E toll presentation Wayne Duvenage TruckX
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Transcript of E toll presentation Wayne Duvenage TruckX
![Page 1: E toll presentation Wayne Duvenage TruckX](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042723/5873aa1b1a28aba3548b5b85/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
The ‘endless’ E-‐Toll Saga
and other interes4ng facts
Wayne Duvenage OUTA -‐ Chairperson
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Breaking the myths about OUTA & E-‐Tolls
Dispel SANRAL’s Claims of six court wins 18 months of A"ri%on Through Lawfare
Why did OUTA launch?
E-‐Toll Discussions…
Staying the course and why we had to
What we discovered…
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E-‐Toll Revenue (& “Forecasts”)
!"!!!!
!50.0!!
!100.0!!
!150.0!!
!200.0!!
!250.0!!
!300.0!!
!350.0!!
1! 2! 3! 4! 5! 6! 7! 8! 9! 10! 11! 12! 13! 14! 15! 16! 17! 18! 19! 20! 21! 22! 23! 24! 25! 26! 27! 28! 29! 30!Dec$13 Jan$14 Feb$14 Mar$14 Apr$14 May$14 Jun$14 Jul$14 Aug$14 Sep$14 Oct$14 Nov$14 Dec$14 Jan$15 Feb$15 Mar$15 Apr$15 May$15 Jun$15 Jul$15 Aug$15 Sep$15 Oct$15 Nov$15 Dec$15 Jan$16 Feb$16 Mar$16 Apr$16 May$16
RANDS
x M
illions
Launched 3 Dec 2013
COURT PROCESS IN 2012 & 2013 SANRAL SAID: 1. COMPLIANCE will be 93%. 2. Average Revenue of R260 mil / month achievable
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!"!!!!
!50.0!!
!100.0!!
!150.0!!
!200.0!!
!250.0!!
!300.0!!
!350.0!!
1! 2! 3! 4! 5! 6! 7! 8! 9! 10! 11! 12! 13! 14! 15! 16! 17! 18! 19! 20! 21! 22! 23! 24! 25! 26! 27! 28! 29! 30!
E-‐Toll Revenue (& “Forecasts”)
Projec4on for success (OUTA)
Dec$13 Jan$14 Feb$14 Mar$14 Apr$14 May$14 Jun$14 Jul$14 Aug$14 Sep$14 Oct$14 Nov$14 Dec$14 Jan$15 Feb$15 Mar$15 Apr$15 May$15 Jun$15 Jul$15 Aug$15 Sep$15 Oct$15 Nov$15 Dec$15 Jan$16 Feb$16 Mar$16 Apr$16 May$16
Actual Revenue (SANRAL) Forecasts Revenue (SANRAL)
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!"!!!!
!50.0!!
!100.0!!
!150.0!!
!200.0!!
!250.0!!
!300.0!!
!350.0!!
1! 2! 3! 4! 5! 6! 7! 8! 9! 10! 11! 12! 13! 14! 15! 16! 17! 18! 19! 20! 21! 22! 23! 24! 25! 26! 27! 28! 29! 30!
E-‐Toll Revenue (& “Forecasts”)
Projec4on for success (OUTA)
Dec$13 Jan$14 Feb$14 Mar$14 Apr$14 May$14 Jun$14 Jul$14 Aug$14 Sep$14 Oct$14 Nov$14 Dec$14 Jan$15 Feb$15 Mar$15 Apr$15 May$15 Jun$15 Jul$15 Aug$15 Sep$15 Oct$15 Nov$15 Dec$15 Jan$16 Feb$16 Mar$16 Apr$16 May$16
Actual Revenue (SANRAL) Forecasts Revenue (SANRAL)
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SANRAL’s Discount Dispensa4on… Moun4ng Public Anxiety
OUTA Refuses to go away…
E-‐Toll Defense Umbrella
New internal legal capacity Defend every OUTA member
OUTA Revises strategy – Sep 2015…
OUTA REVISES STRATEGY FOR LEGAL DEVELOPMENTS
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Threats of Vehicle Lis4ngs (?) & Summonses
Sanral begins to issue 6,000 summonses
Jan 2016 – Dispensa4on failing fast
May 2016: New Dispensa4on <R150m of R5,9b
OUTA defends all its summonsed members
Current li4ga4on developments
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In Feb 2016: OUTA expands mandate
OPPOSITION TO URBAN TOLLING ALLIANCE
ORGANISATION UNDOING TAX ABUSE
WHY?
TO
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Many ques4ons raised around tax policy Carbon Tax, Sugar Taxes Tyre Recycling Taxes
Many ques4ons around maladministra4on & / Corrup4on SAA, Eskom, Prasa, SABC
SOE accoun4ng prac4ces enables more borrowing… Increased cost of infrastructure in SA…
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2004$ 2005$ 2006$ 2007$ 2008$ 2009$ 2010$ 2011$ 2012$ 2013$ 2014$ 2015$Debt$Ra2o's$$ 1.234856856$1.178158303$1.185716064$1.219998469$0.516794454$1.026106071$0.232479401$0.246719604$0.260951841$0.250963373$0.252289173$0.288061201$Total$Assets$ 7780782000$9076108000$8999830000$9826332000$12444495000$30603724000$1.87174E+11$2.2049E+11$2.69265E+11$2.76296E+11$3.10992E+11$3.25469E+11$Total$Liabili2es$9608152000$10693092000$10671243000$11988110000$14328202000$31402667000$43514132000$54399317000$70265150000$69340215000$78459898000$93754925000$
R0$
R50,000,000,000$
R100,000,000,000$
R150,000,000,000$
R200,000,000,000$
R250,000,000,000$
R300,000,000,000$
R350,000,000,000$
$SANRAL:$Total$Liabili2es$To$Total$Assets$
Rand
s x Billion
SANRAL’s: Total Assets to Liabili4es
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-‐
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015* 2016
Eskom Total Assets to Total Liabilites
Total assets Total liabili4es
RANDS
x Billions
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-‐
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015* 2016
Eskom Total Assets to Total Liabilites
Total assets Total liabili4es
RANDS
x Billions Total ProducIon (GwH)
Coal Burn (Mt) 122
119
125
231 237
215 218 218
225
0
50
100
150
200
250
Sales (GwH)
39
137 Sales (R’bn)
50
75
100
125
150
25
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The QuesIon of Road ConstrucIon Costs in SA
Gauteng Freeway Improvement Project -‐ 185 km = R17,9 bn -‐ Just under R100m / KM -‐ An addi4onal lane each direc4on + 3 / 4 lanes resurfaced
OUTA Research in Feb 2016 – shows serious concerns
Why would this be a concern? -‐ E-‐Tolls more irra4onal
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GFIP
Addis-‐Ababa – Adama (85km)
AWer Before
Before AWer
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GFIP
Nairobi-‐Thika SuperHighway (50km)
AWer Before
Before
AWer
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GFIP
Grand Parkway to SH6 – Texas (11km)
AWer Before
AWer Before
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The Cost of Road Construc4on in SA Cost comparison for GFIP and Other
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
GFIP Addis Ababa-‐Adama Expressway
Nairobi-‐Thika Expressway
Grand Parkway to SH6 Texas
N3 Future Upgrades
Cost / m²
GFIP Addis Ababa-‐Adama Expressway Nairobi-‐Thika Expressway
Grand Parkway to SH6 Texas N3 Future Upgrades
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N3 Upgrade – Durban to Cedara / Pmb (84km)
PMB
DURBAN
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N3 Upgrade – Durban to Cedara / Pmb (84km)
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The Cost of Road Construc4on in SA Cost comparison for GFIP and Other
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
GFIP Addis Ababa-‐Adama Expressway
Nairobi-‐Thika Expressway
Grand Parkway to SH6 Texas
N3 Future Upgrades
Cost / m²
GFIP Addis Ababa-‐Adama Expressway Nairobi-‐Thika Expressway
Grand Parkway to SH6 Texas N3 Future Upgrades
?
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Harrismith will loose Est. R1bn / annum pa (1,5m cars)
98 Km New 4 Lane Freeway to save 14km ???
Road will cost est R10bn
Toll costs will negate the 14km Saving
Alterna4ve shortening and safer alignments best op4on
Swinburne & Van Reenen Pass nodes die
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THANK
YOU