwinds
◼ Conversely, in the event of a sustained rally in gas prices, CNX has the ability to quickly accelerate activity and maximize
cash flow generation and corporate returns
— Substantial, low-cost / high margin inventory
— All significant infrastructure in place
— Ability to take advantage of significant liquidity position to satisfy near-term capex requirements, while locking in medium
term cash flows through hedging
— Ability to sell liquid assets
CNX has taken a deliberate approach, focusing on flexibility to appropriately manage through the commodity cycle
An Emphasis on Flexibility in Planning and Strategic Decisions
16
Updated 2019 and 2020 Guidance
CNX Resources Corporation is unable to provide a reconciliation of projected stand-alone or consolidated adjusted EBITDAX to projected operating income, the most
comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. This is due to our inability to calculate GAAP projected operating income given the unknown effect,
timing, and potential significance of certain income statement items.
(1) Expected 5-6% liquids.
(2) Forward market prices are as of 10/9/2019. 2019 price on open volumes reflects Q4 2019 only.
(3) Includes CNX Midstream LP+GP/IDR distributions of $55 million in FY2019E and $75 in FY2020E. Per share using 186.6 million shares outstanding as of 10/15/2019.17
Previous UPDATED Previous UPDATED
2019E 2019E 2020E 2020ECapital Expenditures($ millions)
Low High Low High Low High Low High
Drilling & Completions $695 $745 $690 $715 $450 $520 $400 $450
Non-D&C $200 $200 $200 $200 $90 $100 $90 $100
Total E&P Capital $895 $945 $890 $915 $540 $620 $490 $550
CNX Midstream LP Capital $310 $330 $310 $330 $80 $100 $80 $100
Total Consolidated Capital $1,205 $1,275 $1,200 $1,245 $620 $720 $570 $650
Production (Bcfe)
Total Production Volumes(1) 510 530 530 540 570 595 535 565
y/y ~1% ~5%
Prices on Open Volumes
Natural Gas NYMEX ($/MMBtu)(2) $2.45 $2.37 $2.55 $2.40
Natural Gas Basis Differential
($/MMBtu)(2) ($0.25)-($0.35) ($0.35)-($0.40) ($0.25)-($0.35) ($0.25)-($0.35)
Adjusted EBITDAX(2)
($ millions)
E&P Standalone +
Distributions(3)$740 $760 $745 $765 $770 $815 $710 $755
E&P Standalone +
Distributions(3) per Share$3.95 $4.05 $3.99 $4.10 $4.11 $4.35 $3.81 $4.05
Consolidated $885 $925 $910 $940 $945 $1,010 $885 $950
2019E D&C capital based on midpoint
expected to decrease by $17.5M from
previous update, while production expected
to increase 15 Bcfe
CNXM capital still expected to decline
significantly following large build year in
2019; as a result, CNXM expected to begin
generating free cash flow in Q1 2020
For 2019 and 2020 combined, D&C capital
is reduced by ~$80 million, resulting in 17.5
Bcfe less production in 2020, compared to
previous update, after accounting for the 15
Bcfe accelerated from 2020 into 2019
Set up to generate significant
FCF in 2020 and beyond, and
we will invest it appropriately
2020E D&C capital based on midpoint
expected to decrease by $60M from
previous updated and production expected
to decrease by ~32.5 Bcfe
Updated 2019 and 2020 Guidance
18
2019E 2020ERevenue and Other Operating Income E&P Consolidated E&P Consolidated
Production Volumes:
Natural Gas (Bcf) 500-508 505-535
NGLs (MBbls) 5,125-5,315 4,490-4,715
Condensate (MBbls) 205-215 245-265
Total Production (Bcfe) 530-540 535-565
% Liquids ~6% ~5%
Natural Gas NYMEX Price ($/MMBtu)(1) $2.37 $2.40
Natural Gas Basis Differential to NYMEX ($/MMBtu)(1) ($0.35)-($0.40) ($0.25)-($0.35)
NGL Realized Price ($/Bbl)(1) $16.00-$18.00 $14.00-$16.00
Condensate Realized Price % of WTI(1) 70% 70%
Realized Hedging Gain ($ in millions)(2) $80-$90 $145-$155
Other Operating Income (3rd party water income and resold FT) ($ in millions) $5-$10 $10-$20
CNXM 3rd Party Gathering Revenue $70-$75 $65-$70
Costs
Average per unit operating expenses ($/Mcfe):
Lease Operating Expense $0.12-$0.13
Production, Ad Valorem, and Other Fees $0.05-$0.06
Transportation, Gathering and Compression $0.96-$0.98 $0.62-$0.64
Total Cash Production and Gathering Costs $1.13-$1.17 $0.79-$0.83 $1.06-$1.14 $0.67-$0.75
($ in millions)
Selling, General, and Administrative Costs(3) $75-$85 $95-$105 $65-$75 $80-$90
Exploration Expense $15-$20 $0-$10
Other Operating Expense (unutilized FT and processing, idle rig fees, and other misc.) $75-$85 $65-$75
Other Non-Operating Expense (Income) ($10)-($20) $0-$10
CNX Resources Corporation is unable to provide a reconciliation of projected stand-alone or consolidated adjusted EBITDAX to projected operating income, the most
comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. This is due to our inability to calculate GAAP projected operating income given the unknown effect,
timing, and potential significance of certain income statement items.
(1) Forward market prices are as of 10/9/2019 and reflect Q4 2019 only in 2019E.
(2) Refer to Appendix on hedging gain/(loss) assumptions. Forward pricing as of 10/9/2019. Anticipated hedging activity is not included in projections.
(3) Excludes stock-based compensation.
New 2020
consolidated SG&A
guidance is a ~$25M
reduction from
previous guidance of
$105-$115M
Workforce
integration driving
SG&A reductions
New 2019
consolidated SG&A
guidance is a ~$10M
reduction from
previous guidance of
$105-$115M
$80$90 $105
$125
$177 $181 $181
$278
$-
$0.02
$0.04
$0.06
$0.08
$0.10
$0.12
$0.14
$0.16
$0.18
$0.20
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
CNX - 2020EStand-Alone
Guidance
Peer 1 Peer 2 CNX -Stand-Alone
Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6
Tota
l S
G&
A (
$/M
cfe
)
Tota
l S
G&
A A
bsolu
te D
olla
rs (
$M
)
Cash SG&A (ex. stock comp) - ($M) Non-cash stock comp Cash SG&A (ex. stock comp) - ($/Mcfe)
Realignment Driving Expected Best-In-Class SG&A
19
Already realized ~$25 million in total
expected consolidated cash SG&A
savings out of the original $30 million
target for 2020
▪ Combined upstream and midstream
teams
▪ Streamlined to one monitoring
system
Total 2020E SG&A (cash + non-cash)
is expected to be over 50% less than
peer average
Integrated Real-Time Operations
Center (IRTOC)
▪ Efficient cross-functional cooperation
Note: Cash SG&A excludes non-cash stock compensation expense.
(1) TTM as of Q3 2019 end for CNX and TTM as of Q2 2019 for peers. Peers include AR, COG, EQT, GPOR, RRC, SWN.
TTM Q2/Q3 2019 SG&A(1)
-
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8P
roduction (
Bcfe
/d)
Legacy PDP Marcellus PUD Utica PUD
Production Cadence and Hedge Advantage 2019-2020
(1) Assumes midpoint of guided 2019-2020 production ranges.
(2) Midpoint of 2020 production guidance range.20
Expected Daily Production 2019-2020(1)
Five-year average all-in
maintenance capital (D&C +
non-D&C): ~$400 million to
hold flat production of 550
Bcfe(2)
Average Hedged Volumes
490 Bcf or 94% of gas production hedged at
NYMEX $2.97 in 2020
2020
Marcellus: 35
Utica: 12
Marcellus: 41
Utica: 10
2019
TIL
s
Hedge advantage continues into
2021 with peer leading 414 Bcf of
volumes fully hedged at an all-in
price (basis included) of $2.40
per Mcf
(0.30)$ (0.20)$ (0.10)$ Base(2)
0.10$ 0.20$ 0.30$
Average NYMEX ($/MMBtu) 2.10$ 2.20$ 2.30$ 2.40$ 2.50$ 2.60$ 2.70$
E&P Standalone
Adjusted EBITDAX + Distributions(3)
$ 719 $ 724 $ 728 $ 733 $ 738 $ 743 $ 748
E&P Standalone FCF(3)(4)
132$ 137$ 141$ 146$ 151$ 156$ 161$
Hedge Book Reduces EBITDAX Sensitivity to Commodity Swings
21
(1) CNX Resources Corporation is unable to provide a reconciliation of projected E&P Stand-alone adjusted EBITDAX or E&P Stand-alone FCF to projected operating
income, the most comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. This is due to our inability to calculate GAAP projected operating income
given the unknown effect, timing, and potential significance of certain income statement items.
(2) Pricing as of 10/9/2019. Assumes static basis differential of ($0.25)-($0.35) per MMBtu as guided for 2020E.
(3) Based on midpoint of guidance range.
(4) Includes distributions from CNX Midstream plus $62 million in tax refund expected in 2020. FCF defined as Adjusted EBITDAX + Distributions + tax refund –
standalone capital expenditures – standalone interest.
Each $0.10 move in 2020 NYMEX
price results in just a ~$5 million
change in E&P Standalone
Adjusted EBITDAX + Distributions
2020E EBITDAX and FCF Sensitivity(1)
Hedge book drives expected 2020 free cash flow that
is well protected from commodity price swings
22
Overview
◼ Low cost-structure, robust hedge book, and planned capital program are positioning the company to deliver significant free
cash flow in 2020 and beyond
◼ Free cash flow expected to be deployed across three options: incremental 2020 activity at high internal rates of return, debt
reduction, and/or additional share buybacks with focus on optimizing intrinsic per share value
Liquidity
◼ Adequate liquidity maintained to satisfy all potential operating needs
– Over $1.6 billion of consolidated liquidity as of September 30, 2019
– CNX owns ~21.7M common units of CNXM
Operations
◼ CNX hedges production in conjunction with spending the capital associated with drilling for it
◼ Low cost structure with potential for increased savings over time
◼ Capital allocation decisions driven by risk-adjusted rates of return to drive growth and returns while maximizing free cash flow
and balance sheet strength
Hedging
◼ Hedged out to 2024 to protect margins from commodity price fluctuations on existing production and a portion of anticipated
development program
◼ CNX hedges basis to match physical delivery points and fully cover NYMEX hedge volumes
Returns Focus
◼ Focus on risk-adjusted returns drives capital allocation
◼ Demonstrated historical increase in production, EBITDAX/share, and corporate returns over time
22
Prudent Thoughtful Financial Policy
0.7 x2.8 x 2.6 x 2.3 x 2.4 x 3.5 x 3.1 x1.2 x
2.2 x4.2 x
9.4 x11.4 x
11.1 x
15.0 x
1.9 x
5.0 x
6.8 x
11.7 x
13.8 x14.6 x
18.0 x
Peer 1 CNX Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 6 Peer 4 Peer 5
$1 $ 3 $ 2 $ 2 $ 3 $ 4 $ 5 $2 $2 $4
$9 $10
$18
$24
$3 $5 $6
$11 $13
$21
$29
Peer 1 CNX Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6
Highly Resilient Balance Sheet
23
Note: Consensus IBES 2019E EBITDA estimates as of 10/18/19. Peers include AR, COG, EQT, GPOR, RRC, SWN. The Non-GAAP financial measures above are
defined and reconciled to GAAP net income in the appendix under "Non-GAAP Reconciliation."
(1) CNX net debt is consolidated and as of Q3 2019 and as of Q2 2019 for peers. Off-balance sheet obligations based on the respective 2018 10-Ks of CNX and the peer
companies.
Current Leverage (Net Debt + Off-Balance
Sheet Obligations)(1) ($ in billions)▪ Flexibility through low total liability positioning in Appalachia
▪ Deliberate, strategic decision by management to avoid expensive
FT contracts that are now underwater
▪ Instead, relies on hedges (NYMEX + Basis) to mitigate pricing risk
▪ Selected, thoughtful firm transportation commitments, limiting the
need to “drill to fill”
▪ Three filter test for taking on new FT:
- Do we need FT to get to a liquid market?
- Does it get us to a better market at a positive netback?
- Does it help us manage volatility of the markets we are in?
Net Debt + Off-Balance Sheet Obligations /
2019E EBITDA(1)
Net Debt
Off-Balance Sheet Obligations
Net Debt
Off-Balance Sheet Obligations
484%
383%
340%325%
218%
102%
34%
Peer 2 Peer 5 Peer 4 Peer 3 Peer 1 CNX Peer 6
402%
316%
268%
248%
133%
43%
20%
Peer 2 Peer 5 Peer 4 Peer 3 Peer 1 CNX Peer 6
85%82%
77%
71%
67%
58%
14%
Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 CNX Peer 6
24
CNX Screens Well on All-In Debt Metrics vs. Appalachian Peers
Total Debt(1) as % of EV FT Commitments as % of EV Total Debt(1) + FT Commitments as a % of EV
Source: Public filings; Market cap as of 10/18/19. Peers include AR, COG, EQT, GPOR, RRC, SWN.
(1) CNX total debt is consolidated and as of Q3 2019 and as of Q2 2019 for peers, excludes lease obligations; per latest company filings. Off-balance sheet obligations
based on respective 2018 10-Ks of CNX and peer companies. 24
Solid Financial and Operational Performance
26
Revenue Protection
Other Liquid Assets
Leading Cash Margins
Proven Execution Track-Record Capital Allocation Via Risk-Adjusted Returns
Long-term Strategic Focus
Conservative Financial Profile
Active Long-term Cost Management 2
3
4
5
1
8
7
6
▪ Active hedging program locks in revenue and de-risks
capital decisions prior to drilling
▪ ~94% total 2020E gas volumes hedged
▪ Own ~21.7 million of CNXM common units and
CNXM GP and related IDR’s
▪ Owned surface acres and other non-core assets
▪ Peer leading cash costs and capital efficiency
▪ Cash production costs in 2020E of approximately
$1.10 per Mcfe
▪ Reduced leverage by 50% from 4.8x at 4Q16 to 2.4x as of 3Q19
▪ Reduced E&P debt by ~$1.4 billion (41%) from YE15 to 3Q19
▪ Consistently deliver or beat expectations
▪ Reduced 19% of shares outstanding since inception of buyback program
▪ Significant reduction to SG&A
▪ Avoided expensive FT contracts that are now underwater
▪ D&C contract durations matched to our hedge book
allowing activity to meet our core operating plan
▪ 3Q19 leverage of 2.4x
▪ Leverage ceiling ≤ 2.5x
▪ Continued focus on medium-term maturities
▪ Upfront planning mitigates future uncertainty
▪ Detailed 5-year operating plan for base case with flexibility
to increase or decrease activity based on market
conditions
▪ Capital allocation decisions are constantly evaluated
▪ Will continue to allocate capital based on risk-adjusted IRRs
▪ Capital dedicated to drill bit due to deep inventory of highly economic locations
▪ Hedge strategy reduces risk when deploying drill bit capital
▪ Flexibility with gas prices
Q3 Activity Summary
27
(1) Measured in lateral feet from perforation to perforation.
Q3 2019 YTD 2019
($ in millions) TD FRAC TIL
Average
Lateral
Length(1)
Rigs at
Period
End TD FRAC TIL
SWPA
Central
Marcellus 11 10 10 11,169 1 34 29 32
Utica 2 3 7 6,205 1 12 7 7
WV
Shirley-Penns
Marcellus 2 5 5 11,063 5 5 5
Utica - - - - - - -
CPA South Utica - - - - 1 - -
OH Dry Utica - 2 2 - 2 2 2
Total 15 20 24 2 54 43 46
▪ Expect to run approximately two rigs
and one frac crew in 2020
Marketing Highlights and Liquids Realizations
28
Marketing Highlights
▪ Directly-marketed ethane volumes were 262,000
barrels in Q3 and, on an equivalent basis, yielded a
$0.47 per MMBtu premium over CNX Resources’
residue natural gas alternative.
▪ CNX gas price decline from Q2 2019:
Before hedging - (18.7)%
Including hedging - (3.1)%
2019 2018
Q3 Q3
NYMEX Natural Gas ($/MMBtu) $2.23 $2.90
Average Differential (0.33) (0.36)
BTU Conversion (MMBtu/Mcf)(1) 0.14 0.17
Gain on Commodity Derivative
Instruments-Cash Settlement0.47 0.03
Realized Gas Price per Mcf $2.51 $2.74
(1) Conversion factor 1.08 1.06
Natural Gas Price Reconciliation
Natural Gas Liquids, Oil and Condensate
▪ Q3 2019 liquids sold: 8.1 Bcfe
▪ Total weighted average price of all liquids decreased 51% to $14.26(1)
per Bbl in Q3 2019 from $29.35 per Bbl in Q3 2018 and decreased
25% from $19.14 per Bbl in Q2 2019.
▪ In Q3 2019, liquids comprised 6% of production volumes and 7% of
Natural Gas, NGLs and Oil Revenue
Average Price Realization ($ per Bbl)
2019 2018
Q3 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q1
NGLs $13.68 $18.36 $26.76 $28.08 $28.38 $27.48
Oil $56.64 $50.52 $43.56 $63.00 $58.32 $56.46
Condensate $75.54(2) $45.36 $39.00 $58.56 $56.82 $49.32
(1) $14.11 per Bbl excluding prior period adjustment.
(2) $34.09 per Bbl excluding prior period adjustment.
Financial Guidance: 2019E Natural Gas Marketing Mix and Basis
29
Note: Forward market prices are as of 10/9/2019.
Northeast Pipeline Projects
Southeast Pipeline Projects
ETNG
2019E Gas: 10%
CY19 Basis: $0.53
TCO Pool
2019E Gas: 19%
CY19 Basis: ($0.33)
TETCO ELA & WLA
2019E Gas: 5%
CY19 Basis: ($0.10)
Dawn Pipeline Projects
Gulf Market Pipelines
Michcon
2019E Gas: 10%
CY19 Basis: ($0.19)
DOM South
2019E Gas: 8%
CY19 Basis: ($0.45)
TETCO M2
2019E Gas: 42%
CY19 Basis: ($0.48)
TETCO M3
2019E Gas: 6%
CY19 Basis: $0.27
Percentages include physical sales
Volumes 2019E CY 2019
(000 MMBtu) Gas Sold (%) Basis
DOM South 24,788 5% ($0.45)
ETNG Mainline 6,504 1% $0.53
TCO Pool 85,618 16% ($0.33)
TETCO ELA & WLA 18,523 3% ($0.10)
TETCO M3 33,592 6% $0.27
TETCO M2 185,058 34% ($0.48)
Michcon 51,454 9% ($0.19)
Physical basis sales 137,877 26% ($0.13)
Total (000 MMBtu) 543,414 100% ($0.26)
Total (MMcf) 504,000
NYMEX $2.60
Weighted Average Basis (Not considering hedging) ($0.26)
2019E Average Realized Price (per MMBtu) $2.34
Conversion Factor (MMBtu/Mcf) 1.078
2019E Average Realized Price (per Mcf) $2.52
Market
Financial Guidance: 2020E Natural Gas Marketing Mix and Basis
Note: Forward market prices are as of 10/9/2019.
30
Northeast Pipeline Projects
Southeast Pipeline Projects
ETNG
2020E Gas: 9%
CY20 Basis: $0.53
TCO Pool
2020E Gas: 18%
CY20 Basis: ($0.36)
TETCO ELA & WLA
2020E Gas: 5%
CY20 Basis: ($0.09)
Dawn Pipeline Projects
Gulf Market Pipelines
Michcon
2020E Gas: 9%
CY20 Basis: ($0.18)
DOM South
2020E Gas: 12%
CY19 Basis: ($0.44)
TETCO M2
2020E Gas: 41%
CY20 Basis: ($0.48)
TETCO M3
2020E Gas: 6%
CY20 Basis: $0.53
Percentages include physical sales
Volumes 2020E CY 2020
(000 MMBtu) Gas Sold (%) Basis
DOM South 53,661 9% ($0.44)
ETNG Mainline 23,235 4% $0.53
TCO Pool 77,272 14% ($0.36)
TETCO ELA & WLA 26,090 5% ($0.09)
TETCO M3 32,612 6% $0.53
TETCO M2 201,638 36% ($0.48)
Michcon 52,932 9% ($0.18)
Physical basis sales 96,240 17% ($0.22)
Total (000 MMBtu) 563,680 100% ($0.27)
Total (MMcf) 520,000
NYMEX $2.40
Weighted Average Basis (Not considering hedging) ($0.27)
2020E Average Realized Price (per MMBtu) $2.13
Conversion Factor (MMBtu/Mcf) 1.084
2020E Average Realized Price (per Mcf) $2.31
Market
403.4 484.0
414.2
268.0
142.1
1.8
5.6
-
10.1
2.5
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Gas V
olu
mes H
edged (
Bcf)
NYMEX Only Hedges Exposed to Basis NYMEX + Basis (2)
Natural Gas Hedging and Basis Protection
31
(2)
Hedge Volumes and Pricing Q4 2019 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
NYMEX Hedges
Volumes (Bcf) 112.3 388.4 478.3 393.2 264.7 117.5
Average Prices ($/Mcf) $2.98 $3.02 $2.97 $2.93 $3.01 $2.90
Physical Fixed Price Sales and Index Hedges
Volumes (Bcf) 3.4 16.8 11.3 21.0 13.4 27.1
Average Prices ($/Mcf) $2.54 $2.63 $2.45 $2.50 $2.60 $2.14
Total Volumes Hedged (Bcf)(1) 115.7 405.2 489.6 414.2 278.1 144.6
NYMEX + Basis (fully-covered volumes)(2)
Volumes (Bcf) 112.9 403.4 484.0 414.2 268.0 142.1
Average Prices ($/Mcf) $2.65 $2.68 $2.54 $2.40 $2.42 $2.27
NYMEX Hedges Exposed to Basis
Volumes (Bcf) 2.8 1.8 5.6 - 10.1 2.5
Average Prices ($/Mcf) $2.98 $3.02 $2.97 - $3.01 $2.90
Total Volumes Hedged (Bcf)(1) 115.7 405.2 489.6 414.2 278.1 144.6
CNX’s substantial
hedge book de-risks
rates of return and
creates time to adjust
development plans
and protect the
balance sheet in the
face of weaker prices
(1) Hedge positions as of 10/9/2019. 2021 excludes 8.1 Bcf of physical basis sales not matched with NYMEX hedges.
(2) Includes the impact of NYMEX and basis-only hedges as well as physical sales agreements.
(3) Assuming midpoint of total dry gas production guidance in 2019E and 2020E.
Fully-covered hedges represent
~80% and ~93% of 2019E and
2020E base dry gas volumes,
respectively(3)
NYMEX hedges added during Q3:
52.9 Bcf (2019 and 2020)
Basis hedges added during Q3:
130.6 Bcf (2019, 2020, 2021, and
2022)
Q4 2019E, 2019E, and 2020E Gas Hedging Gain/Loss Projections
32
Note: Forward market prices, hedged volumes, and hedge prices are as of 10/9/2019. Anticipated hedging activity is not included in projections.
(1) October prices are settled.
(2) Q4 2019 and annual amounts based on sum of monthly hedge positions vs. strip.
(3) January through October prices are settled.
▪ In addition to NYMEX and basis financial hedges, CNX has physical fixed basis sales and physical fixed price sales with customers
▪ CY 2019E and 2020E physical fixed basis sales and physical fixed price sales: 127.9 Bcf and 88.8 Bcf
▪ Physical sales provide additional basis hedge
- Flows through gas sales in financials
Q4 2019 CY2019 CY2020
Wtd. Avg. Avg. Forecasted Wtd. Avg. Avg. Forecasted Wtd. Avg. Avg. Forecasted
Hedged Volumes Hedged Forward Gain/(Loss)(2)
Hedged Volumes Hedged Forward Gain/(Loss)(2)
Hedged Volumes Hedged Forward Gain/(Loss)(2)
(000 MMBtu) Price Market(1)
($ in 000s) (000 MMBtu) Price Market(3)
($ in 000s) (000 MMBtu) Price Market ($ in 000s)
($/MMBtu)
NYMEX 121,870 $2.74 $2.37 $46,061 419,193 $2.80 $2.60 $99,106 518,000 $2.74 $2.40 $178,119
Basis:
DOM South (DOM) 11,040 ($0.59) ($0.70) $1,176 43,800 ($0.59) ($0.45) ($6,045) 75,030 ($0.57) ($0.44) ($9,293)
TCO Pool (TCO) 22,070 ($0.32) ($0.51) $4,085 64,270 ($0.34) ($0.33) $918 65,580 ($0.39) ($0.36) ($1,626)
Michcon (NMC) 9,275 ($0.18) ($0.29) $1,012 34,092 ($0.19) ($0.19) $109 34,013 ($0.17) ($0.18) $507
TETCO ELA (TEB) 1,840 ($0.09) ($0.10) $19 7,300 ($0.09) ($0.13) $274 7,320 ($0.09) ($0.11) $173
TETCO WLA (TWB) 1,840 ($0.08) ($0.07) ($15) 7,300 ($0.08) ($0.08) $6 14,640 ($0.08) ($0.07) ($80)
TETCO M3 (TMT) 5,590 $0.56 $0.15 $1,595 17,558 $0.25 $0.27 $880 16,315 $0.20 $0.53 ($6,901)
TETCO M2 (BM2) 37,225 ($0.55) ($0.72) $5,681 123,100 ($0.57) ($0.48) ($9,362) 210,810 ($0.54) ($0.48) ($11,671)
Transco Zone 5 South (DKR) - - - - - - - - 4,280 $0.00 $0.61 $233
Total Financial Basis Hedges 88,880 $13,553 297,420 ($13,220) 427,988 ($28,658)
Total Projected Realized Gain $59,614 $85,886 $149,461
December 31,
2018 2017
Deferred Tax Assets:
Alternative Minimum Tax $ 102,482 $ 188,080
Net Operating Loss - Federal 124,341 99,524
Net Operating Loss - State 110,339 107,756
Foreign Tax Credit 43,194 44,402
Interest Limitation 32,147 —
Equity Compensation 13,096 21,866
Gas Well Closing 10,140 55,486
Salary Retirement 9,434 9,404
Capital Lease 1,624 2,020
Other 13,714 11,831
Total Deferred Tax Assets 460,511 540,369
Valuation Allowance (94,455) (136,576)
Net Deferred Tax Assets 366,056 403,793
September 30, December 31,
2019 2018
Current Assets
Cash and Cash Equivalents $ 5,484 $ 17,198
Accounts and Notes Receivable
Trade 96,997 252,424
Other Receivables 11,462 11,077
Supplies Inventories 7,527 9,715
Recoverable Income Taxes 11,184 149,481
Prepaid Expenses 213,072 61,791
Total Current Assets 345,726 501,686
2019 AMT Credit and Additional Refunds
Note: Current Assets and Deferred Tax tables from Q3 2019 10-Q and 2018 10-K respectively.
(1) Timing of recovery of approximately $3.5 million remains uncertain and therefore not included in 2019 plan.
33
▪ $138 million of AMT and other tax refunds received year-to-date
- Additional cash tax refunds related to past filings and other
miscellaneous recoveries of ~$11 million expected in 2020
▪ Incremental AMT refund expected in 2020 and 2021 of approximately
$51 million each year
▪ Company continues to expect no cash tax payments for 4-5 years due
to NOL utilization
Combined AMT refund and additional tax refunds to
drive total cash tax inflow of ~$138 million in 2019
(1)
SWPA Marcellus: Increased Results and Efficiencies
34
Ohio River Water Line (to Richhill)
▪ The buildout is complete and the water line is currently in-
service
▪ Supplies an uninterruptible water source into the Richhill
operating area within Southwest Pennsylvania that helps
support the Evolution frac crew
▪ Marcellus development is concentrated in the Richhill area
▪ Stage spacing was increased ~10% and proppant loading
held constant on 2019 TIL’s
▪ Optimized drawdown continues to be performed with less
production decline once at line pressure for 2019 wells
▪ Lowering capital from stage spacing optimization paired with
increased performance driving well returns higher
(1) 2018 TILs comprised of 8 wells off the RHL 22 pad
(2) 2019 TILs comprised of 17 wells off the RHL 11, 27, and 28 pads
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
- 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
9000' N
orm
aliz
ed C
um
ula
tive (
Bcf)
Days
Richhill (RHL) Marcellus – 2018 vs. Now
2018 RHL TC Current RHL TC 2018 TIL's 2019 TIL's
CPA Dry Utica Results Remain Consistent and Strong
35
CPA Dry Utica Results
Pressure Drawdown vs 7,000’ Norm. Cumulative Production
CPA Dry Utica Cumulative Production
Normalized to 7000’
▪ BP6 TIL Q4- 2018 performing in-line with other wells in area
▪ Strong, consistent, and repeatable performance is increasing
confidence in the production and economics of CPA Utica
▪ Combined with recent D&C efficiencies in SWPA Utica at
below $1,800/ft D&C yields high returns
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Cum
ula
tive P
roduction (
MM
cf)
Days
BP6 AIKENS5J AIKENS5M GAUT4
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
% o
f In
itia
l R
eserv
oir P
ressure
Cumulative Production (MMcf)
BP6 AIKENS5J AIKENS5M GAUT4
Integrating and Optimizing Operations To Drive Efficiencies
36
Objective Functionality Key Results
EBITDAX
Generation
▪ 24/7 real time surveillance
▪ Remote control and
automation
▪ Workforce and logistics
optimization
▪ 99.5% production uptime
▪ ~60% reduction in NPT since 2016
▪ ~30% increase in production since 2016
▪ 79% reduction in well tending unit costs
▪ ~50% reduction in total well tending dollars
since 2016
Capital
Efficiency
▪ Real-time data driven analysis
and decision making
▪ Faster and improved
communication and execution
▪ Drilling and completions risk
mitigation
▪ 11% increase in lateral length
▪ 98% in-zone performance
▪ 6% increase in in-zone performance
▪ Longest Marcellus lateral, 19,609’, geosteered
from IRTOC, 100% in target
▪ Expect to further improve completions pump
efficiencies and reduce D&C NPT
Integrated Real-Time Operations Center
230.1
6.4 25.9
3.1 8.8
184.9
1.0 +1.7
186.6
-
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
S/O 3Q17E Repurchased2017
Repurchased2018
Repurchased1Q19
Repurchased2Q19
Repurchased3Q19
Comp SharesIssued
S/O10/7/2019
Sh
are
s (
mill
ions)
Debt Discipline and EBITDAX Growth Drive Available Capacity
37
(1) See non-GAAP reconciliation table below.
Stand-Alone Midstream
Stand-Alone and Consolidated Net Debt
$ in millions September 30, 2019
Total
Total Long-Term Debt (GAAP) $2,000.3 $639.9 $2,640.2
Less: Cash and Cash Equivalents $2.8 $2.6 $5.5
Net Debt (Non-GAAP)(1) $1,997.5 $637.3 $2,634.8
Q3 2019 Stand-Alone Net Debt /
TTM Stand-Alone Adjusted EBITDAX + Distributions2.4x
Shares Repurchased Since Program Announced
▪ Retired ~1.0 million shares in Q3 2019
▪ Retired approximately 19% of shares outstanding since inception
▪ Remaining authorization outstanding for ~$148 million with no
expiration date
TTM Adjusted Stand-Alone EBITDAX + Distributions(1) $828.0
YE2018 Type Curve Area and Acreage Update
Note: As of year-end 2018 as identified in 2018 10-K filed February 7, 2019.
38
TYPE CURVE AREAS
SWPA Central Greater TOTAL SWPA
Total Net Acres 98,100 33,700 131,800
Net Developed Acres 28,300 2,400 30,800
Net Undeveloped Locations 427 191
Average Lateral Length (ft) 9,500 9,500
Inter-Lateral Spacing (ft) 750 750
WV SHR/PENS East TOTAL WV
Total Net Acres 17,200 14,300 93,400
Net Developed Acres 6,700 - 6,700
Net Undeveloped Locations 76 104
Average Lateral Length (ft) 8,000 8,000
Inter-Lateral Spacing (ft) 750 750
CPA South North TOTAL CPA
Total Net Acres 103,300 95,300 301,100
Net Developed Acres 5,100 900 6,100
Net Undeveloped Locations 634 609
Average Lateral Length (ft) 9,000 9,000
Inter-Lateral Spacing (ft) 750 750
OH TOTAL OH
Total Net Acres 12,800
Net Developed Acres 200
Net Undeveloped Locations
Average Lateral Length (ft)
Inter-Lateral Spacing (ft)
COMPANY Total Net Acres 539,000
YE2018 Acreage and Undeveloped Location Update
Note: As of year-end 2018 as identified in 2018 10-K filed February 7, 2019.
Acres by type curve area do not equal total acres because some CNX-controlled acres fall outside of identified type curve areas. Average lateral lengths and inter-lateral
spacing assumptions unchanged from 2018 Analyst Day.
Totals may not foot due to rounding.
Locations calculated by dividing total controlled acreage in type curve region divided by area of a well (9,500’ lateral leng th * 750’ inter-lateral spacing).
Grossing up locations to include prospective units requiring additional capital, as is common in the industry, would yield significantly more locations.39
MARCELLUS UTICATYPE CURVE AREAS
SWPA Central Greater TOTAL SWPA
Total Net Acres 120,500 55,100 175,600
Net Developed Acres 300 - 300
Net Undeveloped Locations 513 235
Average Lateral Length (ft) 8,500 8,500
Inter-Lateral Spacing (ft) 1,200 1,200
WV SHR/PENS East TOTAL WV
Total Net Acres 14,100 83,900 134,500
Net Developed Acres - - -
Net Undeveloped Locations 73 435
Average Lateral Length (ft) 7,000 7,000
Inter-Lateral Spacing (ft) 1,200 1,200
CPA South North TOTAL CPA
Total Net Acres 104,900 95,200 239,600
Net Developed Acres 400 200 600
Net Undeveloped Locations 542 493
Average Lateral Length (ft) 7,000 7,000
Inter-Lateral Spacing (ft) 1,200 1,200
OH Dry TOTAL OH
Total Net Acres 13,800 77,600
Net Developed Acres 10,000 10,000
Net Undeveloped Locations 14
Average Lateral Length (ft) 9,000
Inter-Lateral Spacing (ft) 1,350
COMPANY Total Net Acres 627,000
($ in millions)
Q3 2019
E&P
Standalone +
CNX
Gathering(2)
= CNX + MLP(2)
=
Total
Consolidated
Cash from Operations $254.4 $1.1 $255.5 $49.9 $305.4
Capital Expenditures $267.7 $4.5 $272.2 $63.9 $336.1
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
40
Source: Company filings.
(1) Stand-alone includes both CNX’s E&P and Unallocated segments.
(2) MLP cash flow from operations and CNX Gathering calculated using same percentage mix of gross adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA net to the MLP, which in Q3 2019 was 98.0%
and 2.0%, respectively. Consolidated cash flow from operations for CNX Midstream for Q3 2019 was $51.0 million.
Cash from Operations and Capital Expenditures by Segment
Three Months Ended
September 30,
2019 2018 2019 2018
($ in thousands)Stand-alone
(1)Stand-alone
(1) Total Company Total Company
Net Income from EBITDAX Reconciliation $102,219 $115,583 $143,960 $146,756
Adjustments
Total Pre-tax Adjustments from EBITDAX Reconciliation (153,856) (123,395) (153,092) (122,889)
Tax Effect of Adjustments 40,464 33,465 40,263 33,328
Adjusted Net (Loss) Income ($11,173) $25,653 $31,131 $57,195
Three Months Ended
September 30,
($ in thousands)Stand-alone
(1) Midstream Total Company
Total Long-Term Debt (GAAP) $2,000,309 $639,925 $2,640,234
Less Cash and Cash Equivalents 2,847 2,637 $5,484
Net Debt (Non-GAAP) $1,997,462 $637,288 $2,634,750
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
41
Price and Cost Data per Mcfe
($/Mcfe) Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
Average Sales Price - Total Company 2.85$ 2.47$ 2.50$ $ 2.80 3.00$ 2.87$ 2.92$ $ 3.09 2.97$ 2.63$ 2.51$
Lease Operating Expense 0.23$ 0.23$ 0.22$ 0.21$ 0.28$ 0.21$ 0.14$ 0.12$ 0.14$ 0.15$ 0.11$
Transportation, Gathering and Compression 0.99$ 0.94$ 0.98$ 0.87$ 0.86$ 0.82$ 0.84$ 0.82$ 0.92$ 0.98$ 0.97$
Production, Ad Valorem, and Other Fees 0.09$ 0.05$ 0.06$ 0.08$ 0.07$ 0.06$ 0.06$ 0.06$ 0.05$ 0.05$ 0.05$
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization 1.01$ 0.98$ 1.00$ 1.01$ 0.89$ 0.91$ 0.93$ 0.89$ 0.88$ 0.89$ 0.86$
Total Production Costs 2.32$ 2.20$ 2.26$ 2.17$ 2.10$ 2.00$ 1.97$ 1.89$ 1.99$ 2.07$ 1.99$
Less: Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization 1.01$ 0.98$ 1.00$ 1.01$ 0.89$ 0.91$ 0.93$ 0.89$ 0.88$ 0.89$ 0.86$
Total Cash Production Costs 1.31$ 1.22$ 1.26$ 1.16$ 1.21$ 1.09$ 1.04$ 1.00$ 1.11$ 1.18$ 1.13$
Operating Cash Margin 1.54$ 1.25$ 1.24$ 1.64$ 1.79$ 1.78$ 1.88$ 2.09$ 1.86$ 1.45$ 1.38$
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
42
Source: Company filings.
(1) Stand-alone includes both CNX’s E&P and Unallocated segments.
Twelve Months Ended
September 30,
2019 2019 2019
($ in thousands)Stand-alone
(1) Midstream Total Company
Net Income $243,371 $158,047 $401,418
Interest Expense 118,153 29,397 147,550
Interest Income (1,870) - (1,870)
Income Tax Expense 54,421 - 54,421
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) 414,075 187,444 601,519
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization 471,933 32,770 504,703
Exploration Expense 17,533 - 17,533
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, DD&A, and Exploration (EBITDAX) $903,541 $220,214 $1,123,755
Adjustments:
Unrealized Gain on Commodity Derivative Instruments (177,060) - (177,060)
(Gain) Loss on Certain Asset Sales and Abandonments (3,569) 7,229 3,660
Severance Expense 2,690 436 3,126
Stock-Based Compensation 39,919 2,116 42,035
Loss on Debt Extinguishment 7,299 - 7,299
Shaw Event 4,305 - 4,305
Total Pre-tax Adjustments ($126,416) $9,781 ($116,635)
Adjusted EBITDAX Consolidated $777,125 $229,995 $1,007,120
Midstream Distributions 50,869 N/A N/A
Stand-alone EBITDAX + Distributions $827,994 N/A N/A
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
43
Source: Company filings.
(1) Stand-alone includes both CNX’s E&P and Unallocated segments.
Three Months Ended
September 30,
2019 2019 2019
($ in thousands)Stand-alone
(1) Midstream Total Company
Net Income $102,219 $41,741 $143,960
Interest Expense 30,783 7,622 38,405
Interest Income (1,078) - (1,078)
Income Tax Expense 48,902 - 48,902
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) 180,826 49,363 230,189
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization 111,839 8,620 120,459
Exploration Expense 6,075 - 6,075
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, DD&A, and Exploration (EBITDAX) $298,740 $57,983 $356,723
Adjustments:
Unrealized Gain on Commodity Derivative Instruments (156,872) - (156,872)
Stock-Based Compensation 1,453 328 1,781
Severance Expense 1,563 436 1,999
Total Pre-tax Adjustments ($153,856) $764 ($153,092)
Adjusted EBITDAX Consolidated $144,884 $58,747 $203,631
Midstream Distributions 14,388 N/A N/A
Stand-alone EBITDAX + Distributions $159,272 N/A N/A
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
44
Source: Company filings.
(1) Stand-alone includes both CNX’s E&P and Unallocated segments.
Three Months Ended
September 30,
2018 2018 2018
($ in thousands)Stand-alone
(1) Midstream Total Company
Net Income $115,583 $31,173 $146,756
Interest Expense 28,467 7,256 35,723
Interest Income (42) - (42)
Income Tax Expense 56,678 - 56,678
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) 200,686 38,429 239,115
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization 111,844 7,741 119,585
Exploration Expense 3,321 - 3,321
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, DD&A, and Exploration (EBITDAX) $315,851 $46,170 $362,021
Adjustments:
Unrealized Gain on Commodity Derivative Instruments (15,181) - (15,181)
Litigation Settlements 2,000 - 2,000
Gain on Certain Asset Sales and Abandonments (130,849) - (130,849)
Severance Expense 513 - 513
Loss on Debt Extinguishment 15,385 - 15,385
Stock-Based Compensation 4,737 506 5,243
Total Pre-tax Adjustments ($123,395) $506 ($122,889)
Adjusted EBITDAX Consolidated $192,456 $46,676 $239,132
Midstream Distributions 10,078 N/A N/A
Stand-alone EBITDAX + Distributions $202,534 N/A N/A
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
45
Source: Company filings.
(1) Stand-alone includes both CNX’s E&P and Unallocated segments.
Three Months Ended
June 30,
2019 2019 2019
($ in thousands)Stand-alone
(1) Midstream Total Company
Net Income $148,281 $44,413 $192,694
Interest Expense 32,467 7,685 40,152
Interest Income (71) - (71)
Income Tax Expense 40,791 - 40,791
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) 221,468 52,098 273,566
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization 120,705 8,294 128,999
Exploration Expense 5,567 - 5,567
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, DD&A, and Exploration (EBITDAX) $347,740 $60,392 $408,132
Adjustments:
Unrealized Gain on Commodity Derivative Instruments (210,909) - (210,909)
Severance Expense 1,182 - 1,182
Loss on Debt Extinguishment 77 - 77
Stock-Based Compensation 23,333 540 23,873
Total Pre-tax Adjustments ($186,317) $540 ($185,777)
Adjusted EBITDAX Consolidated $161,423 $60,932 $222,355
Midstream Distributions 13,251 N/A N/A
Stand-alone EBITDAX + Distributions $174,674 N/A N/A
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
46
Source: Company filings.
Three Months Ended Twelve Months Ended
March 31, June 30, September 30, December 31, December 31,
($ in thousands) 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018
Net Income $510,012 $33,614 $115,583 $90,106 $749,315
Interest Expense 36,062 31,320 28,467 26,471 122,320
Interest Income (76) - (42) 1 (117)
Income Tax Expense (Benefit) 213,694 (31,102) 56,678 (23,713) 215,557
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) 759,692 33,832 200,686 92,865 1,087,075
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization 115,866 111,125 111,844 122,314 461,149
Exploration Expense 2,380 3,699 3,321 2,633 12,033 -
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, DD&A, and Exploration (EBITDAX) $877,938 $148,656 $315,851 $217,812 $1,560,257
Adjustments:
Unrealized (Gain) Loss on Commodity Derivative Instruments (52,078) (8,976) (15,181) 36,727 (39,508)
Litigation Settlements - - 2,000 - 2,000
Impairment of Other Intangible Assets - 18,650 - - 18,650
(Gain) Loss on Certain Asset Sales and Abandonments (4,750) - (130,849) 96 (135,503)
Gain on Previously Held Equity Interest (623,663) - - - (623,663)
Severance Expense 749 - 513 (55) 1,207
Put Option Fair Value - Reversal from Prior Year (3,500) - - - (3,500)
Other Transaction Fees 1,149 257 - - 1,406
Loss (Gain) on Debt Extinguishment 15,635 23,413 15,385 (315) 54,118
Stock-Based Compensation 4,331 5,017 4,737 4,842 18,927
Total Pre-tax Adjustments ($662,127) $38,361 ($123,395) $41,295 ($705,866)
Adjusted EBITDAX Consolidated $215,811 $187,017 $192,456 $259,107 $854,391
Midstream Distributions 8,362 9,088 10,078 11,085 38,613
Stand-alone EBITDAX + Distributions $224,173 $196,105 $202,534 $270,192 $893,004
Stand-alone(1)
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
47
Source: Company filings.
Attributable to CNX Shareholders Three Months EndedTwelve Months
Ended
March 31, June 30, September 30, December 31, December 31,
($ in thousands) 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017
Net (Loss) Income ($38,966) $169,511 ($26,441) $276,643 $380,747
Less: (Income) Loss from Discontinued Operations ($52,041) ($47,703) $4,645 $9,391 (85,708)
Add: Interest Expense 41,606 40,682 38,836 40,319 161,443
Less: Interest Income (953) (6,076) (858) (1,198) (9,085)
Add: Income Taxes (47,422) 57,958 10,530 71,566 92,632
Add: Income Tax Reform - - - (269,090) (269,090)
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) from Continuing Operations (97,776) 214,372 26,712 127,631 270,939
Add: Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization 95,678 91,639 102,012 122,707 412,036
Add: Exploration Expense 9,785 19,717 4,479 14,093 48,074
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, DD&A, and Exploration (EBITDAX) from Continuing
Operations $7,687 $325,728 $133,203 $264,431 $731,049
Adjustments:
Unrealized Gain on Commodity Derivative Instruments (24,640) (116,073) (1,512) (105,879) (248,104)
Settlement Expense - - - 19,787 19,787
Gain on Certain Asset Sales - (126,707) (30,315) - (157,022)
Severance Expense 230 73 914 177 1,394
Fair Value Put Option - - - 3,500 3,500
Stock Based Compensation 3,754 4,163 5,159 3,907 16,983
(Gain) Loss on Debt Extinguishment (822) 36 2,019 896 2,129
Impairment of E&P Properties 137,865 - - - 137,865
Total Pre-tax Adjustments $116,387 ($238,508) ($23,735) ($77,612) ($223,468)
Adjusted EBITDAX from Continuing Operations $124,074 $87,220 $109,468 $186,819 $507,581