Earnings Call Fiscal 2016 Q3 - s2.q4cdn.com · PDF file2 Non-GAAP Information The information...
Transcript of Earnings Call Fiscal 2016 Q3 - s2.q4cdn.com · PDF file2 Non-GAAP Information The information...
Earnings CallFiscal 2016 Q3April 5, 2016
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Disclaimer
The following slides are part of a presentation by Darden Restaurants, Inc. (the "Company") and are intended
to be viewed as part of that presentation (the "Presentation"). No representation is made that the Presentation
is complete.
Forward-looking statements in this communication regarding our expected earnings performance and all other statements that are not
historical facts, including without limitation statements concerning our future economic performance and expenses, are made under the Safe
Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on
which such statements are first made, and we undertake no obligation to update such statements to reflect events or circumstances arising
after such date. We wish to caution investors not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-
looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to materially differ from those anticipated in the
statements. The most significant of these uncertainties are described in Darden's Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K reports. These risks
and uncertainties include food safety and food-borne illness concerns, litigation, unfavorable publicity, risks relating to public policy changes
and federal, state and local regulation of our business, labor and insurance costs, technology failures including a failure to maintain a secure
cyber network, failure to execute a business continuity plan following a disaster, health concerns including virus outbreaks, intense
competition, failure to drive profitable sales growth, our plans to expand our smaller brands Bahama Breeze, Seasons 52 and Eddie V's, a
lack of availability of suitable locations for new restaurants, higher-than-anticipated costs to open, close, relocate or remodel restaurants, a
failure to execute innovative marketing tactics, a failure to develop and recruit effective leaders, a failure to address cost pressures,
shortages or interruptions in the delivery of food and other products and services, adverse weather conditions and natural disasters,
volatility in the market value of derivatives, economic factors specific to the restaurant industry and general macroeconomic factors including
interest rates, disruptions in the financial markets, risks of doing business with franchisees and vendors in foreign markets, failure to protect
our intellectual property, impairment in the carrying value of our goodwill or other intangible assets, failure of our internal controls over
financial reporting, an inability or failure to manage the accelerated impact of social media and other factors and uncertainties discussed
from time to time in reports filed by Darden with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
IMPORTANT NOTICE
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Non-GAAP Information
The information in this communication includes financial information determined by
methods other than in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the
United States of America (“GAAP”), such as adjusted net earnings per diluted share from
continuing operations. The Company’s management uses these non-GAAP measures in its
analysis of the Company’s performance. The Company believes that the presentation of
certain non-GAAP measures provides useful supplemental information that is essential to a
proper understanding of the operating results of the Company’s businesses. These non-
GAAP disclosures should not be viewed as a substitute for operating results determined in
accordance with GAAP, nor are they necessarily comparable to non-GAAP performance
measures that may be presented by other companies.
Earnings CallFiscal 2016 Q3April 5, 2016
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$0.54$0.32
$0.28
$0.99$1.08
$0.68$0.54
$1.21
FY14 FY15 FY15 FY16 FY15 FY16 FY15 FY16
Darden Adjusted EPS3
Q41 Q1 Q22 Q32
$1.65 $1.60 $1.56$1.73
$1.88$1.69 $1.61
$1.85
FY14 FY15 FY15 FY16 FY15 FY16 FY15 FY16
Darden Sales ($bn)
Q41 Q1 Q22 Q32
Fiscal Third Quarter Highlights
1 FY15 Q4 includes the impact of the additional week due to a 53 week fiscal year. 2 FY16 Q2 includes the negative impact of the Thanksgiving holiday shift, which occurred in Q3 of FY15.3 EPS values adjusted for special items. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of this
presentation.
3.8%
3.4%
2.9%
4.2%
Q4 FY15 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3 FY16
Same-Restaurant Sales Growth - Comparable Calendar Basis
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Positive Sales and Earnings Momentum
4.9%Calendar
Same-Restaurant Sales
+600bpsSame-Restaurant Sales
Industry Outperformance1
6th
Consecutive Qtr. of Same-
Restaurant Sales Growth
3.0%Calendar Same-
Restaurant Guest Count
Launched
Catering Delivery
Nationwide
42%OG To Go
2-Year Growth
Same-Restaurant Sales1
OG To Go Sales
Q3 Highlights
0.5%
2.2%
3.4%
2.5%2.8%
4.9%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
1 FY16 Same-Restaurant Sales on a comparable calendar basis. Industry excluding Darden brands.
14% 15%22% 23%
18% 17%
20%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
FY15 FY16
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Strong Segment Profit Growth
2.7%Calendar
Same-Restaurant Sales
2.6%
5.4% 5.2%4.8%
3.6%
2.7%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
Same-Restaurant Sales1
Q3 Highlights
+400bpsSame-Restaurant Sales
Industry Outperformance1
12th
Consecutive Qtr. of Same-
Restaurant Sales Growth
-0.7%Calendar Same-
Restaurant Guest Count
2nd YearBrand of the Year
Ace Metrix
29%Segment Profit Growth
1 FY16 Same-Restaurant Sales on a comparable calendar basis. Industry excluding Darden brands.
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Same-Restaurant Sales1
Same-Restaurant Sales Growth at all Brands
1 FY16 Same-Restaurant Sales on a comparable calendar basis
3.1%
4.3%5.0%
6.1%4.4%
6.4%
0.9%
4.3%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
5.3% 1.2%
5.2%
3.1% 3.8% 3.8%5.3%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
1.3%4.9% 5.2%
3.9% 3.2%
1.3%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
6.3%-0.6%
3.2%1.7% 2.5%
5.8% 6.3%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
3.7%5.4%
3.2% 3.6%2.4% 3.1%
FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3
3.1%
9.6%
Financial Update
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Fiscal Third Quarter Highlights
6.2%Fiscal Calendar
Same-Restaurant Sales
$1.21*
Adjusted Diluted EPS from
Continuing Operations
$64 millionDividends Paid
22%Adjusted Diluted EPS Growth vs
Last Year
6Straight Quarters of Double Digit
Adjusted EPS growth
2.3 millionShares Repurchased
* EPS values adjusted for special items. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of this presentation.
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Fiscal Third Quarter Adjusted Earnings
Fiscal 2016 Q3 Adjusted Earnings Growth Drivers1
Fiscal 2016 Q3 Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.84
Debt Retirement Costs 0.34
Real Estate Plan Implementation 0.03
Fiscal 2016 Q3 Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $1.21
Fiscal 2016 Q3 Adjusted Diluted EPS vs. Fiscal 2015 Q3 Adjusted Diluted EPS $0.22
Growth % 22.2%
Net Incremental Ongoing Impact for Real Estate Transactions
Three Months Ended
($ millions, except per share) 02/28/2016
GAAP Rent and Other Taxes (Restaurant Expense & G&A) $32
Depreciation & Amortization (15)
Reduction in Interest Expense (11)
Net Incremental Expense $6
Net Incremental Reduction to EPS $0.03
1 EPS values adjusted for special items. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of this presentation.
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Adjusted EBIT Margins increased 200 basis points
As
Reported
As Adjusted
Q3 2016 Q3 2016($ millions)
Q3 2016 vs. Q3 2015 (bps)Favorable/(Unfavorable)
Food & Beverage 29.1% $537.8 29.1% 160
Restaurant Labor 31.0% $572.5 31.0% (10)
Restaurant Expenses 16.5% $305.2 16.5% (60)
Marketing 2.7% $50.7 2.7% 30
Restaurant-Level EBITDA 20.6% $381.3 20.6% 120
G&A 5.2% $89.2 4.8% (30)
Depreciation & Amortization 3.6% $67.0 3.6% 100
Impairments (0.1)% ($2.1) (0.1%) 10
EBIT 12.0% $227.2 12.3% 200
Interest Expense 4.5% $11.8 0.6% 70
EBT 7.5% $215.4 11.7% 270
Income Tax ExpenseNote: Effective Tax Rate
1.6%21.7%
$58.4 3.2%27.1%
(150)
EAT 5.9% $157.0 8.5% 130
Note: Continuing operations, values may not tie due to rounding. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of this presentation.
121 Segment profit calculated as sales less costs of food & beverage, restaurant labor, restaurant expenses and marketing expenses.
All of our segments had positive sales growth… ($ millions)
…coupled with significant Segment Profit1 growth ($ millions)
$201.4 $220.1
FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3
$65.9
$85.0
FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3
$30.9 $33.9
FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3
21.0% 21.6% 16.3% 20.0% 22.3% 23.2%
$39.0 $42.3
FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3
16.8% 16.5%
Sales and profit increased in all segments
$957 $1,020
FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3
$404 $425
FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3
$139 $146
FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3
$232 $256
FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3
Segment Profit
Margin %
Fine Dining Other
Fine Dining Other
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Restaurant Openings New Restaurant Openings 18 to 22
Same-Restaurant
SalesTotal +3.0 to +3.5%
Tax Rate Annual Effective Rate 23% to 25%
Capital Expenditures
($ millions)
Total $230 - $255
New Restaurants $85
Refresh/Maintenance/Other $145 - $170
Adjusted Earnings
per Diluted Share1
Total $3.48 to $3.52
Growth2 36% to 38%
1 Excludes real estate implementation and debt retirement costs.2 Assumes a 52 week fiscal year for 2015. Non-GAAP number. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of
this presentation.
Fiscal 2016 Annual Outlook
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Fiscal 2017 Capital Expenditures Outlook
Restaurant Openings New Restaurant Openings 24 to 28
Capital Expenditures
($ millions)
Total $310 - $350
New Restaurants $110 - $130
Remodel/Maintenance/Other $200 - $220
Remodel/Refresh
Olive Garden
Remodel ~250k-$450k ea. At Least 60
Bar Refresh ~$20k ea. Up to 150
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Long-Term Value Creation Framework
Annual Target, Over Time
Business
Performance
(EAT Growth)
Same-Restaurant Sales 1% - 3%
New Restaurant Growth 2% - 3% 7% - 10%
EBIT Margin Expansion 10 - 40bps
Return of
Cash
Dividend Payout Ratio 50% - 60%3% - 5%
Share Repurchase ($ millions) $100 - $200
Total Shareholder Return (EPS Growth + Dividend Yield) 10% - 15%
Note: Growth in the individual components will vary year-to-year.
Additional Information
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Reported to Adjusted Earnings Reconciliations
Note: For Fiscal 2015, the sum of the quarterly Diluted EPS amounts do not total the annual EPS amounts due to the impact of the Accelerated Share Repurchase program on the weighted average share count. Values may not tie due to rounding.
Fiscal 2015
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4* Annual*
Reported Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations ($0.14) ($0.24) $1.01 $0.92 $1.51
Debt Retirement Costs 0.37 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.42
Strategic Action Plan and Other Costs 0.09 0.47 (0.02) 0.16 0.70
Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.32 $0.28 $0.99 $1.08 $2.63
* Reflects the additional operating week vs Fiscal 2014
Fiscal 2014
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual
Reported Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.32 $0.05 $0.65 $0.36 $1.38
Red Lobster-Related Shared Support Costs 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 $0.15
Other Strategic Action Plan Costs - 0.03 0.01 0.09 $0.13
Asset Impairments and Other Costs - 0.00 0.01 0.04 $0.05
Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.36 $0.12 $0.71 $0.54 $1.71
Fiscal 2016
Q1 Q2 Q3
Reported Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.63 $0.23 $0.84
Real Estate Plan Implementation 0.05 0.16 0.03
Debt Retirement Costs - 0.17 0.34
Strategic Action Plan and Other Costs - (0.02) -
Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations $0.68 $0.54 $1.21
Fiscal 2016 Adj. Diluted EPS vs. Fiscal 2015 Adj. Diluted EPS $0.36 $0.26 $0.22
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Reported to Adjusted EBIT Margin and Earnings Reconciliations
Change
(in millions) 2/28/2016 2/22/2015 (bps)
Sales - as reported 1,847.5$ 1,730.9$
Earnings from continuing operations - as reported 108.2$ 128.4$
Interest, net - as reported 83.1 23.3
Income taxes - as reported 29.9 18.7
EBIT from continuing operations 221.2$ 170.4$
EBIT Margin from continuing operations 12.0% 9.8% 220
EBIT Impacts 6.0 (1) 8.0 (2)
Adjusted EBIT from continuing operations 227.2 178.4 Adjusted EBIT Margin from continuing operations 12.3% 10.3% 200
Earnings from continuing operations - as reported 108.2$ 128.4$
EBIT Impacts 6.0 (1) 8.0 (2)
Interest expense impacts 71.3 (3) -
Income tax impacts of adjustments (28.5) (11.0) (4)
Adjusted earnings from continuing operations 157.0 125.4 Adjusted earnings Margin from continuing operations 8.5% 7.2% 130
(1) Represents costs associated with real estate implementation
(2) Represents costs associated with strategic action plan
(3) Represents costs associated with debt retirement
(4) Includes the tax benefit related to exiting from our lobster aquaculture project
Quarter Ended
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Product Breakdown and Contract Coverage For Fiscal 2016 Fourth Quarter
¹ Includes cheese, cream, butter, and shortening
² Includes breadsticks and pasta
Commodities Outlook
Mar-May
FY2016
Spend by
Category Coverage Outlook
Beef 19% 80% Low Single Digit Deflation
Produce 13% 80% Low Single Digit Inflation
Dairy / Oil1 12% 65% Mid Single Digit Inflation
Seafood 11% 90% Mid Single Digit Deflation
Wheat2 7% 90% Flat
Chicken 6% 95% Mid Single Digit Deflation
Non-Perishable / Other 32% 80% Low Single Digit Inflation
Weighted Average
Coverage100% 80%
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Updated FY2016 Annual Earnings Growth Outlook
Update
1 Represents non-GAAP measure. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP numbers can be found in the additional information section of this presentation.2 Estimated
Per Share % Growth
Fiscal 2015 Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations1 $2.63
Remove 53rd Week Impact in Fiscal 2015 (In Q4) (0.07)
Fiscal 2015 52 Week Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations1 $2.56
Growth from Fiscal 2015 (52 Week Year) to Fiscal 20162
Operating Performance $0.96 – 1.00 37 – 39%
Net Incremental Ongoing Real Estate Expenses (0.08) (3)%
Reduced Interest Expense related to FY15 Debt Retirement (FY16 Q1) 0.04 2%
Total Growth From Fiscal 2015 (52 Week Year) to Fiscal 2016 $0.92 - $0.96 36% - 38%
Fiscal 2016 Adjusted Diluted Net EPS from Continuing Operations Outlook $3.48 - $3.52
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Fiscal and Comparable Calendar Dates
Fiscal Calendar Comparable Calendar
Q1
June 1, 2015 – August 30, 2015
vs.
May 26, 2014 – August 24, 2014
June 1, 2015 – August 30, 2015
vs.
June 2, 2014 – August 31, 2014
Q2
August 31, 2015 - November 29, 2015
vs.
August 25, 2014 - November 23, 2014
August 31, 2015 - November 29, 2015
vs.
September 1, 2014 - November 30, 2014
Q3
November 30, 2015 – February 28, 2016
vs.
November 24, 2014 – February 22, 2015
November 30, 2015 – February 28, 2016
vs.
December 1, 2014 – March 1,2015